Tag Archives: Election 2008

Final 2020 primary early voting report: “Healthy but not historic”

Posted on March 1, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Sounds about right. Democratic primary voters surged to the polls in Harris County on Friday, surpassing turnout from 2016 but falling well short of their record-setting performance in 2008. Republican primary voters, meanwhile, turned out in larger-than-expected numbers thanks to … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Democratic primary, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, primaries, Texas, turnout | 2 Comments

2020 Primary Early Voting, Day Ten: Come hell or high water

Posted on February 28, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Yesterday was quite the day, wasn’t it? People did still vote, which is nice. Here’s the Day Ten report for 2020, and here are the totals from 2012, 2016, and 2018. The totals after Day Ten: Year Mail Early Total … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Democratic primary, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Houston, primaries, Texas, turnout | 1 Comment

2020 Primary Early Voting, Day Six: On to Week Two

Posted on February 24, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

We’re back from the weekend, where the only votes tallied are in-person. We have five more days of early voting to go. Here’s the Day Six report for 2020, and here are the totals from 2012, 2016, and 2018. The … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Democratic primary, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, primaries, Texas, turnout | 2 Comments

Five questions for the primary

Posted on February 18, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Five questions I thought of, anyway. With my own answers, some of which are admittedly on the weaselish side. Feel free to discuss/disagree/ask your own questions/etc. 1. What kind of turnout are we going to have? The short answer is … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Bernie Sanders, Congress, David Dewhurst, Democratic primary, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Harris County, Joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg, polls, President, primaries, Railroad Commission, Republican Party, runoff, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout | 15 Comments

2020 Primary Early Voting begins today

Posted on February 18, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

We don’t have a long primary season in Texas – the filing deadline was barely two months ago, though to be sure some candidates have been running for much longer than that – and the first part of it is … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Brazoria County, Democratic primary, Diane Trautman, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Fort Bend County, Galveston, Harris County, Harris County Clerk, Korean American Voters League, Montgomery County, primaries, Stan Stanart, Texas, turnout, Waller County | 1 Comment

Speaking of voter registration

Posted on January 23, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

The Chron notes the latest milestone. For the first time in history, Texas has topped 16 million registered voters and is adding voters faster than its population grows heading into the 2020 presidential election. With the voter registration deadline for … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Battleground Texas, demography, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, electronic signatures, Fair Fight, Harris County, Jolt Initiative, Texas, turnout, voter registration | 1 Comment

We should have a full statewide slate

Posted on November 17, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Nice. For Brandon Birmingham, a state district judge in Dallas, the 2020 race for Texas Court of Criminal Appeals started on election night 2018. As he watched Beto O’Rourke win more votes than any Texas Democrat ever had in a … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Amy Clark Meachum, Beto O'Rourke, Brandon Birmingham, Brandy Voss, Court of Criminal Appeals, Dan Wood, Democratic primary, Election 2002, Election 2008, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elizabeth Frizell, Gisela Triana, Glen Maxey, Jerry Zimmerer, judicial races, Kathy Cheng, Lawrence Praeger, Margaret Mirabal, Peter Kelly, Sam Houston, Staci Williams, Steve Miears, Supreme Court, Texas, Tina Clinton, William Demond | 1 Comment

Filing period preview: Harris County

Posted on November 14, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Previously: Congress, Statewide, and SBOE/Senate/House. For County races, I cannot use the Patrick Svitek spreadsheet, as it doesn’t include local races. I am instead using the Campaign Contribution and Expenditure Reports for Various County Offices link on the County Clerk … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Ann Harris Bennett, Audia Jones, Ben Rose, Brenda Stardig, Carvana Cloud, Christian Menefee, Commissioners Court, Democratic primary, Diana Alexander, District Attorney, Ed Gonzalez, Election 2008, Election 2016, Election 2020, Erik Hassan, Harris County, Harris County Attorney, Harris County Sheriff, Harris County Tax Assessor, Harry Zamora, Jerome Moore, Joe Danna, Kim Ogg, Kristi Thibaut, Lawrence Rush, Lloyd Oliver, Lori DeAngelo, Luis Guajardo, Maria Jackson, Mary Nan Huffman, Michael Moore, Paul Day, primaries, Rodney Ellis, Steve Radack, Vince Ryan | 1 Comment

District Court Judge Smoots-Thomas accused of wire fraud

Posted on November 10, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Yikes. A Harris County judge is facing federal charges that accuse her of using campaign donations for personal expenses, including for mortgage payments, private school tuition and travel. Judge Alexandra Smoots-Thomas, 44, is charged with wire fraud charges, according to … Continue reading →

Posted in Crime and Punishment | Tagged Alexandra Smoots-Hogan, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Harris County, judicial races, Kent Schaffer, Ryan Patrick, US Attorney | 7 Comments

Univision News poll: Trump 42, Dem 47

Posted on September 11, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Here’s a fun poll. Days away from the third Democratic debate in Houston and over a year from the 2020 presidential election, an exclusive poll by Univision News found that 40% of registered voters in the state say they will … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Amanda Edwards, Bernie Sanders, Chris Bell, Cory Booker, Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez, Democratic primary, Donald Trump, Election 2008, Election 2016, Election 2020, Elizabeth Warren, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Julian Castro, Kamala Harris, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Rick Noriega, Royce West, Senate, Texas | 3 Comments

The Harris County GOP thinks it can come back in 2020

Posted on September 10, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

They’re so adorable. Once a rock of Republican politics in Texas, Harris County has become nothing short of a nightmare for the GOP over the last four years as Hillary Clinton and Beto O’Rourke carried the county and Democrats dominated … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2002, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, George Bush, Harris County, HCDP, Hillary Clinton, John Kerry, judicial races, Paul Simpson, President, Republican Party, straight ticket voting, Texas, turnout | 6 Comments

Our all-important metro areas

Posted on August 27, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Another look at the trouble Republicans face in Texas now. The key to Texas’ political future is whether it finally follows the geographic realignment that has transformed the politics of many other states over the past quarter century. Across the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Abilene, Amarillo, Beto O'Rourke, Bexar County, Brazoria County, College Station, Collin County, Comal County, Dallas County, Democratic primary, Denton County, Donald Trump, El Paso, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Fort Bend County, Guadalupe County, Harris County, Hays County, John Cornyn, Killeen, Lubbock, Midland, Montgomery County, Odessa, President, San Angelo, Senate, Tarrant County, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege, Travis County, turnout, voter registration, Waco | 3 Comments

No Rocket

Posted on August 23, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

What a world we live in. Pitching great Roger Clemens didn’t shy away from many battles in his major league career, but politics is something he’s not willing to take on. Clemens had been encouraged to run as a Republican … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged CD22, Congress, Cynthia Dunbar, Dean Hrbacek, Derrick Reed, Election 2008, Election 2018, Election 2020, John Manlove, Kathaleen Wall, Nick Lampson, Nyanza Moore, Pete Olson, primaries, Robert Talton, Roger Clemens, Shelley Sekula Gibbs, Sri Kulkarni, Texas, Tom DeLay | 4 Comments

There’s no reason to trust the Republican study to “reform” the judicial election process

Posted on July 16, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Oh, hell no. After a punishing election for Republican judges, state leaders are set to take a long look at Texas’ often-criticized judicial selection system — a partisan election structure that Texas Supreme Court Chief Justice Nathan Hecht has described … Continue reading →

Posted in Show Business for Ugly People | Tagged Brooks Landgraf, Court of Criminal Appeals, Election 2008, Election 2016, Election 2018, Greg Abbott, judicial nominations, judicial races, Nathan Hecht, Sharon Keller, Supreme Court, Texas, The Lege | 3 Comments

The field for Senate may keep growing

Posted on July 15, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Another possible contender for the Democratic nomination for US Senate. A group of progressive Democratic operatives is looking to draft one of the state’s top organizers of the Latino vote into running for U.S. Senate, a move that could further … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Amanda Edwards, Beto O'Rourke, Chris Bell, Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez, Democratic primary, Election 2008, Election 2020, John Cornyn, Jolt Initiative, MJ Hegar, Railroad Commission, Royce West, runoff, Senate, Texas, turnout | 1 Comment

You want to be President, you’ve got to come to Houston

Posted on July 7, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

And so they are. No Democratic candidate for president has won Texas in over 40 years, and yet the flow of Democratic contenders coming through the state, and Houston specifically, has been unusually strong in 2019. Just since March, 14 … Continue reading →

Posted in The making of the President | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Democratic primary, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, Harris County, Hillary Clinton, President, Texas, turnout | 5 Comments

How many contested judicial primaries should we expect?

Posted on June 30, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

We already know that we’re going to get primary challenges to at least one Democratic countywide officeholder, as County Attorney Vince Ryan has two challengers lining up against him, and DA Kim Ogg has at least one person who has … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Democratic primary, Election 2002, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2014, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, judicial races, primaries | 3 Comments

Precinct analysis: 2018 State Senate

Posted on March 18, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

The day I look forward to since November has finally arrived – all the data from the last election is now available on the Texas Legislative Council webpage. You know what that means: It’s statewide precinct analysis time! Let’s start … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Angela Paxton, Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Charles Schwertner, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Hillary Clinton, Joan Huffman, Justin Nelson, Lupe Valdez, Mark Phariss, Mike Collier, Pete Flores, precinct analysis, Roman McAllen, SD02, SD05, SD07, SD08, SD09, SD10, SD11, SD12, SD16, SD17, SD19, SD25, Senate, Texas, turnout | 3 Comments

Time again to talk judicial elections

Posted on February 11, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Here we go again, like it or not. In the wake of a midterm election that swept some 20 Republican appellate judges out of office, Texas Supreme Court Chief Justice Nathan Hecht called on the Texas Legislature to reform a … Continue reading →

Posted in Legal matters | Tagged Election 2008, Election 2018, judicial races, Nathan Hecht, straight ticket voting, Texas, The Lege, Wallace Jefferson | 6 Comments

Precinct analysis: Beto in the city

Posted on December 17, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Last week I got an email from Christopher Busby, who is a regular commenter here. He had previously asked about doing an analysis of Beto O’Rourke’s performance in Houston by City Council district. I told him that the canvass data … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Christopher Busby, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2018, guest post, Harris County, Houston, Houston City Council, Senate | 9 Comments

So you want to run for something in 2020

Posted on November 26, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

You’re an ambitious Democrat in Harris County. You saw what happened these last two elections, and you think it’s your time to step up and run for office. What are your options that don’t involved primarying a Democratic incumbent? 1. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged 14th Court of Appeals, CD02, CD10, CD22, Congress, Constable, Court of Criminal Appeals, Dan Crenshaw, Democratic primary, Don Sumners, Donna Bahorich, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, First Court of Appeals, Harris County, Harris County Attorney, HCDE, HD126, HD129, HD133, HD138, HD150, John Cornyn, judicial races, Justice of the Peace, Larry Taylor, Michael Wolfe, SBOE, SD11, Senate, Supreme Court, Texas, Todd Litton, Vince Ryan | 14 Comments

On straight tickets and undervotes

Posted on November 25, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

As we know, straight ticket voting in Texas is now officially a thing of the past. It will not be an option in 2020, the next time there will be partisan elections. Thanks to the success of Democratic candidates in … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Election 2002, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, straight ticket voting, Texas, turnout | 3 Comments

The Fort Bend blue wave

Posted on November 17, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Let’s not forget that what happened in Harris County happened in Fort Bend, too. Across the state, the “blue wave” that had long been a dream of the Democratic Party faithful failed to materialize in Tuesday’s midterm elections, with Republicans … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Brian Middleton, CD22, Commissioners Court, Congress, County Judge, demography, District Attorney, District Clerk, Donald Trump, Election 2008, Election 2016, Election 2018, Fort Bend County, HD26, HD28, KP George, Meghan Scoggins, Pete Olson, Sarah DeMerchant, Sri Kulkarni, Texas, The Lege, turnout | 8 Comments

How Lizzie Fletcher won

Posted on November 16, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I have three things to say about this. Now, having flipped a seat controlled for the last 52 years by Republicans, [Rep.-elect Lizzie] Fletcher heads to Washington with a target on her back, but also a desire to legislate with … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD07, Congress, DCCC, Democratic primary, Election 2008, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, John Culberson, Laura Moser, Lizzie FLetcher, Mike Skelly, Nick Lampson, Texas, turnout | 7 Comments

Initial reactions: Statewide

Posted on November 8, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I’m going to do a few of these “Initial reaction” posts about Tuesday’s elections as I try to make sense of all that happened. Here we go. Let me start with a number. Two numbers, actually: 4,017,851 and 48.26%. The … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Ag Commissioner, Attorney General, Beto O'Rourke, Court of Criminal Appeals, Donald Trump, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, Hillary Clinton, Joi Chevalier, Justin Nelson, Kathy Cheng, Kim Olson, Land Commissioner, Lite Gov, Lupe Valdez, Maria Jackson, Miguel Suazo, Mike Collier, Railroad Commission, Ramona Franklin, RK Sandill, Roman McAllen, Senate, Steven Kirkland, Supreme Court, Texas, turnout | 8 Comments

Today is election day

Posted on November 6, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

It’s what we’ve been waiting for, for what seems like forever. From the inbox: Tuesday, November 6, 2018 is Election Day. Voting locations will be open from 7 am to 7 pm. Voters may visit www.HarrisVotes.com, the County Clerk’s election … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election Day, Harris County, HFD, Houston, HPFFA, lawsuit, Sylvester Turner, Texas, turnout | 1 Comment

The trend in mail ballots

Posted on November 5, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Wanted to take a closer look at the not-in-person aspect of early voting: Year Mailed Returned Return% Dem % ========================================= 2008 76,187 68,612 90.06% 36.60% 2010 69,991 55,560 79.38% 30.82% 2012 92,290 76,085 82.44% 41.79% 2014 89,073 71,994 80.83% 48.94% … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, turnout | 23 Comments

Projecting Tuesday turnout

Posted on November 4, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Here’s the statewide view. By the time the polls closed Thursday, 33.7 percent of registered voters in Bexar County had voted, well past the 17.3 percent turnout at the same point in 2014, the last midterm, and close to the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, Bexar County, Collin County, Denton County, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, judicial races, Texas, Travis County, turnout, Williamson County | 1 Comment

Early voting, Day 12: Final curtain

Posted on November 3, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

It was apparently a late night with long lines, and the report didn’t arrive by 10 PM, so you’ll have to settle for this. When the polls closed in Harris County Friday, more voters had cast ballots than in any … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, Texas, turnout | 5 Comments

Early voting, Day 11: Almost done

Posted on November 2, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Before we get to the numbers, here’s my new favorite quote of the cycle: “If Ted Cruz had Beto’s campaign manager he’d be leading by 20 points,” said Dan Rogers, the Republican chairman in Potter County, where Cruz drew about … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, Beto O'Rourke, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout | Comments Off

Early voting, Day 10: Happy Halloween

Posted on November 1, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Here are the totals for Wednesday, and here are the daily totals from 2010, from 2014, and from 2016, as well as a spreadsheet with totals from 2004, 2008, 2012, and 2016. The running tallies: Year Mail Early Total ============================== … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, turnout | 1 Comment

Early voting, Day 9: Who are these people?

Posted on October 31, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

The question keeps getting asked, who is it that has been voting so far? An unprecedented number of Texans cast their ballots during the first week of early voting, but it is impossible to predict whether that surge will benefit … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, Dallas County, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, Texas, turnout | 9 Comments

Early voting, Day 8: On to Week 2

Posted on October 30, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Here are the totals for Monday, and here are the daily totals from 2010, from 2014, and from 2016, as well as a spreadsheet with totals from 2004, 2008, 2012, and 2016. The running tallies: Year Mail Early Total ============================== … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, turnout | 5 Comments

Day 7 early voting: Let the hot takes begin

Posted on October 29, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I’m just going to quote this bit from this story about how the Senate campaigns are interpreting the early vote turnout so far. Derek Ryan, a GOP data consultant who previously worked for the state party, said there are a … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, turnout | 4 Comments

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