Will McCain/Feingold be the end of political blogging as we know it? FEC Commissioner Bradley Smith says yes. This guy says no. Me, I’m unsure. Any lawyers want to wade in here? Seems to me that the naysayer has a pretty good case when he says that “the smallest drop of knowledge about First Amendment law would tell you that such an interpretation has probably one of the steepest climbs in all of jurisprudence”. Awaiting further enlightenment…
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Polling Texas 2020
UT/Trib, Apr 25: Trump 49, Biden 44
DT/PPP, Apr 29: Biden 47, Trump 46
UT-Tyler/DMN, May 3: Trump 43, Biden 43
Emerson, May 13: Trump 47, Biden 41
Quinnipiac, June 3: Trump 44, Biden 43
PPP, June 5: Trump 48, Biden 48
PPP/PT, June 23: Trump 48, Biden 46
Fox, June 25: Biden 45, Trump 44
UT/Trib, July 2: Trump 48, Biden 44
PPP/Emily’s List, July 2: Biden 48, Trump 46
UT-Tyler/DMN, July 12: Biden 48, Trump 43
CBSNews, July 12: Trump 46, Biden 45
Quinnipiac, July 22: Biden 45, Trump 44
Morning Consult, July 28: Biden 47, Trump 45
Morning Consult, August 3: Biden 47, Trump 46
Polling Texas 2018
WPA, Jan 5: Cruz 52, O'Rourke 34
PPP, Jan 27: Cruz 45, O'Rourke 37
Quinnipiac, April 19: Cruz 47, O'Rourke 44
Quinnipiac, May 31: Cruz 50, O'Rourke 39
PPP, June 8: Cruz 48, O'Rourke 42
GQR, June 16: Cruz 49, O'Rourke 43
CBS/YouGov, June 24: Cruz 44, O'Rourke 36
UT/Trib, June 25: Cruz 41, O'Rourke 36
Gravis, July 10: Cruz 51, O'Rourke 42
Lyceum, July 31: Cruz 41, O'Rourke 39
Quinnipiac, July 31: Cruz 49, O'Rourke 43
PPP, August 2: Cruz 46, O'Rourke 42
NBC News, August 23: Cruz 49, O'Rourke 45
ECPS, August 27: Cruz 38, O'Rourke 37
Crosswinds, September 12: Cruz 47, O'Rourke 44
Quinnipiac, September 18 (LV): Cruz 54, O'Rourke 45
Ipsos, September 19 (LV): O'Rourke 47, Cruz 45Polling Texas 2016
Beatty, Jun 22: Trump 37, Clinton 30
UT/TTP, Jun 27: Trump 41, Clinton 33
KTVT/Dixie, Aug 11: Trump 46, Clinton 35
PPP, Aug 16: Trump 44, Clinton 38
WaPo-SurveyMonkey, Sep 6: Clinton 46, Trump 45
ECPS, Sep 14: Trump 42, Clinton 36
Texas Lyceum, Sep 15: Trump 39, Clinton 32
YouGov, Oct 3: Trump 50,1, Clinton 41.5
KTVT/Dixie, Oct 5: Trump 45, Clinton 38
WFAA/SurveyUSA, Oct 14: Trump 47, Clinton 43
UH Hobby Center, Oct 17: Trump 41, Clinton 38
WaPo/SurveyMonkey, Oct 17: Trump 48, Clinton 46
CBS/YouGov, Oct 23: Trump 46, Clinton 43
Crosswind/Statesman, Oct 27: Trump 45, Clinton 38
UT/TT, Oct 27: Trump 45, Clinton 42
KTVT/Dixie Strategies, Nov 2: Trump 52, Clinton 39
NBC/WSJ/Marist, Nov 3: Trump 49, Clinton 40
ECPS, Nov 3: Trump 49, Clinton 34
YouGov, Nov 5: Trump 50.3, Clinton 42.4Polling Texas 2014
UT/TT, Nov 2013: Abbott 40, Davis 35, Glass 5
PPP, Nov 2013: Abbott 50, Davis 35
UT/TT, Feb 2014: Abbott 47, Davis 36
ECPS, Mar 2014: Abbott 49, Davis 42
Rasmussen, Mar 2014: Abbott 53, Davis 41
PPP, Apr 2014: Abbott 51, Davis 37
UT/TT, June 2014:Abbott 44, Davis 32
YouGov, July 2014: Abbott 50, Davis 34
Rasmussen, Aug 2014: Abbott 48, Davis 40
YouGov, Sep 2014: Abbott 56, Davis 38
Lyceum, Oct 2014: Abbott 49, Davis 40
Rasmussen, Oct 2014: Abbott 51, Davis 40
KHOU, Oct 2014: Abbott 47, Davis 32
UT/TT, Oct 2014: Abbott 54, Davis 38
YouGov, Oct 2014: Abbott 57, Davis 37Polling Texas 2012
PPP April 26: Romney 50, Obama 43
UT/TT May 22: Romney 46, Obama 38 (RV) - Romney 55, Obama 35 (LV)
WPAOR Sep 13: Romney 55, Obama 40
YouGov Sep 24: Romney 52, Obama 41
Lyceum Oct 2: Romney 58, Obama 39
YouGov Oct 17: Romney 55, Obama 41
UT/TT Oct 29: Romney 55, Obama 39
Baselice Oct 30: Romney 54, Obama 38
YouGov Nov 3: Romney 57, Obama 38-
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Polling Texas 2016
Beatty, Jun 22: Trump 37, Clinton 30
UT/TTP, Jun 27: Trump 41, Clinton 33
KTVT/Dixie, Aug 11: Trump 46, Clinton 35
PPP, Aug 16: Trump 44, Clinton 38
WaPo-SurveyMonkey, Sep 6: Clinton 46, Trump 45
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Polling Texas 2014
UT/TT, Nov 2013: Abbott 40, Davis 35, Glass 5
PPP, Nov 2013: Abbott 50, Davis 35
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Polling Texas 2012
PPP April 26: Romney 50, Obama 43
UT/TT May 22: Romney 46, Obama 38 (RV) - Romney 55, Obama 35 (LV)
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Utilities
Will McCain/Feingold then also be the end of right-wing talk radio? Can you tell me Rush has never coordinated his attacks with the bushies?
So let me get this straight.
Fox News and talk radio can run 24-hour a day de facto campaign commercials for Bush and that’s fine because they are the “press”.
But if a blogger copies and pastes a campaign news release from a candidate it is considered and in-kind contribution and needs to be accounted for? And better yet, what if the blogger is posting from an offshore account or offshore server. Is that an illegal foreign campaign contribution?
I can’t answer the legal question but I frankly can’t imagine how they could ever make that sort of nonsence stick. The web just can’t be regulated in that way. Sounds sort of like the hapless Chinese internet regulators who try to regulate content. It still slips through anyway.
I disagree with those who think it would changing blogging though. It wouldn’t. It would just show how clueless the FEC is and how absolutely toothless their nonsense is. There’s no possible way that the FEC with it’s limited staff could ever keep track of even 0.001% of the web.
Charles,
I am a lawyer. I don’t think there’s anything to it–political speech is incredibly protected in this country. Not only that but it is Smith can try to stop this by swaying the FEC his way. All of the sudden he’s claiming he’s powerless to stop this. Right.
Note I will be researching this a bit in the next few days to find out what the legal positions are in the case and why the vote went the way it did. Its my sneaking suspicion that the grounds that the Republicans were going to use to appeal were ones which would set up the whole speech=money argument to open the door to striking down most of McCain-Feingold. That would explain the Democratic votes on the issue.
I’m not a lawyer, but I can tell you Kuff that there would be substantial time to react to any real threat. The Federal Election Commission will have to put together a rule and then issue a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (NPRM) soliciting notice and comments, at the very least.
Moreover, since there are clear First Amendment issues, I would imagine that an attempt to use mere notice-and-comment rulemaking would result in a lawsuit.
In other words, this will be tied up in bureaucratic and legal red-tape for months, if not years.
And of course, there is no “plan” yet. I’m not worried for the immediate future.
So…are you asking for some common sense or a lawyers opinion?
I’m not a lawyer, but the rest of my immediate family is. And if anyone were to try to restrict my free speech rights, I would sue. And win.
I Owe Everything to Matt Curtis.
Sure, Matt Curtis is famous. His picture is even posted on websites in this city. But Matt Curtis is my friend right now because he brought me a cup of coffee. I am totally bribed. I mean, seriously, I was…
This will fall apart once people start trying to draft rules for how much your in-kind donation of a link is worth on your FEC disclosure. A less-well-known blog’s link will be worth less than a major blog’s link. This will be a nightmare for the bueracracy, which will, by the way, make it an easy target for civil disobedience campaigns to get the regulation changed. 🙂
There was an article in today’s NYT about the Chinese Internet Police and their attempts to control the internet. Apparently China has over 50,000 full-time internet police (censors) and they are still losing the battle. There are growing calls to just abandon the futile attempt to control content.
In my mind, attempts to REGULATE and TRACK content in some misguided attempt to correlate political discourse with campaign contributions would be even more difficult than simply blocking content in the manner that the Chinese do. Blocking content is a relatively crude approach. Evaluating content and assigning it a monetary value would be ridiculously difficult and ultimately arbitrary. And the FEC would need an even larger staff than the 50,000 internet police in China to do the job.
Take this site for example. Presumably a front page link in the sidebar would be worth more than a link created by a reader in the comments section. How to distinguish between the two? Who is going to be in charge of counting the links that site readers put up inside the comment sections?
What about scornful links. What if I put up a link to the RNC or the Jeb Bush 2008 campaign saying: Look at this idiot, what a pathetic web site, what a bunch of liars” Would the RNC get charged against their spending limits for that sort of link?
The whole thing is just too ridiculous for words.