Let’s just jump right in again…
EV 2010
EV 2014
Day 8 EV 2018 totals
Year Party Mail In Person Total
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2010 Dem 5,035 16,107 21,142
2010 Rep 10,327 24,759 35,086
2014 Dem 5,456 12,405 17,861
2014 Rep 14,687 29,287 43,974
2018 Dem 12,914 36,785 49,699
2018 Rep 15,512 33,140 48,652
The second Wednesday is usually where the turnout curve starts to swing upward, with the last Friday always being the busiest day. We could see a lot more voters come out before the end of the week. And notice, for all the justifiable excitement about Democratic participation, Republican turnout so far is up, too. It’s just not up as much. There are many explanations for this, some of which have elements that ring true to me. I’m going to let the numbers speak for themselves.
Now let’s look statewide. Here’s how the top 14 counties by population have been voting on the Democratic side.
County EV 2010 EV 2014 EV 2018 2010 2014
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Harris 21,142 17,861 49,699 101,263 53,788
Dallas 11,745 20,258 35,580 56,896 68,053
Tarrant 4,696 13,663 21,507 23,704 42,209
Bexar 13,741 17,431 28,630 43,338 44,835
Travis 7,904 13,597 32,139 38,915 48,495
Collin 1,475 3,102 10,986 6,229 9,584
Denton 1,006 2,311 8,644 4,678 7,212
El Paso 11,199 11,246 19,255 36,353 32,571
Fort Bend 2,472 2,559 8,935 14,890 8,549
Hidalgo 18,647 22,479 23,645 47,350
Montgomery 893 910 3,212 4,539 2,561
Williamson 1,688 2,397 8,846 7,148 7,243
Galveston 2,402 1,802 3,686 4,680
Cameron 5,395 6,777 6,019 18,472
Totals 104,405 136,393 260,783 395,602
All numbers are for the Dem primaries; some counties did not have 2010 data available. The first three columns are for the first eight days of early voting – i.e., through the second Tuesday – while the last two are the final totals for those years. With the three busiest days of early voting plus Primary Day to go, several counties have already exceeded their final tallies from 2014, with Harris County right behind. We’re already two thirds of the way to the final overall total for these counties. I’m not going to make a projection, I’m just pointing out where we are. I think cracking one million voters and having the strongest showing after 2008 is well within reach. Keep voting, y’all.
UPDATE: Here are your Day 9 totals. Dems are now almost at 60K.