Tag Archives: runoff

Initial thoughts on the 2024 primary

Posted on March 7, 2024 by Charles Kuffner

Some opening considerations as we peruse the final unofficial voting data. Before you read my words, go check out Stace, Campos, Reform Austin, and the Texas Signal. Here we go: – Final turnout in Harris County was 176,396 for Dems … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2024 | Tagged 14th Court of Appeals, Annette Ramirez, Armando Perez-Serrato, Barack Obama, Cameron County, CD12, CD23, CD32, Colin Allred, Congress, Constable, Democratic primary, Desiree Broadnax, early voting, Election 2012, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Gillespie County, hand counting, Harris County, Harris County Tax Assessor, HD139, HD146, Hidalgo County, Jarvis Johnson, Joe Biden, judicial races, Julie Johnson, Michelle Bonton, Molly Cook, President, primaries, runoff, SD15, Senate, special election, Texas, The Lege, Todd Litton, turnout, Webb County | 2 Comments

Primary 2024 results: Democratic headlines

Posted on March 6, 2024 by Charles Kuffner

It’s going to be a late night and I have a couple of long days ahead of me, so I’m going to do some quick summaries based on what I now know, and will come back later to fill the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2024 | Tagged 14th Court of Appeals, Allison Jackson Mathis, Amanda Edwards, Amber Boyd-Cora, Angeanette Thibodeaux, Annette Ramirez, Ashley Mayes Guice, Brendetta Scott, Brian Williams, Brittanye Morris, CD07, CD18, CD22, CD32, CD38, Charlene Ward Johnson, Christian Menefee, Colin Allred, Danielle Bess, Democratic primary, Denise Brown, Desiree Broadnax, District Attorney, Ed Gonzalez, Election 2024, Erica Hughes, First Court of Appeals, Fran Watson, Gemayel Haynes, Gordon Goodman, Harold Dutton, Harris County, Harris County Attorney, Harris County Sheriff, Harris County Tax Assessor, HD139, HD142, HD146, Jarvis Johnson, Jerry Davis, Jerry Zimmerer, Joe Biden, judicial races, Julia Maldonado, Julie Johnson, Kim Ogg, Lauren Ashley Simmons, Lillian Alexander, Lizzie FLetcher, Marquette Greene-Scott, Melissa McDonough, Mike Engelhart, Molly Cook, Nathan Johnson, Nicole Perdue, Pervez Agwan, Peter Kelly, President, Ramona Franklin, RK Sandill, Robert Schaffer, runoff, SD15, SD16, Sean Teare, Senate, Shawn Thierry, Sheila Jackson Lee, TaKasha Francis, Texas, The Lege, Todd Litton, Tracy Good, turnout, Velda Faulkner, Victoria Neave, Vivian King | 17 Comments

Primary 2024 results: Republican headlines

Posted on March 6, 2024 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2024 | Tagged Barbara Hervey, Brandon Gill, Brandon Herrera, CD12, CD23, CD26, Christi Craddick, Congress, Court of Criminal Appeals, Craig Goldman, Dade Phelan, Election 2024, Gillespie County, Greg Abbott, hand counting, Harris County, HD121, HD138, HD21, HD26, impeachment, Jacey Jetton, Jared Woodfill, judicial races, Ken Paxton, Lacey Hull, Michelle Slaughter, primaries, runoff, Sharon Keller, Steve Allison, Texas, The Lege, Tony Gonzales, vouchers | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: 2023 Controller’s runoff

Posted on January 5, 2024 by Charles Kuffner

PREVIOUSLY: Mayoral runoff The City Controller runoff also wasn’t particularly close, as Chris Hollins bested many (many, many, many) time candidate Orlando Sanchez by 17 points. There are some interesting things to point out here though, so let’s get to … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged Bill Frazer, Chris Brown, Chris Hollins, Election 2013, Election 2015, Election 2019, Election 2023, Harris County, Houston, Houston City Controller, John Whitmire, Orlando Sanchez, precinct analysis, Ronald Green, runoff, Sheila Jackson Lee | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: 2023 Mayoral runoff

Posted on January 3, 2024 by Charles Kuffner

You might want to hide your children’s eyes, these numbers are quite ugly if you were a Sheila Jackson Lee supporter: Dist Whitmire J Lee ======================= A 12,578 3,807 B 2,625 11,199 C 29,030 8,769 D 5,012 14,150 E 20,469 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged Annise Parker, Bill King, Election 2015, Election 2019, Election 2023, Gene Locke, Houston, John Whitmire, Mayor, precinct analysis, runoff, Sheila Jackson Lee, Sylvester Turner | 3 Comments

Get ready for the SD15 special election

Posted on December 11, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

It’s closer than you think. The candidates looking to replace Mayor-elect John Whitmire in the Texas Senate may have to win as many as five elections next year before they ever get to vote on a piece of legislation. Whitmire, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2024 | Tagged Democratic primary, Election 2015, Election 2022, Election 2023, Election 2024, HD139, HD147, Houston, Jarvis Johnson, John Whitmire, Karthik Soora, Mayor, Molly Cook, runoff, SD15, Senate, special election, Texas, The Lege, Todd Litton | 1 Comment

So now what for SJL?

Posted on December 11, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

At least one big question about what comes next for Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee after losing the Mayoral runoff should be settled today. Following her decisive defeat in Saturday’s mayoral runoff, U.S. Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee now has less than … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023, Election 2024 | Tagged Amanda Edwards, CD18, Congress, Democratic primary, Election 2023, Election 2024, fundraising, Houston, Isaiah Martin, Mayor, runoff, Sheila Jackson Lee, Texas | 3 Comments

2023 runoff results: Whitmire and Hollins win

Posted on December 10, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

I’m writing this at about 11:30 PM, with 169 of 450 voting centers reporting results. One race is very much in the balance, one other could possibly swing. Keep all that in mind. John Whitmire led 65-35 in Harris County … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged At Large #1, At Large #2, At Large #3, Carolyn Evans-Shabazz, Chris Hollins, Cynthia Reyes-Revilla, District D, District G, District H, Election 2023, Election Day, Houston, Houston City Controller, Houston City Council, John Whitmire, Julian Ramirez, Letitia Plummer, Mario Castillo, Mary Nan Huffman, Mayor, Melanie Miles, Nick Hellyar, Orlando Sanchez, Richard Cantu, Roy Morales, runoff, Sheila Jackson Lee, Tony Buzbee, Travis McGee, Twila Carter, Willie Davis | 13 Comments

The recent history of runoff early voting

Posted on December 8, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

I brought this up in yesterday’s post, so let’s take that look at how much of the runoff vote has been cast early in the last few Mayoral elections. Year Early E-Day Total EV % ======================================= 2003 77,984 138,804 216,788 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2003, Election 2009, Election 2015, Election 2019, Election 2023, Houston, John Whitmire, Mayor, runoff, Sheila Jackson Lee, turnout | 3 Comments

2023 final runoff Early Voting totals

Posted on December 7, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

Early voting has ended. Early takes are flowing in. As of Tuesday night, nearly 132,000 votes – 120,155 in-person ballots and 11,732 mail ballots – had been recorded in Harris County, according to the Harris County Clerk’s Office. That compares … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged absentee ballots, Bill King, early voting, Election 2015, Election 2019, Election 2023, Houston, John Whitmire, Mayor, runoff, Sheila Jackson Lee, Sylvester Turner, Tony Buzbee, turnout | 5 Comments

Precinct analysis: At Large #4

Posted on December 6, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

PREVIOUSLY: Mayor’s race Controller’s race Harris Health bond referendum At Large #1 At Large #2 At Large #3 After that nine-candidate pileup in AL3, At Large #4 and its four contenders is a much more sedate affair, and a lot … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged At Large #4, Election 2006, Election 2009, Election 2023, HCDE, Houston, Houston City Council, Letitia Plummer, Mayor, precinct analysis, Roy Morales, runoff | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: At Large #3

Posted on December 5, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

PREVIOUSLY: Mayor’s race Controller’s race Harris Health bond referendum At Large #1 At Large #2 At Large #3 had the largest non-Mayoral field on the ballot, with nine candidates. Five candidates finished with at least ten percent of the vote, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged At Large #3, Casey Curry, Donnell Cooper, Election 2023, Ericka McCrutcheon, Houston, Houston City Council, James Joseph, precinct analysis, Richard Cantu, Richard Nguyen, runoff, Twila Carter | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: At Large #2

Posted on December 4, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

PREVIOUSLY: Mayor’s race Controller’s race Harris Health bond referendum At Large #1 Dist Davis Hellyar Coryat Bess Holly Obes ========================================================== A 5,494 3,854 1,580 2,112 1,830 1,184 B 5,834 800 1,286 5,148 658 1,211 C 7,921 13,067 2,477 4,679 4,923 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged At Large #2, Danielle Bess, David Robinson, Election 2015, Election 2019, Election 2023, Houston, Houston City Council, Nick Hellyar, Obes Nwabara, precinct analysis, runoff, Willie Davis | 4 Comments

8 Day runoff 2023 campaign finance reports

Posted on December 4, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

The last campaign finance reports for the year are the 8 day reports for the runoff elections. These were mostly filed on Friday, so let’s have a look at them. The 8 Day reports from November for the Mayor’s race … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged At Large #1, At Large #2, At Large #3, At Large #4, Carolyn Evans-Shabazz, Chris Hollins, Cynthia Reyes-Revilla, District D, District G, District H, Election 2023, Houston, Houston City Controller, Houston City Council, John Whitmire, Julian Ramirez, Letitia Plummer, Mario Castillo, Mary Nan Huffman, Mayor, Melanie Miles, Nick Hellyar, Orlando Sanchez, Richard Cantu, Roy Morales, runoff, Sheila Jackson Lee, Tony Buzbee, Travis McGee, Twila Carter, Willie Davis | 12 Comments

2023 runoff early voting: With two days to go

Posted on December 4, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

I changed up the schedule of posting early voting daily totals because I realized that the EV periods for the three years I’m comparing are all different, which makes the comparisons a little screwy. At this point in all three … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2015, Election 2019, Election 2023, Houston, John Whitmire, Mayor, runoff, Sheila Jackson Lee, turnout | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: At Large #1

Posted on December 3, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

PREVIOUSLY: Mayor’s race Controller’s race Harris Health bond referendum We have four runoffs in the At Large races, and they’re all basically D versus R affairs. The HCDP and the Harris County GOP have taken their sides. Let’s look at … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged At Large #1, Election 2019, Election 2023, Election 2027, Eriq Glenn, Houston, Houston City Council, Julian Ramirez, Kendall Baker, Leah Wolfthal, Melanie Miles, Nick Hellyar, precinct analysis, runoff | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: 2023 Controller’s race

Posted on November 30, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

PREVIOUSLY: Mayor’s race I got in a groove and took what I learned from mucking around with the Mayor’s race data and was able to clean up the same for the Controller’s race in relatively short order. As you’ll see, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged Chris Hollins, Dave Martin, Election 2023, Houston, Houston City Controller, Orlando Sanchez, precinct analysis, runoff, Shannan Nobles | 2 Comments

Whitmire and SJL on the HISD mess

Posted on November 29, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

As we know, the Mayor has basically no direct influence on HISD, but it’s an issue people care about and the Mayor can certainly make it a point of focus. So what do our two Mayoral runoff candidates have to … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged Board of Managers, Election 2023, Harold Dutton, HISD, HISD Board of Trustees, Houston, John Whitmire, Mayor, Mike Miles, Mike Morath, runoff, Sheila Jackson Lee, Texas Education Agency, The Lege | 1 Comment

2023 runoff early voting Day Two totals

Posted on November 29, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

Let’s get to it: Year Mail Early Total =============================== 2015 20,233 22,964 43,197 2019 6,024 29,180 35,204 2023 946 28,113 29,059 Again, the early in person totals look normal. The mail, I have no idea. I just now noticed that … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2015, Election 2019, Election 2023, Houston, John Whitmire, Mayor, runoff, Sheila Jackson Lee, turnout | 1 Comment

SurveyUSA Mayoral runoff poll: Whitmire 42, SJL 35

Posted on November 28, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

We finally have a second pollster. State Sen. John Whitmire maintains a 7 percentage point lead over U.S. Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee in the Houston mayoral race, with a fifth of likely voters having yet to make up their minds … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged Annise Parker, Bill King, Bill White, Chris Hollins, Election 2003, Election 2009, Election 2015, Election 2019, Election 2023, Gene Locke, Houston, Houston City Controller, John Whitmire, Mayor, Orlando Sanchez, polls, runoff, Sheila Jackson Lee, Sylvester Turner, Tony Buzbee | 6 Comments

2023 runoff early voting Day One totals

Posted on November 28, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

Early voting for the 2023 runoff elections is underway. Here’s the news you can use from Harris County Clerk Teneshia Hudpseth: As early voting begins for the December 9 Joint Runoff Election, Harris County Clerk Teneshia Hudspeth urges voters to … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2015, Election 2019, Election 2023, Houston, John Whitmire, Mayor, runoff, Sheila Jackson Lee, turnout | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: 2023 Mayor’s race

Posted on November 27, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

The November 2023 election has been officially canvassed and certified, and that means that there’s precinct data available for me to analyze. I’ve been working on it over the weekend, and I will tell you it’s a bit more of … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged Bill King, Election 2015, Election 2019, Election 2023, Gilbert Garcia, Houston, Jack Christie, John Whitmire, Lee Kaplan, Mayor, MJ Khan, precinct analysis, Robert Gallegos, runoff, Sheila Jackson Lee, Sylvester Turner | 9 Comments

Runoff early voting begins Monday

Posted on November 21, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

From the inbox: Early voting for the December 9 Joint Runoff Election begins Monday, November 27, and runs through Tuesday, December 5. Vote centers will be open from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. each day except Sunday, December 3, from … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged early voting, Election 2023, Harris County, Harris County Clerk, Houston, runoff, Texas | Comments Off

Whitmire and SJL on Prop B and H-GAC

Posted on November 19, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

Of interest. Houston’s two remaining candidates for mayor appear to have cooled their earlier support of local Proposition B now that it has been approved by voters and the candidates find themselves an election away from becoming the person in … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged Election 2023, Fair For Houston, HGAC, Houston, I-45, John Whitmire, Mayor, runoff, Sheila Jackson Lee | Comments Off

On to the runoff

Posted on November 17, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

Here we go. Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee is trying to do something no Houston mayor has done in 46 years: flip the result between a general election and a runoff. Jim McConn last achieved the feat in 1977, erasing a … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged Election 2001, Election 2023, Houston, John Whitmire, Mayor, runoff, Sheila Jackson Lee, turnout | 19 Comments

My initial thoughts on the 2023 election

Posted on November 9, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

Suffice it to say I was off base on turnout. I thought we would be on track to top the turnout of the 2003 Mayor’s race, but in the end we fell short of 2015’s level. I’d have lost quite … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged 2009 interviews, Adrian Garcia, Ben Hall, Bill King, Bill White, Chris Bell, early voting, Election 2003, Election 2005, Election 2007, Election 2011, Election 2013, Election 2015, Election 2017, Election 2019, Election 2021, Election 2023, Harris County, Houston, John Whitmire, Mayor, runoff, Sheila Jackson Lee, Stephen Costello, Sylvester Turner, turnout | 3 Comments

2023 election results: Houston and Harris County

Posted on November 8, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

I’m going to be brief, and will have a longer look at things tomorrow. A bit more than 20% of the E-Day votes had been tallied as of 10 PM, but for the most part I’d say we had a … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged At Large #1, At Large #2, At Large #3, At Large #4, At Large #5, Carolyn Evans-Shabazz, Chris Hollins, Cynthia Reyes-Revilla, Dani Hernandez, Dave Martin, District D, District G, District H, Election 2023, Fair For Houston, Gilbert Garcia, Harris County, Harris Health System, HISD, HISD Board of Trustees, Houston, Houston City Controller, Houston City Council, Jack Christie, John Whitmire, Julian Ramirez, Lee Kaplan, Letitia Plummer, Mario Castillo, Mary Nan Huffman, Mayor, Melanie Miles, MJ Khan, Nick Hellyar, Orlando Sanchez, Patricia Allen, Richard Cantu, Robert Gallegos, Roy Morales, runoff, Sallie Alcorn, Sheila Jackson Lee, Tony Buzbee, Twila Carter, Willie Davis | 1 Comment

A few thoughts about Tuesday turnout

Posted on November 6, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

We now know how many early votes were cast in Harris County for the November 2023 election. I’m now going to run through a few scenarios to show what the range of possibility is for overall final turnout. None of … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 1991, Election 1997, Election 2001, Election 2003, Election 2009, Election 2015, Election 2019, Fort Bend County, Harris County, Houston, Mayor, Montgomery County, runoff, turnout, voter registration | 1 Comment

Rep. Jarvis Johnson to run for SD15

Posted on October 26, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

The field grows. Rep. Jarvis Johnson, D-Houston, announced Tuesday he will run for Texas Senate to fill the seat currently held by mayoral candidate John Whitmire. “I know the issues affecting our communities. We’ve been neglected by the state. They’ve … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2024 | Tagged Democratic primary, Election 2023, Election 2024, filing deadline, Houston, Jarvis Johnson, John Whitmire, Karthik Soora, Mayor, Molly Cook, runoff, SD15, Senate, Sheila Jackson Lee, Texas, Todd Litton | 1 Comment

UH-Hobby Center poll: Whitmire 34, Jackson Lee 31

Posted on October 11, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

Same pollster as before, nearly the same result. There has been almost no movement in Houston’s mayoral race over the last three months, with state Sen. John Whitmire and U.S. Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee still firmly entrenched atop the crowded … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged Annie Garcia, Chris Hollins, Dave Martin, Election 2023, Fair For Houston, Gilbert Garcia, Harris County, Harris Health System, hospitals, Houston, Houston City Controller, Jack Christie, John Whitmire, Lee Kaplan, Mayor, MJ Khan, Orlando Sanchez, polls, Robert Gallegos, runoff, Shannan Nobles, Sheila Jackson Lee, turnout, voter registration | 4 Comments

City runoff election will be December 9

Posted on September 23, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

Slightly reducing the overall intrigue factor of the season. The runoffs for Houston’s City Hall elections will be held Dec. 9, the secretary of state’s office confirmed on Tuesday. Houston voters will head to the polls Nov. 7 to elect … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged Amanda Edwards, CD18, Congress, Democratic primary, Election 2023, Election 2024, filing deadline, fundraising, Houston, Isaiah Martin, John Whitmire, Karthik Soora, Mayor, Molly Cook, runoff, SD15, Secretary of State, Senate, Sheila Jackson Lee, special election, The Lege | Comments Off

The Trib on the “political dominoes” of the Mayor’s race

Posted on July 30, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

A lot of what’s in here is stuff we already know. I want to focus on this bit from later on: “I think both Whitmire and Jackson Lee are kind of institutions in town, so the fact that there could … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023, Election 2024 | Tagged Amanda Edwards, CD18, Congress, Democratic primary, Election 2023, Election 2024, filing deadline, fundraising, Houston, John Whitmire, Karthik Soora, Mayor, Molly Cook, runoff, SD15, Senate, Sheila Jackson Lee, special election, The Lege | 2 Comments

UH-Hobby Center poll: Whitmire 34, Jackson Lee 32

Posted on July 26, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

I have plenty to say about this. State Sen. John Whitmire and U.S. Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee would be neck-and-neck for first place if the Houston mayor’s race were held today, but Whitmire would sprint ahead in a potential runoff, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged Election 2015, Election 2023, Gilbert Garcia, Harris County, Houston, Houston City Controller, John Whitmire, Lee Kaplan, Mayor, MJ Khan, polls, Robert Gallegos, runoff, Sheila Jackson Lee, turnout, voter registration | 19 Comments

No one asked you, Tony

Posted on April 6, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

Oh good Lord. Tony Buzbee, the millionaire businessman and trial attorney who unsuccessfully challenged Mayor Sylvester Turner in 2019, is considering another run for City Hall’s top job. Buzbee on Wednesday said supporters are urging him to run again, and he believes he is … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged Amanda Edwards, Bill King, Chris Hollins, Election 2019, Election 2023, Gilbert Garcia, Houston, John Whitmire, Lee Kaplan, Mayor, Robert Gallegos, runoff, Sheila Jackson Lee, Sylvester Turner, Tony Buzbee | 5 Comments

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