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Posts Tagged ‘Sam Houston’

Precinct analysis: A closer look at the Latino districts

Dec 5th, 2012
by Charles Kuffner.
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Here’s a more in-depth look at the Latino districts in Harris County. I’m particularly interested in the question of how President Obama did in comparison to the other Dems on the ballot, since as we know he lagged behind them in 2008, but we’ll see what else the data tells us. CD29 Votes Pct ======================== [...]

Precinct analysis: The range of possibility

Nov 29th, 2012
by Charles Kuffner.
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Here’s a look at selected districts in Harris County that shows the range of votes and vote percentages achieved by Democratic candidates. I’ve thrown in the Obama and Sam Houston results from 2008 for each to provide a comparison between how the district was predicted to perform and how it actually did perform. Without further [...]

A look at HD136

Sep 11th, 2012
by Charles Kuffner.
1 comment

The Statesman takes a look at the new State Rep. district in Williamson County. All county and state elected officeholders from Williamson County are Republicans. The party has long dominated the area. But Democrats are eyeing the new district as a potential weak spot in the Republican stronghold, counting it among a handful of districts [...]

Congressional map gets final approval

Jun 22nd, 2011
by Charles Kuffner.
10 comments

On to the Governor. The Republican-controlled Texas Senate approved a new congressional district map for the state Monday and sent it to Gov. Rick Perry for his approval. [...] The map was approved 19-12 along party lines and without debate. Democrats have complained the new map violates the federal Voting Rights Act by splitting Latino [...]

Are there any seats Dems could lose?

May 11th, 2011
by Charles Kuffner.
4 comments

I’m sure you’ve heard someone express the view that if there’s a silver lining for the Democrats after the 2010 election, it’s that their decimated caucus offers no real targets for the Republicans to aim for. The Rs weren’t completely powerless in that regard, as their choosing to round down Harris County to 24 seats [...]

New map, new opportunities: Harris County

May 10th, 2011
by Charles Kuffner.
2 comments

For our last stop on this tour we look at Harris County, which provided several pickup opportunities for Democrats last decade. How will they fare this time around? Republicans started the last decade with a 14-11 advantage – they intended it to be 15-10 after drawing Scott Hochberg out of his seat, but he moved [...]

New map, new opportunities: The Metroplex

May 9th, 2011
by Charles Kuffner.
4 comments

Dallas and Tarrant Counties will each have eight districts drawn to elect Republicans in them. For this entry, I’m going to look at each of these districts. First up is Tarrant County, which gains a district (HD101) for a total of eleven. HD101 was drawn to elect a Democrat – Barack Obama received 61.59% of [...]

New map, new opportunities: Outside the urban areas, part 2

May 4th, 2011
by Charles Kuffner.
2 comments

More districts to look at for Democratic opportunities outside of the traditional urban areas. District: 45 Incumbent: Jason Isaacs (first elected in 2010) Counties: Blanco, Hays Best 2008 Dem performance: Barack Obama, 46.78% Patrick Rose won this district in 2002, the only Democratic takeover of an existing Republican seat that year. Like many other Democratic [...]

New map, new opportunities: Outside the urban areas, part 1

May 3rd, 2011
by Charles Kuffner.
9 comments

Here’s the first post in my series of analyses of the new districts. I’m using 2008 electoral data, since the next election is a Presidential year, and I feel confident that the districts were drawn with an eye strongly towards protecting Republican gains in such a year. Without further ado, here we go. District: 12 [...]

Population and voting trends: 2004 and 2008 judicial elections

Apr 1st, 2010
by Charles Kuffner.
2 comments

So we’ve seen how county returns changed in the Presidential election between 2004 and 2008. Obviously, there are many factors that can affect a Presidential election, even when there’s not really an active campaign going on in the state. How do things look at the judicial level, which is probably a closer reflection of party [...]

More names surfacing for statewide runs

Aug 11th, 2009
by Charles Kuffner.
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Via Greg, it appears that Smokey Joe Barton may want to party like it’s 1993. No one seems to be mentioning U.S. Rep. Joe Barton, R-Arlington, as a candidate to replace outgoing Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison, R-Texas. Turns out that Barton — who came in third in the 1993 special election that Hutchison won in [...]

How about that CCA’s reputation for fairness?

Jun 14th, 2009
by Charles Kuffner.
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This is just precious. The longest serving Judge on the Texas Court of Criminal Appeals, Lawrence “Larry” Meyers, has announced he is seeking re-election in 2010. The Court has been called a national laughingstock by one of its other members because of the actions of Sharon Keller and that was years before Keller made it [...]