Let’s just jump right into the numbers:
EV 2010
EV 2014
Day 3 EV 2018 totals
Year Party Mail In Person Total
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2010 Dem 3,851 6,132 9,983
2010 Rep 7,929 8,803 16,732
2014 Dem 3,048 4,228 7,276
2014 Rep 11,464 9,678 21,142
2018 Dem 7,641 10,896 18,537
2018 Rep 11,558 10,781 22,339
I had the mail and in person totals for 2018 backwards in yesterday’s post, so sorry about that. Republicans had the better day yesterday, both in person and absentee – at this point, they have returned more than a third of their mail ballots, while Democrats have not yet returned one fourth of theirs. They’re only slightly ahead of their pace for 2014, however, while Dems are way ahead of theirs – their three-day total is about 60% of their entire early vote tally from 2014, and more than a third of their overall final turnout. And as we’ve been observing, this has been the pattern in the big counties around the state. Here are the two-day totals for the big counties:
Party County 2010 2014 2018
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Rep Harris 13,044 16,633 14,493
Dem Harris 7,676 5,316 12,627
Rep Dallas 4,617 10,251 6,226
Dem Dallas 3,491 5,533 9,768
Rep Tarrant 5,720 11,096 8,293
Dem Tarrant 1,676 4,739 8,087
Rep Bexar 5,107 8,484 6,329
Dem Bexar 4,835 5,741 7,100
Rep Travis 3,177 2,149 3,021
Dem Travis 2,394 4,244 8,382
Rep Collin 3,797 4,654 5,098
Dem Collin 359 728 2,529
Rep Denton 2,414 4,588 3,773
Dem Denton 244 615 1,826
Rep El Paso 1,531 1,214 1,334
Dem El Paso 3,935 3,971 6,885
Rep Fort Bend 2,779 2,945 3,342
Dem Fort Bend 607 649 2,391
Rep Hidalgo 614 879 891
Dem Hidalgo 6,964 7,676 8,782
Rep Montgomery 2,685 5,282 5,824
Dem Montgomery 271 283 1,061
Rep Williamson 2,397 2,573 3,799
Dem Williamson 532 840 2,456
Rep Galveston 1,004 3,040 3,385
Dem Galveston 1,041 636 1,285
Rep Cameron 410 528 468
Dem Cameron 2,022 2,479 2,513
Some of these numbers are just insane. Democrats basically even with Republicans in Tarrant County? I didn’t see that coming. Even in the big red places, Dems have taken big steps forward, while Republicans have either had smaller increases or even fallen back. It’s just two days and anything can happen, but so far so good.