Blake Farenthold
Republican Michael Cloud appears likely to win the special election to fill former U.S. Rep. Blake Farenthold’s seat, which would spare the GOP a runoff in the 27th District.
With 89 percent of precincts reporting, Cloud was leading Democrat Eric Holguin 54 percent to 32 percent, according to unofficial returns from the Texas secretary of state’s office. Cloud, a former chairman of the Victory County GOP, needs to finish above 50 percent in the nine-way race to avert a runoff later this summer.
The special election will determine who finishes Farenthold’s term, which ends in January. Both Cloud and Holguin are their party’s nominees in November for the full term that starts after that. The seven other candidates in the special election are Democrats Raul “Roy” Barrera and Mike Westergren, Republicans Bech Bruun and Marty Perez, independent candidates Judith Cutwright and Chris Suprun, and Libertarian Daniel Tinus.
Here are the election night returns. Farenthold won by a 61.7 to 38.3 margin in 2016. The three Dems in the special were at 39.6% as of when I drafted this. Like the HD13 special election, this one had little attention paid to it, so it’s hard to draw conclusions about the turnout. That said, Farenthold won 63.6 to 33.7 in 2014 (there was a Libertarian candidate that year), so Dems are at least a few points ahead of that. The upcoming SD19 election may tell us something more interesting, we’ll see. Congratulations to Rep.-elect Cloud, who will get a seniority advantage over the rest of the class of 2018 if he wins (as he will be favored to do) in 2018. Please be less embarrassing than your predecessor, that’s all I ask.
Percentage wide there was more enthusiasm on the Democratic side. That is based on percentage of primary voters this election compared to 2016 election.
Manny, I’m down in CCTX fairly regularly and it appears, to me at least, to be predominately Hispanic. Why then does Republicans appear to be consistently winning down there ? Is it a lack of Democratic voting ?
What we are consistently seeing. When dems put minimal effort into a seat they are getting about a 5-8 percent bump as compared to expected prty performance in a district. When they go all out they are generally getting anywhere between a 10-20 percent bump. This was a minimal effort attempt by dems.
I wouldn’t blame them for minimal effort in this particular snap election. But if they slack off the one in Nov., then shame on them.
10-20 would put TX-22 in play, which would be awesome.
C.L. appears, means what? Is it Hispanic? Tell me don’t come and spread lies, because that is what it is a lie. You don’t know if it is Hispanic.
Why do just a little research you have a computer or you would not be posting.
https://censusreporter.org/profiles/50000US4807-congressional-district-7-tx/
So quit being a rabbit.
Since you deal in lies, C.L. look at the fact that 30% are foreign born, they may be permanent residents, but not citizens or maybe paperless people. Those ain’t the white people, the fact is white people other than nude women models are not dying to come here.
Oops wrong district, same basic result
https://statisticalatlas.com/congressional-district/Texas/District-27/Race-and-Ethnicity
Notice all those Hispanics under 18, majority voters are white and the non-citizens still applies.
Deal with facts C.L. The racist governor and Legislature drew the Republican leaning districts.
This will give you some more ideas, C.L.
http://www.pewhispanic.org/interactives/mapping-the-latino-electorate-by-congressional-district/
The fact is that Trump and the Russian lovers have been engaged in manipulating public opinion for years.
https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2018/07/trumps-lies-are-winning-you-can-fight-back.html
and
https://video.salon.com/m/ZouvFMmp/obama-insider-fox-news-worse-under-trump
It is time to fight back using the same tactic they and you use
@Manny… you’re triggered way to easy, brother. I was asking a legitimate question that I did not know the answer to.
C.L. why not just do a little research, while I have researched that district I had read that it was heavily drawn for a Republican. Then I am sorry if it was a question.
But looking at the total votes, there were three Democrats running and two Republicans. The percentage by which R won was lower than what Farenthold had won by.
The Democrats did not have time to campaign otherwise they may have done better. Abbott endorsed Cloud https://www.gregabbott.com/governor-abbott-endorses-michael-cloud-congress-cd-27/
I received a request for donation a day before election, that is too late in campaign to do anything. If the voting age Hispanic is 43% than citizens are probably 50 to 60 percent of those voters. Look at the 29th here as an example.