Tag Archives: Beto O’Rourke

UH Senate poll: Hegar leads, the rest scramble

Posted on February 26, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Day Two of the UH Hobby School of Public Affairs poll, and a second result showing that MJ Hegar is in a strong position to make the primary runoff for Senate. Hegar, a Round Rock Democrat who narrowly lost a … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Amanda Edwards, Annie Garcia, Beto O'Rourke, Chris Bell, Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez, Democratic primary, Election 2020, John Cornyn, Michael Cooper, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Royce West, runoff, Sema Hernandez, Senate, Texas | 2 Comments

What is “safe”?

Posted on February 26, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Saw this on Twitter, and it got me thinking: For those upset about critique of establishment politics: There are D reps in SAFE blue seats who side w/ the NRA, are anti-LGBT+, and yet are protected because they advance the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD28, Congress, Democratic primary, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Henry Cuellar, Hillary Clinton, Jessica Cisneros, Kirk Watson, precinct analysis, President, SD14, Senate, Texas | 2 Comments

UT/Trib: Two out of three polls say Bernie is moving up

Posted on February 15, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

This is Bernie Sanders’ best poll result in Texas so far. U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders has doubled his support among Democratic voters in Texas and now leads the race for that party’s presidential nomination in Texas, according to the latest … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Amy Klobuchar, Andrew Yang, Barack Obama, Bernie Sanders, Beto O'Rourke, Democratic primary, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2020, Elizabeth Warren, Joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg, Mitt Romney, Pete Buttigieg, polls, President, Texas | 4 Comments

Looking ahead in CD07

Posted on January 24, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

This story is primarily about the Republican primary in CD07. I don’t care about that race or those candidates, but there’s some good stuff at the end that I wanted to comment on. Since she’s taken office, some Houston Republicans … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD07, CD10, CD22, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Hillary Clinton, Jason Westin, John Culberson, Lizzie FLetcher, Mitt Romney, President, redistricting, Texas | 7 Comments

Beto PAC

Posted on December 28, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

In case you were wondering what he’s up to now. Weeks after dropping out of the presidential race, Beto O’Rourke has launched a new political group to boost Texas Democrats in the 2020 election. In an email to supporters Friday … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, campaign finance reform, campaign finances, Congress, Election 2020, fundraising, Powered by People, SCOTUS, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

Trib profile of Sima Ladjevardian

Posted on December 23, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

CD02 gets a boost in profile. In the final hours before the filing deadline on Dec. 9, Sima Ladjevardian arrived at the Harris County Democratic Party office in Houston to make a little bit of news: She was running for … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, DCCC, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elisa Cardnell, fundraising, Sima Ladjevardian, Texas, Todd Litton, Travis Olsen | 2 Comments

After-deadline filing review: The Lege

Posted on December 20, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Now we come to the State House, which is where most of the action will be in 2020. In 2018, much of the energy and focus was on Congressional races, to the point where some hand-wringing articles were written about … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Aimee Garza Lopez, Alisa Simmons, Angela Brewer, Anthony Lo, Becca DeFelice, Bell County, Beto O'Rourke, Bexar County, Bill Zedler, Brazos County, Candy Noble, Celina Montoya, Claire Barnett, Collin County, Craig Goldman, Dallas County, Dan Willis, Democratic primary, Denton County, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elizabeth Beck, Eric Holguin, HD106, HD108, HD121, HD122, HD14, HD149, HD32, HD54, HD64, HD65, HD66, HD67, HD84, HD89, HD92, HD93, HD94, HD96, HD97, Hillary Clinton, Hubert Vo, Janet Dudding, Jeff Leach, Jeff Whitfield, Jennifer Skidonenko, Joanna Cattanach, Jodie Laubenberg, Joe Drago, Joe Straus, John Frullo, John Gibson, Jonathan Cocks, Jonathan Stickland, Lampasas County, Likeithia Williams, Lorenzo Sanchez, Lubbock, Lydia Bean, Lyle Larson, Matt Krause, Matt Shaheen, Morgan Meyer, Nueces County, Raza Rahman, Rocio Hernandez, Sharon Hirsch, Shawn Terry, Steve Allison, Steve Riddell, Sugar Ray Ash, Tarrant County, Texas, The Lege, Todd Hunter, Tom Adair, Tom Ervin, Tony Tinderholt | 5 Comments

Trib overview of State House races

Posted on December 19, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Let’s get the 2020 State House conversation started. For the first time in years, Republicans and Democrats are acknowledging that the GOP could lose its grip on the Texas House — a turning point that would mark the state’s biggest … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Election 2018, Election 2020, Eric Holguin, HD28, HD32, John Zerwas, special election, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

Beto: Still not running for Senate

Posted on December 8, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

And as of Monday evening, we can stop talking about this. Beto O’Rourke is reiterating that he is not running for U.S. Senate next year as speculation swirls ahead of the Monday filing deadline. The former El Paso congressman has … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Amanda Edwards, Beto O'Rourke, Chris Bell, Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Election 2020, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Royce West, Sema Hernandez, Senate, Texas, The Lege | Comments Off

Beto boosts State House candidates

Posted on December 7, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Very nice. A month after ending his presidential campaign, Democrat Beto O’Rourke has turned his attention to state politics — namely, an effort to help flip the Texas House of Representatives from Republican control to the Democrats. With Texas Democrats … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Election 2018, Election 2020, HD134, HD138, HD26, HD28, HD29, President, Rick Miller, Senate, Texas, The Lege | 1 Comment

Beacon Research: Trump 45, Biden 44

Posted on December 4, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

That’s not the headline of this story, but it’s what I’m leading with. With just a week remaining before the deadline to run for office in Texas next year, some Democrats are still hoping to see Beto O’Rourke jump into … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Amanda Edwards, Beto O'Rourke, Chris Bell, Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elizabeth Warren, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Royce West, Sema Hernandez, Senate, Texas | 1 Comment

Our first Congressional race ratings

Posted on December 3, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

From Politico, here’s the early view of the state of Texas’ Congressional races in 2020. Lean Dem CD23 (Open, R) CD32 (Allred, D) Tossup CD07 (Fletcher, D) CD22 (Open, R) CD24 (Open, R) Lean GOP CD02 (Crenshaw, R) CD10 (McCaul, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD17, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, CD32, Chet Edwards, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elisa Cardnell, fundraising, Lizzie FLetcher, Pete Sessions, redistricting, Texas, Wendy Davis, Will Hurd | 7 Comments

The latest UT-Tyler poll

Posted on November 20, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

A slightly more Republican sample leads to slightly better numbers for Trump in Texas, though they’re still not great. Texas voters are split over whether President Donald Trump should be impeached, though only 43% of voters in the Lone Star … Continue reading →

Posted in The making of the President | Tagged Bernie Sanders, Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2020, impeachment, Joe Biden, Julian Castro, Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, polls, President, Texas | Comments Off

We should have a full statewide slate

Posted on November 17, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Nice. For Brandon Birmingham, a state district judge in Dallas, the 2020 race for Texas Court of Criminal Appeals started on election night 2018. As he watched Beto O’Rourke win more votes than any Texas Democrat ever had in a … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Amy Clark Meachum, Beto O'Rourke, Brandon Birmingham, Brandy Voss, Court of Criminal Appeals, Dan Wood, Democratic primary, Election 2002, Election 2008, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elizabeth Frizell, Gisela Triana, Glen Maxey, Jerry Zimmerer, judicial races, Kathy Cheng, Lawrence Praeger, Margaret Mirabal, Peter Kelly, Sam Houston, Staci Williams, Steve Miears, Supreme Court, Texas, Tina Clinton, William Demond | 1 Comment

Filing period preview: SBOE, Senate, House

Posted on November 13, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Previously: Congress, and Statewide. As before, I am using the Patrick Svitek spreadsheet as my primary reference. Buckle up, there’s a lot to talk about here. I’m going to limit my discussion of State House races to the greater Houston … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Akilah Bacy, Ann Johnson, Anna Eastman, Beto O'Rourke, Borris Miles, Briscoe Cain, Bryan Henry, Carol Alvarado, Cesar Blanco, Debby Kerner, Democratic primary, Dennis Bonnen, Eddie Lucio, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elizabeth Markowitz, filing deadline, Garnet Coleman, Griffin Winkleworth, Harold Dutton, HD03, HD126, HD127, HD128, HD129, HD130, HD131, HD133, HD134, HD138, HD147, HD148, HD15, HD150, HD16, HD18, HD23, HD24, HD25, HD26, HD27, HD28, HD29, HD85, Jay Stittleburg, Jose Rodriguez, Josh Markle, Josh Wallenstein, Lanny Bose, Margarita Johnson, Michelle Palmer, Natali Hurtado, Patrick Henry, Pete Flores, Richard Bonton, Rish Oberoi, Roland Gutierrez, Ron Reynolds, Ruben Cortez, Ruby Powers, Sara Stapleton-Barrera, Sarah DeMerchant, SBOE, SD04, SD06, SD11, SD13, SD19, SD27, Senate, special election, Suleman Lalani, Susan Criss, Texas, The Lege, Xochil Peña Rodriguez | 8 Comments

UT/Trib: Trump 46, others 39

Posted on November 5, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

It’s Election Day, so I’m going to be brief about this. None of the top Democrats seeking the presidential nomination would beat President Donald Trump in Texas in an election held today — and neither would either of the Texas … Continue reading →

Posted in The making of the President | Tagged Bernie Sanders, Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2020, Elizabeth Warren, Joe Biden, Julian Castro, polls, President, Texas | Comments Off

Beto ends his Presidential campaign

Posted on November 2, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

It was fun while it lasted. Beto O’Rourke is dropping out of the presidential race. The former El Paso congressman announced the decision Friday evening, ahead of a major Democratic gathering here in Iowa. “Though it is difficult to accept, … Continue reading →

Posted in The making of the President | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Governor, President, Senate, Texas | 1 Comment

In which I agree with Ted Cruz: Shame on the NBA

Posted on October 8, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

When he’s right, he’s right. Rockets General Manager Daryl Morey has the support of some lawmakers in D.C., even as the Rockets and NBA have apologized for his comments supporting pro-democracy protesters in Hong Kong. Morey over the weekend tweeted … Continue reading →

Posted in Other sports | Tagged basketball, Beto O'Rourke, China, Daryl Morey, Hong Kong, Houston, Julian Castro, NBA, Rockets, Ted Cruz | 6 Comments

Barohich not running again in SBOE6

Posted on October 5, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Another open seat. Texas State Board of Education chairwoman Donna Bahorich, who represents part of Harris County, announced Friday she will not seek reelection in 2020 as the District 6 representative. “I have 8 years of service on the board,” … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Dan Patrick, Debby Kerner, Democratic primary, Donna Bahorich, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Ken Mercer, Michelle Palmer, Mike Collier, SBOE, Texas | 5 Comments

Julián Castro will not be running for Senate, either

Posted on October 2, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

In case you were wondering. Julián Castro said Saturday at the Texas Tribune Festival that he would not seek the Democratic nomination to challenge U.S. Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, in 2020 even if he were to drop out of the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Democratic primary, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2028, Governor, Greg Abbott, Julian Castro, President, Senate, Texas | Comments Off

State Rep. Dwayne Bohac to retire

Posted on September 26, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Another open seat for the Republicans to defend. State Rep. Dwayne Bohac, R-Houston, announced Wednesday he is not seeking reelection. Bohac won reelection last year by just 47 votes, and his retirement gives Democrats a ripe pickup opportunity as they … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adam Milasincic, Akilah Bacy, Beto O'Rourke, Dwayne Bohac, Election 2018, Election 2020, HD138, HD60, Josh Wallenstein, Mike Lang, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

UT-Tyler: Trump still looks weak in Texas

Posted on September 22, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Two months later, there may be a story line to watch. Beto O’Rourke remains competitive against President Donald Trump in a Texas head-to-head matchup, according to a poll released Thursday by the Center for Opinion Research at the University of … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Bernie Sanders, Beto O'Rourke, Dan Patrick, Democratic primary, Donald Trump, Election 2020, Elizabeth Warren, Greg Abbott, gun control, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, polls, President, Texas | 2 Comments

Beto v Briscoe

Posted on September 19, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

I approve of this, with some small reservations. Presidential contender Beto O’Rourke is helping a fellow Democrat raise money to unseat the Texas Rep. Briscoe Cain, after the Republican lawmaker tweeted last week that his AR-15 is “ready” for O’Rourke. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Briscoe Cain, Election 2018, Election 2019, Election 2020, Elizabeth Markowitz, fundraising, HD128, HD28, Josh Markle, special election, Texas, The Lege | 5 Comments

The TDP 2020 plan

Posted on September 14, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Bring it on. The Texas Democratic Party is pulling back the curtain on its 2020 strategy ahead of the Houston presidential debate, releasing a plan to flip the state that targets 2.6 million potential Democratic voters who are not registered … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Battleground Texas, Beto O'Rourke, Election 2018, Election 2020, President, Senate, TDP, Texas, turnout, voter registration | 1 Comment

The Harris County GOP thinks it can come back in 2020

Posted on September 10, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

They’re so adorable. Once a rock of Republican politics in Texas, Harris County has become nothing short of a nightmare for the GOP over the last four years as Hillary Clinton and Beto O’Rourke carried the county and Democrats dominated … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2002, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, George Bush, Harris County, HCDP, Hillary Clinton, John Kerry, judicial races, Paul Simpson, President, Republican Party, straight ticket voting, Texas, turnout | 6 Comments

Five for fleeing

Posted on September 5, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

There goes another one. U.S. Rep. Bill Flores announced Wednesday morning that he would not run for reelection in 2020 — making him the fifth Texas Republican to announce his retirement from Congress. “Serving my country as the Representative of … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Bill Flores, CD11, CD17, CD22, CD23, CD24, Congress, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, HD14, Kenny Marchant, Mike Conaway, Pete Olson, Rick Kennedy, Texas, The Lege, Will Hurd | 2 Comments

McCaul’s hustle

Posted on September 4, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Turns out, running for re-election is hard work. Rep. Michael McCaul does not have to be here, at Carl’s BBQ on the side of a highway, in a wood-paneled backroom, seated at a bare table in front of a stuffed, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Bastrop County, Beto O'Rourke, CD10, Congress, Democratic primary, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Mike McCaul, Mike Siegel, Pritash Gandhi, Shannon Hutcheson, Tawana Cadien, Ted Cruz, Texas, Travis County, turnout, voter registration | Comments Off

A reminder about the local legislative races

Posted on September 1, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Let’s review the facts together. State Rep. Jon Rosenthal wasn’t supposed to win his Texas House seat last year. He was too much of a Democrat for the swath of northwest Harris County that had long elected Republicans. But in … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gina Calanni, HD126, HD129, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD138, Jon Rosenthal, precinct analysis, President, Sam Harless, Senate, Texas, The Lege | 5 Comments

Yet another story about suburbs shifting away from Republicans

Posted on August 31, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Collect the whole set! Texas is currently experiencing two trends that are favorable to Democrats: increasing urbanization, and big demographic shifts. The Texas Tribune recently reported that Hispanics are expected to become the largest demographic group in the state by 2022, with … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, demography, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Greg Abbott, Hillary Clinton, Justin Nelson, Lupe Valdez, Mitt Romney, polls, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout, voter registration | Comments Off

How many Congressional seats are really in play for Texas Dems?

Posted on August 30, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

By one measure, more than you probably think. From Jonathan Tilove of the Statesman: Last weekend, I read an interview in Salon with Rachel Bitecofer, a political scientist at Christopher Newport University in Newport News, Va. She is also an … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, Chip Roy, Dan Crenshaw, DCCC, demography, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elisa Cardnell, fundraising, James Talarico, John Carter, Julie Oliver, Kenny Marchant, Lorie Burch, Mike McCaul, Pete Olson, Rachel Bitecofer, Roger Williams, Ron Wright, Texas, Van Taylor, Will Hurd | 7 Comments

Our all-important metro areas

Posted on August 27, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Another look at the trouble Republicans face in Texas now. The key to Texas’ political future is whether it finally follows the geographic realignment that has transformed the politics of many other states over the past quarter century. Across the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Abilene, Amarillo, Beto O'Rourke, Bexar County, Brazoria County, College Station, Collin County, Comal County, Dallas County, Democratic primary, Denton County, Donald Trump, El Paso, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Fort Bend County, Guadalupe County, Harris County, Hays County, John Cornyn, Killeen, Lubbock, Midland, Montgomery County, Odessa, President, San Angelo, Senate, Tarrant County, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege, Travis County, turnout, voter registration, Waco | 3 Comments

The psychological shift

Posted on August 23, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

I have three things to say about this. [Democratic operative Jason] Stanford has a theory about how [Texas Democratic] angst started. He says it began with the 1996 U.S. Senate race in Texas. Democrats were recovering from losing two years … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Amanda Edwards, Beto O'Rourke, Chris Bell, Congress, Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez, Democratic primary, Donald Trump, Election 1996, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, President, Royce West, Senate, Texas, turnout | 4 Comments

Beto is still not running for Senate

Posted on August 18, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Sorry, y’all. Beto O’Rourke will return to the presidential campaign trail Thursday for the first time since the Aug. 3 massacre of 22 people at a Walmart in his hometown by a suspect who told police he was hunting “Mexicans” … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Democratic primary, El Paso, Election 2020, John Cornyn, polls, President, Senate, Texas | Comments Off

Once again with GOP anxiety

Posted on August 17, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

I recommend Xanax. Or, you know, marijuana. I’ve heard that’s good for anxiety. Republicans have long idealized Texas as a deep-red frontier state, home to rural conservatives who love President Donald Trump. But political turbulence in the sprawling suburbs and … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Census, Congress, demography, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Hillary Clinton, John Cornyn, Mitt Romney, President, Republican Party, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout, Will Hurd | Comments Off

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