Running a little late on these – it’s been that kind of a week – but here are your Early Vote totals through Tuesday, Day 9, plus the 2009 spreadsheet, the 2007 daily EV report, and the Erik Vidor spreadsheet, and the familiar chart:
Type 2005 2007 2009 2011 ===================================== In Person 35,358 23,381 36,890 28,086 Absentee 2,554 4,970 6,078 6,243 Total 37,912 28,351 42,968 34,329 09 Pct 88.2% 66.0% 100% 79.9%
The key thing to note is that in 2009, early vote totals more than doubled from Monday (4022) to Tuesday (8493), then stayed at that higher level through Friday. In 2007, the total votes only grew a little from Monday to Wednesday (4356 to 4896), then took a small jump on Thursday (6132) before topping out at 10,885 on Friday. In 2005, they grew steadily and rapidly, with Thursday and Friday combining for nearly 33,000 votes. This year there were 4588 votes on Monday and 5650 on Tuesday, meaning we could be like 2007 at a slightly higher level or like 2009 with another step up. I’ll report on the Wednesday and Thursday totals when they come in, and will have final totals and predictions for turnout over the weekend. Have you revised your opinion of what this year’s electorate looks like, or are things progressing as you expected?