Tag Archives: CD06

CD03 poll: Taylor 44, Seikaly 43

Posted on September 20, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

From Nate Cohn: If there’s any single competitive district you could look at on Election Night to know whether Texas went blue, this might be the pick — Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) 8:47 AM – 17 September 2020 All we get … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, CD03, CD06, CD25, Congress, DCCC, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Julie Oliver, Lulu Seikaly, Mitt Romney, polls, Stephen Daniel, Ted Cruz, Texas, Van Taylor | Comments Off

DCCC expands the field in Texas again

Posted on August 28, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

This is as wide as it goes. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is adding three more districts to its Texas target list, expanding an already ambitious battlefield in the state. The new targets of the House Democratic campaign arm are … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Candace Valenzuela, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, CD32, Colin Allred, Congress, DCCC, Donald Trump, Donna Imam, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, Joe Biden, Julie Oliver, Lizzie FLetcher, Lulu Seikaly, Mike Siegel, polls, Sima Ladjevardian, Sri Kulkarni, Stephen Daniel, Texas, Wendy Davis | Comments Off

As goes Tarrant, 2020 edition

Posted on August 23, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Hello, old friend. Shortly after Democrat Beto O’Rourke launched his campaign to unseat U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz in 2018, he made several visits to Tarrant County in North Texas to press the message that if he could flip this county, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Beverly Powell, CD06, CD24, Congress, demography, Donald Trump, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Joe Biden, Konni Burton, polls, President, redistricting, SD10, Senate, Tarrant County, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

A slightly less rosy view of Democratic prospects

Posted on August 1, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Here’s the latest race ratings from Texas Elects: Texas Election Source has updated 27 race ratings based on the latest polling, July campaign finance reports and primary runoff results. Twenty of those races moved one column toward the Democrats’ advantage. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Akilah Bacy, Ann Johnson, CD02, CD03, CD05, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD14, CD15, CD17, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD26, CD31, CD32, CD34, Congress, Court of Criminal Appeals, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, HD102, HD105, HD107, HD108, HD112, HD113, HD114, HD115, HD117, HD118, HD121, HD122, HD126, HD129, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD136, HD138, HD14, HD144, HD150, HD17, HD23, HD26, HD28, HD29, HD31, HD32, HD34, HD41, HD45, HD47, HD52, HD54, HD64, HD66, HD67, HD70, HD74, HD84, HD85, HD89.HD106, HD92, HD93, HD94, HD96, HD97, Joanna Cattanach, John Cornyn, Lacey Hull, Matt Shaheen, Morgan Meyer, polls, Railroad Commission, Sarah Davis, SD11, SD12, SD19, SD20, SD21, Senate, Sharon Hirsch, Supreme Court, Texas, The Lege | 1 Comment

Checking in on CD21

Posted on July 29, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Thar’s the race where Wendy Davis is trying to unseat the mini-Ted Cruz known as Chip Roy, and the pundits are thinking she can do it. All signs are pointing toward a competitive race between incumbent conservative firebrand U.S. Rep. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, Chip Roy, Congress, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, polls, redistricting, Texas, voter registration, Wendy Davis | 1 Comment

CD03 poll: Taylor 43, Seikaly 37

Posted on July 25, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I expect we’ll see a fair amount of Congressional district polling this cycle. There is a single-digit race underway for Texas’ traditionally red 3rd Congressional District, according to a new poll from the new Democratic nominee’s campaign. The nominee, Lulu … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD21, CD32, Chip Roy, Colin Allred, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Joe Biden, Lizzie FLetcher, Lulu Seikaly, polls, President, Senate, Stephen Daniel, Texas, Wendy Davis | 2 Comments

July 2020 campaign finance reports: Congress

Posted on July 24, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Congratulations, everyone. Not only have we made it to the other side of another quarterly reporting period, we have also successfully navigated the primary runoffs. My next quarterly finance report post for Congress will thus be shorter, as this is … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrienne Bell, campaign finance reports, Candace Valenzuela, Carol Ianuzzi, CD01, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD08, CD10, CD14, CD17, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD26, CD31, CD32, Christine Eady Mann, Colin Allred, Congress, coronavirus, David Jaramillo, DCCC, Democratic primary, DNC, Donna Imam, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elizabeth Hernandez, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, Hank Gilbert, Jan McDowell, Jana Sanchez, Joe Biden, Joe Kopser, Julie Oliver, Kim Olson, Lizzie FLetcher, Lorie Burch, Lulu Seikaly, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, President, Pritash Gandhi, Rick Kennedy, Royce West, runoff, Sean McCaffity, Senate, Sima Ladjevardian, Sri Kulkarni, Stephen Daniel, Texas, Todd Litton, Wendy Davis | 3 Comments

Dems could possibly win a lot of Congressional races in Texas

Posted on July 19, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

It started with this: what does a biden win in texas look like? here’s how a D+1 nailbiter might turn out, if we use 2016 and 2018 as a guide → (hint: biden would win 9 currently R-held districts and … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Candace Valenzuela, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, CD32, Colin Allred, Congress, Donald Trump, Donna Imam, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gina Ortiz Jones, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Julie Oliver, Lizzie FLetcher, Lulu Seikaly, Mike Siegel, polls, President, redistricting, Senate, Sima Ladjevardian, Sri Kulkarni, Stephen Daniel, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege, Wendy Davis | 7 Comments

A bullish take on the State House

Posted on July 8, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

From Mike Hailey of Capitol Inside: The wildly unpredictable coronavirus appears to be fueling a massive blue wave that sweeps the Democrats back into power in the Texas House of Representatives with President Donald Trump as their all-time greatest ally. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, Congress, DCCC, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, John Cornyn, Pete Flores, polls, Railroad Commission, SD19, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

Comparing the April finance reports

Posted on May 4, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

In my roundup of April finance reports for Congress, I said I’d do a comparison of the 2018 numbers to 2020. I’m a blogger of his word, so let’s have that look. Dist Year Name Raised Spent Loans On Hand … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged campaign finance reports, Candace Valenzuela, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, CD32, Chris Perri, Christine Eady Mann, Congress, Democratic primary, Donna Imam, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, Jan McDowell, Jana Sanchez, Joe Kopser, Julie Oliver, Kim Olson, Laura Moser, Letitia Plummer, Lizzie FLetcher, Lorie Burch, Lulu Seikaly, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Pritash Gandhi, Ruby Woolridge, runoff, Sam Johnson, Sean McCaffity, Sima Ladjevardian, Sri Kulkarni, Stephen Daniel, Texas, Todd Litton, Wendy Davis | Comments Off

April 2020 campaign finance reports: Congress

Posted on April 27, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Hey, remember politics? You know, races and finance reports and stuff like that? Yeah, it’s still happening, weird as that may seem right now. As we are well into April, the Q1 Congressional finance reports for 2020 are in, and … Continue reading →

January 2020 campaign finance reports: Congress

Posted on February 7, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

The big ones for this cycle the Q4 2019 Congressional finance reports. For the last time, we have new candidates joining the list, and a couple of folks dropping out. Let’s do the thing and see where we are going … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrienne Bell, Amanda Edwards, campaign finance reports, Candace Valenzuela, Carol Ianuzzi, CD01, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD08, CD10, CD14, CD17, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD26, CD28, CD31, CD32, Chris Bell, Christine Eady Mann, Colin Allred, Congress, Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez, Dan Jangigian, David Jaramillo, Democratic primary, Derrick Reed, Donna Imam, Efrain Valdez, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elisa Cardnell, Elizabeth Hernandez, Eric Hanke, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, Hank Gilbert, Heidi Sloan, Henry Cuellar, Jaime Escuder, Jan McDowell, Jennie Lou Leeder, Jessica Cisneros, John Biggan, Julie Oliver, Kim Olson, Laura Jones, Lizzie FLetcher, Lulu Seikaly, Mat Pruneda, Michael Grimes, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Nyanza Moore, Pritash Gandhi, Ricardo Madrid, Richard Fleming, Rick Kennedy, Rosey Ramos Abuabara, Royce West, Sam Vega, Sean McCaffity, Sema Hernandez, Senate, Shannon Hutcheson, Sima Ladjevardian, Sri Kulkarni, Stephen Daniel, Tammy Young, Tanner Do, Texas, Travis Olsen, Wendy Davis, William Foster | 4 Comments

Our first Congressional race ratings

Posted on December 3, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

From Politico, here’s the early view of the state of Texas’ Congressional races in 2020. Lean Dem CD23 (Open, R) CD32 (Allred, D) Tossup CD07 (Fletcher, D) CD22 (Open, R) CD24 (Open, R) Lean GOP CD02 (Crenshaw, R) CD10 (McCaul, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD17, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, CD32, Chet Edwards, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elisa Cardnell, fundraising, Lizzie FLetcher, Pete Sessions, redistricting, Texas, Wendy Davis, Will Hurd | 7 Comments

Filing period preview: Congress

Posted on November 11, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

So even though we still have the 2019 runoffs to settle, the 2020 election is officially upon us. I say this because the filing period for 2020 candidates began on Saturday the 9th, closing on December 9. I expect there … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Al Green, Bimal Patel, campaign finance reports, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD08, CD09, CD10, CD17, CD18, CD22, CD25, CD29, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Democratic primary, Derrick Reed, Election 2010, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elisa Cardnell, filing deadline, Jacob Osborne, Jerry Ford, Kevin Brady, Laura Jones, Lizzie FLetcher, Marc Flores, Melissa Wilson-Williams, Mike Siegel, Nile Irsan, Nyanza Moore, Pritash Gandhi, Shannon Hutcheson, Sri Kulkarni, Steven David, Stevens Orozco, Sylvia Garcia, Texas, Travis Olsen | 2 Comments

October 2019 campaign finance reports: Congress

Posted on November 5, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Moving on to the Q3 FEC reports, we again have new candidates making their appearance. The January roundup is here, which closed out the 2017-18 election cycle, the April report is here, and the July report is here. For comparison, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Amanda Edwards, campaign finance reports, Candace Valenzuela, Carol Ianuzzi, CD01, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD17, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD26, CD27, CD28, CD31, CD32, Chet Edwards, Chris Bell, Christine Eady Mann, Christopher Suprun, Congress, Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez, Crystal Fletcher, Dan Crenshaw, Dan Jangigian, Democratic primary, Derrick Reed, Donna Imam, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elisa Cardnell, Eric Hanke, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, Hank Gilbert, Heidi Sloan, Jan McDowell, Jennie Lou Leeder, John Biggan, Julie Oliver, Kim Olson, Liz Wahl, Lorie Burch, Louie Gohmert, Lulu Seikaly, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Murray Holcomb, Nyanza Moore, Pete Sessions, Pritash Gandhi, Rick Kennedy, Rosey Ramos Abuabara, Royce West, Sean McCaffity, Sema Hernandez, Senate, Shannon Hutcheson, Sri Kulkarni, Stephen Daniel, Tanner Do, Texas, Wendy Davis | 2 Comments

How many Congressional seats are really in play for Texas Dems?

Posted on August 30, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

By one measure, more than you probably think. From Jonathan Tilove of the Statesman: Last weekend, I read an interview in Salon with Rachel Bitecofer, a political scientist at Christopher Newport University in Newport News, Va. She is also an … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, Chip Roy, Dan Crenshaw, DCCC, demography, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elisa Cardnell, fundraising, James Talarico, John Carter, Julie Oliver, Kenny Marchant, Lorie Burch, Mike McCaul, Pete Olson, Rachel Bitecofer, Roger Williams, Ron Wright, Texas, Van Taylor, Will Hurd | 7 Comments

Rep. Will Hurd to step down

Posted on August 2, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Wow. I did not see this coming. The U.S. House’s last black Republican member, Rep. Will Hurd of Helotes, announced Thursday that he is retiring from Congress. President Donald Trump’s racist comments about elected officials weighed heavily on Hurd, who … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Blake Farenthold, CD02, CD03, CD04, CD05, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD11, CD15, CD16, CD19, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD27, CD29, CD32, Congress, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gene Green, Gina Ortiz Jones, Jeb Hensarling, Joe Barton, John Culberson, John Ratcliffe, Kenny Marchant, Lamar Smith, Mike Conaway, Mike McCaul, Pete Olson, Pete Sessions, Randy Neugebauer, Rosey Ramos Abuabara, Ruben Hinojosa, Sam Johnson, Ted Poe, Texas, Will Hurd | 7 Comments

July 2019 campaign finance reports: Congress

Posted on July 22, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Let’s move over to Congress and the Senate, where there are several new candidates, with more on the way. The January roundup is here, which closed out the 2017-18 election cycle, and the April report is here. For comparison, the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Amanda Edwards, campaign finance reports, Candace Valenzuela, Carol Ianuzzi, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD26, CD28, CD31, CD32, Chris Bell, Christine Eady Mann, Congress, Crystal Fletcher, Democratic primary, Derrick Reed, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elisa Cardnell, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, Jan McDowell, Jennie Lou Leeder, John Biggan, Julie Oliver, Kim Olson, Liz Wahl, Lizzie FLetcher, Lorie Burch, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Murray Holcomb, Nyanza Moore, Pritash Gandhi, Rosey Ramos Abuabara, Royce West, Sema Hernandez, Senate, Shannon Hutcheson, Sri Kulkarni, Stephen Daniel, Texas, Wendy Davis | 5 Comments

We have a candidate in CD06

Posted on July 12, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Good. A Waxahachie Democrat who is business partners with Dallas County Judge Clay Jenkins is running for Congress in 2020 against Rep. Ron Wright, an Arlington Republican who was first elected to office last year. Stephen Daniel, an attorney, on … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged CD06, CD21, CD24, CD31, Clay Jenkins, Congress, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, Jana Sanchez, Jennie Lou Leeder, Ron Wright, Stephen Daniel, Texas, Wendy Davis | Comments Off

Do we have someone running in CD06 yet?

Posted on June 9, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

This guy really needs a strong opponent. U.S. Rep. Ron Wright, R-Arlington, says on a video released by an abortion rights group that women commit murder if they have an abortion and should “absolutely” be punished Reproaction, an abortion rights … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged abortion, CD06, Congress, Election 2018, Election 2020, NARAL Pro-Choice Texas, Ron Wright, Texas | Comments Off

The repeat Congressional candidates

Posted on June 3, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

The Trib looks at how the key 2020 Democratic Congressional campaigns are shaping up. Short answer: There are a number of repeat candidates from 2018. The situation in the 24th District is emblematic of a broader trend across the state. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Candace Valenzuela, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD10, CD11, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, Christine Eady Mann, Congress, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elisa Cardnell, Gina Ortiz Jones, Jan McDowell, Jennie Lou Leeder, John Biggan, Julie Oliver, Kim Olson, Lorie Burch, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Nyanza Moore, Pritash Gandhi, Shannon Hutcheson, Sri Kulkarni, Texas, Wendy Davis | 1 Comment

Ortiz Jones 2.0

Posted on May 17, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Gina Ortiz Jones is back for another go at CD23. Gina Ortiz Jones, the Democrat who narrowly lost last year to U.S. Rep. Will Hurd, R-Helotes, is running again. Jones, a former Air Force intelligence officer, launched her long-anticipated 2020 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Candace Valenzuela, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, Congress, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elisa Cardnell, Gina Ortiz Jones, Jan McDowell, Jana Sanchez, Joe Kopser, Julie Oliver, Kim Olson, Letitia Plummer, Liz Wahl, Lorie Burch, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Nyanza Moore, Pritash Gandhi, Ruby Woolridge, Sri Kulkarni, Texas, Wendy Davis, Will Hurd | 1 Comment

One more for CD24

Posted on April 21, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Another contested primary. Democrat Candace Valenzuela, a 34-year-old Carrollton-Farmers Branch school board member, is launching a campaign Monday against Texas GOP Rep. Kenny Marchant, one of the party’s top targets in 2020. She will face an uphill battle for her … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Alex Triantaphyllis, Candace Valenzuela, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, CD32, Colin Allred, Congress, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elisa Cardnell, Gina Ortiz Jones, Jan McDowell, Jason Westin, Joe Kopser, Kim Olson, Laura Moser, Lizzie FLetcher, MJ Hegar, Sri Kulkarni, Texas, Todd Litton, Wendy Davis, Will Fisher | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: 2018 Congress

Posted on March 20, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

The 2018 Congressional races were the most expensive, the most hotly and broadly contested, and by far the most attention-grabbing races in the non-Beto division. We hadn’t seen anything remotely like it since the 2004 DeLay re-redistricting year, but we … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD08, CD10, CD12, CD14, CD15, CD17, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD26, CD27, CD28, CD31, CD32, CD34, CD36, Colin Allred, Congress, Dayna Steele, DCCC, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, Joe Kopser, Justin Nelson, Kim Olson, Lizzie FLetcher, Lupe Valdez, Mike Collier, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, Roman McAllen, Texas, Will Hurd | 4 Comments

Just a reminder, Will Hurd is still a Republican

Posted on March 19, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

That means he does Republican things. Texas Republican Rep. Will Hurd said he would vote for Donald Trump in 2020 over his friend, former Texas Democratic Rep. Beto O’Rourke, should he decide to run and win the Democratic Party’s nomination. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018, Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD31, CD32, Chip Roy, Colin Allred, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gina Ortiz Jones, Jan McDowell, John Carter, John Culberson, Kenny Marchant, Lizzie FLetcher, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, Will Hurd | 2 Comments

January 2019 campaign finance reports: Congress

Posted on March 4, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

We come to the last of our January finance report roundups. The next one will be in April, for Congressional candidates, which will be our first indicator of who among the repeaters and the newcomers has gotten off to a … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged campaign finance reports, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD08, CD10, CD12, CD14, CD17, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD26, CD27, CD31, CD32, CD36, Colin Allred, Congress, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, Jan McDowell, Jana Sanchez, Joe Kopser, Julie Oliver, Lizzie FLetcher, Lorie Burch, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Sri Kulkarni, Texas, Todd Litton | 2 Comments

More Congressional retirement speculation

Posted on December 27, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

From Roll Call: Life in the minority will be a new experience for most House Republicans next year. And many of them may not remember what happened the last time the GOP lost the House. After the 2006 Democratic wave, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, CD32, Congress, Election 2018, Election 2020, Kenny Marchant, Pete Olson, Texas | 2 Comments

The next round of redistricting is going to be even more fun

Posted on December 2, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Close races do complicate things. Texas Republicans collected half of the votes statewide in congressional races this month. But even after Democrats flipped two districts, toppling GOP veterans in Dallas and Houston, Republicans will control 23 of the state’s 36 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD23, CD24, CD31, CD32, Colin Allred, Congress, Election 2018, Election 2020, John Carter, John Culberson, Kenny Marchant, Legislative Redistricting Board, Lizzie FLetcher, Mike McCaul, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Pete Sessions, redistricting, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege | 5 Comments

Initial thoughts: Congress

Posted on November 15, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I’ll be honest: I never felt particularly confident about winning CD07 or CD32. Not because Lizzie Fletcher and Colin Allred weren’t excellent candidates, or anything to do with the trends of the national environment or what have you. I just … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, CD32, Colin Allred, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gina Ortiz Jones, Hillary Clinton, Jan McDowell, Lizzie FLetcher, redistricting, Texas, turnout, Will Hurd | 6 Comments

Omnibus election report

Posted on November 7, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

It’s after midnight, I’ve mostly posted stuff on my long-dormant Twitter account (@kuff), and I will have many, many thoughts in the coming days. For now, a brief recap. – As you know, neither Beto nor any other Dem won … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged 13th Court of Appeals, 14th Court of Appeals, 4th Court of Appeals, 5th Court of Appeals, Adrian Garcia, Ana-Maria Ramos, Beto O'Rourke, Beverly Powell, Brian Middleton, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, CD32, Colin Allred, Commissioners Court, Congress, Dallas County, Denton County, District Attorney, Ed Emmett, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Erin Zwiener, First Court of Appeals, Fort Bend County, Gina Ortiz Jones, Harris County, Harris County Judge, Hays County, HD102, HD105, HD113, HD114, HD115, HD135, HD136, HD45, HD47, HD52, HD65, Houston, Jack Morman, James Talarico, Jan McDowell, Jana Sanchez, Joe Kopser, John Bucy, John Turner, Jon Rosenthal, judicial races, Julie Johnson, Julie Oliver, Lina Hidalgo, Lizzie FLetcher, Lorie Burch, Michelle Beckley, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Nathan Johnson, Rhetta Andrews Bowers, SD10, SD16, Senate, Sri Kulkarni, Terry Meza, Texas, The Lege, Third Court of Appeals, Todd Litton, turnout, Vikki Goodwin, Williamson County | 13 Comments

October 2018 campaign finance reports: Congress

Posted on October 23, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Wow. It’s not just Beto. Newly filed campaign finance reports show that money flooded into Democratic congressional campaigns all across the state over the last three months. Along with Democrat Beto O’Rourke’s blockbuster $38 million haul in his bid against … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Adrienne Bell, campaign finance reports, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD08, CD10, CD12, CD14, CD17, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD26, CD27, CD31, CD32, CD36, Colin Allred, Congress, Dayna Steele, Election 2018, Eric Holguin, fundraising, Jan McDowell, Jana Sanchez, Joe Kopser, Julie Oliver, Linsey Fagan, Lizzie FLetcher, Lorie Burch, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Rick Kennedy, Sri Kulkarni, Steven David, Texas, Todd Litton, Vanessa Adia | Comments Off

On giving to “longshot” candidates

Posted on August 26, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I have three things to say about this. Thara Narasimhan, who hosts an Hindu radio program in Houston, has already given $1,200 to a Democrat running against Republican U.S. Rep. Pete Olson, who once drove around his solidly conservative Texas … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD06, CD22, CD31, CD36, Congress, Dayna Steele, Election 2018, fundraising, Jana Sanchez, MJ Hegar, Sri Kulkarni, Texas | 1 Comment

Crosstab versus 538

Posted on August 21, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

You are familiar with the Congressional race projections from G. Elliott Morris at The Crosstab, which I’ve noted here and here. He uses a probabilistic model for each district. Which as it happens is also the approach taken by FiveThirtyEight … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD02, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD31, CD32, Congress, Election 2018, polls, Texas | 1 Comment

CD06 poll: Wright 48, Sanchez 39

Posted on August 12, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Via Patrick Svitek on Twitter, I learned of a recent PPP poll in CD06. Here’s the polling memo, and here’s the information you’re most interested in: Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Donald Trump’s job performance? 48% Approve … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD06, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Jana Sanchez, Joe Barton, polls, Ron Wright, Texas | 2 Comments

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