Though I strongly suspect that a seemingly innocuous amendment like the one that now shackles Mayor White would have gotten overlooked in just about any election, I do wonder if pushing it back to November might have given the competent forecasters enough time to figure out and warn about this mess we're facing. Oh, well.

For the record, Kuff, you approvingly cited guidance for Proposition 15 last fall.

So I did. Didn't work out, obviously.

For what it's worth, here was the coverage of Prop 15.

"Proposition 15 would prohibit Houston and other cities from ever reducing or impairing the future retirement benefits of vested employees.

Supporters say police officers, firefighters and other local government employees deserve the security of knowing that their retirement, disability or death benefits could never be reduced.

But opponents argue that it would be wrong to tie the hands of local officials, who may have to make changes in pension plans to meet changing economic conditions. And they note that private sector employees, whose pension plans are often less generous than public workers', don't have a constitutional guarantee that their benefits will remain unchanged."

Searching the Chron's archives, they editorialized a "No" vote on this proposition:

"Retirement plans for municipal employees, firefighters and police officers in Houston and other major cities are generally much better than those provided in the private sector. A Houston municipal employee, starting work at the city at the age of 20 or so, can retire 25 years later at 90 percent of his or her salary. Firefighters and police officers have similar or better deals.

Meanwhile, taxpayers' cost to maintain these pension plans has skyrocketed. Mayors and members of City Council through several administrations have been irresponsible in controlling rising pension costs.

Taxpayer contributions to the municipal employee pension plan increased by 40 percent this year. Annual taxpayer contributions to the police pension fund will increase from $34 million this year to $126 million in 2007. Who can say how much more taxpayers will have to cough up in the future?"

It's an unfortunately accurate prediction, but it's also the only place you'll find any dollar amounts mentioned. My point was that no one paid any attention to this amendment. I'm as guilty as anyone, but I do have company.

The Sec of State Election Results webpage is too busy to give me returns on the Prop 15 vote right now, but looking at this story on the returns makes me suspect it was not a close vote. Midland County voted for it by a 2-1 margin, which should give some idea.

Not much we can do about that now, though.

FWIW, my observations have been that Texans pass all constitutional amendments presented to them on the ballot. Not a single amendment failed in November's elections. This is true even when there is well-funded opposition to an amendment that crosses party lines such as Prop 12. Most amendments face zero organized opposition such as Prop 15.

And to echo a statement you made, there's not much we can do about that.

There's a comment here which says "Since 1876 (and before this legislative session), the Legislature had proposed 587 amendments to the Texas Constitution; 410 of which have been approved." Doing the math, and factoring in the 22 new amendments (432 out of 609), 71% or all amendments proposed have been approved.