Week Two is where the action really begins, though usually you don’t see the first hint of it until Wednesday. Let’s check the board:
Year Mail Early Total
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2012 6,295 13,763 18,058
2016 10,180 28,367 38,547
2020 16,651 44,349 61,000
2024 9,281 40,016 49,297
2012 13,339 28,411 41,750
2016 14,681 40,537 55,218
2020 18,949 39,216 58,165
2024 4,291 48,728 53,019
As a reminder, Dem totals are on top, Republican ones on the bottom. Here are the Day Seven totals for this year, and here are the final totals from 2012, 2016, and 2020.
Republicans had a slightly better day than Democrats but they’re still within shouting distance of each other. Dems also still have about 16K mail ballots that haven’t been returned yet. Republicans have returned about half of their mail ballots so only have about 4K more to go. That could help make up some of the difference.
Here’s the Derek Ryan report, which runs through the weekend. Through Sunday, 521,000 people have voted in the Republican Primary (2.9% of all registered voters), and 257,000 people have voted in the Democratic Primary (1.4% of all registered voters). Out of curiosity, I went back to my six day report and calculated that as of the weekend, Harris County was responsible for about 15.1% of all Democratic primary votes statewide, and 8.4% of all Republican votes. That’s more or less in line with recent figures for Dems, and a furtherance of the decline for Republicans. I don’t know if that means anything, I’m just noting it for the record.
I feel like I saw more “I voted” posts on Facebook yesterday among my friends than on previous days. Have you voted yet? If not, when?
Quick question – do we have 2022 data?
Yes, I have that. Here’s my post on the final EV tallies from 2022:
https://www.offthekuff.com/wp/?p=104414
And here’s the uploaded file on my Google drive:
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1L_Hqh3q3YHm_JiVZysgaz-hKEXpg9-oL/view?usp=sharing
I’ve not tracked the non-Presidential years, I don’t think they’re a good comparison. But I do have the EV totals from years past.