Tag Archives: Election 2008

Initial thoughts about the election

Posted on November 5, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

And now for some reactions and analysis… – The polls were garbage. Oy vey. Not just here, though they were definitely off here, underestimating Trump and the Republicans after doing the same to Beto and the Dems in 2018. This … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Beto O'Rourke, CD02, Chrysta Castaneda, Commissioners Court, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Donald Trump, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, Grady Yarbrough, Greg Abbott, Harris County, HCDE, HD108, HD112, HD126, HD127, HD128, HD129, HD130, HD132, HD133, HD135, HD138, HD150, Jack Morman, Jane Bland, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, judicial races, Latino voting, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Senate, straight ticket voting, Supreme Court, Texas, The Lege, Tom Ramsey, turnout, voter registration, Wendy Davis | 8 Comments

November 2020 Early Voting Day Eighteen: Records were broken

Posted on October 31, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I know, I skipped Day Seventeen, but since the daily EV totals came in at a more manageable hour last night (since early voting once again ceased at 7 PM), I was able to get the latest totals in. So … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Chris Hollins, curbside voting, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Harris County Clerk, Texas, turnout, voter registration | 6 Comments

November 2020 Early Voting Day Sixteen: All through the night

Posted on October 30, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

This post is scheduled to publish before 5 AM today. When that happens, voting will still be happening in Harris County. In Harris County this year, residents can vote where the Rockets or Texans play, from the comfort or their … Continue reading →

November 2020 Early Voting Day Fifteen: Now with evening hours

Posted on October 29, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

In case you haven’t heard, Texas is in play. It’s six days from a presidential election, and the anchor of the Republican Electoral College coalition—Texas—is a toss-up. That is not just us being goofballs and throwing around dramatic words. “Toss-up” … Continue reading →

November 2020 Early Voting Day Fourteen: Where will we end up?

Posted on October 27, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Because we like starting with tweets: . Welp. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/texas/ — Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) 5:58 PM – 25 October 2020 That was from Sunday, after the UT-Tyler poll was factored in. As you may know, there have been two polls released … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Beto O'Rourke, Chris Hollins, curbside voting, Donald Trump, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Harris County Clerk, Joe Biden, polls, Texas, turnout, voter registration | Comments Off

November 2020 Early Voting Day Thirteen: In the home stretch

Posted on October 26, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Twitter time: . According to the Texas Secretary of State, 7,193,582 Texans had voted as of Saturday, a turnout of 42.43% of registered voters. Texas turnout for *all* of 2016 (including Election Day) was 8,969,226, so the state is already … Continue reading →

November 2020 Early Voting Day Twelve: Second Saturday

Posted on October 25, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Where we are. Harris County surpassed 1 million ballots cast Friday, setting an early voting record with seven days remaining, in spite of the lingering COVID-19 pandemic and a flurry of lawsuits over the management of the election. The county … Continue reading →

November 2020 Early Voting Day Eleven: We reach one million

Posted on October 24, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Let’s take a brief detour to Fort bend County. Fort Bend County voters continue to smash early-voting records — with a greater share of voters turning out so far than in populous Harris and Dallas counties, according to a news … Continue reading →

November 2020 Early Voting Day Ten: Closing in on 2016

Posted on October 23, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

A couple of tweets to get us started: . 1.3 million (25%) ofTX early voters so far did not vote in 2016. #txlege — Keir Murray (@houtopia) 2:40 PM – 21 October 2020 I talked about the likely percentage of … Continue reading →

November 2020 Early Voting Day Nine: Starting to run out of clever subtitles

Posted on October 22, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

And now, for something slightly different, Part One: This was hard for Jacob Monty. As a lifelong Republican, the 52-year old Houston attorney has been in the trenches with former President George W. Bush, never voted for a Democrat for … Continue reading →

November 2020 Early Voting Day Eight: Any idea what pattern we’ll follow?

Posted on October 21, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

The Chron provides five takeaways from early voting so far. Democrats appear to be doing well in Harris County, but don’t call it a wave yet. Turnout to date has been strong in precincts carried by Trump and Clinton in … Continue reading →

November 2020 Early Voting Day Seven: It’s Day One all over again, sort of

Posted on October 20, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Here’s a mid-day headline that needed some revision by the evening. Harris County is on pace to reach half of of 2016’s total voter turnout by Monday evening, the county clerk reported. By 11 a.m. Monday, the seventh day of … Continue reading →

November 2020 Early Voting Day Six: And now we start the “normal” early voting period

Posted on October 19, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I’m just going to jump right into the data here. The Day Six daily EV totals are here. You can find the daily totals for 2008 and 2012 (and 2016 as well, but I’ve got a separate link for it) … Continue reading →

November 2020 Early Voting Day Five: How not to look at the early voting totals

Posted on October 18, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

From Twitter on Friday: . Biden needs a rout in Harris County (#Houston) to have any chance of winning TX. We’ve had 3 days of record-shattering turnout and by tonight may have 500k votes. But so far, Biden probably isn’t … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Chris Hollins, curbside voting, Donald Trump, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Harris County Clerk, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, straight ticket voting, Texas, turnout, voter registration | 2 Comments

All those voter registration efforts did what they set out to do

Posted on October 17, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

News item #1: Texas adds nearly 300,000 more voters in the last two weeks, approaches 17 million voters overall. In just two weeks, Texas added more than 284,000 more voters to its rolls just before the registration deadline and now … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, President, Secretary of State, Texas, turnout, voter registration | 5 Comments

The overlooked Congressional race

Posted on October 17, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

There are ten Congressional races involving Republican-held seats that are seen as competitive. Nine of them have gotten a fair amount of attention. The tenth is CD06, and the Texas Signal steps in to fill the gap. The race in … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD03, CD06, CD25, Chet Edwards, Congress, DCCC, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gene Green, Lloyd Doggett, Mike Siegel, Nick Lampson, polls, Ron Wright, Stephen Daniel, Texas | 3 Comments

November 2020 Early Voting Day Four: One hundred thousand is the magic number

Posted on October 17, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Lather, rinse, repeat. The county announced it had passed the 100K mark in a tweet just after 6 p.m. It was the four straight day with more than 100,000 ballots cast by county voters. Those four days now mark the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Chris Hollins, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Harris County Clerk, Texas, turnout | 3 Comments

November 2020 Early Voting Day Three: It’s still raining voters out there

Posted on October 16, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

People want to vote. About 1.9 million Texans had cast ballots in-person or by mail as of Wednesday, according to state and county election data, continuing to crush state records for early voting. The 2020 presidential election is expected to … Continue reading →

November 2020 Early Voting Day Two: One million votes on Day One

Posted on October 15, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Pretty impressive so far. More than a million Texans have already cast ballots after just the first day of early voting. And the state isn’t even finished counting the first day’s numbers. Record breaking early voting, combined with unusually high … Continue reading →

November 2020 Early Voting Day One: People sure were ready to vote

Posted on October 14, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

You’re going to hear the words “record-breaking” a lot. More than 125,000 Harris County residents went to the polls Tuesday to cast ballots on the first day of early voting, smashing the county’s previous records. As of about 7:30 p.m., … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Chris Hollins, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Fort Bend County, Harris County, Harris County Clerk, KP George, Texas, turnout | 4 Comments

The HCDE makeover

Posted on September 25, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

One more world to conquer in Harris County. The future looked bleak for Texas’ last remaining county education department in early 2019. After years of state-level efforts to abolish the Harris County Department of Education, a new majority of trustees … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Amy Hinojosa, Andrea Duhon, Bob Wolfe, Briscoe Cain, Danyahel Norris, David Brown, Debby Kerner, Diane Trautman, Don Sumners, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Eric Dick, Erica Davis, Erica Lee, George Moore, Harris County, HCDE, Jim Henley, Josh Flynn, Michael Wolfe, Paul Bettencourt, Richard Cantu, Sherrie Matula, The Lege | 4 Comments

Don’t expect any surprises in the judicial races

Posted on September 23, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

There’s a simple reason why the Democratic candidates and incumbents are expected to win all the judicial races in Harris County, as they did in 2016 and 2018. I’ll tell you why in a minute, but see if you can … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Hillary Clinton, judicial races, straight ticket voting, Texas, turnout, voter registration | 1 Comment

Another look at the County Commissioner race

Posted on September 11, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

It’s the most consequential local race on the ballot this year. Every four years since 1968, Harris County residents have been able to count on a Republican winning the Precinct 3 commissioner’s seat. In that half century, a parade of … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Commissioners Court, demography, Donald Trump, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Hillary Clinton, Michael Moore, redistricting, Steve Radack, Texas, Tom Ramsey, voter registration | 1 Comment

Why endorse Sarah Davis?

Posted on September 4, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

It’s a good question. Planned Parenthood’s Texas political arm on Thursday endorsed state Rep. Sarah Davis, rebuffing abortion rights activists who had lobbied the group to deny political support for the Houston Republican. The efforts to deny Davis the endorsement … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged abortion, Ann Johnson, Beto O'Rourke, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2018, Election 2020, Ellen Cohen, HD134, Human Rights Campaign, Medicaid, Planned Parenthood, Planned Parenthood Vote Texas, Sarah Davis, Speaker's race, Susan Collins, Texas, The Lege, women's health | 14 Comments

Republicans try and fail to remove Libertarian candidates from the ballot

Posted on August 27, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

From Patrick Svitek: . Texas appeals court rejects last-minute lawsuits by @NRCC, @TravisGOP to kick Libertarian candidates off November ballot for not paying filing fees: http://search.txcourts.gov/SearchMedia.aspx?MediaVersionID=fee8c1fc-f70a-4d57-baf0-5775ccdea786&coa=coa03&DT=Opinion&MediaID=9242cd19-73c0-441c-bc1f-786be9ec000f — Patrick Svitek (@PatrickSvitek) 12:00 AM – 26 August 2020 The Third Court of … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, Legal matters | Tagged CD03, CD21, Chrysta Castaneda, Congress, Election 2008, Election 2020, filing fee, Green Party, Kim Brimer, lawsuit, Libertarian Party, MJ Hegar, NRCC, Railroad Commission, SD10, Senate, Texas, The Lege, Third Court of Appeals, Travis County, Van Taylor, Wendy Davis | 12 Comments

As goes Tarrant, 2020 edition

Posted on August 23, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Hello, old friend. Shortly after Democrat Beto O’Rourke launched his campaign to unseat U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz in 2018, he made several visits to Tarrant County in North Texas to press the message that if he could flip this county, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Beverly Powell, CD06, CD24, Congress, demography, Donald Trump, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Joe Biden, Konni Burton, polls, President, redistricting, SD10, Senate, Tarrant County, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

The progressives and the runoffs

Posted on July 14, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

May as well check in on this. Judging from March, the ideological left wing of the Democratic Party in Texas should be inconsolable. After months of high hopes, the faction ran into a centrist buzz saw in the March 3 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Candace Valenzuela, CD10, CD24, CD28, Congress, Democratic primary, District Attorney, Eddie Lucio, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2018, Election 2020, Henry Cuellar, Jessica Cisneros, Jose Garza, Kim Olson, Margaret Moore, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Pritash Gandhi, Royce West, Ruben Cortez, runoff, Sara Stapleton-Barrera, SD27, Senate, Texas, Travis County | 1 Comment

2020 Primary Runoff Early Voting, Second Tuesday: A history of Democratic primary runoffs

Posted on July 8, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Yesterday I said that the turnout so far in the 2020 Democratic primary runoff was already historic. Today I’m going to show my work on that. Herewith is the 21st century history of Democratic primary runoff turnout for Harris County: … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, coronavirus, early voting, Election 2002, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, face masks, Governor, Greg Abbott, Harris County, lawsuit, primaries, Railroad Commission, runoff, Senate, Texas, turnout | 3 Comments

Interview with Rep. Chris Turner

Posted on July 6, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I’ve done two interviews about redistricting so far, with both of them focused on the litigation aspect of it, which in turn had a focus on Congress. Today I want to pay more attention to the Legislature, which is not … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged Chris Turner, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2020, HD101, redistricting, SBOE, Senate, Tarrant County, Texas, The Lege | Comments Off

The fifty percent challenge

Posted on July 5, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

An interesting point from Amy Walters. President Trump is at the most precarious political moment of his presidency. Or at least, the most precarious since the summer and fall of 2017 when, in the wake of Charlottesville, the failure to … Continue reading →

Posted in The making of the President | Tagged Donald Trump, Election 1992, Election 1996, Election 2000, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Green Party, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Libertarian Party, polls, President, Ralph Nader, Ross Perot, Texas, write-in candidate | 4 Comments

Does getting to 40% make you likely to win the runoff?

Posted on March 15, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I was talking with some fellow political nerds last week, and one of the topics was the forthcoming runoffs. As is usually the case, this year we have some runoffs between candidates who finished fairly close together in round one, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Akilah Bacy, Al Edwards, Alexandra Smoots-Hogan, Anna Eastman, Borris Miles, Candace Valenzuela, CD03, CD10, CD13, CD15, CD17, CD23, CD24, CD27, CD31, CD32, CD34, Cheryl Elliott Thornton, Congress, David Jaramillo, Democratic primary, Eddie Lucio, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gabby Garcia, Governor, Greg Sagan, Gus Trujillo, Harold Dutton, HD105, HD109, HD119, HD133, HD137, HD138, HD142, HD146, HD148, HD27, HD37, HD42, HD45, HD47, HD64, HD76, HD95, Helen Delgadillo, Jenifer Pool, Jennifer Ramos, Jerry Davis, judicial races, Kim Olson, Kimberly McLeod, Lite Gov, Liz Campos, Lulu Seikaly, Michelle Palmer, Mike Siegel, Penny Shaw, Pritash Gandhi, Railroad Commission, Rick Kennedy, Roland Gutierrez, Sara Stapleton-Barrera, SBOE, SD17, SD19, SD27, Sean McCaffity, Senate, Texas, The Lege, Xochil Peña Rodriguez | 1 Comment

Let’s talk turnout

Posted on March 11, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Just a few random bits and pieces about turnout from the primaries. On the one hand, I think it’s great that Dems got the turnout that we did, in Harris County and around the state. On the other hand, I … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Amy Klobuchar, Bernie Sanders, Bexar County, Brazoria County, Collin County, Dallas County, Democratic primary, Denton County, early voting, El Paso, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elizabeth Warren, Fort Bend County, Harris County, Hidalgo County, Joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg, Montgomery County, Pete Buttigieg, President, primaries, Tarrant County, Texas, Travis County, turnout, Williamson County | Comments Off

Trautman apologizes for the long lines

Posted on March 7, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

A very good start. Harris County Clerk Diane Trautman is taking “full responsibility” for the long lines and wait times that bogged down election night voting and forced some voters to wait more than six hours to cast their ballots. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Democratic primary, Diane Trautman, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Harris County Clerk, Texas, turnout | 6 Comments

Primary early voting: Comparing 2020 to 2016

Posted on March 2, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

The Chron looks into the early voting numbers around the state. Experts cautioned that early voting data should be taken with a grain of salt — for one because the subset of people who vote early aren’t necessarily representative of … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Bell County, Bexar County, Brazoria County, Brazos County, Collin County, Comal County, Dallas County, Democratic primary, Denton County, early voting, El Paso, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Fort Bend County, Galveston, Guadalupe County, Harris County, Hays County, Hidalgo County, Lubbock, McLennan County, Montgomery County, Nueces County, primaries, Tarrant County, Texas, Travis County, turnout, Williamson County | 1 Comment

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