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Texas Republicans still mostly like Trump

There are a few cracks in the surface, however.

Most voters in the country’s biggest red state are wary of President Donald Trump — but Republican voters remain strongly supportive of him, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll.

More than half of the voters said Trump does not have the temperament to serve as president, but that number reflects strong Democratic antipathy to the president. Only 5 percent of self-identified Democrats said he has the temperament for the office, while 68 percent of self-identified Republicans said he does have the proper temperament.

Other assessments of the president carry the same partisan seasoning: Only 4 percent of Democrats said Trump is honest and trustworthy, and just 9 percent said he is competent. Republicans in Texas are still satisfied, with 66 percent saying Trump is honest and trustworthy and 80 percent saying he’s competent.

Overall, 43 percent approve of the job Trump is doing in office, while 51 percent disapprove. Among Republicans, 80 percent approve. Among Democrats, 90 percent disapprove.

Texas voters’ views of Trump roughly track the findings of the February UT/TT Poll. “If anyone has had a rough launch, it’s Donald Trump,” said Jim Henson, co-director of the poll and head of the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas at Austin. “But Texas Republicans are holding steady. They continue to embrace him.”

See here for the UT/Trib February numbers. A brief comparison:


Category           Feb   June
=============================
Approve             46     43
Disapprove          44     51

Good Temperament    39     38
Bad Temperament     48     53

Is Honest           38     35
Is Not Honest       50     55

So there’s decline across the board, though by a modest amount. There’s a chart in the February Trib story that breaks approve/disapprove down by partisan ID (you can also dig through the February crosstabs), and we can see that Democratic disapproval went from 85% to 90%. That’s not enough to boost his overall “disapprove” number from 44 to 51, and since we only have the “approve” number for Republicans for June and no data on independents, I surmise a small shift for Republicans from “neutral” to “disapprove” as well as an erosion in approve/disapprove numbers for the indies. The same is likely true for the other indicators. It’s a small shift, which as I said before is what we’re likely to see until either Republican support softens or indies completely abandon him, but it’s still a shift in the negative direction. As before, we should keep an eye on this. See the Texas Lyceum poll results from April for more.

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16 Comments

  1. neither here nor there says:

    Just goes to prove that for Republicans it is party over country.

  2. neither here nor there says:

    Not sure how valid the poll is but things are not looking bright for the Republican Party,

    http://www.msnbc.com/morning-joe/watch/gop-satisfaction-drops-17-percent-in-one-month-969072195784

    I expect like a snowball rolling downhill that it will get worse, much worse, it is time for the Democrats to think differently here in Harris County.

  3. Flypusher says:

    “… 66 percent saying Trump is honest and trustworthy …”

    I really want to know what kind of drugs these people are doing, given the number of untrue things he says is unprecedented even for politicians. The more reality based answer would be, yeah he’s a ton of bulls$&@ in a 5 pound bag, but he has an “R” next to his name, so we approve.

  4. C.L. says:

    Agree with NHNT. Both sides have decided to replace Country with party affiliation. Only way to stay in office or maintain party dominance.

  5. Bill Daniels says:

    Not a Pub, but personally, I’m very satisfied with Trump’s performance thus far. Do I think he is honest and trustworthy? No, not really, but he doesn’t lie any more than any other politician, and with respect to the campaign promises, he’s actually trying to fulfill them. In that respect, he’s more honest since any president since Reagan.

  6. Bill Daniels says:

    *than

  7. […] Bill Daniels on Texas Republicans still mostly like Trump […]

  8. neither here nor there says:

    Bill give me 10 campaign promises he is keeping. I know he is doing the one on “Illegals” and hating on Muslims, LGBT, and Abortions, but what about all the other promises.

    How is he doing on draining the swamp?

  9. Flypusher says:

    “Do I think he is honest and trustworthy? No, not really, but he doesn’t lie any more than any other politician, …”

    Bill, Bill, Bill, why you gotta insult everyone’s intelligence like that? The lies he tells are quantifiable, and the numbers show that he says things that are not true at almost 3x the rate of the standard politician. That’s just the quantity, but you have to also look at the “quality” to get how much of an honesty outlier he is. He tells bald-faced lies about things that are easily fact-checked, like Inauguration attendance. He makes serious, and unsubstantiated allegations, like Obama wire tapped him (intelligence agencies say bullshit), and there were millions of illegally cast votes (state and local election officials from both parties say bullshit). Don’t forget his role as head birther conspiracy cheerleader. His lies, both in number and level of egregiousness, are without precedent in modern politics.

    Do you notice he flip-flopped on immigration again, RE: DACA?

  10. Bill Daniels says:

    Just off the top of my hear:

    Gorsuch
    DAPL/KeystoneXL
    Rolling back job killing regulations, 2 for 1 reg swap…..delete two to add one.
    Deal to sell coal to China/new coal mine actually opening in US.
    Leave Paris accord
    Drop TPP
    Renegotiate NAFTA (in process)
    New jobs created with that “magic wand”

    I’m sure I’m leaving stuff out, and once we get a budget passed, there will be much more.

    The swamp draining is going slower than I would like, but we’ve seen leakers exposed, people like Comey fired, Sally Yates fired, etc……there are a lot of entrenched people in D.C. who aren’t working for the good of America, the good of Trump supporters, or even the good of Dems like you. They are in it for themselves and their special interests (which are not our interests), and they need to be ferreted out and kicked to the curb. Trump’s off to a slow start, but I have to believe he has a plan for this.

  11. Bill Daniels says:

    @Fly:

    Agree he lied about inauguration attendance, jury’s still out on whether he personally was tapped. Remember when Clapper lied and said that Americans were not under mass surveillance, only to be proved a liar by Snowden? Remember the “unmasking” scandal involving Susan Rice? Trump very well could have been tapped. I’ll agree that Trump overstated the number of bogus votes, but I believe there is vote fraud out there…..illegal aliens signed up to vote with “motor voter” laws, the dead voting via absentee ballots, etc. During Rick Perry’s term, illegals were able to get very valid TDL’s, and would have been able to sign up to vote with no problem. Even after that was stopped, those DL’s weren’t revoked, they were just allowed to expire naturally, and I don’t know if voter registrars were given the info to purge any unqualified voters added to the rolls via motor-voter here in Texas.

    As to the birther “matter,” that was political theater, although there was certainly some smoke to investigate there…..the SS# from the wrong state, the photoshopped appearance of the first BC presented, etc. Also, if we are holding Trump’s feet to the fire for not releasing the tax returns, then it was also proper to hold Obama’s feet to the fire for obfuscating most of his records, collegiate records included. Smoke is smoke, right?

  12. neither here nor there says:

    We had not approved TAP, so he did not leave technically, but while I was against NAFTA and TAP, jobs are not coming back that left.

    He has not created new jobs, the economy for a few more months belong to Obama, let us see where we are next year in the economy.

    Those two for one regulations have not accomplished anything of significance. it is all show, prove me wrong on that if you can.

    NAFTA time will tell, he already backed down once, let us see what if anything happens in the future.

    Leaving Paris Accord is no big deal, it will harm this country more than help only idiots and greedy people don’t know that.

    He didn’t promise Gorsuch, don’t give him credit for what McConnell did.

    I don’t see Keystone has laid any pipe, do you know where?

    Bragging about coal mines is not a good things, they can’t compete with our natural gas in price, that mine will create 79 jobs.

    Trump is a traitor who worked with the Russians to get elected. Anyone that supports him is supporting a traitor and by extension is not much better.

    I believe that about 20% of people that vote Republican in Texas are dead and voting. My belief is worth as much as your belief.

  13. Flypusher says:

    “Agree he lied about inauguration attendance, jury’s still out on whether he personally was tapped.”

    More likely the Russians were tapped, and some of Trump’s people got into that net indirectly. But Trump accused Obama of personally ordering tapping Trump Tower. Extrodinary claims require extraordinary proof. Put up or shut up (after the apology).

    ” I’ll agree that Trump overstated the number of bogus votes, but I believe there is vote fraud out there…..”

    3million is one hell of an “overstatement”. See above for extraordinary claims. As for voter fraud, sure there is some, but guess where the burden of proof is if you’re going to claim it’s that bad?

    “As to the birther “matter,” that was political theater, although there was certainly some smoke to investigate there…..the SS# from the wrong state, the photoshopped appearance of the first BC presented, etc. Also, if we are holding Trump’s feet to the fire for not releasing the tax returns, then it was also proper to hold Obama’s feet to the fire for obfuscating most of his records, collegiate records included. Smoke is smoke, right?”

    If there had been anything to the birth certificate matter, HRC’s people would have found it back in 2008. This is not to say the Clinton campaign started it (as some have accused) but rather damn straight they looked into it, because politics is a full contact down and dirty sport. The fact that it wasn’t a closed case as it should have been does not speak well for many GOPers.

    If I were making the rules, it would be mandatory for all candidates for public office to disclose tax returns and college transcripts (if applicable). But the former are far more important, because they have everything to do with disclosure of conflict of interest. I’ll admit it, I am royally PISSSED OFF that Trump is not disclosing or divesting and the suck ups in the Comgress are allowing that. I must disclose any COIs yearly. I’ve discussed in meetings whether postdocs and grad students are required to report that a vendor bought them lunch. Yet this corrupt scumbag and his grifter children are taking advantage of the Presidency to feather their nests, and the party that claims that it’s the most moral does nothing about it. I will not forget and I will not forgive the Trump enablers.

  14. Jason Hochman says:

    @Flypusher: COI is different in research vs. politics. There is nothing that shows Trump taking advantage of the presidency for personal gain. The Democrats need to come to terms with the unpopularity of their party and the candidate they nominated. They also need to realize that most voters are not so easily duped by them. When someone mentioned that Obama was known as “the deporter in chief” and had deported more people than ever before, the response was, “well he didn’t run for office stating that I hate you and I will deport you.” So, I guess empty promises and lip service are the new measure for the Democrats. I prefer honesty. If you harbor a prejudice, be honest about it. It is deeds, not words, which matter.

  15. […] Jason Hochman on Texas Republicans still mostly like Trump […]

  16. Flypusher says:

    “COI is different in research vs. politics. ”

    Yes, researchers are actually held to standards.

    “There is nothing that shows Trump taking advantage of the presidency for personal gain. ”

    Ivanka getting those trademarks in China fast tracked didn’t set off any alarms for you? Or you think it’s coincidence that the membership fees at Mar-a-Lago just doubled? You can’t exercise a little imagination and see the conflict of interest issues with a President owning a hotel in DC? That’s just the tip of the corruption iceberg.

    “The Democrats need to come to terms with the unpopularity of their party and the candidate they nominated. ”

    They got 3 million more votes, and Trump’s approval ratings are below 40%, so you’re in no place to lecture about unpopularity.

    “They also need to realize that most voters are not so easily duped by them. ”

    Right, they weren’t duped at all by buying into the notion that a billionaire born into wealth, with a decades long track record of stiffing workers, bullying employees, and committing fraud and discrimination was going to be the savior of the average Joe.

    “When someone mentioned that Obama was known as “the deporter in chief” and had deported more people than ever before, the response was, “well he didn’t run for office stating that I hate you and I will deport you.” So, I guess empty promises and lip service are the new measure for the Democrats. I prefer honesty. If you harbor a prejudice, be honest about it. It is deeds, not words, which matter.”

    Our immigration system as it stands is a farce, never meant to really be inforced, and taken advantage of for different sets of self-serving reasons by both parties. Until the hypocrisy of posting the “help wanted” sign next to the “no trespassing” sign is addressed, no real reform is going to happen.

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