Midway through the hurricane season, things are looking a little better than before.
Hurricane researcher William Gray lowered his 2007 forecast slightly Friday, calling for 15 named storms, with eight becoming hurricanes and four becoming intense.
On May 31, at the outset of hurricane season, Gray had called for 17 named storms and nine hurricanes, five of them intense.
“We’ve lowered our forecast from our May predictions because of slightly less favorable conditions in the tropical Atlantic,” said Philip Klotzbach, a member of Gray’s team at Colorado State University.
The new forecast calls for three named storms, two hurricanes and one intense hurricane in August; five named storms, four hurricanes and two intense hurricanes in September; and five named storms, two hurricanes and one intense hurricane in October and November combined.
I know it’s been very quiet so far, but the potential for bad stuff is still out there. So don’t get too confident.