Tag Archives: CD23

April 2019 campaign finance reports: Congress

Posted on April 29, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

It’s April, and that means it’s time once again to review campaign finance reports for Congressional candidates. The January roundup is here, which closed out the 2017-18 election cycle; these reports are the first ones for the 2019-20 cycle. A … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged campaign finance reports, Candace Valenzuela, Carol Ianuzzi, CD02, CD03, CD07, CD10, CD20, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD26, CD31, CD32, Colin Allred, Congress, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elisa Cardnell, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, Jan McDowell, Joaquin Castro, Julie Oliver, Kim Olson, Liz Wahl, Lizzie FLetcher, Lorie Burch, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Pritash Gandhi, Senate, Texas, Todd Litton | Comments Off

Where the Republicans think they’re vulnerable

Posted on April 26, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Always good to get the opposing perspective on these things. Eight House Republicans, including the three from districts won by Hillary Clinton in 2016, have been named to the National Republican Congressional Committee’s list of incumbents expected to face tough … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD31, Congress, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, John Carter, Kenny Marchant, Mike McCaul, NRCC, Pete Olson, Texas, Will Hurd | 1 Comment

Add CD10 to the contested primaries list

Posted on April 25, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

It has been that way for awhile now, but I’m only just noticing that there is a second candidate for the Democratic nomination in CD10. This Statesman story, which is about the multiple Congressional districts being targeted by Democrats for … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged campaign finance reports, Candace Valenzuela, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD31, Congress, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gina Ortiz Jones, Kim Olson, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Nyanza Moore, Pritash Gandhi, Senate, Sri Kulkarni, Texas, Wendy Davis | 1 Comment

DCCC polls Trump in three target districts

Posted on April 22, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

News flash: Donald Trump is not very popular. Surveys the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee recently conducted found that 41 percent of voters approved of Trump’s job performance in Texas’ 24th congressional district, where Rep. Kenny Marchant serves, while 44 percent … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD10, CD21, CD23, Chip Roy, Congress, DCCC, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Kenny Marchant, Mike McCaul, polls, President, Senate, Texas | Comments Off

One more for CD24

Posted on April 21, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Another contested primary. Democrat Candace Valenzuela, a 34-year-old Carrollton-Farmers Branch school board member, is launching a campaign Monday against Texas GOP Rep. Kenny Marchant, one of the party’s top targets in 2020. She will face an uphill battle for her … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Alex Triantaphyllis, Candace Valenzuela, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, CD32, Colin Allred, Congress, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elisa Cardnell, Gina Ortiz Jones, Jan McDowell, Jason Westin, Joe Kopser, Kim Olson, Laura Moser, Lizzie FLetcher, MJ Hegar, Sri Kulkarni, Texas, Todd Litton, Wendy Davis, Will Fisher | 1 Comment

Here comes the DCCC

Posted on April 14, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

National Dems really are serious about competing in Texas next year. National Democrats are ratcheting up their Texas offensive yet again ahead of 2020. The chairwoman of U.S. House Democratic campaign arm announced Tuesday morning that her committee will open … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD31, CD32, Cheri Bustos, Colin Allred, Congress, DCCC, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, John Cornyn, Lizzie FLetcher, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: 2018 Congress

Posted on March 20, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

The 2018 Congressional races were the most expensive, the most hotly and broadly contested, and by far the most attention-grabbing races in the non-Beto division. We hadn’t seen anything remotely like it since the 2004 DeLay re-redistricting year, but we … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD08, CD10, CD12, CD14, CD15, CD17, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD26, CD27, CD28, CD31, CD32, CD34, CD36, Colin Allred, Congress, Dayna Steele, DCCC, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, Joe Kopser, Justin Nelson, Kim Olson, Lizzie FLetcher, Lupe Valdez, Mike Collier, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, Roman McAllen, Texas, Will Hurd | 4 Comments

Just a reminder, Will Hurd is still a Republican

Posted on March 19, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

That means he does Republican things. Texas Republican Rep. Will Hurd said he would vote for Donald Trump in 2020 over his friend, former Texas Democratic Rep. Beto O’Rourke, should he decide to run and win the Democratic Party’s nomination. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018, Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD31, CD32, Chip Roy, Colin Allred, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gina Ortiz Jones, Jan McDowell, John Carter, John Culberson, Kenny Marchant, Lizzie FLetcher, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, Will Hurd | 2 Comments

Cornyn still thinks he may face Beto

Posted on March 8, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

He could be right, but I would not expect it. Beto O’Rourke has ruled out another run for the Senate, and as he edges closer to a bid for president, Texas Democrats are still searching for someone to challenge Sen. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Bill White, CD23, CD24, CD31, Congress, DCCC, Democratic primary, Election 2010, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gina Ortiz Jones, Governor, Joaquin Castro, John Cornyn, Julian Castro, MJ Hegar, President, Senate, Texas, Wendy Davis | 2 Comments

January 2019 campaign finance reports: Congress

Posted on March 4, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

We come to the last of our January finance report roundups. The next one will be in April, for Congressional candidates, which will be our first indicator of who among the repeaters and the newcomers has gotten off to a … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged campaign finance reports, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD08, CD10, CD12, CD14, CD17, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD26, CD27, CD31, CD32, CD36, Colin Allred, Congress, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, Jan McDowell, Jana Sanchez, Joe Kopser, Julie Oliver, Lizzie FLetcher, Lorie Burch, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Sri Kulkarni, Texas, Todd Litton | 2 Comments

Elisa Cardnell

Posted on February 18, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Meet your first official candidate for CD02. A naval battle just might be on the horizon in one of Houston’s most competitive Congressional districts. On Thursday Navy veteran and science teacher Elisa Cardnell, a Democrat, filed papers with the Federal … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged CD02, CD10, CD22, CD23, CD31, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elisa Cardnell, Gina Ortiz Jones, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Sri Kulkarni, Texas, Todd Litton | 2 Comments

More looking forward to 2020

Posted on February 17, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Gonna have some more of that sweet Congressional election action. Smelling blood after picking up two Texas congressional seats in November – along with Beto O’Rourke’s narrow loss in the U.S. Senate race – House Democrats [recently] announced six new … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD31, CD32, Chip Roy, Colin Allred, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, John Carter, John Cornyn, Kenny Marchant, Lizzie FLetcher, Mike McCaul, Pete Olson, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, Will Hurd | 14 Comments

There sure was a lot of money spent on Congressional races in Texas

Posted on February 3, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

If we’re lucky, it will be the start of a trend. Never has Texas seen as much money spent on Congressional campaigns as it did in 2018. New campaign finance data shows that the state didn’t just beat its old … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Adrienne Bell, campaign finance reports, CD02, CD07, CD12, CD14, CD23, CD25, CD26, CD27, CD32, CD36, Colin Allred, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Dayna Steele, Election 2004, Election 2018, Election 2020, Eric Holguin, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, John Culberson, Julie Oliver, Kathaleen Wall, Linsey Fagan, Lizzie FLetcher, Pete Sessions, redistricting, Texas, Todd Litton, Tom DeLay, Vanessa Adia, Will Hurd | Comments Off

The first targets for 2020

Posted on January 26, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

We’ve already agreed that the 2020 election season has begun, so a little attack advertising over the shutdown seems like a good play National Democrats have five Texas Republican congressmen in their crosshairs as they begin the 2020 election cycle … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged border fence, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD31, Chip Roy, Congress, DCCC, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gina Ortiz Jones, John Carter, Kenny Marchant, Mike McCaul, Mike Siegel, Pete Olson, President, shutdown, Texas, Will Hurd | 4 Comments

2020 is starting early

Posted on January 10, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Example One: The calendar just turned to 2019, but the 2020 race for Congressional seats in Texas is already on. A few days after Christmas, San Antonio resident Liz Wahl, 33, a former cable television news anchor, filed papers in … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged CD02, CD23, CD32, Colin Allred, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elisa Cardnell, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, Liz Wahl, Nancy Pelosi, NRCC, Texas, Todd Litton, Will Hurd | 2 Comments

The losers of 2018

Posted on December 31, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Allow me to point you to the Observer’s list of six Texas political players who lost power in 2018. I’d call it five-sixths of a good list, plus one entry I don’t quite understand. 3) Bexar County Democrats Want to … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Bexar County, Carlos Uresti, CD23, Congress, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gina Ortiz Jones, Governor, Greg Abbott, Joaquin Castro, Julian Castro, Pete Flores, Pete Gallego, President, runoff, SD19, Senate, special election, Texas, turnout, Will Hurd | Comments Off

More Congressional retirement speculation

Posted on December 27, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

From Roll Call: Life in the minority will be a new experience for most House Republicans next year. And many of them may not remember what happened the last time the GOP lost the House. After the 2006 Democratic wave, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, CD32, Congress, Election 2018, Election 2020, Kenny Marchant, Pete Olson, Texas | 2 Comments

The next round of redistricting is going to be even more fun

Posted on December 2, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Close races do complicate things. Texas Republicans collected half of the votes statewide in congressional races this month. But even after Democrats flipped two districts, toppling GOP veterans in Dallas and Houston, Republicans will control 23 of the state’s 36 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD23, CD24, CD31, CD32, Colin Allred, Congress, Election 2018, Election 2020, John Carter, John Culberson, Kenny Marchant, Legislative Redistricting Board, Lizzie FLetcher, Mike McCaul, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Pete Sessions, redistricting, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege | 5 Comments

Ortiz Jones concedes in CD23

Posted on November 20, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Thus endeth that race. Democrat Gina Ortiz Jones conceded Monday in her challenge to U.S. Rep. Will Hurd, R-Helotes, ensuring a third term for Hurd in his perennial battleground district. “While we came up short this time, we ran a … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Bexar County, CD23, Congress, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gina Ortiz Jones, Medina County, provisional ballots, Texas, Will Hurd | 8 Comments

An update on the close races

Posted on November 16, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Good news from Harris County. Fresh tallies of absentee and provisional ballots narrowed state Rep. Dwayne Bohac’s margin over Democrat Adam Milasincic to 47 votes, while incumbent Republican Mike Schofield of Katy trailed Democratic challenger Gina Calanni by 113 votes. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, Adam Milasincic, CD23, Collin County, Congress, Dallas County, Dwayne Bohac, Election 2018, Gina Calanni, Gina Ortiz Jones, Harris County, HD108, HD132, HD138, HD66, Joanna Cattanach, Matt Shaheen, Medina County, Mike Schofield, Morgan Meyer, provisional ballots, recount, Sharon Hirsch, Texas, The Lege, Will Hurd | Comments Off

Initial thoughts: Congress

Posted on November 15, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I’ll be honest: I never felt particularly confident about winning CD07 or CD32. Not because Lizzie Fletcher and Colin Allred weren’t excellent candidates, or anything to do with the trends of the national environment or what have you. I just … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, CD32, Colin Allred, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gina Ortiz Jones, Hillary Clinton, Jan McDowell, Lizzie FLetcher, redistricting, Texas, turnout, Will Hurd | 6 Comments

Ortiz Jones requests more time for provisional ballots

Posted on November 14, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

She did not succeed, however. A Bexar County judge denied a request by Democrat Gina Ortiz Jones, who trails incumbent Republican Will Hurd by a few hundred votes in the race for the most competitive congressional district in Texas, to … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, Bexar County, CD23, Congress, Election 2018, Gina Ortiz Jones, provisional ballots, recount, Texas, Will Hurd | Comments Off

CD23 update

Posted on November 13, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Today is the last day to cure a provisional ballot. In the meantime, the counting goes on in the closest Texas Congressional race. Election officials in 29 Texas counties are furiously counting outstanding votes in the Congressional District 23 election, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, Adam Milasincic, Bexar County, CD23, Congress, Department of Motor Vehicles, Dwayne Bohac, Election 2018, Gina Calanni, Gina Ortiz Jones, HD108, HD132, HD138, Joanna Cattanach, Mike Schofield, Morgan Meyer, provisional ballots, recount, Texas, The Lege, voter registration, Will Hurd | 1 Comment

How many recounts might there be?

Posted on November 10, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

More than one, is my guess. On Wednesday, Dallas state Rep. Morgan Meyer, a Republican, tweeted that he was “honored and grateful” voters had decided to send him back to the Texas Legislature for another term in office. But his … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, Adam Milasincic, CD23, Congress, Dwayne Bohac, Election 2018, Gina Calanni, Gina Ortiz Jones, HD108, HD132, HD138, HD66, Joanna Cattanach, Matt Shaheen, Mike Schofield, Morgan Meyer, provisional ballots, recount, Sharon Hirsch, Texas, The Lege, Will Hurd | 4 Comments

The CD23 race isn’t quite over yet

Posted on November 9, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I believe it is highly unlikely that the outcome in CD23 will change from the current close win for Rep. Will Hurd, but we are not done counting the votes just yet. The Texas congressional race between incumbent Republican Will … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, Bexar County, CD23, Congress, El Paso, Election 2016, Election 2018, Gina Ortiz Jones, Maverick County, Medina County, Pete Gallego, polls, provisional ballots, recount, Texas, turnout, Val Verde County, Will Hurd | 1 Comment

From the “I may have spoken too soon” department

Posted on November 7, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

First, Will Hurd was declared the winner in CD23. But there were still a few precincts out, some in deep red Medina County and others in El Paso County. Hurd started the evening with a 6K early vote lead, but … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD23, Congress, Election 2018, Gina Calanni, Gina Ortiz Jones, HD132, Mike Schofield, recount, Secretary of State, Texas, The Lege, Will Hurd | 9 Comments

Omnibus election report

Posted on November 7, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

It’s after midnight, I’ve mostly posted stuff on my long-dormant Twitter account (@kuff), and I will have many, many thoughts in the coming days. For now, a brief recap. – As you know, neither Beto nor any other Dem won … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged 13th Court of Appeals, 14th Court of Appeals, 4th Court of Appeals, 5th Court of Appeals, Adrian Garcia, Ana-Maria Ramos, Beto O'Rourke, Beverly Powell, Brian Middleton, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, CD32, Colin Allred, Commissioners Court, Congress, Dallas County, Denton County, District Attorney, Ed Emmett, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Erin Zwiener, First Court of Appeals, Fort Bend County, Gina Ortiz Jones, Harris County, Harris County Judge, Hays County, HD102, HD105, HD113, HD114, HD115, HD135, HD136, HD45, HD47, HD52, HD65, Houston, Jack Morman, James Talarico, Jan McDowell, Jana Sanchez, Joe Kopser, John Bucy, John Turner, Jon Rosenthal, judicial races, Julie Johnson, Julie Oliver, Lina Hidalgo, Lizzie FLetcher, Lorie Burch, Michelle Beckley, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Nathan Johnson, Rhetta Andrews Bowers, SD10, SD16, Senate, Sri Kulkarni, Terry Meza, Texas, The Lege, Third Court of Appeals, Todd Litton, turnout, Vikki Goodwin, Williamson County | 13 Comments

Change Research: Cruz 49, O’Rourke 49

Posted on November 4, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Make of this what you will. In Texas (n=1211), Beto O’Rourke and Ted Cruz are dead even: O’Rourke is at 49%, Cruz is at 49%, and Libertarian Neil Dikeman is at 1%. We’ve polled a lot in Texas the past … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD07, CD23, CD32, Colin Allred, Congress, Election 2018, Gina Ortiz Jones, John Culberson, Lizzie FLetcher, Pete Sessions, polls, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, Will Hurd | 1 Comment

October 2018 campaign finance reports: Congress

Posted on October 23, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Wow. It’s not just Beto. Newly filed campaign finance reports show that money flooded into Democratic congressional campaigns all across the state over the last three months. Along with Democrat Beto O’Rourke’s blockbuster $38 million haul in his bid against … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Adrienne Bell, campaign finance reports, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD08, CD10, CD12, CD14, CD17, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD26, CD27, CD31, CD32, CD36, Colin Allred, Congress, Dayna Steele, Election 2018, Eric Holguin, fundraising, Jan McDowell, Jana Sanchez, Joe Kopser, Julie Oliver, Linsey Fagan, Lizzie FLetcher, Lorie Burch, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Rick Kennedy, Sri Kulkarni, Steven David, Texas, Todd Litton, Vanessa Adia | Comments Off

Endorsement watch: Nine from Obama

Posted on October 3, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I don’t know what the practical effect of this is, but I’m happy for the attention. Former President Barack Obama has backed nine more Democratic candidates in Texas as part of his second round of midterm endorsements. The nine candidates … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Adrienne Bell, Ana-Maria Ramos, Barack Obama, CD07, CD14, CD16, CD23, CD29, CD32, Colin Allred, Congress, Election 2018, endorsements, Eric Johnson, Gina Ortiz Jones, HD100, HD102, HD105, HD113, HD115, Julie Johnson, Lizzie FLetcher, Rhetta Andrews Bowers, Sylvia Garcia, Terry Meza, Texas, The Lege, Veronica Escobar | 1 Comment

CD07 “live poll”: Culberson 48, Fletcher 45

Posted on September 21, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Here’s another of those NYT-Siena “live polls” of interesting Congressional races. Houston Rep. John Culberson holds a narrow lead over Democratic challenger Lizzie Fletcher, a poll conducted by The New York Times Upshot found Tuesday. Culberson’s 3-point lead is within … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD07, CD23, CD32, Congress, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Gina Ortiz Jones, Harris County, John Culberson, Lizzie FLetcher, polls, precinct data, Senate, Texas, Will Hurd | 3 Comments

CD23 “live poll”: Hurd 51, Ortiz Jones 43

Posted on September 17, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Give this one a bit of side-eye. Incumbent Republican Will Hurd is leading his Democratic challenger, Gina Ortiz Jones, in one of the country’s most competitive races in this year’s midterm elections, according to a new poll by The New … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD23, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Gina Ortiz Jones, Pete Gallego, polls, Quico Canseco, Texas, Will Hurd | 3 Comments

Crosstab versus 538

Posted on August 21, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

You are familiar with the Congressional race projections from G. Elliott Morris at The Crosstab, which I’ve noted here and here. He uses a probabilistic model for each district. Which as it happens is also the approach taken by FiveThirtyEight … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD02, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD31, CD32, Congress, Election 2018, polls, Texas | 1 Comment

Trump’s Texas beneficiaries

Posted on August 15, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Interesting. Six Texas Republican in Congress received a show of financial support from their party’s leader this week. President Donald Trump’s re-election campaign announced Thursday that it was donating the maximum contribution possible to around 100 House and Senate Republican … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD07, CD11, CD23, CD26, CD27, CD31, CD32, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2018, fundraising, John Carter, John Culberson, Michael Burgess, Michael Cloud, Mike Conaway, Pete Sessions, Texas, Will Hurd | 1 Comment

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