One presumes that Barry Bonds' pursuit of Henry Aaron's record of 755 home runs will be a top story line this year. The question is how likely is he to actually get there? John Beamer of Hardball Times takes a stab at a projection, based on the limited histroical data for 41 and 42 year old players available. Bottom line: If he stays healthy, he's (just about) a lock. Check it out. Link via David Pinto.

And on a related note, happy belated 73rd birthday to Hammerin' Hank.