Tag Archives: Election 2012

What will it take to keep those ten appellate court benches we won in 2018?

Posted on February 21, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

As you may recall, Democrats won a ton of Appellate Court races in 2018. Ten of them, in fact, five each on the First and Fourteenth Courts of Appeals, the first such victories since winning a lone bench in 2008. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2024 | Tagged 14th Court of Appeals, Austin County, Beto O'Rourke, Brazoria County, Chambers County, Colorado County, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, First Court of Appeals, Fort Bend County, Galveston, Grimes County, Harris County, Joe Biden, judicial races, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, straight ticket voting, Texas, turnout, Waller County, Washington County | 1 Comment

What I want from the next HCDP Chair

Posted on February 6, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

As you know, the Harris County Democratic Party will soon have a new Chair. And as you know, I am a Democratic precinct chair, which means I’m one of the several hundred people that will vote on who that is. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged 14th Court of Appeals, Beto O'Rourke, Brazoria County, CD02, CD22, Chambers County, Congress, Ed Gonzalez, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, First Court of Appeals, Fort Bend County, Galveston, Harris County, HCDP, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Liberty County, Mike Doyle, Montgomery County, Odus Evbagharu, SBOE, SD07, SD17, Senate, Silvia Mintz, Texas, turnout, voter suppression, Waller County | 3 Comments

Precinct analysis: Inside and out of the city

Posted on January 17, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

Most years we don’t get the data to differentiate between votes cast by residents of Houston and votes cast by Harris County non-Houston residents. There needs to be a citywide referendum of the ballot in order to get at this … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Alexandra Mealer, Beto O'Rourke, Carla Wyatt, Chris Daniel, Dan Patrick, Dawn Buckingham, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2018, Election 2022, Glenn Hegar, Greg Abbott, Harris County, Houston, Janet Dudding, Jay Kleberg, Ken Paxton, Kyle Scott, Lina Hidalgo, Luke Warford, Marilyn Burgess, Mike Collier, precinct analysis, Rochelle Garza, Sid Miller, Stan Stanart, Susan Hays, Teneshia Hudspeth, Texas, Wayne Christian | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: Hidalgo versus Mealer

Posted on December 29, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

PREVIOUSLY Beto versus Abbott Beto versus the spread We’ve looked at the Governor’s race, in which Beto was the top Democratic performer. Now we’ll look at the next highest profile race, in which the result was a surprise to some … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Alexandra Mealer, Beto O'Rourke, Commissioners Court, Constable, Election 2004, Election 2012, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Election 2026, Governor, Harris County, Harris County Judge, judicial races, Justice of the Peace, Lina Hidalgo, precinct analysis, redistricting, Texas, write-in candidate | 6 Comments

State and county election result relationships: Tarrant County

Posted on December 12, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

In years past, Tarrant County was a pretty close bellwether for election results in the state of Texas. From 2004 through 2016, the closeness of their Presidential numbers with the statewide numbers was eerie. But since 2018 the talk has … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Election 2002, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Governor, Joe Biden, precinct analysis, President, Senate, Tarrant County, Texas, Wendy Davis | 2 Comments

State and county election result relationships, part 4: What happened in 2022

Posted on November 15, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Part 1 Part 2 Part 3 Now that the final totals are in, let’s go back and do the same exercise in comparing overall results for statewide candidates to the results they got in Harris County, and then from there … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Alexandra Mealer, Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Governor, Harris County, Harris County Judge, judicial races, Lina Hidalgo, polls, precinct analysis, Texas, turnout, Wendy Davis | 1 Comment

Fewer mail ballots rejected in November

Posted on November 7, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Good, but still could be better. Local election officials in Texas are reporting a drop in the percentage of mail ballots that have so far been flagged for rejection during the ongoing midterm elections, as compared with a spike earlier … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Harris County, Secretary of State, Texas, turnout, voter suppression | 1 Comment

State and county election result relationships, part 3: Other county races

Posted on October 21, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Part One Part Two Last time we looked at judicial races, which for all of the complaints about not knowing the candidates and just going by partisan labels have produced a consistent range of outcomes over the years. Some people … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Beverly Kaufman, Devon Anderson, Diane Trautman, District Attorney, District Clerk, Ed Emmett, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Governor, Harris County, Harris County Clerk, Harris County Judge, Harris County Sheriff, Harris County Tax Assessor, Harris County Treasurer, HCDE, Kim Ogg, Lloyd Oliver, Mike Anderson, Paul Bettencourt, polls, precinct analysis, President, Senate, straight ticket voting, Texas, Tommy Thomas | 6 Comments

State and county election result relationships, part 2: Judicial races

Posted on October 20, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

In Part One of this series, we looked at the relationship between statewide results and Harris County results for statewide candidates. In the last three elections, statewide Democratic candidates have done on average more than nine points better in Harris … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Bill White, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Governor, Harris County, judicial races, polls, precinct analysis, President, Senate, Texas | 1 Comment

State and county election result relationships, part 1: How Harris compares

Posted on October 18, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

I’ve been thinking a lot lately about the relationship between how statewide Democratic candidates do in Harris County versus how they do overall, and what that might tell us about the state of play in Harris County. Since I started … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Election 2002, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Governor, Harris County, polls, precinct analysis, President, Senate, Texas | 5 Comments

The independents

Posted on August 2, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Recently I got an email from a gentleman named Ted Wood, who wrote to inform me that he had successfully completed the requirements to be an independent candidate for Chief Justice of the First Court of Appeals on the November … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Amparo Guerra, Andy Williams, Angelina Goodman, CD09, CD18, CD34, Congress, Constable, Election 1996, Election 2002, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, First Court of Appeals, Harris County, judicial races, Julie Countiss, petitions, public defender, Secretary of State, Sherry Radack, Ted Wood, Terry Adams, Texas, The Lege | 5 Comments

HISD approves its budget

Posted on June 12, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

First one for the new Superintendent. Houston ISD trustees on Thursday unanimously approved a $2.2 billion budget that will give teacher raises some have called long overdue and fund the upcoming school year when the district is expected to begin … Continue reading →

Posted in School days | Tagged bond referendum, budget, coronavirus, Election 2012, Election 2022, Election 2023, Elizabeth Santos, HISD, HISD Board of Trustees, Houston, Millard House, schools, stimulus | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: The new Senate map

Posted on March 22, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Previously: New State House map, New Congressional map, new SBOE map. The good news is that all 31 Senate seats will be on the ballot this year, as it is a post-redistricting year. The bad news is that the only … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged demography, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, precinct analysis, redistricting, SD02, SD07, SD08, SD09, SD10, SD12, SD17, SD19, SD20, SD27, SD30, Senate, Texas | Comments Off

The only constant is change

Posted on February 28, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

This DMN story is about the wave of changes to the various legislative caucuses in North Dallas, but if you pull the lens back just a little, you can see how universal it is. Proponents of term limits complain that … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Al Green, Alma Allen, Ana Hernandez, Armando Walle, Collin County, Commissioners Court, Congress, Dallas County, Denton County, Election 2012, Election 2022, Gene Wu, Harold Dutton, Harris County, Hubert Vo, Jane Nelson, Joan Huffman, John Whitmire, Kel Seliger, Larry Taylor, Lawrence Allen, Mary Ann Perez, Mike McCaul, redistricting, SBOE, Senate, Senfronia Thompson, Sheila Jackson Lee, Tarrant County, Texas, The Lege | Comments Off

Final 2022 primary early voting totals

Posted on February 27, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

It’s been a strange two weeks for early voting, so let’s get to the wrapup. Here are your final early voting totals. The table for comparison: Election Mail Early Total ================================ 2018 D 22,695 70,152 92,847 2018 R 24,500 61,425 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged absentee ballots, Attorney General, early voting, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Governor, Harris County, Texas, turnout, voter suppression | 3 Comments

Precinct analysis: The new SBOE map

Posted on December 22, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Previously: New State House map, New Congressional map I probably care more about the SBOE than most normal people do. It’s not that powerful an entity, there are only 15 seats on it, and their elections go largely under the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Collin County, Comal County, Dallas County, Denton County, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Election 2022, Fort Bend County, Harris County, Hood County, Joe Biden, Johnson County, Montgomery County, Parker County, precinct analysis, redistricting, SBOE, Somervell County, Tarrant County, Texas, Travis County | Comments Off

Beto and South Texas

Posted on December 3, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Brace yourself for a lot of stories like this in the coming months. In the first days of his campaign for governor, Beto O’Rourke made a beeline to this southernmost corner of the state, saying it was no mistake he … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Bill Moody, Dori Garza, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Elizabeth Frizell, Governor, Greg Abbott, Hector Uribe, Hidalgo County, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, John Kerry, JR Molina, Latino voting, Leticia Van De Putte, Linda Yanez, Michele Petty, Senate, Steven Kirkland, Ted Cruz, Texas | 6 Comments

Precinct analysis: The new Congressional map

Posted on November 23, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Previously: New State House map We will now take a look at how the districts of interest in the new Congressional map have changed over the past decade. Same basic idea, looking at the closer districts from 2020 to see … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Barack Obama, CD03, CD07, CD10, CD12, CD15, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD26, CD28, CD31, CD34, CD38, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Election 2022, Joe Biden, Mitt Romney, precinct analysis, redistricting, Texas | 2 Comments

The growing field for Land Commissioner

Posted on November 21, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

We have some interesting candidates on our side. A member of a South Texas family that owns one of the largest ranches in the country is seeking the Democratic nomination for Texas land commissioner, the statewide office overseeing the Alamo’s … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Democratic primary, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Jay Kleberg, Jinny Suh, Kleberg County, Land Commissioner, Texas | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: The new State House map

Posted on November 8, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Like it or not, we have new State House districts. We may as well acquaint ourselves with them. The coverage we’ve had so far has focused on the 2020 election numbers to say whether a district will be red or … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Alex Dominguez, Barack Obama, Bell County, Beto O'Rourke, Brazoria County, Brazos County, Collin County, Denton County, Donald Trump, Eddie Lucio, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Fort Bend County, Hays County, HD106, HD108, HD112, HD118, HD121, HD122, HD126, HD127, HD129, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD138, HD14, HD144, HD148, HD150, HD20, HD25, HD26, HD28, HD29, HD33, HD34, HD35, HD36, HD37, HD39, HD41, HD45, HD47, HD52, HD54, HD55, HD57, HD61, HD63, HD65, HD66, HD70, HD74, HD76, HD80, HD84, HD89, HD93, HD94, HD96, HD97, HD99, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Mitt Romney, Penny Shaw, precinct analysis, redistricting, Rockwall County, Texas, The Lege, Williamson County | 3 Comments

CM Travis resigns to run for HD133

Posted on October 28, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Did not see that coming. City Councilmember Greg Travis on Wednesday announced he is running for a seat in the Texas House of Representatives, effectively resigning his District G post at City Hall. Travis told supporters at a River Oaks … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Bert Keller, District G, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2020, Election 2022, Greg Travis, Harris County, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD138, Houston, Houston City Council, Jim Murphy, Mano DeAyala, Mitt Romney, redistricting, Shelley Barineau, special election, Texas, The Lege | 3 Comments

2021 Day Seven EV report: After the weekend

Posted on October 26, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Let’s get right to it: These are the early voting totals for the 2021 election after Sunday: Mail ballots: 36,517 In person: 19,901 You can see the full Day Seven report here. The “voters by type” breakdown on the last … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2021 | Tagged absentee ballots, curbside voting, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2009, Election 2012, Election 2015, Election 2016, Election 2017, Election 2019, Election 2020, Election 2021, Harris County, HCC, HISD, HISD Board of Trustees, Houston, turnout | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: Congress, part 2

Posted on September 21, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions Appellate courts, Part 1 Appellate courts, Part 2 Judicial averages Other cities District Attorney County Attorney Sheriff Tax Assessor County Clerk HCDE Fort … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Amy Clark Meachum, Barack Obama, CD07, CD15, CD28, CD32, CD34, Christi Craddick, Chrysta Castaneda, Congress, Dale Henry, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Hillary Clinton, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, judicial races, Mitt Romney, MJ Hegar, Nathan Hecht, Paul Sadler, precinct analysis, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Senate, Supreme Court, Ted Cruz, Texas | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: Congress, part 1

Posted on September 14, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD15, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD28, CD31, CD32, CD34, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, judicial races, Mitt Romney, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, redistricting, Senate, Texas | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: SBOE

Posted on September 7, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Mitt Romney, precinct analysis, redistricting, Ruben Cortez, SBOE, Texas | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: State House district changes by county

Posted on July 6, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, Bexar County, Brazoria County, Chambers County, Collin County, Denton County, Donald Trump, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Fort Bend County, Galveston, HD03, HD05, HD06, HD101, HD106, HD116, HD117, HD118, HD119, HD120, HD121, HD122, HD123, HD124, HD125, HD136, HD15, HD16, HD23, HD24, HD25, HD26, HD27, HD28, HD29, HD33, HD52, HD63, HD64, HD65, HD66, HD67, HD70, HD83, HD84, HD85, HD89, HD90, HD91, HD92, HD93, HD94, HD95, HD96, HD97, HD98, HD99, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Lubbock, Mitt Romney, Montgomery County, precinct analysis, President, redistricting, Smith County, Tarrant County, Texas, Tyler, Williamson County | 3 Comments

UT/Trib poll: Abbott has the best of a bunch of weak approval numbers

Posted on June 30, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Same story, new chapter, Texas voters are split over whether they approve of Gov. Greg Abbott’s job performance, though he remains popular with Republicans and more popular among Texans than President Joe Biden, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022, Show Business for Ugly People | Tagged Barack Obama, coronavirus, Dade Phelan, Dan Patrick, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2022, Greg Abbott, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Ken Paxton, polls, Ted Cruz, Texas | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: State House district changes by demography

Posted on June 28, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, Bexar County, Cameron County, Dallas County, Donald Trump, El Paso, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Fort Bend County, Harris County, HD100, HD102, HD103, HD104, HD105, HD107, HD108, HD109, HD110, HD111, HD112, HD116, HD117, HD118, HD119, HD120, HD121, HD123, HD124, HD125, HD131, HD137, HD139, HD140, HD141, HD142, HD143, HD144, HD145, HD146, HD147, HD148, HD149, HD22, HD26, HD27, HD28, HD31, HD32, HD34, HD35, HD36, HD37, HD38, HD39, HD40, HD41, HD42, HD43, HD46, HD47, HD49, HD50, HD66, HD67, HD74, HD75, HD76, HD77, HD78, HD79, HD80, HD90, HD95, Hidalgo County, Hillary Clinton, Jefferson County, Joe Biden, Mitt Romney, Nueces County, precinct analysis, redistricting, Tarrant County, Texas, The Lege, Travis County, turnout, Webb County | 2 Comments

Everyone’s waiting on Beto

Posted on June 24, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Pardon me while I brew myself a cup of tea and stare meaningfully out the window. Texas’ Republican statewide primaries are heating up as challengers emerged in recent weeks for both Gov. Greg Abbott and Attorney General Ken Paxton. But … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Attorney General, Beto O'Rourke, Congress, Don Huffines, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2022, Election 2024, Election 2026, Eva Guzman, George P. Bush, Greg Abbott, John Cornyn, Ken Paxton, Lina Hidalgo, primaries, redistricting, Senate, Steve Stockman, Texas, The Lege | 16 Comments

Guzman to run for AG

Posted on June 15, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Certainly makes that primary more interesting. Eva Guzman, the former justice on the Texas Supreme Court, has filed paperwork to run for state attorney general. On Friday, Guzman, a Republican, filed what is known as a campaign treasurer appointment form … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Attorney General, Barry Smitherman, Dan Branch, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2022, Eva Guzman, George P. Bush, Joe Pool, Ken Paxton, primaries, Republican Party, Rose Vela, Supreme Court, Texas | 8 Comments

Precinct analysis: The median districts

Posted on June 14, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, Chrysta Castaneda, Craig Eiland, Dale Henry, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Grady Yarbrough, HD102, HD105, HD107, HD108, HD112, HD113, HD114, HD134, HD138, HD23, HD31, HD54, HD66, HD92, HD97, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Mitt Romney, MJ Hegar, Paul Sadler, precinct analysis, Railroad Commission, redistricting, SD08, SD09, SD16, Senate, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: State Senate district comparisons

Posted on May 24, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, Bell County, Coryell County, demography, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Ellis County, Fort Bend County, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Johnson County, Latino voting, Mitt Romney, Montgomery County, precinct analysis, redistricting, SD03, SD07, SD08, SD09, SD10, SD12, SD14, SD15, SD16, SD17, SD18, SD19, SD20, SD21, SD22, SD23, SD24, SD25, SD26, SD27, SD29, SD30, Senate, Texas, Travis County, turnout | 6 Comments

Precinct analysis: State Senate districts 2020

Posted on May 17, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Mitt Romney, precinct analysis, redistricting, SD03, SD07, SD08, SD09, SD10, SD14, SD16, SD17, SD19, SD20, SD21, SD25, SD26, SD27, SD30, Senate, Texas | 5 Comments

Bill to delay primaries passes Senate

Posted on April 12, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

As expected. The 2022 primary elections in Texas could be pushed back to April or May under a bill moving through the state Legislature. Because of delays in U.S. Census Bureau data needed to redraw the state’s congressional and legislative … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged Census, Election 2012, Election 2022, Joan Huffman, primaries, redistricting, Senate, Texas, The Lege | Comments Off

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