Beatty, Jun 22: Trump 37, Clinton 30
UT/TTP, Jun 27: Trump 41, Clinton 33
KTVT/Dixie, Aug 11: Trump 46, Clinton 35
PPP, Aug 16: Trump 44, Clinton 38
WaPo-SurveyMonkey, Sep 6: Clinton 46, Trump 45
ECPS, Sep 14: Trump 42, Clinton 36
Texas Lyceum, Sep 15: Trump 39, Clinton 32
YouGov, Oct 3: Trump 50,1, Clinton 41.5
KTVT/Dixie, Oct 5: Trump 45, Clinton 38
WFAA/SurveyUSA, Oct 14: Trump 47, Clinton 43
UH Hobby Center, Oct 17: Trump 41, Clinton 38
WaPo/SurveyMonkey, Oct 17: Trump 48, Clinton 46
CBS/YouGov, Oct 23: Trump 46, Clinton 43
Crosswind/Statesman, Oct 27: Trump 45, Clinton 38
UT/TT, Oct 27: Trump 45, Clinton 42
KTVT/Dixie Strategies, Nov 2: Trump 52, Clinton 39
NBC/WSJ/Marist, Nov 3: Trump 49, Clinton 40
ECPS, Nov 3: Trump 49, Clinton 34
YouGov, Nov 5: Trump 50,3, Clinton 42.4
Rick Noriega just barely under 50% in early voting.
That’s good? It seems like a pretty weak showing to me, given the expectations the netroots have placed on the guy.
Well here’s mud in your eye for calling Texas 60-40 for Obama! (Just kidding… but it was sorta off)
There is still time for you to jump on the Hillary bandwagon! Texas is Hill Country!
and they’re calling it for Noriega.
Congratulations. That rocks.
(Gene Kelly?)
I don’t think anyone should get mud in their eye because a bunch of petty republicans who don’t believe in their candidate voted for Hillary. I’m still trying to think of a trick to weed out the republicans who did that, but wouldn’t it be interesting if they turned out to have been that difference between predictions and results?
Also, Go Rick!!
Just to be clear, by “weed out”, I mean look at the data and try to tell how many people voted for Hillary because Rush told them to, and not to find the individuals. Although I think its a sad violation of the spirit of our democracy, I respect the right to privacy in the voting booth of my fellow Texans.
Quorum Report has a Daily Buzz up on Royal Masset’s quick calculation that around 500,000 Republicans voted in the Democratic primary in Texas. Masset is described as a Republican commentator.
For the sake of argument, if those were all votes for Hillary, that puts the real Texas Democratic primary as follows:
Hillary Clinton
955,959
40.47%
52 delegates
Barack Obama
1,356,330
57.42%
74 delegates
Charles- Maybe you weren’t that off on the intent of the Democratic voters of Texas.
(The above percents don’t total 100% because of the votes for other candidates. (While I am a strong supporter of Joseph Biden, I am completely mystified with the 2,489 people who voted for him after he left the race.))