Tag Archives: Beto O’Rourke

What’s the deal with that Civiqs poll?

Posted on July 26, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Last week, Markos at Daily Kos posted this: I didn’t want to believe Politico’s, “Beto-mania sweeps Texas.” But a look at our Civiqs Texas data (which we poll for our own use, not for any client), and holy shit, it’s … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments

Cruz proposes five debates

Posted on July 26, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

All on Fridays, but at least he’s offering something. U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, has challenged Democratic opponent Beto O’Rourke to five topical debates before Election Day, about three months after O’Rourke challenged Cruz to six. Cruz strategist Jeff Roe … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , | 19 Comments

Kinder Institute profiles Lisa Seger

Posted on July 23, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Not sure what prompted them to pay attention to this particular race, but Lisa Seger is a good subject for such a profile. In November, Seger will become the first Democratic candidate to challenge Republican Cecil Bell of Magnolia for … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Two views of Democratic fundraising

Posted on July 19, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Positive: For the first time in a generation, there is a Democrat running for Congress in every single district in the state. Most of those candidates vying to unseat Republicans will likely lose. Many are running in districts where President … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments

Dems keep posting very strong finance reports

Posted on July 17, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Wow. There are few bigger warning signs for a member of Congress that their re-election may be in doubt than when a challenger outraises them. In Texas, it just happened to seven incumbents, all Republicans. Since last week, when U.S. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Debating debates

Posted on July 16, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

We have an agreement for a debate (mostly) between Greg Abbott and Lupe Valdez. Incumbent Republican Gov. Greg Abbott agreed Wednesday to participate in a televised statewide debate with Democratic challenger Lupe Valdez, the first in the general election runup. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Republican reactions to Beto’s fundraising

Posted on July 14, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

The interesting bits of this story: El Paso Democrat Beto O’Rourke, the underdog challenger to Republican U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, recently burnished his grass-roots credentials by completing a tour of all 254 counties in Texas. Now O’Rourke has proven his fundraising chops as … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Everyone is giving money in the Senate race

Posted on July 12, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

It’s a marquee attraction. Abby Tannenbaum has never been to Texas. But that hasn’t stopped the 23-year-old digital strategist from Florida from sending $2 a month for the past year to help fuel the campaign of El Paso Congressman Beto … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , | 3 Comments

Gravis: Cruz 51, O’Rourke 42

Posted on July 11, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Here’s a new poll of four statewide races in Texas, for which there may or may not be any news coverage. The executive summary: Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 602 likely voters across Texas. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Failed indy Senate candidate accuses Cruz campaign of sabotage

Posted on July 9, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I’m gonna fire up the popcorn popper. When independent U.S. Senate candidate Jonathan Jenkins missed the filing deadline for the November ballot last month, it surprised the political observers who had been keeping an eye on his Texas run. Jenkins, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

On enthusiasm and fundraising

Posted on July 3, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

RG Ratcliffe engages the “can Lupe Valdez be competitive” question. Valdez will almost certainly lose to Greg Abbott in November. Yet if she inspires Hispanic voters to turn out, she could help Democratic candidates in tight down-ballot races and make … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 33 Comments

What might be the SCOTUS effect on the Senate race?

Posted on July 2, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Insert shrug emoji here. In recent weeks, the race between U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, and U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke, D-El Paso, has largely revolved around immigration, playing out in detention centers along the southern border and over immigration bills … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , | 3 Comments

UT/Trib: Cruz 41, O’Rourke 36, part 2

Posted on June 27, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

We pick up where we left off. Republican Ted Cruz leads Democrat Beto O’Rourke 41 percent to 36 percent in the general election race for a Texas seat in the U.S. Senate, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 8 Comments

UT/Trib: Cruz 41, O’Rourke 36

Posted on June 26, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Well, what do you know? Republican Ted Cruz leads Democrat Beto O’Rourke 41 percent to 36 percent in the general election race for a Texas seat in the U.S. Senate, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll. Neal … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments

CBS/YouGov: Cruz 44, O’Rourke 36 (RVs)

Posted on June 25, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Time for another poll. In Texas’ Senate race, incumbent Republican Ted Cruz has a 10-point lead over Democrat Beto O’Rourke among likely voters. Cruz benefits from strong support from his own party and has an advantage among independents as well. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , | 5 Comments

“Indie Party” Senate candidate misses filing deadline

Posted on June 23, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

That sound you hear is my heart breaking for him. Jonathan Jenkins, an independent candidate for U.S. Senate in Texas whose unconventional campaign has drawn Republican objections, has missed the deadline to submit the signatures needed to appear on the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , | Comments Off on “Indie Party” Senate candidate misses filing deadline

We may have reached peak independent candidate

Posted on June 17, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Meet Jonathan Jenkins, who would apparently like to be on your ballot for the Senate this fall. It’s got a high-tech evangelist for a founder, $6 million in private equity investments, even its own crypto-currency. No, it’s not a driverless … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments

GQR: Cruz 49, O’Rourke 43

Posted on June 16, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Would you like another Senate poll result?

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , | 1 Comment

Looking back at 2010 and 2014

Posted on June 12, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I’ve talked a lot about polls in the past week, so I thought I’d take a minute and look back at the polling data that we had as of this time in the 2010 and 2014 elections, to see if … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

From the “Only negative results apply” department

Posted on June 11, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

There’s one paragraph in this story about Beto O’Rourke finishing a quest to visit all 254 counties in Texas that really makes me grind my teeth. When he’s not behind the wheel, O’Rourke has proven to be a formidable fundraiser, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , | 2 Comments

PPP: Cruz 48, O’Rourke 42

Posted on June 8, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Hey, look, another poll. Democrat Beto O’Rourke trails U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, by 6 percentage points, according to a new poll commissioned by Giffords, the gun control group started by former U.S. Rep. Gabrielle Giffords, D-Ariz. The survey, done … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , | 3 Comments

Harris County poll: Hidalgo 53, Emmett 47

Posted on June 1, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

From the inbox last week: The Lina Hidalgo campaign for Harris County Judge today released the results of its first county-wide poll, showing the Democratic challenger leading the Republican incumbent by a stunning six percentage points; among Harris County voters … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 16 Comments

Quinnipiac: Cruz 50, O’Rourke 39

Posted on May 31, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Quinnipiac giveth, Quinnipiac taketh away. U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz has some breathing space from U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke, according to a new poll released by Quinnipiac University on Wednesday. In the banner statewide race in the state, the new survey … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 8 Comments

Lupe and Beto

Posted on May 26, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Beto O’Rourke has a year-old, well-funded campaign for US Senate. Lupe Valdez doesn’t have anything like those advantages in her campaign for Governor. Will her lower profile effort have a negative effect on his higher profile one? The race for … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 11 Comments

Beto and Ted

Posted on May 7, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

¡Dale! U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke, D-El Paso, has invited U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, to participate in six debates with O’Rourke across Texas, two of them in Spanish, during their U.S. Senate race. O’Rourke campaign manager Jody Casey made the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Some people sound very threatened by that Quinnipiac Texas Senate poll

Posted on April 20, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

This is almost funny. In its first-ever Texas poll, Quinnipiac University deemed the Senate race “too close to call” in reporting that 47 percent of Texas voters surveyed back Cruz and 44 percent support O’Rourke, an El Paso congressman. The … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 7 Comments

Quinnipiac: Cruz 47, O’Rourke 44

Posted on April 19, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Pretty good poll result, with the ever-present proviso that it’s just one result. The closely watched U.S. Senate race in Texas is too close to call, with 47 percent for Republican incumbent Sen. Ted Cruz and 44 percent for U.S. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Cruz’s lesser fundraising haul

Posted on April 15, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

It’s not that little, Ted. Really. When U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke announced his latest fundraising haul earlier this month – a stunning $6.7 million – it was widely expected to surpass what his rival, Republican U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, brought … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Comments Off on Cruz’s lesser fundraising haul

Beto’s big haul

Posted on April 4, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Wow. U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke, D-El Paso, raised over $6.7 million for his U.S. Senate bid in the first quarter of 2018, according to his campaign, a staggering number that poses a new category of threat to Republican incumbent Ted … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

The Ted Cruz brand

Posted on April 3, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

It takes all kinds. While some Republicans may fret about Trump’s shaky approval ratings or their party’s brand among disappointed conservatives, Cruz seems to occupy his own space in the political firmament. Launching his 2018 reelection campaign in Houston on … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , | 8 Comments

Precinct analysis: Beto in Harris County

Posted on March 19, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I now have a canvass of the primaries in Harris County, so you know what that means – time for some precinct analyses. I’ve got a few of these to do, so let’s dive right in. First up, a look … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

This is our most “run everywhere” election ever

Posted on March 16, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

We already knew this, and have quantified it in a number of ways, but it’s still worth taking a moment to marvel at the surge of Democratic candidates this year. Before she could talk about her campaign for the Texas … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Evaluating Beto

Posted on March 9, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I think this is about right. Beto O’Rourke, the candidate running the most high-profile statewide race, [scored] only 61 percent in his primary, against two lesser-known candidates. […] A lot of weird things happen in the Democratic Primary, because the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments

Rural Dems

Posted on March 4, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

They still exist, and they’re making some noise. Trish Robinson was dropping off supplies for Hurricane Harvey relief efforts in Liberty County, about 40 minutes from Houston, when a handful of people scowled at her left-leaning political T-shirt. David DeLuca, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments Off on Rural Dems