Tag Archives: Election 2014

Big John may get a primary challenger

Posted on September 10, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Drama! Maybe. State Sen. Pat Fallon, R-Prosper, announced Monday evening he is exploring a primary challenge to U.S. Sen. John Cornyn, potentially giving the state’s senior senator his most prominent intraparty opponent yet. Fallon, a former state representative elected to … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Dwayne Stovall, Election 2014, Election 2020, John Cornyn, Mark Yancy, Pat Fallon, primaries, Senate, Steve Stockman, Texas | Comments Off

Rep. Will Hurd to step down

Posted on August 2, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Wow. I did not see this coming. The U.S. House’s last black Republican member, Rep. Will Hurd of Helotes, announced Thursday that he is retiring from Congress. President Donald Trump’s racist comments about elected officials weighed heavily on Hurd, who … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Blake Farenthold, CD02, CD03, CD04, CD05, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD11, CD15, CD16, CD19, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD27, CD29, CD32, Congress, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gene Green, Gina Ortiz Jones, Jeb Hensarling, Joe Barton, John Culberson, John Ratcliffe, Kenny Marchant, Lamar Smith, Mike Conaway, Mike McCaul, Pete Olson, Pete Sessions, Randy Neugebauer, Rosey Ramos Abuabara, Ruben Hinojosa, Sam Johnson, Ted Poe, Texas, Will Hurd | 7 Comments

Wendy Davis is in for CD21

Posted on July 23, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

For some reason it hadn’t occurred to me that this was likely to happen on Monday. And here we are. Former Texas state Sen. Wendy Davis is running for Congress. Early Monday morning, Davis announced her candidacy for the Democratic … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Bruce Boville, CD21, Chip Roy, Congress, Democratic primary, Election 2014, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, Governor, Jennie Lou Leeder, Texas, Wendy Davis | 2 Comments

West sets up Senate campaign committees

Posted on July 20, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

This would seem to end the suspense, if there were any suspense remaining. State Sen. Royce West, D-Dallas, appears to be in for the U.S. Senate race. He has an announcement planned for Monday in Dallas, but on Friday, paperwork was … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Amanda Edwards, Chris Bell, Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez, Democratic primary, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2020, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, Royce West, Senate, Texas | 1 Comment

Libertarians and Greens sue over the petition process for ballot access

Posted on July 14, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

We’ll see about this. Ahead of the 2020 election cycle, a group of Texans, along with a number of nonmajor political parties, have sued the secretary of state’s office, alleging that Texas election law discriminates against third-party and independent candidates … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, Legal matters | Tagged ballot access, Election 2004, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Governor, Green Party, lawsuit, Libertarian Party, Mark Miller, petitions, President, Ralph Nader, Texas, turnout | 3 Comments

How many contested judicial primaries should we expect?

Posted on June 30, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

We already know that we’re going to get primary challenges to at least one Democratic countywide officeholder, as County Attorney Vince Ryan has two challengers lining up against him, and DA Kim Ogg has at least one person who has … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Democratic primary, Election 2002, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2014, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, judicial races, primaries | 3 Comments

Some county race updates

Posted on June 26, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

2020 is going to be a very different election year in Harris County, because for the first time in anyone’s memory all of the non-HCDE countywide offices are held by Democrats. If you’re a Democrat in Harris County and you … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Alan Rosen, Andrea Duhon, bail, Ben Rose, Christian Menefee, Commissioners Court, David Brown, Democratic primary, Diana Alexander, Don Sumners, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, gay marriage, Harris County, Harris County Attorney, HCDE, Kristi Thibaut, lawsuit, Michael Wolfe, Mike Laster, Stan Stanart, Steve Radack, Vince Ryan | 2 Comments

How Texas Republicans did not make their case to women this session

Posted on June 1, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

They did have a not-excessively-misogynist session, but see if you can spot what’s missing in this recap and preview story. Texas could have tried to beat Alabama to become the first state in the nation to ban all abortions this … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged abortion, Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, gay rights, John Cornyn, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: 2018 State House

Posted on March 26, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Beto O’Rourke won 76 State House districts. Out of 150. Which is a majority. Let me say that again so it can fully sink in. BETO O’ROURKE WON 76 STATE HOUSE DISTRICTS. Remember that after the 2016 election, Democrats held … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Ann Johnson, Beto O'Rourke, Bill Zedler, Brad Buckley, Craig Eiland, Donald Trump, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, GD31, Greg Abbott, HD102, HD105, HD106, HD108, HD112, HD113, HD114, HD115, HD117, HD121, HD122, HD126, HD129, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD136, HD138, HD14, HD23, HD26, HD28, HD29, HD32, HD34, HD43, HD45, HD47, HD52, HD54, HD64, HD65, HD66, HD67, HD74, HD84, HD85, HD89, HD92, HD93, HD94, HD96, HD97, Hillary Clinton, Jimmie Don Aycock, JM Lozano, Joe Straus, Jonathan Stickland, Matt Krause, precinct analysis, redistricting, Texas, The Lege, Todd Hunter | 11 Comments

What about Wendy?

Posted on March 7, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

If not Beto and not Joaquin… Wendy Davis of Texas said Tuesday she is considering a U.S. Senate run in 2020 but is waiting to see whether another high-profile Democrat, Rep. Joaquin Castro, goes through with challenging Republican incumbent John … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD10, CD21, CD25, CD31, Congress, Election 2014, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, Governor, Joaquin Castro, Joe Kopser, John Cornyn, Julie Oliver, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Roger Williams, Senate, Texas, Wendy Davis | 3 Comments

MJ Hegar considers a Senate run

Posted on February 14, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Now we’re getting somewhere. Military veteran MJ Hegar, a former U.S. House candidate, is seriously considering a run for the Democratic nomination to take on U.S. Sen. John Cornyn in 2020. Hegar, who served in the Air Force in Afghanistan, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD31, Congress, Election 2014, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Governor, Greg Abbott, John Carter, John Cornyn, Julian Castro, MJ Hegar, President, Senate, Texas, Wendy Davis | 8 Comments

Trying again to primary Cuellar

Posted on January 14, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Good luck. It’s not going to be easy. A grass-roots Democratic group that helped power the upset victory of Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., has identified a Texas Democrat as its first target ahead of the 2020 congressional primaries — but … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Al Green, Beto O'Rourke, CD16, CD28, CD29, Chris Bell, Ciro Rodriguez, Congress, Craig Washington, Democratic primary, Election 1994, Election 1996, Election 2004, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gene Green, Greg Laughlin, Henry Cuellar, John Ratcliffe, Justice Democrats, Ralph Hall, Ron Paul, Sheila Jackson Lee, Silvestre Reyes, Texas | 1 Comment

The Harris County GOP has not hit bottom yet

Posted on December 27, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I have four thing to say about this. Drubbed. Shellacked. Whooped. Walloped. Routed. However you want to describe November’s midterm election, it was disastrous for Harris County Republicans. They were swept from the remaining countywide posts they held — the other shoe … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, CD02, CD07, CD10, CD22, Commissioners Court, Congress, Constable, Dan Crenshaw, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Harris County, HCDE, HD126, HD129, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD138, HD150, Jack Morman, Justice of the Peace, Lizzie FLetcher, Paul Simpson, redistricting, Republican Party, Steve Radack, straight ticket voting, Texas, The Lege, turnout, voter registration | 21 Comments

Rep. Joe Pickett to resign

Posted on December 17, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

We will now need two special House elections to get to full membership. State Rep. Joe Pickett of El Paso will leave his post effective Jan. 4. Pickett, a Democrat, made the announcement Saturday morning that he will step down … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018, Election 2019, That's our Lege | Tagged Carol Alvarado, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2019, HD145, HD79, Hillary Clinton, Joe Pickett, SD06, SD19, Senate, special election, Texas, The Lege, Wendy Davis | 1 Comment

The changing tides in Central Texas

Posted on December 4, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

From the Statesman: Six Democrats came within 5 points or fewer in six Texas races, including three districts in Central Texas where Republicans traditionally win easily. Democrats now hold 13 of 36 Texas congressional seats. “This is about persistence. This … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD10, CD21, CD25, CD31, Congress, demography, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Hillary Clinton, I-35, Joe Kopser, John Cornyn, Julie Oliver, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Senate, Texas, The Lege, Travis County, turnout, Williamson County | 1 Comment

So you want to run for something in 2020

Posted on November 26, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

You’re an ambitious Democrat in Harris County. You saw what happened these last two elections, and you think it’s your time to step up and run for office. What are your options that don’t involved primarying a Democratic incumbent? 1. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged 14th Court of Appeals, CD02, CD10, CD22, Congress, Constable, Court of Criminal Appeals, Dan Crenshaw, Democratic primary, Don Sumners, Donna Bahorich, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, First Court of Appeals, Harris County, Harris County Attorney, HCDE, HD126, HD129, HD133, HD138, HD150, John Cornyn, judicial races, Justice of the Peace, Larry Taylor, Michael Wolfe, SBOE, SD11, Senate, Supreme Court, Texas, Todd Litton, Vince Ryan | 14 Comments

On straight tickets and undervotes

Posted on November 25, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

As we know, straight ticket voting in Texas is now officially a thing of the past. It will not be an option in 2020, the next time there will be partisan elections. Thanks to the success of Democratic candidates in … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Election 2002, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, straight ticket voting, Texas, turnout | 3 Comments

Precinct analysis: The two key CDs

Posted on November 20, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I want to break out of my usual precinct analysis posts to focus on the two big Congressional districts that were held by Republicans going into this election and are entirely within Harris County, CD02 and CD07. CD07 Candidate Votes … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD07, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, demography, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Hillary Clinton, James Cargas, John Culberson, Lizzie FLetcher, Mitt Romney, precinct analysis, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Ted Poe, Texas, Todd Litton, turnout, voter registration | 1 Comment

Initial reactions: Statewide

Posted on November 8, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I’m going to do a few of these “Initial reaction” posts about Tuesday’s elections as I try to make sense of all that happened. Here we go. Let me start with a number. Two numbers, actually: 4,017,851 and 48.26%. The … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Ag Commissioner, Attorney General, Beto O'Rourke, Court of Criminal Appeals, Donald Trump, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, Hillary Clinton, Joi Chevalier, Justin Nelson, Kathy Cheng, Kim Olson, Land Commissioner, Lite Gov, Lupe Valdez, Maria Jackson, Miguel Suazo, Mike Collier, Railroad Commission, Ramona Franklin, RK Sandill, Roman McAllen, Senate, Steven Kirkland, Supreme Court, Texas, turnout | 8 Comments

An under the radar pickup opportunity

Posted on November 6, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

It’s an open seat in the SBOE. Suzanne Smith says she has tried to run a nonpartisan campaign in her low-profile bid for a place on the State Board of Education. But she stands to benefit from the current contentious … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, fundraising, Geraldine Miller, Pam Little, SBOE, Suzanne Smith, Texas | Comments Off

The trend in mail ballots

Posted on November 5, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Wanted to take a closer look at the not-in-person aspect of early voting: Year Mailed Returned Return% Dem % ========================================= 2008 76,187 68,612 90.06% 36.60% 2010 69,991 55,560 79.38% 30.82% 2012 92,290 76,085 82.44% 41.79% 2014 89,073 71,994 80.83% 48.94% … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, turnout | 23 Comments

Texas and Tarrant

Posted on November 5, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

The Trib looks at Beto O’Rourke’s campaign focus on Tarrant County. Fort Worth and its outlying ranches and suburbs are mostly a backwater in Texas politics. Gerrymandered to the hilt, the national parties have mostly ignored this county. But since … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Election 2006, Election 2010, Election 2014, Election 2018, Lite Gov, President, Senate, Tarrant County, Ted Cruz, Texas | 2 Comments

Projecting Tuesday turnout

Posted on November 4, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Here’s the statewide view. By the time the polls closed Thursday, 33.7 percent of registered voters in Bexar County had voted, well past the 17.3 percent turnout at the same point in 2014, the last midterm, and close to the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, Bexar County, Collin County, Denton County, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, judicial races, Texas, Travis County, turnout, Williamson County | 1 Comment

The Courts of Appeals

Posted on November 4, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

The other judicial races where Dems have a chance to gain ground. Republicans dominate Texas politics — but their stranglehold is especially noticeable in the courts. Republicans hold all 18 seats on the state’s two high courts. Of the state’s … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged 13th Court of Appeals, 14th Court of Appeals, 4th Court of Appeals, 5th Court of Appeals, Brazoria County, Dallas County, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, First Court of Appeals, Fort Bend County, Galveston, Harris County, judicial races, Texas, Third Court of Appeals, Travis County, turnout | 1 Comment

Early voting, Day 12: Final curtain

Posted on November 3, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

It was apparently a late night with long lines, and the report didn’t arrive by 10 PM, so you’ll have to settle for this. When the polls closed in Harris County Friday, more voters had cast ballots than in any … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, Texas, turnout | 5 Comments

Early voting, Day 11: Almost done

Posted on November 2, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Before we get to the numbers, here’s my new favorite quote of the cycle: “If Ted Cruz had Beto’s campaign manager he’d be leading by 20 points,” said Dan Rogers, the Republican chairman in Potter County, where Cruz drew about … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, Beto O'Rourke, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout | Comments Off

Early voting, Day 10: Happy Halloween

Posted on November 1, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Here are the totals for Wednesday, and here are the daily totals from 2010, from 2014, and from 2016, as well as a spreadsheet with totals from 2004, 2008, 2012, and 2016. The running tallies: Year Mail Early Total ============================== … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, turnout | 1 Comment

Early voting, Day 9: Who are these people?

Posted on October 31, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

The question keeps getting asked, who is it that has been voting so far? An unprecedented number of Texans cast their ballots during the first week of early voting, but it is impossible to predict whether that surge will benefit … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, Dallas County, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, Texas, turnout | 9 Comments

“The least-discussed vulnerable Republican on the ballot”

Posted on October 31, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

From Grits: Grits does not expect Beto O’Rourke to win. But if he were to pull off the upset, many other dominos could fall in succession as a result, with at least three Republican senators, Texas’ Attorney General, and potentially … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Ag Commissioner, Attorney General, Beto O'Rourke, Court of Criminal Appeals, Donald Trump, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, Hillary Clinton, judicial races, Ken Paxton, polls, President, Senate, Sharon Keller, Sid Miller, Supreme Court, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout, Wendy Davis | 1 Comment

Early voting, Day 8: On to Week 2

Posted on October 30, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Here are the totals for Monday, and here are the daily totals from 2010, from 2014, and from 2016, as well as a spreadsheet with totals from 2004, 2008, 2012, and 2016. The running tallies: Year Mail Early Total ============================== … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, turnout | 5 Comments

Day 7 early voting: Let the hot takes begin

Posted on October 29, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I’m just going to quote this bit from this story about how the Senate campaigns are interpreting the early vote turnout so far. Derek Ryan, a GOP data consultant who previously worked for the state party, said there are a … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, turnout | 4 Comments

Day 6 early voting: A very early stab at projecting turnout

Posted on October 28, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

This is the point in the early voting process where early voting hours expand, and as a result daily EV reports come in later. That may affect my ability to present the latest data each day, so I’m going to … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, turnout | 1 Comment

Early voting Day 5: It’s been a long week (in a good way)

Posted on October 27, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Did I mention it’s been busy? Voters across the state have come out in massive numbers during the first five days of early voting, and soon, more Texans will have voted early in 2018 than in all of 2014’s early … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, Beto O'Rourke, Cameron County, Dallas County, early voting, El Paso, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, Senate, Tarrant County, Texas, Travis County, turnout, Williamson County | 3 Comments

Day 4 early voting: A brief look around the state

Posted on October 26, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

The Trib has it all organized for you. As of day three of early voting, 1,344,741 Texans have cast in-person ballots and 240,601 cast mail-in ballots in the 30 counties where most registered voters in the state — 78 percent … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, Texas, turnout | 9 Comments

Tag Archives: Election 2014

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