Agave Democratic Infrastructure Fund analysis of the 2024 election

From the inbox:

The Agave Democratic Infrastructure Fund—a political action committee that is building and improving infrastructure to create conditions under which Democrats can win in Texas—released its preliminary breakdown of the 2024 election results. The data analysis, conducted in partnership with Bluebonnet Data, revealed key insights about the November election. Texas experienced a shift towards Republicans, driven in part by both a rightward move among Hispanic voters and what appears (in the data we currently have) to be low Democratic turnout. However, Democratic Senate candidate Colin Allred outperformed Kamala Harris, and Texas performed largely in line with its demographics when compared to national trends affecting Democratic vote share.

Top Takeaways:

  1. Hispanic voters were the demographic group that saw the largest shift to the right

  2. It’s likely that registered Democrats voted at lower rates than registered Republicans

  3. Regionally, West Texas and the Rio Grande Valley shifted right the most, but Houston and Dallas-Fort Worth (along with the Rio Grande Valley ) lost the most raw Democratic votes

  4. Ex-Rep. Colin Allred overperformed Vice President Kamala Harris significantly in the Rio Grande Valley and slightly in urban and suburban areas

  5. Despite large losses, Texas performed in line with national trends relative to its demographics

It’s a long and detailed analysis, so go read the rest. I’ve written about the Agave Fund before, but I hadn’t thought about them since then until their press release hit my inbox. I came to similar conclusions about Harris County, they looked at all of the state. It’s still the case that we need to be talking to the people who voted for us in 2020 and then didn’t show up last year as a first priority.

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2 Responses to Agave Democratic Infrastructure Fund analysis of the 2024 election

  1. wolfie says:

    NADA

    Nothing about the family-friendly and kids-rich immigration policy protests in Montrose and Herman Park on Sunday?

    Unlike past protests, this was very festive. And loud. Music competing with state trooper sirons. There were some homemade F-Trump placards, to be sure, but isn’t that what the First Amendment is for?

    Por lo menos LA RAZA hace algo. Listo para salir a la calle.

    The multitudes that do mostly manual labor but can’t vote have voices too, not to mention a huge economic impact. The turnout Sunday evening was impressive.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/La_Raza

  2. C.L. says:

    Wolfie, unfortunately until the individual has the power to vote in federal elections (achieved after going through the proper channels and process), all they’re going to have is a voice… and voices and personal/local expenditures on essentials don’t win elections, votes do.

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