Tag Archives: Hillary Clinton

Precinct analysis: Fort Bend

Posted on January 21, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Did you know that Fort Bend County went blue in 2018 as well? Of course you did. Let’s take a closer look at how that happened. Dist Cruz Beto Dikeman Cruz% Beto% Dike% ====================================================== HD26 32,451 33,532 406 48.88% 50.51% … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Attorney General, Beto O'Rourke, Brian Middleton, Commissioners Court, County Judge, District Attorney, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Fort Bend County, Governor, HD26, HD27, HD28, HD85, Hillary Clinton, Justin Nelson, Kim Olson, KP George, Lite Gov, Lupe Valdez, Mike Collier, precinct analysis, Senate, Texas, The Lege | Comments Off

Rep. Joe Pickett to resign

Posted on December 17, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

We will now need two special House elections to get to full membership. State Rep. Joe Pickett of El Paso will leave his post effective Jan. 4. Pickett, a Democrat, made the announcement Saturday morning that he will step down … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018, Election 2019, That's our Lege | Tagged Carol Alvarado, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2019, HD145, HD79, Hillary Clinton, Joe Pickett, SD06, SD19, Senate, special election, Texas, The Lege, Wendy Davis | 1 Comment

The changing tides in Central Texas

Posted on December 4, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

From the Statesman: Six Democrats came within 5 points or fewer in six Texas races, including three districts in Central Texas where Republicans traditionally win easily. Democrats now hold 13 of 36 Texas congressional seats. “This is about persistence. This … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD10, CD21, CD25, CD31, Congress, demography, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Hillary Clinton, I-35, Joe Kopser, John Cornyn, Julie Oliver, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Senate, Texas, The Lege, Travis County, turnout, Williamson County | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: The two key CDs

Posted on November 20, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I want to break out of my usual precinct analysis posts to focus on the two big Congressional districts that were held by Republicans going into this election and are entirely within Harris County, CD02 and CD07. CD07 Candidate Votes … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD07, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, demography, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Hillary Clinton, James Cargas, John Culberson, Lizzie FLetcher, Mitt Romney, precinct analysis, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Ted Poe, Texas, Todd Litton, turnout, voter registration | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: Beto does Harris County

Posted on November 19, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

He won pretty much everywhere you looked. So let’s look at the numbers: Dist Cruz Beto Dike Cruz% Beto% Trump% Clint% ============================================================= CD02 132,390 129,160 2,047 50.22% 49.00% 52.38% 43.05% CD07 112,078 129,781 1,843 45.99% 53.25% 47.11% 48.47% CD08 17,552 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, Commissioners Court, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, HD126, HD129, HD133, HD138, HD150, Hillary Clinton, precinct analysis, SBOE, Senate, Steve Radack, Ted Cruz, The Lege | 6 Comments

Initial thoughts: Congress

Posted on November 15, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I’ll be honest: I never felt particularly confident about winning CD07 or CD32. Not because Lizzie Fletcher and Colin Allred weren’t excellent candidates, or anything to do with the trends of the national environment or what have you. I just … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, CD32, Colin Allred, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gina Ortiz Jones, Hillary Clinton, Jan McDowell, Lizzie FLetcher, redistricting, Texas, turnout, Will Hurd | 6 Comments

Initial thoughts: The Lege

Posted on November 12, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Live by the gerrymander, die by the gerrymander. At the end of the 2011 legislative session, state Rep. Rafael Anchia, a Dallas Democrat, sat down to dinner with a Republican colleague from the Texas House. Anchia was exhausted and incensed. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Celia Israel, Chris Turner, Dallas County, Donald Trump, Donna Howard, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Erin Zwiener, Gina Calanni, HD102, HD105, HD108, HD112, HD113, HD114, HD115, HD121, HD126, HD129, HD132, HD134, HD135, HD136, HD138, HD14, HD150, HD23, HD26, HD28, HD29, HD32, HD43, HD45, HD47, HD52, HD54, HD64, HD65, HD66, HD67, HD70, HD84, HD85, HD89, HD92, HD93, HD94, HD96, HD97, Hillary Clinton, James Talarico, Jessica Gonzalez, Joe Pickett, John Bucy, John Turner, John Whitmire, Jon Rosenthal, Julie Johnson, Kirk Watson, Mary Gonzalez, Michelle Beckley, Rafael Anchia, redistricting, Texas, The Lege, Tracy King, turnout, Vikki Goodwin | 4 Comments

Initial reactions: Statewide

Posted on November 8, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I’m going to do a few of these “Initial reaction” posts about Tuesday’s elections as I try to make sense of all that happened. Here we go. Let me start with a number. Two numbers, actually: 4,017,851 and 48.26%. The … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Ag Commissioner, Attorney General, Beto O'Rourke, Court of Criminal Appeals, Donald Trump, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, Hillary Clinton, Joi Chevalier, Justin Nelson, Kathy Cheng, Kim Olson, Land Commissioner, Lite Gov, Lupe Valdez, Maria Jackson, Miguel Suazo, Mike Collier, Railroad Commission, Ramona Franklin, RK Sandill, Roman McAllen, Senate, Steven Kirkland, Supreme Court, Texas, turnout | 8 Comments

“The least-discussed vulnerable Republican on the ballot”

Posted on October 31, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

From Grits: Grits does not expect Beto O’Rourke to win. But if he were to pull off the upset, many other dominos could fall in succession as a result, with at least three Republican senators, Texas’ Attorney General, and potentially … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Ag Commissioner, Attorney General, Beto O'Rourke, Court of Criminal Appeals, Donald Trump, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, Hillary Clinton, judicial races, Ken Paxton, polls, President, Senate, Sharon Keller, Sid Miller, Supreme Court, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout, Wendy Davis | 1 Comment

The Beto-Abbott voters

Posted on October 25, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I have three things to say about this. Barring divine intervention, Greg Abbott will handily beat Lupe Valdez — the only real question is by how much. The floor, if there is one, is Wendy Davis’ crushing loss to Greg … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Bill White, CD07, CD32, Congress, David Dewhurst, Donald Trump, Election 2010, Election 2016, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, Hillary Clinton, Lupe Valdez, polls, President, Rick Perry, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout | 5 Comments

The Dallas County House battleground

Posted on September 23, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Lot of seats in play here. [Julie] Johnson is among several Democratic candidates in Dallas hoping national and statewide talk of a blue wave will trickle down to several local state House races. A mix of Democratic enthusiasm this cycle, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, HD105, HD113, HD114, HD115, Hillary Clinton, John Turner, Jonathan Boos, Julie Johnson, Lisa Luby Ryan, Lupe Valdez, Matt Rinaldi, precinct analysis, Rhetta Andrews Bowers, Rodney Anderson, Terry Meza, Texas, The Lege, turnout | 3 Comments

How can Beto win?

Posted on September 7, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

This is from the weekly newsletter put out by G. Elliott Morris: Let’s talk about voter turnout in Texas. The statewide voting-agedpopulation is a mixed bag, made up of 45% White, 37% Hispanic, 11% Black, and 6% Asian/other residents, according to projections from the Center … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Hillary Clinton, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout | 18 Comments

NBC News: Cruz 49, O’Rourke 45

Posted on August 24, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

It’s been three weeks since our last poll result. In a head-to-head match up, Cruz held a 4-point lead over O’Rourke. Forty-nine percent of respondents backed Cruz, compared to 45 percent who supported O’Rourke. Six percent of respondents remain undecided. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Bill White, Donald Trump, Election 2010, Election 2016, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, Hillary Clinton, Lupe Valdez, polls, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 10 Comments

Where CD02 and CD07 stand

Posted on June 14, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

The race in CD02 gets a little attention from the Chron. The demographic elements that make the 7th Congressional District in Houston one of the hottest midterm elections in the nation also run through a neighboring area that has some … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD02, CD07, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, fundraising, Hillary Clinton, John Culberson, Lizzie FLetcher, Texas, Todd Litton | Comments Off

Harris County poll: Hidalgo 53, Emmett 47

Posted on June 1, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

From the inbox last week: The Lina Hidalgo campaign for Harris County Judge today released the results of its first county-wide poll, showing the Democratic challenger leading the Republican incumbent by a stunning six percentage points; among Harris County voters … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Bob McNeil, Donald Trump, Ed Emmett, Election 2016, Election 2018, Gary Johnson, Harris County, Harris County Judge, Hillary Clinton, Jill Stein, Lina Hidalgo, Neil Dikeman, polls, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, turnout | 16 Comments

Some people sound very threatened by that Quinnipiac Texas Senate poll

Posted on April 20, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

This is almost funny. In its first-ever Texas poll, Quinnipiac University deemed the Senate race “too close to call” in reporting that 47 percent of Texas voters surveyed back Cruz and 44 percent support O’Rourke, an El Paso congressman. The … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Bill White, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Governor, Hillary Clinton, polls, President, Senate, Texas, Wendy Davis | 7 Comments

An article about Congressional race in Texas that doesn’t mention CD07

Posted on April 20, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Who knew that was even legal? Several of the most truly competitive House races in the country are in Texas, which could wind up providing Democrats three or more of the 24 flipped seats that they need for control of … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD02, CD06, CD07, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD32, Christine Eady Mann, Colin Allred, Congress, Democratic primary, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, Hillary Clinton, Joe Kopser, Mary Wilson, MJ Hegar, runoff, Sri Kulkarni, Texas | 4 Comments

Abbott v Davis

Posted on November 14, 2017 by Charles Kuffner

It’s getting real out there. In what promises to deepen divisions in the Texas Republican Party, Gov. Greg Abbott on Monday endorsed a GOP challenger to incumbent state Rep. Sarah Davis of Houston. Abbott gave his public thumbs-up to Susanna … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Barack Obama, Bill White, Donald Trump, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, endorsements, Greg Abbott, Hillary Clinton, Mitt Romney, primaries, Rick Perry, Sarah Davis, Susanna Dokupil, Texas, The Lege, Wendy Davis | 8 Comments

A big ask for hurricane recovery

Posted on November 2, 2017 by Charles Kuffner

Good luck with that. I mean that mostly sincerely. Texas needs an additional $61 billion in federal disaster recovery money for infrastructure alone after Hurricane Harvey’s devastation, according to a report from the Governor’s Commission to Rebuild Texas that was … Continue reading →

Posted in Hurricane Katrina | Tagged Addicks Reservoir, Barker Reservoir, California, Congress, Donald Trump, flooding, Florida, Greg Abbott, Hillary Clinton, Houston, Hurricane Harvey, Hurricane Irma, Hurricane Maria, Ike Dike, Joe Barton, John Cornyn, Puerto Rico, Senate, Superstorm Sandy, Ted Cruz, Texas | 1 Comment

The rural/suburban tradeoff

Posted on August 10, 2017 by Charles Kuffner

Martin Longman returns to a point he has been making about the way the vote shifted in the 2016 election. Let’s try to be clear about what we mean. Hillary Clinton won a lot of votes in the suburbs from … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2016 | Tagged Barack Obama, Collin County, Denton County, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Fort Bend County, Galveston, Harris County, HD26, HD66, HD67, Hillary Clinton, Mitt Romney, Montgomery County, precinct analysis, Tarrant County, Texas, The Lege, Williamson County | 3 Comments

Precinct analysis: Humble ISD

Posted on July 9, 2017 by Charles Kuffner

I’d been meaning to go back to the Humble ISD election in May, where two Project LIFT candidates were running against incumbent members, to see what I could learn. The canvass reports are up on the Harris County Clerk website, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2017 | Tagged Abby Whitmire, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2017, Harris County, Hillary Clinton, Humble ISD, precinct analysis, turnout | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: SBOE districts

Posted on June 12, 2017 by Charles Kuffner

There are 15 members on the State Board of Education, five Democrats and ten Republicans. Of those ten Republican-held seats, four of them were in districts that were interesting in 2016: Dist Incumbent Clinton Trump Obama Romney ================================================= SBOE5 Mercer … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2016 | Tagged Court of Criminal Appeals, David Bradley, Donald Trump, Donna Bahorich, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Geraldine Miller, Hillary Clinton, Ken Mercer, precinct analysis, President, SBOE, Texas, Tom Maynard | Comments Off

Matt Rinaldi holds a swing seat

Posted on June 5, 2017 by Charles Kuffner

Just something to keep in mind. State Rep. Matt Rinaldi’s scuffle Monday with Hispanic lawmakers is already putting a bright spotlight on his House district — and whether he can hold on to it in 2018. Rinaldi, an Irving Republican, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Dallas County, Dorotha Ocker, Election 2016, Election 2018, HD115, Hillary Clinton, judicial races, Matt Rinaldi, precinct analysis, Texas, The Lege | 7 Comments

Precinct analysis: Congressional districts

Posted on May 1, 2017 by Charles Kuffner

The Texas Legislative Council now has full data from the 2016 elections on its site, so this seemed like as good a time as any to take a look at the data from Congressional districts. I’m much more limited in … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2016, Election 2018 | Tagged Barack Obama, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD31, CD32, Congress, Court of Criminal Appeals, Derrick Crowe, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Hillary Clinton, Joe Barton, Lamar Smith, Mitt Romney, precinct analysis, Texas, Will Hurd | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: The targets for 2018

Posted on March 20, 2017 by Charles Kuffner

Ross Ramsey recently surveyed the 2018 electoral landscape. Election numbers recently released by the Texas Legislative Council point to some soft spots in this red state’s political underbelly — places where Republicans hold office now but where Democrats at the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2016 | Tagged Barack Obama, Court of Criminal Appeals, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, HD115, HD121, HD135, HD136, HD138, HD43, HD52, HD65, HD66, HD67, HD97, Hillary Clinton, Mitt Romney, precinct analysis, President, Texas, The Lege | 1 Comment

Two unsatisfying articles about the 2016 Democratic sweep in Harris County

Posted on March 10, 2017 by Charles Kuffner

The Democratic sweep in Harris County has drawn some national attention, as writers from the left and right try to analyze what happened here last year and why Hillary Clinton carried the county by such a large margin. Unfortunately, as … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2016 | Tagged Devon Anderson, District Attorney, Donald Trump, Ed Gonzalez, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Gary Polland, Harris County, Harris County Sheriff, Hillary Clinton, Jared Woodfill, judicial races, Kim Ogg, Latino voting, Paul Simpson, President, Ron Hickman, Texas, Texas Organizing Project, turnout | 10 Comments

Our first look at Senate district data

Posted on February 28, 2017 by Charles Kuffner

The Trib looks at the data we now have. In the state Senate, one Republican — Don Huffines of Dallas — is now representing a district that Clinton easily won, while two more — Konni Burton of Colleyville and Joan … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2016 | Tagged Brazoria County, Collin County, Court of Criminal Appeals, Dallas County, Don Huffines, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Fort Bend County, Harris County, Hillary Clinton, Joan Huffman, Kelly Hancock, Konni Burton, precinct analysis, President, SD08, SD09, SD10, SD16, SD17, Senate, Tarrant County, Texas, Van Taylor | 2 Comments

As goes Tarrant

Posted on February 19, 2017 by Charles Kuffner

The Trib ponders the one big urban county that is not like the others. Among the state’s five biggest counties, Tarrant is the only one that hasn’t backed a Democratic presidential candidate in the past decade. The 2016 presidential election … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2016 | Tagged Barack Obama, demography, Donald Trump, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Fort Worth, George Bush, Hillary Clinton, John Kerry, John McCain, Konni Burton, Marc Veasey, Mitt Romney, precinct analysis, President, SD10, Senate, Tarrant County, Texas, Wendy Davis | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: Dallas County statewides

Posted on February 7, 2017 by Charles Kuffner

Last time we looked at the Presidential numbers in Dallas County legislative districts (plus CD32). Today we follow up with a look at the statewide races. I’m going to throw a lot of numbers at you, so please bear with … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2016 | Tagged Court of Criminal Appeals, Dallas County, Deborah Lehrmann, Donald Trump, Dori Garza, Election 2016, Eva Guzman, Grady Yarbrough, HD105, HD107, Hillary Clinton, judicial races, Kenneth Sheets, Mark Burnett, Mark Miller, Martina Salinas, Mike Westergren, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, Robert Burns, Rodney Anderson, Supreme Court, Terry Meza, Texas, Victoria Neave, Wayne Christian | Comments Off

DCCC says it will aim for three Texas Congressional seats

Posted on February 6, 2017 by Charles Kuffner

We’ll see what this means in practice. The House Democratic campaign arm, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, announced Monday morning that the party intends to target two longtime GOP incumbents that, until recently, have long been considered locks for re-election: … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Allen Vaught, CD07, CD23, CD32, Congress, Dallas County, DCCC, Debby Kerner, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Hillary Clinton, John Culberson, Mike Rawlings, Pete Sessions, precinct analysis, President, Texas, Will Hurd | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: Dallas County Presidential numbers

Posted on January 31, 2017 by Charles Kuffner

News flash: Hillary Clinton won every Dallas County State Rep district. See for yourself: Dist Trump Clinton Johnson Stein ======================================== CD32 117,758 127,824 5,751 1,056 HD100 8,405 33,647 647 217 HD102 24,768 30,291 1,312 287 HD103 8,710 28,689 683 205 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2016 | Tagged Barack Obama, Dallas County, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Harris County, HD102, HD105, HD107, HD108, HD113, HD115, Hillary Clinton, Mitt Romney, precinct analysis, President, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: Texas Congressional districts

Posted on January 13, 2017 by Charles Kuffner

From Daily Kos: Texas’s GOP-drawn congressional map was designed to create 24 safely red seats and 11 safely Democratic districts, with only the 23rd District in the western part of the state being truly competitive. In 2012, Mitt Romney carried … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2016 | Tagged Barack Obama, CD01, CD07, CD23, CD32, Congress, Dallas County, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Gary Johnson, Harris County, Hillary Clinton, John Culberson, Louie Gohmert, Mitt Romney, Pete Gallego, Pete Sessions, precinct analysis, President, Texas, Will Hurd | Comments Off

The Trib looks at Fort Bend’s Democratic trend

Posted on January 11, 2017 by Charles Kuffner

It’s worth noting. Despite long being considered a Republican county, Fort Bend went blue on Nov. 8 when Hillary Clinton won the county with an almost seven-point margin of victory. It wasn’t just an electoral flip — it was a … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2016 | Tagged demography, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2017, Election 2018, Fort Bend County, Hillary Clinton, precinct analysis, President | Comments Off

Rep. Sam Johnson to retire

Posted on January 9, 2017 by Charles Kuffner

One of Texas’ longest-serving members of Congress will call it quits next year. U.S. Rep. Sam Johnson announced Friday morning that he will not seek re-election to represent his Plano-based seat in Congress. Johnson, a Vietnam War veteran, made the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Barack Obama, CD03, Collin County, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Hillary Clinton, Keith Self, Mitt Romney, President, Sam Johnson, Texas, Van Taylor | 1 Comment

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