What’s a vote roster, you say? It’s a detailed list of everyone who voted in a particular election. You can find some recent ones, mostly pertaining to the 2020 elections so far, here. I’ve used the rosters from past elections to do some deeper analysis of our city election voters.
And now I’ve turned that attention to the 2020 primary and primary runoff voters. I started out with an interest in the people who have voted by mail in the runoff, as there are many more of them than there were in March. How had they voted in March? More to the point, how many of them had not voted at all in March? In other words, what was the effect of the County Clerk sending mail ballot applications to every registered voter 65 and older in the county?
Well, I’ll tell you. The following data is for early voting and vote by mail through Wednesday, July 8:
For the Democrats, there have been 41,531 total mail ballots cast in the runoff. Of those,
– 15,895 people voted by mail in the primary
– 7,052 people voted early in person in the primary
– 4,361 people voted on Election Day in the primary
– 14,223 people did not vote in the primary
Also for the Dems, there have been 40,387 early votes in person so far in the runoff. Of those,
– 135 people voted by mail in the primary
– 21,375 people voted early in person in the primary
– 10,210 people voted on Election Day in the primary
– 8,667 people did not vote in the primary
In summary, 27.9% of all Dem runoff voters did not vote in March. And 34.2% of all runoff votes cast by mail came from people who had not voted in March.
How about the Republicans? There have been 23,585 total Republican votes by mail in the runoff. Of those,
– 12,121 people voted by mail in the primary
– 1,500 people voted early in person in the primary
– 816 people voted on Election Day in the primary
– 9,148 did not vote in the primary
Also for the GOP, there have been 11,833 early votes in person so far in the runoff. Of those,
– 130 people voted by mail in the primary
– 7,671 people voted early in person in the primary
– 1,520 people voted on Election Day in the primary
– 2,512 people did not vote in the primary
So, 32.9% of all GOP runoff voters did not vote in March, and 38.8% of all runoff votes cast by mail came from people who had not voted in March. How about that?
I’m working on some more data and will present that over the weekend. In the meantime, here are the updated early vote totals:
Election Mail Early Total Mail %
============================================
D primary 21,658 82,365 104,023 20.8%
R primary 21,340 65,783 87,123 24.5%
D runoff 43,000 47,389 90,389 47.6%
R runoff 24,724 13,679 38,403 64.3%
The Thursday runoff EV file is here, and the final EV turnout report from March is here. It looks like there had been an error in an earlier days’s reporting, which had shown nearly zero mail ballots received – I think it was the Tuesday report. That has been corrected, which is why there’s such a large increase in today’s mail ballot total. Dems topped 7K in person voters, their highest single day yet, while Republicans have still not seen as many as 2K in person voters. Today should be the busiest day, and voting hours are extended till 10 PM. I’ll have the final wrapup on Sunday.
Last day of early voting. Go Sara Stapleton-Barrera!
I early voted yesterday, there was one guy ahead of me and each poll worker had someone they were helping. Total vote time, from parking lot to parking lot was under 10 minutes. I didn’t die.
On a side note, I voted for Sheriff Troy, if only to make those annoying Kathaleen Wall ads stop.
Thank you, Bill.
I had yet to hear, on any of her infomercials, how she was going to make anyone’s life better, only how wrong the opponent was. The minute she trotted out the 20 year blond and Angry Dad, she lost me. Well, that’s not exactly true. She lost me last election go round.
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