I know these guys have to be concerned with more than just one race, but I’m curious about something. When will folks like CQ Politics (current rating on CD22: No Clear Favorite), Chuck Todd (who currently ranks CD22 as the 14th most competitive race), and Larry Sabato (current rating on CD22: Leans Republican) update their rankings to reflect the 22nd District as a sure Democratic pickup? I mean, we all agree that’s going to happen, right? Nobody is actually harboring the illusion that the Libertarian or one of the write-ins is going to come close to Nick Lampson, right?
Well, here’s one quarter heard from: As of August 9, Charlie Cook has TX-22 as “Toss Up”. Way to go out on a limb there, dude. Maybe his dial just doesn’t go to 11, or maybe he still thinks there’s a scenario where a replacement can appear on the ballot, I don’t know. I just find it a little hard to believe that anyone might think it’s really 50-50 between Lampson and Your Name Here.
Anyway. I look forward to the next round of updates with great interest.
Asleep at the wheel.
Those sorts of sites will quickly become obsolete. They simply don’t have the staff to keep up-to-date info on all the races. For the last four months, the only people who’ve had a clue about this race write from inside the district.