Fresh from Sunday night: Final EV totals from 2018 are here and from 2014 are here. The Day Seven totals for 2022 are here.
Year Mail Early Total
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2014 57,546 137,137 194,683
2018 77,347 429,009 506,356
2022 44,163 354,100 398,263
Saturday’s in person total of 41K was surprisingly low, while Sunday’s 25K was much more in line with expectations. Because Saturday in 2018 was much busier, the 2022 pace has fallen off a bit, though the in person total is still about 82.5% of what it was four years ago. The early vote for 2022 after seven days has now exceeded the entire early vote from 2014. An average of about 59K per day for this week, not much higher than the average for the first seven days, would make the 2022 early total be greater than the final turnout for all of 2014. Obviously, we want to aim much higher than that, and we have many more voters now than we did eight years ago – and also four years ago. We’ll see what this week holds. Have you voted yet?
All i will say is that the vast majority of republicans only vote on election day and democrats usually mostly vote during early voting periods. If the democrat vote is down this much when they amassed so many voters in 2020 this is very telling that there will be a red wave across the entire state. This is especially if you consider the primary voting numbers how there were almost one million more republican voters in texas this march.