Tag Archives: Beto O’Rourke

CD03 poll: Taylor 44, Seikaly 43

Posted on September 20, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

From Nate Cohn: If there’s any single competitive district you could look at on Election Night to know whether Texas went blue, this might be the pick — Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) 8:47 AM – 17 September 2020 All we get … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, CD03, CD06, CD25, Congress, DCCC, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Julie Oliver, Lulu Seikaly, Mitt Romney, polls, Stephen Daniel, Ted Cruz, Texas, Van Taylor | Comments Off

CD25: Williams 45, Oliver 43

Posted on September 17, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

The Congressional polls, they keep coming. Progressive Democratic candidate Julie Oliver is in a close race with her GOP incumbent opponent Rep. Roger Williams, a new internal poll finds. The poll of 400 likely voters by EMC Research shows Oliver … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD25, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Julie Oliver, polls, Roger Williams, Texas | 2 Comments

CD31 poll: Carter 43, Imam 37

Posted on September 14, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Another interesting Congressional race poll. With less than two months to go until Election Day, an increasing number of eyes are looking toward Texas, where Republicans are fighting to keep their grip on the once-reliably conservative state. There is perhaps … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, CD21, CD31, Chip Roy, Congress, DCCC, Donald Trump, Donna Imam, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Joe Kopser, John Carter, John Cornyn, Libertarian Party, Mitt Romney, MJ Hegar, polls, precinct analysis, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, Wendy Davis, Williamson County | 1 Comment

CD21 poll: Davis 48, Roy 47

Posted on September 13, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Second poll in this district. Between August 31 and September 4, Garin-Hart-Yang interviewed a representative sample of 401 likely general election voters in Texas-21st CD. The survey, which was conducted on both landlines and cell phones, was fully representative of … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD21, Chip Roy, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Joe Biden, Lamar Smith, polls, precinct analysis, Ted Cruz, Texas, Tom Wakely, Wendy Davis | 1 Comment

Another look at the County Commissioner race

Posted on September 11, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

It’s the most consequential local race on the ballot this year. Every four years since 1968, Harris County residents have been able to count on a Republican winning the Precinct 3 commissioner’s seat. In that half century, a parade of … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Commissioners Court, demography, Donald Trump, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Hillary Clinton, Michael Moore, redistricting, Steve Radack, Texas, Tom Ramsey, voter registration | 1 Comment

Why endorse Sarah Davis?

Posted on September 4, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

It’s a good question. Planned Parenthood’s Texas political arm on Thursday endorsed state Rep. Sarah Davis, rebuffing abortion rights activists who had lobbied the group to deny political support for the Houston Republican. The efforts to deny Davis the endorsement … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged abortion, Ann Johnson, Beto O'Rourke, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2018, Election 2020, Ellen Cohen, HD134, Human Rights Campaign, Medicaid, Planned Parenthood, Planned Parenthood Vote Texas, Sarah Davis, Speaker's race, Susan Collins, Texas, The Lege, women's health | 14 Comments

Poll: Michael Moore claims large lead in Commissioners Court race

Posted on September 2, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

From Keir Murray: Like Dallas County did over a decade ago, Harris County Commissioners Court poised to flip from 4-1 Republican to 4-1 Democrat in just two election cycles. @mmooretx strongly positioned to win Pct. 3. Trump trailing by 14 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Commissioners Court, Donald Trump, Ed Gonzalez, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Kim Ogg, Michael Moore, polls, precinct analysis, Texas, Tom Ramsey | 2 Comments

A very simple projection of the November vote

Posted on August 31, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

In my earlier post about the current state of voter registrations, I noted that you could see the county-by-county totals in the contest details for the Senate runoff. What that also means is that if you have current (till now, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Brooks County, Comal County, Culberson County, Dimmit County, Donald Trump, Duval County, Ector County, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Ellis County, Frio County, Harris County, Hillary Clinton, Jefferson County, Jim Hogg County, Jim Wells County, Joe Biden, Kaufman County, Kleberg County, La Salle County, Lubbock, Midland County, Mitt Romney, Montgomery County, Parker County, precinct analysis, President, Presidio County, Randall County, Reeves County, Rockwall County, Senate, Smith County, Starr County, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout, Val Verde County, voter registration, Willacy County, Zapata County, Zavala County | 4 Comments

DCCC expands the field in Texas again

Posted on August 28, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

This is as wide as it goes. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is adding three more districts to its Texas target list, expanding an already ambitious battlefield in the state. The new targets of the House Democratic campaign arm are … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Candace Valenzuela, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, CD32, Colin Allred, Congress, DCCC, Donald Trump, Donna Imam, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, Joe Biden, Julie Oliver, Lizzie FLetcher, Lulu Seikaly, Mike Siegel, polls, Sima Ladjevardian, Sri Kulkarni, Stephen Daniel, Texas, Wendy Davis | Comments Off

The state of the Democratic bench

Posted on August 25, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

It’s deeper now, and it could keep getting deeper after this year. The speaking turns may have been brief and the spotlight not as bright, but Texas Democrats got a glimpse at their national convention this week of their emerging … Continue reading →

Posted in Show Business for Ugly People | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD03, CD05, CD07, CD16, CD32, Colin Allred, Congress, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Joaquin Castro, Ken Paxton, Lance Gooden, Lina Hidalgo, Lizzie FLetcher, Senate, Sid Miller, Texas, The Lege, Van Taylor, Veronica Escobar, Victoria Neave, Wayne Christian | 5 Comments

As goes Tarrant, 2020 edition

Posted on August 23, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Hello, old friend. Shortly after Democrat Beto O’Rourke launched his campaign to unseat U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz in 2018, he made several visits to Tarrant County in North Texas to press the message that if he could flip this county, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Beverly Powell, CD06, CD24, Congress, demography, Donald Trump, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Joe Biden, Konni Burton, polls, President, redistricting, SD10, Senate, Tarrant County, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

Despite it all, voter registration keeps increasing

Posted on August 17, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

You love to see it. Not even the worst pandemic to hit Texas in a century was enough to stem the surge in voter registrations that has remade the state’s electorate over the past four years. Just since March, Texas … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Battleground Texas, Beto O'Rourke, Bexar County, Brazos County, Comal County, Congress, coronavirus, Dallas County, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Harris County Tax Assessor, Hays County, Jolt Initiative, Powered by People, President, Senate, Texas, The Lege, Travis County, turnout, voter registration, Williamson County | 3 Comments

Now we’re getting favorable State House polls

Posted on August 14, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

From the inbox: A recent poll of Texas House District 126, conducted for Democratic challenger Natali Hurtado’s campaign shows her essentially tied with Republican incumbent Sam Harless. The poll of 401 likely voters, conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner, showed Hurtado … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Angie Chen Button, Ann Johnson, Beto O'Rourke, Brandy Chambers, Celina Montoya, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, HD108, HD112, HD121, HD126, HD134, Hillary Clinton, Joanna Cattanach, Joe Biden, Morgan Meyer, Natali Hurtado, polls, Sam Harless, Sarah Davis, Steve Allison, Texas, The Lege | 4 Comments

CD24 poll: Valenzuela 47, Van Duyne 41

Posted on August 8, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

From the Twitters: Big #TX24 numbers in Morning Score this AM @candacefor24 leading @Bethvanduyne 48-41 @JoeBiden leading @realDonaldTrump 49-45 — Cole Leiter (@coleleiter) 6:41 AM – 6 August 2020 You can see the poll info here. The 48-41 and 49-45 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beth van Duyne, Beto O'Rourke, Candace Valenzuela, CD24, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Joe Biden, polls, Texas | 1 Comment

Hegar to get a boost

Posted on August 6, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Nice. The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee announced Tuesday that it will spend at least $1 million to help MJ Hegar in her challenge to U.S. Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas. The DSCC said it will be the first time the committee … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged advertising, Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, DSCC, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 15 Comments

Morning Consult: Biden 47, Trump 46

Posted on August 5, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Looks like maybe we’ll get a regular dose of these. Democrats enter the peak of the campaign season with advantages that make their path to regaining control of the Senate easier for strategists and handicappers to envision alongside a Joe … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 4 Comments

Checking in on CD21

Posted on July 29, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Thar’s the race where Wendy Davis is trying to unseat the mini-Ted Cruz known as Chip Roy, and the pundits are thinking she can do it. All signs are pointing toward a competitive race between incumbent conservative firebrand U.S. Rep. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, Chip Roy, Congress, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, polls, redistricting, Texas, voter registration, Wendy Davis | 1 Comment

CD03 poll: Taylor 43, Seikaly 37

Posted on July 25, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I expect we’ll see a fair amount of Congressional district polling this cycle. There is a single-digit race underway for Texas’ traditionally red 3rd Congressional District, according to a new poll from the new Democratic nominee’s campaign. The nominee, Lulu … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD21, CD32, Chip Roy, Colin Allred, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Joe Biden, Lizzie FLetcher, Lulu Seikaly, polls, President, Senate, Stephen Daniel, Texas, Wendy Davis | 2 Comments

A deeper dive into the Texas polls

Posted on July 24, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

From Decision Desk: Whenever there is a new poll of Texas released, there are a ton of hot takes on Twitter. Old believers of Texas as the great blue whale for the Democrats move to dismiss the poll, saying that … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 5 Comments

Quinnipiac: Biden 45, Trump 44

Posted on July 23, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Just another poll showing Joe Biden in the lead in Texas, though you have to scroll way down in the Quinnipiac press release to get to that. With Texas as one of the biggest hot spots in the coronavirus pandemic, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Mitt Romney, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 4 Comments

Going after Abbott

Posted on July 20, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Forward thinking is always good to see. Hoping to harness the opposition to Gov. Greg Abbott’s handling of the coronavirus, several Texas Democratic strategists are launching a new political group to defeat him in 2022. Their group, the Beat Abbott … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Beat Abbott PAC, Beto O'Rourke, Election 2022, Governor, Greg Abbott, Joaquin Castro, Julian Castro, Texas | 7 Comments

Dems could possibly win a lot of Congressional races in Texas

Posted on July 19, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

It started with this: what does a biden win in texas look like? here’s how a D+1 nailbiter might turn out, if we use 2016 and 2018 as a guide → (hint: biden would win 9 currently R-held districts and … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Candace Valenzuela, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, CD32, Colin Allred, Congress, Donald Trump, Donna Imam, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gina Ortiz Jones, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Julie Oliver, Lizzie FLetcher, Lulu Seikaly, Mike Siegel, polls, President, redistricting, Senate, Sima Ladjevardian, Sri Kulkarni, Stephen Daniel, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege, Wendy Davis | 7 Comments

A bullish take on the State House

Posted on July 8, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

From Mike Hailey of Capitol Inside: The wildly unpredictable coronavirus appears to be fueling a massive blue wave that sweeps the Democrats back into power in the Texas House of Representatives with President Donald Trump as their all-time greatest ally. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, Congress, DCCC, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, John Cornyn, Pete Flores, polls, Railroad Commission, SD19, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

PPP: Biden 48, Trump 46

Posted on July 4, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

And here’s poll number two, which is technically about the Texas Senate race but I’m counting it as a Presidential poll for consistency. Public Policy Polling’s newest Texas survey finds that John Cornyn has basically no profile in Texas. Only … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Royce West, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 2 Comments

Three runoff stories

Posted on July 3, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Just a sample from three high-profile and highly-contested Democratic primary runoff races. TX-SEN: MJ Hegar versus Royce West No two issues have impacted the Texas primary runoffs like the coronavirus pandemic and the protests surrounding George Floyd’s death, but as … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beth van Duyne, Beto O'Rourke, Candace Valenzuela, CD10, CD24, Congress, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, John Cornyn, Kenny Marchant, Kim Olson, Mike McCaul, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Pritash Gandhi, Royce West, runoff, Senate, Texas | 3 Comments

What should Joe Biden do in Texas?

Posted on June 30, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

“Win” would be my preferred answer, but it’s more complicated than that. No matter how frequently it happens, it’s always a bit startling. Ever since February 2019, polls have been coming out indicating that former Vice President Joe Biden is … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Ken Paxton, MJ Hegar, polls, President, redistricting, Royce West, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege | 11 Comments

Fox: Biden 45, Trump 44

Posted on June 27, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Man, if we keep getting polls that show Joe Biden leading in Texas, we just might have to rethink where this state is politically. Texas is a tossup, as Democrat Joe Biden tops President Donald Trump by a percentage point, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Democratic primary, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Royce West, runoff, Senate, Texas | 14 Comments

PPP/PT: Trump 48, Biden 46

Posted on June 24, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Time for another poll. Today, Progress Texas released statewide Texas voter poll results, showing Democrats are within striking distance in both the Presidential and U.S. Senate races in Texas. What does this mean? Texas voters are fed up with Texas … Continue reading →

Runoff reminder: County races

Posted on June 23, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Previously: Statewide, Congress, SBOE and State Senate, State House. There were a ton of contested county race primaries in Harris County, with all of the countywide offices except one HCDE position featuring at least three candidates. When the dust settled, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Beto O'Rourke, Bridgette Smith-Lawson, Chris Diaz, Commissioners Court, Constable, County Judge, Democratic primary, Diana Alexander, District Attorney, Election 2018, Election 2020, Eric Fagan, Fort Bend County, Geneane Hughes, Harris County, Israel Garcia, Jennifer Cantu, Jerry Garcia, Jose Garza, Justice of the Peace, Ken Jones, Lynette Reddix, Margaret Moore, Mark Alan Harrison, Michael Moore, Randy Newman, Richard Morrison, Rodney Ellis, Roel Garcia, runoff, Sheriff, Sherman Eagleton, Sonia Rash, Steve Radack, Texas, Travis County, Troy Nehls | 4 Comments

Runoff reminder: State House

Posted on June 21, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Previously: Statewide, Congress, SBOE and State Senate. There are seven Democratic primary runoffs for State House districts. Let’s have a look at what we’ve got. HD26 Located in Fort Bend County, HD26 is an open seat now held by Rep. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adam Milasincic, Akilah Bacy, Anna Eastman, Annie's List, Beto O'Rourke, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Election 2020, endorsements, Eric Johnson, Harold Dutton, HD100, HD119, HD138, HD142, HD148, HD26, HD67, Jasmine Crockett, Jenifer Pool, Jennifer Ramos, Jerry Davis, Jessica Farrar, Latino Victory Fund, Liz Campos, Lorenzo Sanchez, Lorraine Birabil, Natasha Ruiz, Penny Shaw, Roland Gutierrez, runoff, Sarah DeMerchant, Suleman Lalani, Texas, The Lege, Tom Adair | 3 Comments

Runoff reminder: SBOE and State Senate

Posted on June 15, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Previously: Statewide and Congress. SBOE Michelle Palmer was the leading candidate in the SBOE6 race, the only SBOE primary to go to a runoff, with 46.8% of the vote. Palmer has the backing of the Victory Fund, which supports LGBTQ … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Carlos Uresti, Ciro Rodriguez, Democratic primary, Eddie Lucio, Election 2018, Election 2020, Kimberly McLeod, Michelle Palmer, Pete Flores, Roland Gutierrez, runoff, Sara Stapleton-Barrera, SBOE, SD19, SD27, Senate, Texas, two thirds rule, Xochil Peña Rodriguez | 2 Comments

Runoff reminder: Congress

Posted on June 8, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Previously, we looked at the two statewide runoffs in the Democratic primary. Today we’re going to look at four Congressional primary runoffs. There are more than four total runoffs in Congressional primaries, but these are in the districts that are … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Candace Valenzuela, CD03, CD10, CD24, CD31, Christine Eady Mann, Congress, DCCC, Democratic primary, Donna Imam, Election 2018, Election 2020, Emily's List, fundraising, Kim Olson, Lulu Seikaly, Mike McCaul, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Pritash Gandhi, runoff, Sean McCaffity, Texas, Van Taylor | 1 Comment

UT/Trib: Trump 49, Biden 44

Posted on April 26, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Our first post-primary poll. Donald Trump would beat Joe Biden by five points in Texas if the presidential race were held now, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll. In a Trump-Biden contest, Democratic and Republican voters overwhelmingly … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Congress, Democratic primary, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Governor, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, polls, President, Senate, Texas, The Lege, Wendy Davis | 17 Comments

Chron overview of the CD02 primary

Posted on March 1, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Gonna be an interesting one. Near the end of a recent forum for the three Democrats looking to unseat U.S. Rep. Dan Crenshaw, a seemingly innocuous moment hinted at some friction between candidates Elisa Cardnell and Sima Ladjevardian. “At the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elisa Cardnell, endorsements, fundraising, Sima Ladjevardian, Ted Cruz, Texas, Travis Olsen | Comments Off

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