Beatty, Jun 22: Trump 37, Clinton 30
UT/TTP, Jun 27: Trump 41, Clinton 33
KTVT/Dixie, Aug 11: Trump 46, Clinton 35
PPP, Aug 16: Trump 44, Clinton 38
WaPo-SurveyMonkey, Sep 6: Clinton 46, Trump 45
ECPS, Sep 14: Trump 42, Clinton 36
Texas Lyceum, Sep 15: Trump 39, Clinton 32
YouGov, Oct 3: Trump 50,1, Clinton 41.5
KTVT/Dixie, Oct 5: Trump 45, Clinton 38
WFAA/SurveyUSA, Oct 14: Trump 47, Clinton 43
UH Hobby Center, Oct 17: Trump 41, Clinton 38
WaPo/SurveyMonkey, Oct 17: Trump 48, Clinton 46
CBS/YouGov, Oct 23: Trump 46, Clinton 43
Crosswind/Statesman, Oct 27: Trump 45, Clinton 38
UT/TT, Oct 27: Trump 45, Clinton 42
KTVT/Dixie Strategies, Nov 2: Trump 52, Clinton 39
NBC/WSJ/Marist, Nov 3: Trump 49, Clinton 40
ECPS, Nov 3: Trump 49, Clinton 34
YouGov, Nov 5: Trump 50,3, Clinton 42.4
Just to officially be on the record somewhere, I’ll go higher than the 52, say 55, the Dems definitely win the majority of county races and Skelly loses by only one point.
I make no guesses on the Texas Leg. races as I haven’t paid any attention to those races outside of my own. My own foolishness:
Electoral vote: Obama 368, McCain 170
Popular vote: Obama 53, McCain 46
U.S. Senate: Dems 57, GOP 43
U.S. House: Dems 250, GOP 185
Biggest Surprise, Presidential: Georgia goes for Obama. Based on African American turnout in early voting, I think there’s a remarkable chance that we could poach it from the Repub column.
Electoral vote: Obama 353, McCain 185
Popular vote: Obama 54, McCain 45
U.S. Senate: Dems 57, GOP 43
U.S. House: Dems pick up net 22
Surprise Presidential – The slim margins for GOP wins in some western states that are considered “Republican base” states including Texas, Arizona, Montana, and Wyoming.
Suprise State – The US Senate race in Texas is called for Cornyn after midnight.