Tag Archives: CD15

A brief filing update

Posted on November 29, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Just a few observations as we head out of the holiday season and into what I expect will be the busier part of the filing period. I’m using the Patrick Svitek spreadsheet, the SOS candidate filing resource, and the candidate … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Ag Commissioner, Alex Dominguez, Alexandra Mealer, Attorney General, Carla Wyatt, CD15, CD30, CD37, CD38, Chase West, Chris Daniel, Commissioners Court, Comptroller, Congress, Democratic primary, Desiree Broadnax, District Clerk, Dylan Osborne, Eddie Berniece Johnson, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Elizabeth Markowitz, filing deadline, Garnet Coleman, Harold Dutton, Harris County Judge, Harris County Treasurer, HD132, HD133, HD138, HD142, HD147, HD26, HD28, HD76, James Burnett, Jasmine Crockett, Jeff Stauber, Jerry Davis, Kyle Scott, Lawrence Allen, Lina Hidalgo, Lloyd Doggett, Marilyn Burgess, Michelle Palmer, Mike Fields, Morgan LaMantia, Nam Subramanian, Nelvin Adriatico, primaries, Reagan Flowers, redistricting, Sara Stapleton-Barrera, Sarah DeMerchant, SBOE, SD27, Senate, Stephanie Morales, Suleman Lalani, Texas, Vanesia Johnson, Vicente Gonzalez, Vidal Martinez | 4 Comments

Precinct analysis: The new Congressional map

Posted on November 23, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Previously: New State House map We will now take a look at how the districts of interest in the new Congressional map have changed over the past decade. Same basic idea, looking at the closer districts from 2020 to see … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Barack Obama, CD03, CD07, CD10, CD12, CD15, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD26, CD28, CD31, CD34, CD38, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Election 2022, Joe Biden, Mitt Romney, precinct analysis, redistricting, Texas | 2 Comments

We have a third Dem candidate for AG

Posted on November 3, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Welcome to the race, Rochelle Garza. Democrat Rochelle Garza, a former lawyer for the American Civil Liberties Union from the Rio Grande Valley, is running for attorney general after redistricting complicated her campaign to succeed retiring U.S. Rep. Filemon Vela, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Attorney General, CD15, CD34, Congress, DCCC, Democratic primary, Election 2020, Election 2022, Eliza Alvarado, Filemon Vela, Joe Jaworski, Ken Paxton, Lee Merritt, LUPE Votes, Monica de la Cruz-Hernandez, Rochelle Garza, Ruben Ramirez, Texas, Vicente Gonzalez | 2 Comments

Rep. Vicente Gonzalez to switch to CD34

Posted on October 28, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

And in doing so, he’s probably going to make it harder to hold onto CD15, the swingiest district in the state (as far as we can tell from 2020 data). U.S. Rep. Vicente Gonzalez, D-McAllen, announced Tuesday he is running … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Amy Clark Meachum, CD15, CD34, Chrysta Castaneda, Congress, DCCC, Democratic primary, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Eliza Alvarado, Elizabeth Frizell, Filemon Vela, fundraising, Gisela Triana, Joe Biden, Monica de la Cruz-Hernandez, redistricting, Rochelle Garza, Ruben Ramirez, Texas, Vicente Gonzalez | 3 Comments

October 2021 campaign finance reports: Congress

Posted on October 26, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Another three months have passed, and so we review the Congressional finance reports again. I fear these reports are about to get a lot more boring post-redistricting, but for now we will plow onward. The July 2021 reports are here, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged campaign finance reports, CD03, CD05, CD10, CD15, CD24, CD34, CD35, CD37, CD38, Charlie Gearing, Congress, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, fundraising, Julie Oliver, Kathleen Bailey, Keith Self, Larry Wallace, Lloyd Doggett, Michelle Beckley, primaries, redistricting, Rochelle Garza, Texas, Van Taylor, Vicente Gonzalez | 3 Comments

Down to the wire for Congressional redistricting

Posted on October 18, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Time is running out in this session. Of course, there’s always the next session shudder. A redraw of the state’s congressional map to include a decade of population growth could be headed to last-minute backdoor negotiations after the Texas House … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged CD06, CD15, CD27, CD34, CD35, Congress, Election 2020, Election 2022, Greg Abbott, Jacey Jetton, Joan Huffman, lawsuit, Rafael Anchia, redistricting, SCOTUS, Senate, special session, Texas, The Lege, Todd Hunter, Vicente Gonzalez, Voting Rights Act | 3 Comments

More redistricting stuff

Posted on October 2, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Just a roundup of some redistricting stories. We’ll start with the DMN. The new map, part of a process of redrawing legislative boundaries every 10 years, makes significant changes in North Texas, where Democrats likely will gain a seat held … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged Al Green, Angie Chen Button, Beth van Duyne, CD03, CD04, CD05, CD06, CD07, CD08, CD09, CD10, CD13, CD15, CD18, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD27, CD28, CD31, CD32, CD34, CD36, Census, Collin County, Common Cause, Congress, Dallas County, Denton County, Donald Trump, Election 2020, Election 2022, Gerrymandering Project, HD100, HD104, HD108, HD110, HD112, HD63, HD65, HD92, Jasmine Crockett, Jeff Cason, Jessica Gonzalez, Joan Huffman, Joe Biden, John Turner, lawsuit, Michelle Beckley, Morgan Meyer, redistricting, RepresentUs, SBOE, Senate, Sheila Jackson Lee, Tarrant County, Texas, The Lege, Toni Rose, Voting Rights Act | 2 Comments

First proposed Congressional map is out

Posted on September 28, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

It’s a thing. Texas lawmakers on Monday released their first draft of a new congressional map for the next decade that includes two new districts in Austin and Houston — metropolitan areas with diverse populations tht fueled much of the … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged Al Green, Beth van Duyne, CD02, CD07, CD09, CD15, CD18, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD28, CD29, CD31, CD32, CD37, CD38, Census, Colin Allred, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, demography, Donald Trump, Election 2020, Election 2022, Harris County, Henry Cuellar, Jessica Cisneros, Joan Huffman, Joe Biden, John Carter, Lizzie FLetcher, redistricting, Roger Williams, Sheila Jackson Lee, special session, Sylvia Garcia, Texas, The Lege, Travis County, Vicente Gonzalez, Wesley Hunt | 9 Comments

Precinct analysis: Congress, part 2

Posted on September 21, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions Appellate courts, Part 1 Appellate courts, Part 2 Judicial averages Other cities District Attorney County Attorney Sheriff Tax Assessor County Clerk HCDE Fort … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Amy Clark Meachum, Barack Obama, CD07, CD15, CD28, CD32, CD34, Christi Craddick, Chrysta Castaneda, Congress, Dale Henry, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Hillary Clinton, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, judicial races, Mitt Romney, MJ Hegar, Nathan Hecht, Paul Sadler, precinct analysis, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Senate, Supreme Court, Ted Cruz, Texas | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: Congress, part 1

Posted on September 14, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD15, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD28, CD31, CD32, CD34, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, judicial races, Mitt Romney, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, redistricting, Senate, Texas | Comments Off

July 2021 campaign finance reports: Congress

Posted on July 26, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

It’s July, and that means its campaign finance report season. I’m going to do a tour through the finance reports as I have done before, beginning with Congressional reports. I have posted reports from January 2021, which is the completion … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Beth van Duyne, campaign finance reports, CD02, CD03, CD07, CD08, CD10, CD15, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD31, CD32, CD34, Chip Roy, Colin Allred, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Derrik Gay, Donna Imam, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Filemon Vela, John Carter, John Lira, Larry Wallace, Matthew Berg, Michelle Beckley, Mike McCaul, Monica de la Cruz-Hernandez, Morgan Luttrell, redistricting, Texas, Tony Gonzales, Troy Nehls, Van Taylor, Vicente Gonzalez | 4 Comments

DCCC starts with two targets in Texas

Posted on April 11, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Consider this to be written in chalk on the pavement, pending the new Congressional maps. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee announced Tuesday that it will target two Republican-held districts in Texas — the ones currently held by Reps. Tony Gonzales … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Barack Obama, Beth van Duyne, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD15, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD28, CD31, CD32, CD34, Congress, DCCC, Donald Trump, economy, Election 2010, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Filemon Vela, Joe Biden, NRCC, President, redistricting, Texas, Tony Gonzales | 27 Comments

Republicans have their own Congressional targets for 2022

Posted on February 12, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

I have three things to say about this. Fresh off a 2020 election cycle in which they held the line against an ambitious Democratic campaign to capture U.S. House seats in Texas, national Republicans are signaling they’ll go on the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Beth van Duyne, CD07, CD15, CD24, CD28, CD32, CD34, Colin Allred, Congress, DCCC, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Filemon Vela, Henry Cuellar, Lizzie FLetcher, NRCC, redistricting, Texas, Vicente Gonzalez | 12 Comments

Precinct analysis: Presidential results by Congressional district

Posted on January 18, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

From Daily Kos Elections, the breakdown of how Presidential voting went in each of Texas’ 36 Congressional districts: Two districts did in fact flip on the presidential level: Trump lost the 24th District in the Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs while recapturing … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD15, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD28, CD31, CD32, CD34, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Filemon Vela, Henry Cuellar, Hillary Clinton, Jessica Cisneros, Joe Biden, Mitt Romney, precinct analysis, President, redistricting, Texas, Vicente Gonzalez | 3 Comments

Once again with female Congressional candidates

Posted on August 9, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

This is another post that was drafted in the Before Times, specifically right after the March primary. I went through the runoffs and assessed all of the races that could or would contain a female candidate or incumbent against a … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrienne Bell, Beth van Duyne, Candace Valenzuela, Carol Ianuzzi, Carolyn Salter, CD02, CD03, CD05, CD07, CD08, CD12, CD14, CD15, CD16, CD17, CD18, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD26, CD28, CD29, CD30, CD31, CD32, CD35, Christine Eady Mann, Colin Allred, Congress, Democratic primary, Donna Imam, Eddie Berniece Johnson, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elisa Cardnell, Elizabeth Hernandez, Genevieve Collins, Gina Ortiz Jones, Irene Armandariz-Jackson, Jaimy Blanco, Jenny Garcia Sharon, Julie Oliver, Kathaleen Wall, Kay Granger, Kim Olson, Lisa Welch, Lizzie FLetcher, Lulu Seikaly, Monica de la Cruz-Hernandez, Pete Sessions, primaries, Renee Swann, runoff, Sandra Whitten, Sheila Jackson Lee, Sima Ladjevardian, Sylvia Garcia, Texas, Troy Nehls, Veronica Escobar, Wendy Davis | Comments Off

A slightly less rosy view of Democratic prospects

Posted on August 1, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Here’s the latest race ratings from Texas Elects: Texas Election Source has updated 27 race ratings based on the latest polling, July campaign finance reports and primary runoff results. Twenty of those races moved one column toward the Democrats’ advantage. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Akilah Bacy, Ann Johnson, CD02, CD03, CD05, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD14, CD15, CD17, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD26, CD31, CD32, CD34, Congress, Court of Criminal Appeals, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, HD102, HD105, HD107, HD108, HD112, HD113, HD114, HD115, HD117, HD118, HD121, HD122, HD126, HD129, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD136, HD138, HD14, HD144, HD150, HD17, HD23, HD26, HD28, HD29, HD31, HD32, HD34, HD41, HD45, HD47, HD52, HD54, HD64, HD66, HD67, HD70, HD74, HD84, HD85, HD89.HD106, HD92, HD93, HD94, HD96, HD97, Joanna Cattanach, John Cornyn, Lacey Hull, Matt Shaheen, Morgan Meyer, polls, Railroad Commission, Sarah Davis, SD11, SD12, SD19, SD20, SD21, Senate, Sharon Hirsch, Supreme Court, Texas, The Lege | 1 Comment

Does getting to 40% make you likely to win the runoff?

Posted on March 15, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I was talking with some fellow political nerds last week, and one of the topics was the forthcoming runoffs. As is usually the case, this year we have some runoffs between candidates who finished fairly close together in round one, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Akilah Bacy, Al Edwards, Alexandra Smoots-Hogan, Anna Eastman, Borris Miles, Candace Valenzuela, CD03, CD10, CD13, CD15, CD17, CD23, CD24, CD27, CD31, CD32, CD34, Cheryl Elliott Thornton, Congress, David Jaramillo, Democratic primary, Eddie Lucio, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gabby Garcia, Governor, Greg Sagan, Gus Trujillo, Harold Dutton, HD105, HD109, HD119, HD133, HD137, HD138, HD142, HD146, HD148, HD27, HD37, HD42, HD45, HD47, HD64, HD76, HD95, Helen Delgadillo, Jenifer Pool, Jennifer Ramos, Jerry Davis, judicial races, Kim Olson, Kimberly McLeod, Lite Gov, Liz Campos, Lulu Seikaly, Michelle Palmer, Mike Siegel, Penny Shaw, Pritash Gandhi, Railroad Commission, Rick Kennedy, Roland Gutierrez, Sara Stapleton-Barrera, SBOE, SD17, SD19, SD27, Sean McCaffity, Senate, Texas, The Lege, Xochil Peña Rodriguez | 1 Comment

Rep. Will Hurd to step down

Posted on August 2, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Wow. I did not see this coming. The U.S. House’s last black Republican member, Rep. Will Hurd of Helotes, announced Thursday that he is retiring from Congress. President Donald Trump’s racist comments about elected officials weighed heavily on Hurd, who … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Blake Farenthold, CD02, CD03, CD04, CD05, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD11, CD15, CD16, CD19, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD27, CD29, CD32, Congress, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gene Green, Gina Ortiz Jones, Jeb Hensarling, Joe Barton, John Culberson, John Ratcliffe, Kenny Marchant, Lamar Smith, Mike Conaway, Mike McCaul, Pete Olson, Pete Sessions, Randy Neugebauer, Rosey Ramos Abuabara, Ruben Hinojosa, Sam Johnson, Ted Poe, Texas, Will Hurd | 7 Comments

Precinct analysis: 2018 Congress

Posted on March 20, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

The 2018 Congressional races were the most expensive, the most hotly and broadly contested, and by far the most attention-grabbing races in the non-Beto division. We hadn’t seen anything remotely like it since the 2004 DeLay re-redistricting year, but we … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD08, CD10, CD12, CD14, CD15, CD17, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD26, CD27, CD28, CD31, CD32, CD34, CD36, Colin Allred, Congress, Dayna Steele, DCCC, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, Joe Kopser, Justin Nelson, Kim Olson, Lizzie FLetcher, Lupe Valdez, Mike Collier, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, Roman McAllen, Texas, Will Hurd | 4 Comments

Who might be next to retire from Congress?

Posted on December 3, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

We may see some more exits in the coming years, some voluntary and some not. Retirement talk is generally speculative until an incumbent makes an official announcement. But many Republican operatives bet that U.S. Rep. Mac Thornberry, the most senior … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018, Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD04, CD10, CD13, CD14, CD15, CD16, CD19, CD20, CD22, CD24, CD25, CD31, CD35, CD36, Congress, Democratic primary, Election 2012, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Joaquin Castro, John Carter, John Ratcliffe, Kenny Marchant, Lloyd Doggett, Mac Thornberry, Mike McCaul, Pete Olson, Randy Neugebauer, Randy Weber, redistricting, Roger Williams, Ruben Hinojosa, Senate, Silvestre Reyes, Steve Stockman, Texas | 1 Comment

Democratic primary runoff results

Posted on May 25, 2016 by Charles Kuffner

Harris County results Fort Bend County results Statewide results Trib liveblog Just for the record, we didn’t get any precinct results until 8:34, at which time only 8% of precincts had reported. I’m pretty sure it wasn’t because of overwhelming … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2016 | Tagged absentee ballots, Barbara Gervin-Hawkins, Bexar County, CD15, Chris Diaz, Congress, Constable, Dakota Carter, Democratic primary, Ed Gonzalez, Elaine Palmer, Election 2016, Eric Carter, Fort Bend County, Fredericka Phillips, Grady Yarbrough, Harris County, Harris County Sheriff, HD120, HD139, HD27, Hilary Green, Jarvis Johnson, judicial races, Julie Countiss, Justice of the Peace, Kimberly Willis, Kristen Hawkins, Railroad Commission, Ron Reynolds, runoff, SBOE, Sherman Eagleton, Texas, The Lege, Vicente Gonzalez | 6 Comments

2016 primaries: Congress

Posted on March 2, 2016 by Charles Kuffner

The big story here is that Rep. Gene Green not only survived, but won big. He was up 65% to 32% in early voting, a margin of about 4,000 votes; in the end he won by about 58-38, for a … Continue reading →

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Blake Farenthold, CD07, CD08, CD15, CD27, CD29, Congress, Democratic primary, Dolly Elizondo, Election 2016, Gene Green, Glen Robertson, Jody Arrington, John Culberson, Kevin Brady, Michael Bob Starr, primaries, Ruben Hinojosa, runoff, Steve Toth, Texas, Vicente Gonzalez | 3 Comments

Primary Day is today

Posted on March 1, 2016 by Charles Kuffner

From the inbox: “Visit www.HarrisVotes.com to ensure you go to the correct voting location and to find your personal sample ballot for the Tuesday, March 1, Republican Party and Democratic Party Primary Elections,” said Harris County Clerk Stan Stanart, encouraging … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2016 | Tagged Alma Allen, CD15, Congress, Democratic primary, Dolly Elizondo, Don Sumners, Election 2016, Gene Wu, Harris County, Harris County Tax Assessor, HD121, HD131, HD137, HD148, HD149, Hubert Vo, Jessica Farrar, Joe Straus, Jose Menendez, Kevin Eltife, Mike Sullivan, President, primaries, SBOE, SD26, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege, Trey Martinez-Fischer, Troy Fraser, turnout | 5 Comments

Dolly Elizondo to run for CD15

Posted on December 7, 2015 by Charles Kuffner

This bears watching. Dolly Elizondo, a Texas Realtor and local Democratic activist, said Thursday she will run in the state’s 15th District, a campaign that, if successful, could make her the first Latina to represent the Lone Star State in … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2016 | Tagged CD15, Congress, Democratic primary, Dolly Elizondo, Election 2016, Hidalgo County, Juan Palacios, Ruben Hinojosa, Texas, Vicente Gonzalez | Comments Off

Rep. Ruben Hinojosa to retire

Posted on November 14, 2015 by Charles Kuffner

A second open Congressional seat for 2016. First elected to Congress in 1996, Hinojosa has largely had a dormant campaign operation for most of this cycle, and he drew a Republican challenger this year in former Rio Grande City Mayor … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2016 | Tagged CD15, Congress, Democratic primary, Edward Pollard, Election 2016, Gene Wu, HD137, Mando Martinez, Ruben Hinojosa, Ruben Villarreal, Texas, The Lege, Veronica Gonzalez | Comments Off

The Congressional Geezer Caucus

Posted on March 26, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

The DMN notices that a sizable portion of Texas’ Congressional delegation is, um, old. Of the most populous states, Texas has the oldest congressional delegation, averaging nearly 63 years old, while the average for Congress as a whole is about … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD03, CD04, CD12, CD14, CD15, CD16, CD20, CD30, CD31, Charlie Gonzalez, Congress, David Dewhurst, Democratic primary, Eddie Berniece Johnson, Election 2012, Joaquin Castro, Kay Bailey Hutchison, Nick Lampson, Ron Paul, Senate, Silvestre Reyes, Taj Clayton, Texas | Comments Off

Congressional map gets final approval

Posted on June 22, 2011 by Charles Kuffner

On to the Governor. The Republican-controlled Texas Senate approved a new congressional district map for the state Monday and sent it to Gov. Rick Perry for his approval. […] The map was approved 19-12 along party lines and without debate. … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged Barack Obama, Barbara Radnofsky, Bill Moody, Bill White, CD15, CD20, CD23, CD34, Charlie Gonzalez, Congress, David Dewhurst, DC27, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Greg Abbott, Linda Chavez-Thompson, redistricting, Ruben Hinojosa, Sam Houston, Senate, Solomon Ortiz, Texas, The Lege | 10 Comments

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