According to the County Clerk’s daily early voting report, there were 5,126 in person early votes for the Democratic primary runoff, and 5,014 absentee ballots, for a total of 10,140. Based on 2008 runoff early voting patterns, I’d estimate final turnout at around 13,000; based on 2006 runoff early voting patterns, in which about 47% of votes were cast on Election Day, it’d be more like 19,000. I’ll take the under on that. On the Republican side, there were 14,767 in person early votes and 10,848 absentee ballots, for a total of 25,615. Again, based on 2008, I’d peg final turnout at around 39,000; based on 2006 returns, in which 29% of votes were cast on Election Day, it’d be about 36,000. On this one, I’ll take the over. Anyone want to guess if Jared Woodfill survives or not?
Polling locations for Tuesday are here. Be aware that only a very small number of locations will be open. Do not assume the place you usually vote is where you will vote on Tuesday. For comparison purposes, in 2006 there were 100 Democratic precinct voting locations on Runoff Day, and 54 Republican precinct locations. In 2008, it was 38 Democratic locations, and 126 Republican ones. If there is a district race runoff – HD146 and HD133 in 2006, CD22 in 2008 – there will be more locations; as there are Republican runoffs in HDs 127 and 149, there ought to be more locations on that side. But there still won’t be that many – on a normal Election Day, there are something like 750 locations available in Harris County. Save yourself some time and trouble and check to see where your precinct polling place is before you head out.
UPDATE: Fixed the GOP numbers. Thanks to Joe for noticing my error.
On the Republican side, there were 14,767 in person early votes and 10,848 absentee ballots, for a total of 15,615.
Kuff, I know you’re not partial to Dexters, but either those numbers are incorrect or you need to seriously revisit your addition skills. 😉