Category Archives: Election 2012

Will Kay Granger get KO’ed?

Posted on November 17, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Rep. Henry Cuellar isn’t the only longtime Texas Congressperson facing a serious primary challenge. It’s the question on the minds of Republicans from Washington to Cowtown: Is one of Texas’ most powerful U.S. House members in political trouble? Enough people … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Yet another wacky poll about Latino voting in Texas

Posted on August 6, 2013 by Charles Kuffner

Just when I thought I was out…they pull me back in. Sen. Ted Cruz lost the Hispanic vote in Texas by about 20 percentage points, but out-performed GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney, according to post-2012 election polling shared with the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

PAC Plus polls Latinos in Texas

Posted on May 21, 2013 by Charles Kuffner

BOR reported last week on a poll of Texas Latinos conducted by PAC Plus. They zeroed in on the questions that had to do with Latinos’ impressions of Republicans and Democrats. For the survey PAC+ interviewed 2,685 randomly selected registered … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: Congressional overs and unders

Posted on March 4, 2013 by Charles Kuffner

To wrap up my look at 2012 versus 2008 results for all the new districts, here’s how the 36 Congressional districts compared. Dist McCain Pct Obama08 Pct Romney Pct Obama12 Pct RIdx DIdx ============================================================================== 01 178,520 68.85% 78,918 30.44% 181,833 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 10 Comments

On Latinos not winning Latino Congressional districts

Posted on February 26, 2013 by Charles Kuffner

I have a problem with this analysis by Nathan Gonzales, at least as it pertains to the three Texas districts included. Even though a record number of Latinos are serving in the 113th Congress, Hispanic candidates are significantly underperforming in … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: Comparing 2012 and 2008, Senate and SBOE edition

Posted on February 25, 2013 by Charles Kuffner

To follow up on my previous examination of how the 2012 election returns looked in State House districts compared to the 2008 returns, I now have the data to look at other types of districts as well. You can find … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

Precinct analysis: Comparing 2012 and 2008

Posted on February 12, 2013 by Charles Kuffner

Though the data isn’t yet posted on individual members’ webpages, I have gotten a copy of the 2012 election results by State Rep district, for which there was much rejoicing. The first question of interest is how much the 2008 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Precinct analysis: Third parties revisited

Posted on January 3, 2013 by Charles Kuffner

Politico has a question. Is Austin’s Travis County the nation’s Libertarian Party stronghold? The co-founders of a Libertarian political action committee based there make that case, arguing that the Texas locale is the “most Libertarian large county in America.” Wes … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: A closer look at the Latino districts

Posted on December 5, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

Here’s a more in-depth look at the Latino districts in Harris County. I’m particularly interested in the question of how President Obama did in comparison to the other Dems on the ballot, since as we know he lagged behind them … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments Off on Precinct analysis: A closer look at the Latino districts

Getting out the vote in Bexar County

Posted on December 3, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

Stace pointed me to this Express News story about the Bexar County Democratic Party’s ground game for the November election. Many factors influence the outcome of an election, and precise analysis is not always available. But putting $600,000 into a … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: The range of possibility

Posted on November 29, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

Here’s a look at selected districts in Harris County that shows the range of votes and vote percentages achieved by Democratic candidates. I’ve thrown in the Obama and Sam Houston results from 2008 for each to provide a comparison between … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: City propositions

Posted on November 28, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

And we come to the city of Houston bond referenda, of which there were five on the ballot. Here’s the usual breakdown of them: Dist A Yes A No B Yes B No C Yes C No D Yes D … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

We should expect boring Congressional races for the foreseeable future

Posted on November 28, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

That’s my takeaway after reading this. For Pete Sessions, election night ended with yet another resounding send-off to Washington. He won a ninth term, with 58 percent of the vote. But an analysis by The Dallas Morning News raises questions … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments Off on We should expect boring Congressional races for the foreseeable future

Precinct analysis: HISD and HCC

Posted on November 27, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

I was reasonably confident that the HISD bond referendum would be successful, mostly because there wasn’t any real opposition from officials or constituencies that would normally be expected to support it. It had a much smoother path than the 2007 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Comments Off on Precinct analysis: HISD and HCC

Precinct analysis: Metro

Posted on November 26, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

The first rule of precinct analysis, at least as I do it, is that you really can’t learn much by doing it on lopsided elections. The Metro referendum, which passed with 78% of the vote, is Exhibit A of this … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Precinct data: County Commissioner precincts

Posted on November 20, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

I wish they called County Commissioner precincts by some other name, because it’s confusing to refer to them as such when one is discussing canvass data, which is data from the thousand-plus voting precincts in Harris County. But that’s the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | 9 Comments

Precinct analysis: City and county

Posted on November 19, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

If you know a little something about Excel (or in my case, OpenOffice Calc, which has the same basic functionality), it’s fairly straightforward to calculate the vote totals and percentages for various candidates in various county, state, or federal districts. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Precinct analysis: Sadler v Noriega and Sadler v Obama

Posted on November 16, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

Day Two of precinct analysis, in which we take a look at the Senate results. As I did with the Presidential results, I’m going to compare the candidates from this year to the candidates from 2008. Dist Cruz Sadler Cornyn … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: Obama v Obama

Posted on November 15, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

So as mentioned before I now have a draft canvass for Harris County. There’s a lot of data to go through, and I’ll probably publish most of what I find after the holiday. One thing I’d like to share for … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments

The third parties

Posted on November 14, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

While I work my way through the precinct data in Harris County, we can keep looking at the county data for Texas from last week’s election. Here are the top and bottom ten counties by percentage of the vote for … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Comments Off on The third parties

Garcia and Alvarado and everyone they know

Posted on November 14, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

It’s not just Sylvia Garcia versus Carol Alvarado to succeed the late Sen. Mario Gallegos in SD06. It’s also everyone else that’s getting involved in the race. Alvarado’s chief rival for the Senate seat is expected to be former Harris … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 7 Comments

Did Ted Cruz do better in Latino areas than other Republicans?

Posted on November 13, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

Lisa Falkenberg drops the following tidbit in her post-election column on why the GOP in general and in Texas needs to figure out how to appeal to Latino voters. In Texas, the best data so far show a 70-30 split … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

And now a word from the HCDP

Posted on November 13, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

Note: The following is a guest post written by Michael Kolenc A week has come and gone since the election, and while we still wait for the provisional ballots to be counted, we can say that the 2012 elections gave … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Comments Off on And now a word from the HCDP

How Latinos voted in Texas

Posted on November 12, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

Latino Decisions publishes its poll of Latino voters on the eve of Election Day. Gary Segura and Matt Barreto of Latino Decisions webinar presentation today focused on the key insights generated from the ImpreMedia-Latino Decisions Election Eve Poll. The survey … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , | 8 Comments

It’s official: Sylvia vs Carol for SD06

Posted on November 10, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

It’s on. Houston community advocate and longtime public servant Sylvia Garcia announced today she will run in the coming special election to represent Texas Senate District 6. “I’ve been fighting for our community and our families for years in Houston … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , | Comments Off on It’s official: Sylvia vs Carol for SD06

Not a surprise that the bonds passed

Posted on November 9, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

All of the bond issues on the ballot this year had favorable conditions working for them, so their ultimate passage should not be a surprise. The dire warnings of crippling debt, the long presidential campaign conversation about the limits of … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments

First pass at analyzing the 2012 results

Posted on November 8, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

This is kind of a brain dump, based on the information available now. I’ll have plenty more to say once precinct data has been released. – The current tally in the Presidential race on the Secretary of State webpage, with … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 7 Comments

Succeeding Sen. Gallegos

Posted on November 8, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

With the posthumous victory by Sen. Mario Gallegos, there is still one unsettled matter for 2012 in Texas. Mario Gallegos, one of the Texas Senate’s most reliable liberals until his death last month, scored a final win Tuesday, easily defeating … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

2012 election results

Posted on November 7, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

As I type this there are still a number of unsettled races in Texas, so things may change between now and tomorrow morning after we’ve all had an insufficient night’s sleep. But here’s how they stand at this time, and … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 12 Comments

What I’ll be looking for tonight

Posted on November 6, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

Just a reminder that I’ll be on KPFT tonight starting at 7 PM to talk about the elections. Here’s a preview of the things I’ll be looking for: 1. SD10 – Sen. Wendy Davis vs Mark Shelton: Easily the most … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments Off on What I’ll be looking for tonight

Today’s the day

Posted on November 6, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

At long last, the death march known as Election 2012 will come to an end today, at which time we can begin gearing up for the next elections in 2013, 2014, and 2016, as well as dreading what the Legislature … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

We know the potential, but what’s the plan?

Posted on November 6, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

I trust we’re all familiar with the basic points that Eva Longoria and Gilberto Hinojosa make in Politico about Texas’ potential to become a swing state, perhaps by 2016. There’s nothing that Nate Silver didn’t address, and I could just … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

Endorsement watch: Various miscellaneous

Posted on November 5, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

Just a brief roundup of various endorsements that have come to my attention lately. No particular theme to them, just what I’ve seen in the past few days. – The Environmental Defense Fund has endorsed the HISD bond referendum. The … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments Off on Endorsement watch: Various miscellaneous

Final EV totals

Posted on November 4, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

Early voting was up from 2008, but not quite as much as the initial hype might have led to you think. By the time early voting in Texas ended Friday night, an estimated two-thirds of those expected to cast a … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , , , , , | 4 Comments