Precinct analysis: 2023 Mayoral runoff

You might want to hide your children’s eyes, these numbers are quite ugly if you were a Sheila Jackson Lee supporter:


Dist  Whitmire    J Lee
=======================
A       12,578    3,807
B        2,625   11,199
C       29,030    8,769
D        5,012   14,150
E       20,469    4,140
F        4,693    3,093
G       29,819    4,308
H        9,713    5,436
I        6,183    4,491
J        4,066    2,273
K        7,710    8,633
		
Dist  Whitmire    J Lee
=======================
A       76.77%   23.23%
B       18.99%   81.01%
C       76.80%   23.20%
D       26.16%   73.84%
E       83.18%   16.82%
F       60.27%   39.73%
G       87.38%   12.62%
H       64.12%   35.88%
I       57.93%   42.07%
J       64.14%   35.86%
K       47.18%   52.82%

As I have said, when an election is a blowout the precinct data usually isn’t very interesting. One is to compare these results to the 2015 Mayoral runoff, in which Sylvester Turner cobbled together enough votes to hold off Bill King (doing us all a big favor in the process). Unlike this race, that was nominally a D versus R race, though King has always claimed to be some kind of post-partisan whatever. He still carried Districts C, F, and J in addition to dominating the Republican districts, which was very nearly enough to win. But look at Turner’s margins in B, D, and K, where he was ten points or more ahead of SJL’s pace, and racked up much larger absolute margins. Turner had a net 40K vote lead in those three districts – and he needed every one of those votes – while SJL netted fewer than 16K votes in those districts. Turner’s performance was the minimum of what she needed to win, and she fell far short of that. That’s the ballgame right there.

There is one other point to note. SJL got fewer votes in December in her three strongest districts than she did in November. To some extent that’s expected, as runoffs tend to draw fewer total voters. John Whitmire also got fewer votes in districts B and D than he drew in November, though he increased his total in K. He also picked up more votes in the districts where he ran the strongest, and flipped districts F and I into his column. This is how you go from a seven-point lead to a thirty-point romp.

I went back and looked at the 2009 runoff as well, just to see what I could glean. You can’t make a straight comparison since 2009 was before the Council redistricting that created districts J and K, but this was also a contest between a white Dem and a Black Dem, and the overall pattern of who won where is familiar. The main thing I noted in that writeup was that both Annise Parker and Gene Locke netted an extra 27K votes in December over November. That was true even though the total number of votes cast in December (about 150K) was less than November (about 180K). Both picked up votes from the other candidates in the race. This year, Whitmire netted an extra 20K votes, but SJL finished with about 18K fewer votes. Whitmire won the second place votes from other candidates, while SJL didn’t hold on to all of her initial voters. It’s brutal all the way down.

I’m sure some of that was because of Whitmire’s crushing cash advantage – I don’t know about you, but I could not escape Whitmire ads throughout the runoff period – while SJL had no cash as of November election day and didn’t raise much more after that. Some of that was probably vibes – I don’t know what anyone was expecting going into November, but trailing by 20K votes is rarely where you want to be. Whatever the case, Whitmire had the advantage, he pressed it, and you can see the result. I’ll have more of these as we go. Let me know what you think.

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

On solving the crimes

This is a nice profile of Precinct One Deputy Constable Joe Bowden, who is good at his job. His specialty is solving bike thefts, and I want to highlight this bit that shows him in action, and then share some thoughts on the other side.

That was likely how he solved Gail Wellenkamp’s case.

Wellenkamp had set out with a couple friends to MKT shopping plaza in Houston Heights on a Wednesday morning, and after eating lunch, the group returned to find her bike was missing. They checked with nearby store owners, and obtained security camera footage that showed the thief using a pair of bolt-cutters to cut the bike lock and riding off.

However, attempts to get the Houston Police Department to take action were fruitless. When the constable’s office called her to set up an interview, she had already considered the bike long gone and was just doing the legwork. The constable that night asked her to send the video and images of the thief to the police, but she couldn’t find a way.

“Everybody I knew thought it was a goner,” Wellenkamp said.

The next morning, Bowden texted Wellenkamp asking for pictures of the thief. Wellenkamp sent them, and Bowden immediately recognized the suspect. He had previously been arrested for bike theft and had just been released.

“So he said, ‘OK, I’m gonna get your bike back,’” Wellenkamp said. “I just didn’t believe it, but you know, I thought OK, we’ll give it a try.”

On Friday, a mere two days later, Wellenkamp was reunited with her bike. Bowden told her that her bike had passed through four different sets of hands before being found in Sugar Land. Bowden hadn’t communicated much with Wellenkamp throughout the process, but the results left her stunned.

“I couldn’t believe it,” she said, laughing at the improbability. “I was shocked. I was totally shocked.”

Emphasis mine. There’s so much here that intersects with my earlier post about crime rates and reporting and perception. In no particular order:

– The inability to get HPD to respond to this crime is just baffling. This wasn’t some random one off, it was clearly done by someone who knows how to steal bikes and comes equipped to do it. Solving this one crime will likely mean solving dozens of others, and will also prevent future crimes, as the perpetrator is a repeat offender. And there’s video evidence! Just like Chief Finner wants! What exactly is HPD doing if it’s not responding to a report like this?

– This is why I am skeptical, after three decades plus of watching Mayoral candidates promise to tackle crime by hiring more police officers, that we are going to make any progress on crime. I don’t see any promises being made about increasing solve rates, or pouring existing and new resources into fighting the kind of crime that actually affects us. I am aware that a lot of this sort of thing happens out of our sight, or at least happens at a lower level of visibility. I don’t need to know, and honestly wouldn’t pay close enough attention to, detailed plans about how HPD will deploy its personnel. But I would like to hear, loudly and consistently, that solving crimes, especially property crimes, is a top priority and that the administration in power and its appointed police chief and associated leadership will be held accountable to it.

– Along those same lines, the plan to bring in DPS troopers, for which we are reassured they will be responsive to HPD leadership and will do more than pull over drivers of color for minor violations. What is the goal of doing this? Is there a metric we can track to tell us that they are meeting some stated goal? What about the HPD officers who will presumably be redeployed to higher-value work now that DPS is here to do their grunt work? What are their goals and how will we know that they are meeting them? As skeptical as I am of this entire endeavor, having that would go a long way towards easing my concerns.

– Putting all that aside, what an interesting example this is of one law enforcement agency stepping up where another couldn’t or wouldn’t. Was this by design – that is, did the Precinct One Constable see a need and fill it? Or was this a happy accident? Either way, what can be done to replicate this example elsewhere in the city and the county? This is something we want, right? It’s something that Mayors from at least Parker to now Whitmire have campaigned on. Here it is in action. What are we doing to build on it?

Posted in Crime and Punishment | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 15 Comments

County criminal court judge arrested on domestic violence charge

Not great.

Deputies in Galveston arrested a Harris County district court judge on New Year’s Eve following a domestic violence allegation, according to authorities.

Frank Aguilar, the elected jurist in the 228th District Court, was arrested by Galveston County Sheriff’s Office around 3:30 a.m. Sunday in the 9600 block of Teichman Road on a misdemeanor assault charge involving family violence, police records show.

Court records pertaining to Aguilar’s arrest were not available Tuesday. Aguilar declined to comment but said he does not yet have a lawyer.

As court resumed at Harris County criminal courthouse following the holiday weekend, Aguilar did not return to work. The docket resumed Tuesday morning with an associate judge on the bench.

Susan Brown, who oversees the 11th Administrative Judicial Region of Texas, said Aguilar was expected to be out for the rest of the week pending a decision by the State Commission on Judicial Conduct.

Amanda Cain, a spokesperson for the Administration Office of the District Courts, said Aguilar’s ability to preside over the bench is not “automatically impacted” by the allegations.

“Only the State Commission on Judicial Conduct could take action that would affect Judge Aguilar’s ability to preside while the Galveston case is pending,” Cain said. “Judge Aguilar has independently chosen to have associate judges and other district court judges handle his docket this week.”

Everyone is innocent until proven guilty, and as noted the State Commission on Judicial Conduct gets to make the official call about whether or not Judge Aguilar can stay on the bench while this case plays out. We have had elected officials continue to serve in their capacity after being arrested for something (you know who I’m referring to here), so it’s appropriate to let the process commence and see where it goes. You yourself are free to make whatever assessments you want. We’ll see if there’s more news on this forthcoming.

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Judicial Q&A: Allison Jackson Mathis

(Note: As I have done in past elections, I am running a series of Q&As for judicial candidates in contested Democratic primaries. This is intended to help introduce the candidates and their experiences to those who plan to vote in March. I am running these responses in the order that I receive them from the candidates. Much more information about Democratic primary candidates, including links to the interviews and judicial Q&As, can be found on Erik Manning’s spreadsheet.

Allison Jackson Mathis

1. Who are you and what are you running for?

I’m Allison Jackson Mathis and I’m running for judge of the 338th Criminal District Court.

2. What kind of cases does this court hear?

The 338th is a district court, so it hears felony cases. Felonies are anything that can be punished by over a year in custody, so they’re serious cases that will impact the rest of a person’s life. They can range from things like “simple” drug possession all the way up to capital murder.

3. Why are you running for this particular bench?

In May I was sitting in the back of the 338th District Court watching a hearing that I was not a part of. A friend of mine, a really great attorney named Wade Smith, was asking the incumbent judge to release his client on bond. His client was dying, and the hospital had said they couldn’t do anything else for him and so they sent him back to the jail to die. What made this hearing particularly unique was that there were officials from the jail there, testifying that they didn’t have the resources at the jail to take care of a dying man, and that they were doing the best they could, but he was basically dying in a dirty diaper on a gurney in a hallway. This man had not been convicted of anything yet- and his doctors were saying he only had days or weeks to live. His quality of life was terrible. He had to have another inmate hold the phone up to his mouth to talk to his wife. But the judge said no, she would not let him out or even reduce his bond so that he could die at home with his family.

Bond is supposed to only be used to ensure that people come back to court for their next court appearance. Judges are allowed to consider whether or not the person is a danger to the community when they’re setting bonds, too. I sat in the back of that courtroom and I watched the dying man’s wife wipe tears from her eyes. To me, this was not justice. It wasn’t compassionate or reasonable. This man could not walk. How is he a flight risk? How is he a danger? At a very basic level, I thought it was also just a horrible misuse of the very scant resources at the jail.

There are other things, too: things like revoking bonds without there being a violation (which you can read about here), lack of open access to the court (which you can read about here and here) and most recently, a higher court’s castigation of the Court after it made inconsistent findings that protected an attorney at the expense of a defendant’s appellate rights (which you can read about here).

One of the things that lead me to go to law school and become a defense attorney in the first place was my belief that one should not be a spectator to unfairness. When you see it, you have to do something about it: call it out, push back from it, act against it. And that’s why I’m running for this bench.

4. What are your qualifications for this job?

The only type of law I’ve ever practiced is criminal law. I graduated cum laude from South Texas College of Law, here in Houston, in 2012. I’ve had a really interesting career (if I do say so myself!) and I’ve been fortunate to be able to practice in a lot of different jurisdictions. Currently, I have my own practice, and I mostly take court-appointed cases because I very strongly believe that how much money a person has should not determine the outcome of a criminal case against them.

My last job was running an office of public defenders who were fighting Operation Lonestar cases- the despicable Abbott policy that criminalizes migrants. I spent three years before that at the Harris County Public Defender’s office where I did both trial work and post-conviction work. Post-Conviction work is really interesting, because you’re going back and looking at what happened in old cases. A lot of the exonerations you see in the news are the result of really crackerjack post-conviction teams. One of the things I did while I was there was file a posthumous pardon application on behalf of George Floyd. (The story on this is really interesting, and you can read it here. A lot of people don’t know that Floyd was a Houston native who was arrested here in 2011. In a really strange turn of events, he was actually arrested by Gerald Goines, the cop who is alleged to have falsified the warrant in the Harding Street raid.) I’ve also worked as a public defender in New Mexico, was the public defender for a Native American tribal community in Washington State, and I was the chief public defender of the Republic of Palau. At each of those places I’ve had the privilege of standing up against unfairness and trying to even the playing field for my clients. When I was in Palau, I litigated a case that resulted in the end of solitary confinement and an overhaul of the jail facility. In the tribal community, I empowered my clients to stand on their rights and have the first jury trials in over a decade.

While I think that legal experience is really important for judges to have, legal experience by itself is not sufficient. Before I went to law school, before I knew I wanted to be a lawyer, I was on track to be a literature professor. I waited tables at late-night coffee shops and then sat up just devouring reading for class the next day. The reason I love books is because they give you a chance to experience someone else’s perspective, to live a different life. Books teach you to empathize with people you wouldn’t usually empathize with. They challenge your biases. You can’t talk over a book if it says something you don’t like. You can either put it down or you can keep reading, but you can’t talk back. Books (like blog posts…) speak to captive audiences. I didn’t put down the ones I disagreed with. I kept reading. And sometimes what I was reading changed the way I viewed things.

“To understand just one life, you have to swallow the world,” Salman Rushdie wrote, and I think about that all the time. Each person, and really, even, each action that a person takes, is the result of an infinite number of decisions and influences. The reason it’s hard to sit in judgment over other people, the reason it should be hard, is because trying to fairly understand the whole situation that resulted in an arrest is an overwhelming job. The law sets down rules to try and winnow down that universe into a more manageable mouthful, but it’s still a lot. I think what I developed in all those years of reading, in all those years of serving food, in all those years of representing clients, is to be able to be critical of the things that are presented to you but to still be able to consider them. My experiences have taught me that there are situations I might not completely understand at first, even if they make me feel strongly, and those initial human feelings might be normal but they aren’t instructions in how to act. You have to keep listening in a way that allows your mind to change if that’s what the evidence shows.

Probably the most overarching lesson I’ve learned from living and working in places where the community is very close-knit is that crimes are a rupture in the community and the role of the court is to mend that rupture. Nothing exists in a vacuum. Sometimes, there are things that need to happen to keep a defendant from continuing to contact the criminal justice system, to address the underlying reasons for what is happening. Sometimes, mending the rupture involves punishment. Sometimes it involves atonement. And it should never involve coercing someone into taking responsibility for a crime they didn’t commit because they are stuck in jail unable to post an artifically high cash bond.

I have a lot of ideas. I have been on the front lines of courtrooms in Harris County and in a lot of other places. I see what’s working and what’s not working. I am not afraid to do what is right.

5. Why is this race important?

This race is important because right now the county is spending $37 million a year to bus prisoners to other jails because the Harris County Jail, with its capacity of 10,000 people, isn’t big enough. That’s ridiculous. The 338th is consistently one of the courts where cases languish the longest, and where the highest number of defendants are in jail unable to post bond pretrial (you can see the numbers yourself, here). If someone is a danger to the community or they are not going to come back to court, I support keeping them in custody until their case can be sorted out, but short of that, the default should be for them to be out of custody on bond, going to work, going to school, and supporting their families.

There are 1600 cases pending in the 338th right now. Each one of those is a world: to the defendant, to the victim, to the community. They deserve a judge who is going to show up and give them a fair shake. They deserve a judge who is not afraid to do the right thing.

6. Why should people vote for you in March?

In all the ink I’ve spilled on this questionnaire, I haven’t told you yet that I have two little kids. My daughter goes to school at a low-income public school in HISD, and my son will go there when he is old enough. All I can do, with all my strength, is try to make this place where I’m raising my kids better- for them, for the people who surround and support them, and the people who will surround and support them in the coming years. I hope that my children will never end up entangled in the criminal justice system in any role, but I don’t know what their futures hold- so my goal is to make the Court a place that, if my child were to step in there as a defendant, as a victim, as a defense attorney, a prosecutor, a police officer, or just an observer, they would be treated fairly. With all my momma-bear heart, I am telling you, dear reader who has made it this far, that I will never seek to do things in the dark, that I will work to make the law more accessible and more comprehensible, and that I will honor the public that I serve. That’s why I am asking for your vote.

Posted in Election 2024 | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments

The ever-expanding Mexican abortion option

Fascinating stuff.

One last-minute round-trip flight from Biloxi, Mississippi, to Cancún, Mexico, runs about $171 USD; three nights at a three-star hotel there can cost as little as $129. A three-day car rental in the resort town rings in at just $20 per day. And the price for one surgical abortion at MSI Reproductive Choices’ Cancún clinic would be about $350. The total cost for a trip to Cancún to access reproductive health services no longer available in some American states? $710.

Starting November 23, when the international sexual health organization MSI Reproductive Health Services opens the doors to its first Cancún reproductive health center, a pregnant American from a US state where abortion is banned could find the procedure to be both more affordable and more accessible in Mexico. Quintana Roo, the Mexican state where Cancún is located, has become one of at least a dozen Mexican states to decriminalize abortion in the last two years amid a series of judicial rulings that have strengthened reproductive rights, culminating in a September Mexican Supreme Court ruling that made state laws criminalizing abortion unconstitutional nationwide.

While $710 is not an insignificant sum for a pregnant person living near the poverty line in America, it could still turn out to be several hundred dollars less expensive than the costs associated with obtaining similar treatments in post-Dobbs America, where 14 states have banned abortion completely, and four more have restricted it to the first trimester. A surgical abortion alone can cost more than $1,000 in the US, on top of out-of-state transportation and lodging needs. All these factors came into play when MSI planned its Cancún annex, which is being funded by an anonymous US donor.

“It is funny that sometimes it may be cheaper for you guys to come to Cancún than for us to go to Cancún,” says Araceli Lopez Nava Vázquez, MSI’s Latin America regional managing director. Indeed, dozens of US airports offer nonstop flights to the popular Mexican vacation destination. “We thought the specific location could definitely help American women—with the additional benefit of lower prices that we have in Mexico compared to the US.”

Called “reproductive health migration” by abortion-rights advocates and “abortion tourism” by detractors, people from multiple continents have crossed international borders seeking reproductive health care for decades. Traveling internationally for healthcare is a common practice in abortion-restricted Poland, some South American countries, and parts of Asia, for example. But the movement has gained new urgency and visibility after the US Supreme Court overturned Roe vs. Wade in June 2022, spurring some US states to adopt more restrictive abortion laws just as Mexican states were loosening theirs.

[…]

MSI is not the only option for Americans, who also can take matters into their own hands by making a cross-border trek to a Mexican pharmacy and pay as little as $20 USD to purchase one abortifacient—misoprostol—over-the-counter, no questions asked. As an alternative to international travel, Mexican-based grassroots reproductive justice organizations like Las Libres are also helping hundreds of pregnant Americans obtain abortion pills from Mexico each month via mail.

This cross-border care infrastructure is merely the latest iteration of a whipsawing reproductive rights saga that has existed between the United States and Mexico for more than half a century. Today, Mexicans are helping Americans procure abortion services, but in the past, the roles have been reversed—a consequence of the influence of money, politics, and religion in each country. As Lina-Maria Murillo, an assistant professor of gender, women’s and sexuality studies at the University of Iowa, notes, “There is a long history of people crossing the US-Mexico border for care.”

Read on for more of that history, which I knew a little about but learned much more. We have discussed this before, mostly several years ago but also again more recently, post-Dobbs. This is obviously a limited option, both because of cost and travel and also because medication abortion is always preferable when it is in play, but at this point any additional options are good news. Given the zeal with which some have tried to make travelling out of state for an abortion illegal, one must assume that travelling out of country for an abortion will be on the target list as well. Anything and everything like that is just a Republican trifecta away. In the meantime, hopefully this will help some women who need it.

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Mayor Whitmire inaugurated

Congratulations and best wishes to the new Mayor.

Mayor John Whitmire

Former state Sen. John Whitmire was sworn in as Houston’s 63rd mayor just after midnight Monday in a private ceremony with family and friends at City Hall.

Judge Victor Trevino III conducted the ceremony, and Whitmire took his oath on his mother’s prayer book and Bible, held by his daughters Whitney and Sarah Whitmire.

“We worked hard for two years to explain our vision for the city of Houston and it’s to have total transparency, to share with Houston what I see as a mayor,” Whitmire said following his oath. “We have a great city, great people and we need to do everything we can to see that Houston goes forward and even becomes greater.”

Whitmire will take a public oath with the incoming controller and new and incumbent council members in a ceremony Tuesday at the Wortham Theater.

[…]

As Houston’s new mayor, Whitmire will have to tackle the city’s growing budget deficit, residents’ violent crime concerns and the firefighters union’s contract stalemate.

As noted before, we’ll talk about those things as they come up. Let the new Mayor get his feet under him, he’s now got plenty of things to do, probably sooner than he’s prefer to have to do them. We will hope for all the best. Houston Landing and Campos, whose picture from Twitter I’ve embedded above, have more.

Posted in Local politics | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

Paxton still desperately trying to avoid being deposed

And still failing.

A crook any way you look

The Texas Third Court of Appeals denied Attorney General Ken Paxton’s request for an emergency stay of impending depositions in the whistleblower lawsuit that sparked his impeachment this year, according to a Wednesday court filing.

The whistleblower plaintiffs are seeking depositions of Paxton, First Assistant Attorney General Brent Webster, Chief of Staff Lesley French Henneke, and Senior Advisor to the Attorney General Michelle Smith, according to a writ.

[…]

On Dec. 20, Travis County District Judge Jan Soifer ordered Paxton to testify under oath in the lawsuit. Paxton quickly appealed Soifer’s decision to the Third Court of Appeals. On Dec. 22, Paxton’s team filed two items: an emergency motion for temporary relief – which was denied on Wednesday – and a petition for writ of mandamus.

In the writ of mandamus, Paxton argues Soifer abused her discretion, and discovery involving depositions of “high-level executive officials” should not move forward because the case was resolved in a mediated settlement agreement.

Paxton asked the Third Court of Appeals to order the trial court to enforce the settlement agreement and quash the depositions or “set reasonable limitations on the time, scope, and subject matter of the depositions,” according to the writ.

TJ Turner, an attorney for one of the plaintiffs, said, “This is just Ken Paxton’s latest effort to manufacture delay and avoid testifying.”

Paxton’s office did not immediately respond to a request for comment from KXAN.

The Third Court of Appeals requested the whistleblower plaintiffs respond to Paxton’s writ of mandamus by Jan. 4, 2024.

See here for the background. Per the Austin Chronicle, Judge Soifer is “seeking Paxton and his staff to appear for depositions; Paxton must now respond by Jan. 3”, so things are happening quickly. If nothing else, I hope this means he’s not able to fully enjoy the Christmas break. I’ll take my small victories where I can.

Posted in Legal matters | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

“The Shows That Got Away”

What are your great musical regrets?

If you’ve been going to live music concerts for any length of time, you know the pain. The pain and misery of knowing a performer or band is coming to town, thinking about going to see them, and then—for whatever reason—never actually getting your ass to the show.

Maybe there’s was a conflict with a family event. Or the babysitter cancelled. Or you had a fight with your significant other. Or you had to pay the electricity bill before they shut off the lights instead of getting a ticket. Or you figured you’d see them “the next time they came to town.”

But eventually, you want to kick yourself—you idiot!—for not being in the audience. And it sticks in your gut, for years and years and years.

They are “The Shows That Got Away.” We polled the Houston Press music writers for their own Tales of Woe on missed musical opportunities. Pull out the handkerchiefs, dear readers, and plow ahead…

The assembled writers at the Press have some legitimate regrets, so go check out what they said. Mine is indicated by the image. Technically, as I was just 15 and living on Staten Island while Simon and Garfunkel played their iconic concert in Central Park, this wasn’t a matter of me not being able to get my act together. Even if I could have gotten parental permission to make my way into Manhattan for an evening show, I really didn’t have the wherewithal at that time in my life to pull it off. But I’ve always regretted that I didn’t try. There was nothing else like this, at least until Paul Simon did another Central Park show on his own (and in the daytime) a decade or so later. But I wasn’t living in New York then, so I had a much better excuse.

Since being in Houston, I feel like I’ve done a pretty good job seeing the shows I was most interested in. The Eagles at Rice Stadium in the mid-90s, and Bruce Springsteen at the 1895 Galveston Opera House a few years later would have been cool. But I’ve seen Springsteen a few times, and while I like the Eagles I’m not consumed with regret for not seeing them. I have some more general regrets for acts that I’ll now never get to see due to death or retirement; I never managed to see ZZ Top, and while they’re still touring after Dusty Hill’s death, it wouldn’t be the same. Here too I feel pretty lucky to have seen most of my faves at least once. All I can say is if you see a chance and you can afford it, go for it. You never know when it might be your last chance. What concert or performer do you regret missing out on?

Posted in Music | Tagged , , , | 9 Comments

Weekend link dump for December 31

5 Big Ideas for Improving the Endangered Species Act”.

“It might seem fantastical that these men would open up about their law-breaking to random strangers on a dating app, but the fact is, few women want to talk to them at all, and that phenomenon has only intensified since the Dobbs decision eliminated federal abortion protections.”

RIP, Laura Lynch, founding member of the Dixie Chicks.

“Jan. 6 rioters the far right claimed were antifa keep getting unmasked as Trump supporters”.

“Welcome to our annual list of the worst technologies. This year, one technology disaster in particular holds lessons for the rest of us: the Titan submersible that imploded while diving to see the Titanic.”

RIP, Mars Williams, saxophonist who played with The Waitresses and The Psychedelic Furs.

“‘Succession’ Fans Can Now Buy the ‘Ludicrously Capacious’ Handbag, Roman’s Walmart Outfit, and More at Auction”. Looks like your 2024 Christmas shopping can begin now if you want it to.

“The corruption of American Christianity is nothing new: Modern-day pharisees from Jerry Falwell Sr. to Paula White have spent 50 years weaponizing the gospel to win elections and dominate the country, exploiting the cultural insecurities of their unwitting brethren for political, professional, and financial gain, all while reducing the gospel of Jesus Christ to a caricature in the eyes of unbelievers. The resulting collapse of the Church’s reputation in this country—with Sunday attendance, positive perceptions of organized religion, and the number of self-identified Christians all at historic lows—leaves evangelicals estranged from their secular neighbors like never before. Unbelievers might well prefer it this way. They might be tempted to shrug and move along, assuming that the crack-up of evangelicalism isn’t their problem. They are mistaken.”

“Our digital life has become increasingly impermanent and is mostly outside of our control, making the threat and pain of digital loss ever more acute.”

RIP, Tom Smothers, half of the Smothers Brothers and co-host of one of the most socially conscious and groundbreaking television shows in the history of the medium.

“Special counsel Jack Smith asked a judge on Wednesday to bar Donald Trump’s lawyers from injecting politics into the former president’s trial on charges that he schemed to overturn the results of the 2020 election.”

“Perhaps the lesson here is simple: Any Republican who wants to monitor our sex lives or reading habits must first hand their iPhone library over for public inspection. That would invite a blessed silence from the would-be arbiters of sexual morality.”

“The New York Times is suing OpenAI and Microsoft for copyright infringement, alleging that millions of its articles were used by the groups to train their AI models without the paper’s permission.”

RIP, Herb Kohl, former Democratic U.S. senator from Wisconsin and former owner of the NBA’s Milwaukee Bucks.

“This is the kind of testimony that Trump-friendly witnesses — even Mike Pence!! — have often offered in the press. And Trump could call a long list of people who’d be happy to claim that Trump believed and still believes that the election was stolen. But as the filing notes, that would be inadmissible testimony for several reasons. It would also be a ploy to help Trump avoid taking the stand himself.”

“The Absolute Worst Political Predictions of 2023″.

Gaston Glock, the Austrian engineer who invented the Glock handgun and became a billionaire as a result, has died.

“It’s an interesting set of vegetables to emerge from the word salad of her response. Which side exactly, in Haley’s history of the Civil War, represented capitalism and economic freedom and which side represented government getting in the way of human liberty? Was she referring here to the kind of capitalism that involves the free trade in human beings? Or was she referring to the kind of capitalism that involves human beings having the right to enter and exit contracts of employment for which they receive wages? She was not altogether clear on the subject.”

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Southern Baptist Convention settles Paul Pressler sexual abuse lawsuit

A big deal.

The Southern Baptist Convention and others have reached a confidential settlement in a high-profile lawsuit that accused a former leader of sexual assault, ending a six-year legal drama that helped prompt a broader reckoning over child sexual abuse in evangelical churches, expanded victims’ rights in Texas and showed that a prominent conservative activist and Texas House candidate repeatedly downplayed abuse allegations.

In 2017, Duane Rollins filed the lawsuit accusing Paul Pressler, a longtime Southern Baptist figure and former Texas judge, of decades of rape beginning when Rollins was a 14-year-old member of Pressler’s church youth group in Houston.

Rollins claimed in court documents that the alleged attacks pushed him into drug and alcohol addictions that kept him in prison throughout much of his adult life. After disclosing the alleged rapes to a prison psychiatrist, Rollins filed the suit in Harris County against Pressler along with other defendants who he accused of enabling or concealing Pressler’s behavior — including the Southern Baptist Convention and Jared Woodfill, the former chair of the Harris County GOP and Pressler’s longtime law partner.

Rollins’ claims were a key impetus for “Abuse of Faith,” a 2019 investigation by the Houston Chronicle and San Antonio Express-News into sexual abuse in the SBC, the nation’s second-largest faith group. The series led to major reforms in the SBC, revelations that top leaders had routinely ignored or downplayed warnings about a sexual abuse crisis, and an ongoing Department of Justice investigation.

As part of Rollins’ suit, at least seven other men came forward with their own allegations of sexual misconduct by Pressler in incidents spanning four decades. The suit also showed that Woodfill, a prominent anti-LGBTQ+ activist, was aware of allegations that Pressler was a sexual predator but continued to provide him with young, male personal assistants who worked out of Pressler’s River Oaks home. Three of the men have alleged sexual abuse or misconduct.

Woodfill is currently running for a Texas House seat against incumbent Rep. Lacey Hull, R-Houston, and has been endorsed by Attorney General Ken Paxton and Agriculture Commissioner Sid Miller.

Pressler, 93, is one of the most influential evangelical figures of the last half-century, and is considered the co-architect of the SBC’s “conservative resurgence” that began in the late 1970s and prompted the faith group to adopt literal interpretations of the Bible, align more closely with the Republican Party, ban women from preaching and strongly condemn homosexuality.

Pressler — who formerly represented Houston in the Texas House and served for 14 years as a state appeals court judge — is also an influential figure in GOP politics. His endorsement has for years been sought by conservative evangelical politicians, including U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas. In 1989, Pressler was nominated to lead the Office of Government Ethics under President George H.W. Bush, though the bid was later withdrawn; and Pressler is a founding member of Council for National Policy, a secretive network of conservative judges, politicians, media figures, megadonors and wealthy business owners that is currently led by Tony Perkins, head of the anti-LGBTQ+ Family Research Council.

Pressler denies the allegations and has not been criminally charged for any of the alleged abuses. An attorney for Pressler did not respond to a request for comment about the settlement, which is not public.

In a statement, legal representatives for the Southern Baptist Convention and its executive committee confirmed that they had “entered into a confidential settlement agreement” despite being “fully prepared” to proceed to a trial that was scheduled for February after being postponed twice this year.

“However, several factors ultimately made settlement the more prudent choice,” they wrote. “Chief among those factors was the horrendous nature of the abuse allegations, the likelihood that counsel for the SBC and Executive Committee would have to confront and cross-examine abuse survivors, the Executive Committee’s current financial condition, and the willingness of multiple insurance carriers to contribute to the terms of the settlement.”

Michael Goldberg, who represented Rollins along with a team of lawyers from Baker Botts, said Friday that they had resolved the matter with Pressler on “mutually satisfactory terms,” and added that his team was “very proud of the settlement we reached against the Southern Baptist Convention and Jared Woodfill.”

Woodfill has denied wrongdoing and said this week that he has not settled the case, though a Harris County judge signed off on a motion last week that said “all claims, counterclaims and controversies” in the suit were resolved.

“We are fighting the insurance company and oppose any payment,” Woodfill said in a text message on Thursday.

See here for previous blog posts related to Pressler. One cannot overstate how big a scumbag Jared Woodfill is for his role in abetting Pressler and then going about his life as Jared Woodfill while doing so. Story author Robert Downen, who was also writing about this while he was at the Chron, has a Twitter thread that you can peruse if you just want the highlights. The Woodfill portion of this is as follows:

If we as Democrats are not hanging this around Jared Woodfill’s neck every day of this election cycle, and tying it to every other Republican who supports him, we are doing this wrong. The Chron has more.

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Another step forward for flying cars

Excuse me, “air taxis”.

Researchers are one step closer to integrating air taxis and other electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) vehicles into the country’s busiest airports, thanks to a new air traffic simulation developed by NASA’s Ames Research Center in California’s Silicon Valley and Joby Aviation.

These zero-operating-emission aircraft use electric power to take off, cruise, and land, and provide an appealing option for commercial industry interested in more sustainable transportation.

NASA and Joby researchers recently invited representatives from the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), the National Association of Air Traffic Controllers, and stakeholders to view the simulation in the Ames’ air traffic control simulation facility, called FutureFlight Central. The two-story facility offers a 360-degree, full-scale simulation of an airport, where controllers, pilots and airport personnel can test operating procedures and evaluate new technologies.

“We’re trying to enable a better quality of life,” said Savvy Verma, urban air mobility researcher at NASA Ames. “Some people are stuck in traffic for hours on the way to the airport. A 12-mile trip can take 45 minutes. Imagine being able to do that same trip in 15 minutes.”

In preparation for air taxis and other aircraft flying passengers in and out of airports, NASA and industry partners are working with the FAA to demonstrate how creative use of existing tools and airspace procedures can support safe integration of air taxi operations into the national airspace.

The groups are also exploring potential changes to the current airspace system to enable an even greater scale of flights. The recent air traffic management integration simulation developed by NASA with Joby will provide useful air traffic controller data to the FAA and industry for integrating these aircraft into operations.

“There is so much momentum across the world for advanced air mobility,” Verma said. “We’ve been talking about integrating these kinds of vehicles into the airspace, but to be able to show it in high-fidelity simulation is very promising.”

[…]

NASA’s initial analysis of the simulation indicates that researchers could scale these procedures for operating eVTOLs in other airports throughout the country, which could reduce the associated workload on air traffic controllers. NASA plans to publish a complete analysis of the simulation results in 2024. The brand-new data will be provided to the FAA, commercial industry, and airports to help identify the air traffic controller tools and procedures could enable high-tempo integration of eVTOLs into near-term and future operations in airports. Enabling eVTOLs as a taxi service for passengers to and from airports in the future could begin to reduce carbon emissions and greatly improve the commute experience for passengers. This project work supports NASA’s Advanced Air Mobility mission, which focuses on air taxi and drone research with industry and government partners.

See here for some background. This is basically a press release from NASA, so adjust your expectations as you see fit. We traveled over Thanksgiving this year and I just picked up my daughter coming home from college for Christmas, so I’m down with ideas to reduce the number of people driving to and from the airport. I’m at least somewhat skeptical of this as a business model – surely air taxis would be expensive to use, so how big an audience could there be for them? – but perhaps this is a precursor to generalizing the service away from the airports as well. It also strikes me as a potential threat to rideshare services, which is no doubt why Uber has been playing in the flying car space as well. I’ll keep on keeping an eye on this and will let you know when there’s more to report.

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Whitmire officially resigns from the Senate

Let the election-palooza to replace him begin!

John Whitmire

Mayor-elect John Whitmire has submitted his resignation from the Texas Senate days before he will take over the state’s largest city.

Whitmire, the Senate’s longest tenured member, served for 50 years under seven governors, six lieutenant governors and eight speakers, according to a letter submitted to Gov. Greg Abbott on Friday morning.

“I look forward to continuing to serve the citizens of Houston as the 63rd Mayor of the great City of Houston,” Whitmire wrote. “I also look forward to strengthening the bond between the City of Houston and the State of Texas so Houston can continue to be a world class city where people love to live, work, and visit.”

Whitmire’s resignation will take effect at 10 p.m. on Sunday.

He will take his oath of office as Houston’s next mayor 12:01 a.m. Monday in a private ceremony at City Hall. Whitmire, 74, will inaugurated with the rest of the newly elected officials and incumbent council members in a public ceremony at Wortham Theater on Tuesday.

[…]

Candidates for Whitmire’s now-open Senate seat may have to prevail through up to five elections before getting to work on any Texas law.

Whitmire’s term was set to expire in 2024. But with the outgoing senator’s resignation, there could be a special election, a runoff to the special election, a primary and a primary runoff before the November election.

A special election for Whitmire’s seat has yet to be called, but six Democrats and one Republican have filed to fill his seat in the March primary.

We’ve talked about this for a year now. There’s previous reporting to suggest that the special election could be in January. I don’t know how that’s possible, given the need for Greg Abbott to formally announce and set it, the need for a filing period, the need for mail ballots to be printed and sent, and so on. For what it’s worth, the special election to replace Mayor Turner after he resigned his legislative seat following his victory in 2015 was in May of 2016. May of 2024 seems more likely to me, but Abbott does have some discretion if there’s about to be another special session. We’ll know soon enough. I will have interviews with at least five of the six Dems running in the primary beginning on January 8, so you have that to look forward to.

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The problem of inadequate police responses to mass shootings is national

More great reporting from ProPublica, The Texas Tribune, and FRONTLINE on how police departments across the country have no idea how to react to mass shootings.

During an October conference to prepare law enforcement for dealing with an active shooter, Nevada State Police department Lt. Jacob Fisher played body camera footage that showed what he believed was a key misstep during the country’s deadliest mass shooting.

The footage from the 2017 massacre at the Mandalay Bay Resort and Casino showed a veteran Las Vegas Metropolitan Police officer and his trainee waiting on the floor below the shooter instead of confronting him as he spewed gunfire into the crowd of concertgoers outside. Six years later, Fisher told the room full of law enforcement officers and firefighters at the conference in Grapevine that he had trained the veteran officer and felt like he had failed.

Sixty people died, including Fisher’s best friend, and more than 850 others were injured.

“I failed, and because of that I had to carry my best friend’s casket nine days later,” Fisher said. “I failed his kids. I failed his wife. I failed that organization because, for whatever reason, I couldn’t break through and find a way to convey a message to that cop to where he would run 800 yards toward active gunfire.”

While stressing the importance of training and leadership, Fisher made a stunning admission. He said he sends his children to school with bulletproof backpacks and tourniquet kits because he doesn’t trust that law enforcement officers would save them in the event of a mass shooting.

“Why do I as a parent have to arm my children at the ages of 8 and 10 and teach them those things?” said Fisher, who spoke with a reporter at the conference but could not later be reached for comment. “Because the cops in my jurisdiction, I don’t trust to go save them.”

[…]

ProPublica, The Texas Tribune and FRONTLINE found that active shooter training varies widely across the country and that law enforcement officers make similar mistakes in mass shooting after mass shooting. Yet those failures are not always clearly identified in reports dissecting the incidents, adding to the difficulty of learning from past missteps.

Communities often rely on after-action reviews of mass shootings for a comprehensive and independent assessment of what happened. In the Las Vegas case, the body camera footage allowed the public to see what the report did not address, but the failure to release records, video and other evidence after mass shootings can leave many in the dark even when these analyses are issued.

Despite the U.S. facing more than 120 mass shootings in the past two-and-a-half decades, ProPublica, the Tribune and FRONTLINE found that there is no agreed-upon national standard for who conducts after-action assessments of law enforcement’s response, what they should examine or whether the resulting findings should be released.

Reports were never publicly issued in many cases, such as the 2018 shooting in Santa Fe, Texas, that resulted in the deaths of 10 people and the 2019 El Paso shooting in which 23 died. And when they were made public, there was wide variability in what they contained. The news organizations analyzed more than three dozen publicly available after-action reports, finding that some excluded key details about officers’ actions or failed to fully explore other missteps, including individual delays in engaging the shooter.

Some reviews have “really important chunks that are missing,” said Louis Klarevas, a mass shooting expert and research professor at Columbia University’s Teachers College who argues that more records should be made public. “That raises a red flag.”

“Why did they focus on just this one aspect, or these two aspects? And what about everything else?” he added.

See here for their previous reporting on Uvalde, which I warn you is hard to read, and then go read the rest. Ironically, the Uvalde shooting is a rare one in which fairly comprehensive reports have been produced, though there are still gaps. Reading this story, it seems clear to me that there needs to be national legislation to better collect and study the data – Lord knows, we have no shortage of data on mass shootings – and to mandate certain requirements of law enforcement related to training and after action reviews. It’s bad enough that we all live in fear of mass shootings. It’s incomprehensible that we haven’t learned enough from them for law enforcement to respond to them in a sufficient fashion. This needs to be addressed by Congress. We need to demand that of our Congressmembers.

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It’s a matter of trust

This is a long story that recaps what incoming Mayor John Whitmire promised to do as Mayor, with a bit of analysis about how and when he might try to do them. It’s a good review for anyone who slept through this past year, and while there are things one might quibble about, I’m not here to do that. The election is over, Mayor-elect Whitmire won, and he has earned the right to do the things he said he was going to do. I wish him well and hope he is successful at them, as that would be good for Houston. There will be plenty of time to argue over the details of the various implementations as they come up.

All that said, there is one thing I cannot let go:

Sen. John Whitmire

Houston’s relationship with the state government in Austin is icy, to say the least.

Turner routinely criticizes Gov. Greg Abbott and the Republican controlled state Legislature over policies that many say target the state’s largest city and its largest source of Democratic votes.

City and Texas leaders have clashed on the recent state takeover of Houston Independent School District, the passage of the “Death Star” law and the passage of a law abolishing Harris County’s Elections Administrator position.

On the campaign trail, Whitmire routinely promised to improve relations between the city and the state, arguing the current vitriol is bad for Houston residents.

Whitmire frequently points to his experience as the longest-serving member in the Legislature as evidence of his bipartisan bonafides. He said he would “use my experience and contacts for all of Houston.”

Since his election, Whitmire has exchanged texts with Abbott and had a conversation with Abbott’s chief of staff, he said.

“They’re ready to sit down and see how they can assist Houston,” Whitmire said. “From Day One, there is going to be much better cooperation between the state and the city, and Houston will benefit.”

I do not believe this. Not for one minute.

Oh, I believe that Whitmire has texted Abbott and his chief of staff, and I believe that they told him that they were ready to work with him. I believe that Whitmire believes them. I don’t understand why he believes that.

I’ve covered this before, and I stand by what I said. There is no incentive for Greg Abbott to change what he says or does about cities in general and Houston in particular. Republican primary voters, who are the only people Abbott cares about, hate cities and think we’re crime-infested vermin holes that should be taken over by the state. Greg Abbott has no incentive to change how he talks about or acts toward the city of Houston, regardless of his existing relationship with John Whitmire.

In a universe of infinite possibilities anything can happen. Maybe Abbott has some undisclosed reservoir of good will towards Whitmire that he’d be willing to extend to his administration. Maybe Abbott recognizes that hatred for a huge part of the state and its economy is a long-term loser for himself and the state of Texas. Maybe Whitmire engineered a pod person takeover of Abbott, the truth of which will be slowly revealed to us all in the coming year.

I dunno. What I do know is that it’s one thing for John Whitmire to ask me, and all of us, to trust him. It’s another thing entirely to ask us to trust Greg Abbott. I cannot, I will not, and I’m not happy that I was asked.

One can certainly argue that the battle between cities and the state government has been bad for the cities. I would agree with that premise. I would also point out that the cities didn’t start this fight, and that under the beliefs that the Republican Party that Greg Abbott came up in, local governments were revered for being closest to the voters and thus given wide latitude for responding to their will. We could also argue about how much of a virtue that was, but the point is that as soon as those local voters started doing things that Greg Abbott and his buddies didn’t like, those old rules went right out the window. What we have now is the result. That’s worked pretty well for Abbott so far. And so I ask again: Why should we believe him when he says he’ll act differently now that John Whitmire is the Mayor of Houston? Why does John Whitmire believe him?

Like I said, I could be wrong. Maybe Abbott et al will let up on introducing even more new laws to make responsive local government a thing that can’t be done in Texas. Maybe that will stop things from getting even worse, but if it puts any kind of damper on the efforts to fight to make things better, it’s not worth it. Ask me again after the 2025 Legislature finally goes home and we’ll see where we are on this.

As a palate cleanser and a reward for making it this far, I give you this, inspired by the post title:

We did not fully appreciate the 80s when we had them. I will not be taking any questions at this time.

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 11 Comments

Time once again to recycle your Christmas tree

Speaking of annual traditions

Houston’s Solid Waste Management Department (SWMD) encourages residents to recycle live Christmas trees after the holidays. This holiday season, assist the City of Houston in diverting landfill waste by repurposing your live Christmas tree into mulch or other landscape materials.

From Tuesday, December 26, 2023, to Friday January 26, 2024, SWMD will open 23 residential Christmas tree drop-off recycling locations throughout Houston. Find locations listed below.

HOW TO RECYCLE YOUR LIVE CHRISTMAS TREE:

Remove all lights, wire, tinsel, ornaments, nails, stands, and other non-organic decorative materials.
Please note that flocked, artificial, or painted will NOT be recycled.
Christmas tree Recycling is also available through the city’s yard waste curbside collection program.

Recycling your trees will contribute to reducing landfill waste and result in rich mulch. The mulch will be available in bags or bulk directly from Living Earth and other local retailers.

Save the Date: Friday, January 5, 2024, and join Mayor John Whitmire, Council Members, SWMD, along with representatives from Reliant Energy, Living Earth, and the Houston Parks & Recreation Department for the 33rd Annual Treecycling event, at City Hall Reflection Pool, 11:30 a.m.

Locations and times are listed at the link, along with a Google map. There’s almost certainly one not far from you. The regular neighborhood depositories and the Westpark consumer recycling center are included. Don’t throw your tree out, take it in to be mulched instead. CultureMap and the Chron have more.

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Dispatches from Dallas, December 29 edition

This is a weekly feature produced by my friend Ginger. Let us know what you think.

This week, in news from Dallas-Fort Worth, we have a lot of followup on big stories as the end of the year approaches. In particular, we have more fallout from the filing period for the March primaries; the sale of the controlling interest in the Mavericks to the Adelson family; and the case of local woman Kate Cox, who was denied an abortion by the Texas Supreme Court. Also, the Washington Post investigates the Dallas Morning News; cybersecurity updates; a cattle scam; battles over housing density in Dallas; how the money and benefits started flowing Clarence Thomas’ way; autonomous vehicles here in North Texas; Botham Jean’s brother on forgiveness; a gelato lab; a Concerned Parent in North Texas; and more.

This week’s post was brought to you by the music of Beirut, who released a new album last month.

We’re still getting news and analysis of the filings in North Texas and what the upcoming primaries in this part of the state will look like. The Star-Telegram has notes on local races for the Lege, Congress, and Tarrant County. The DMN has an analysis of the Congressional primaries and the upcoming general election for Congressional seats.

The DMN also has some explainers. One is about CD 26, centered on Denton County, which has a field of eleven Republicans hoping to replace retiring Congressman Michael Burgess. The two leading contenders in the primary are expected to be Scott Armey, son of Dick, who held the seat before Burgess, and who lost to Burgess in the primary when his dad retired, and Bruce Gill, who happens to be Dinesh D’Souza’s son-in-law and has the Trump endorsement. Another is the upcoming special election in HD 2, the north Texas formerly held by Bryan Slaton, who was expelled from the House earlier this year. Brent Money is the Defend Texas Liberty guy and Jill Dutton is the more traditional conservative Republican candidate. Speaking of that breakdown in the GOP, here’s a recent Texas Tribune piece on the Abbott and Paxton revenge tours for the crimes of voting against vouchers or for impeachment.

In other election-related news, Votebeat has a piece on hand-counting ballots as desired by some local Republican parties here in Texas. Glad to see that Dallas County sensibly decided it was too much trouble. In other (good) news, Heider Garcia was sworn in as our new elections administrator here in Dallas County earlier this month. Last but not least: next year we face life without ERIC, the voter crosscheck system, because our elected officials don’t believe in nice things.

Another big recent story that’s progressed further here in north Texas is the sale of the Dallas Mavericks to the Adelson family, which the NBA approved formally this week. Pick your coverage: DMN or KERA. The DMN has an interview with Cuban about how the new partnership will work, which seems to be very informal in a way that’s going to be detrimental to Cuban if there’s a falling-out. The Dallas Observer also has an analysis of Cuban’s bet on casino gambling in north Texas, which will still need a quick approval from the Lege to happen on a schedule that will have a casino resort with basketball ready when the Mavs’ current contract with the AT&T Center runs out in 2030.

A third big 2023 news story with ongoing local fallout is the Kate Cox case. You all know this story so I’ll just send you to the analyses by local media: KERA, the DMN, an editorial in which the DMN says ‘we told you so’ about Texas’ abortion law and an editorial by the Star-Telegram board that doesn’t like the outcome of the case either. You and I already know the only way to solve Texas’ terrible abortion laws and jurisprudence is to vote the bastards who wrote and rule so badly on them out of office.

In other news:

  • Here’s a Washington Post piece on how the big DMN investigation into police brutality was spiked. DA Creuzot comes off as a jerk looking for an excuse to get a reporter who was doing his job fired, and the DMN unsurprisingly looks like it’s pandering to local politicians. Even the reporter doesn’t sound great in his quoted exchanges with Creuzot. What a bunch of self-inflicted wounds.
  • And here’s a DMN explainer on a way that Texas state funds already support private schools, specifically universities. The Texas Tuition Equalization Grant has been around since the 1970s, and in fact your humble correspondent received one for the final year of her undergrad studies at Rice.
  • Following up on the Mr. Cooper security breach: it’s worse than we thought and they got a lot of personal information down to bank account numbers. We got the email and snail mail letters from Mr. Cooper this week and are locking down our credit.
  • Another breach update: The Tarrant County Appraisal District says there’s no evidence anybody stole any data. Let’s hope this is the correct answer and not just the optimism that comes from a new chief being chosen after a year of scandal.
  • And in other tech news, the Dallas County Information Technology Executive Government Committee was due to meet earlier this month to release results from a half-million dollar study of county IT systems. Somebody forgot to put the details on the agenda so the meeting was cancelled to avoid violating the Open Meetings Act. They’ll try again in January. Commissioners were told about the results this week and they’re not good. Look for more on this matter in the new year.
  • Here’s a Fort Worth story that’s very Texas: Someone offered up to 31% returns on cattle contracts, but unsurprisingly it was a Ponzi scheme. The DMN and the Star-Telegram have the details on this almost $200 million scam.
  • In a story familiar to many readers, the City of Dallas is facing pension shortfalls for its police officers and firefighters. One of the current suggestions for how to improve the numbers is to monetize city assets to build up the money in the accounts. Nobody is saying what that means (increased fees? selling city assets?) but I’m pretty sure nobody is going to go with the suicidal politics of raising taxes, certainly not with a Republican mayor in office.
  • Here’s an an update on Dallas’ rape kit backlog. The numbers are lower but even one rape kit on the shelf is still too many.
  • This D Magazine piece on multifamily housing and the political arguments over it is one of the better explainers I’ve seen on this issue. We’re not talking about apartment complexes, but about duplexes, triplexes, and fourplexes, which exist in older areas but can no longer be built thanks to zoning. Unsurprisingly, residents in single-family zoned areas are generally very NIMBY about this. The Dallas Observer piece about the council meeting where the topic was discussed is also good at showing the kind of discussion you get in Dallas on these issues. Compare that to the article on the same issue in the DMN and think about the investigative reporter who got suspended for pissing off the DA and how that figures into the tone of the coverage.
  • The SBOE has signed off on new school library rules based on the law sponsored by Rep. Jared Patterson of Frisco. Expect to see lawsuits around these rules because they’re written by the sort of book banner who thinks any mention of sex, (trans)gender, or homosexuality is pornographic, and any mention of race is “critical race theory” or “DEI”.
  • You’ve probably already seen the latest update on Six Degrees of Clarence Thomas but it turns out that he’s been whining for money and being wined, dined, flown, and holidayed since 2000. Chris Geidner has additional analysis and correctly ties Thomas’ threats to quit the court to Bush v Gore and everything that’s happened since.
  • This week I learned autonomous trucks are on the road in Fort Worth, not just on I-45 between Dallas and Houston. The article points out that North Texas has become a hub for autonomous vehicles because of limited regulation, and specifically because Texas doesn’t require safety drivers, though fortunately nobody is taking advantage of that (lack of) rule yet.
  • A few items on the weather and climate beat for you: OSHA fined the USPS $15,625 for failing to protect carriers on the day a Dallas mail carrier died earlier this year. The heat index was 113F. And on the matter of housing affordability, the DMN has an editorial about how insurance costs are making homes harder to buy and how legislators need to adjust a variety of policies and laws to accommodate that truth.
  • Speaking of the DMN’s editorial section, have the smelling salts ready if you click through to this opinion piece: Waiting for politics to return to normal? What if it already has? I don’t disagree with the idea that strong partisan disagreement is the norm, but did I really read with my own two eyes that William F. Buckley was part of an optimistic, inclusive Republican era? I’m sorry to say I did, and that tells you how seriously you should take this op-ed.
  • If you live in North Texas, you’re almost certainly aware of Prestonwood Baptist, a huge megachurch on the west side of Plano that has been, among other things, Matt Shaheen’s and Ken Paxton’s church home. The DMN has five things you should know about their lavish Christmas pageant, featuring a cast of almost a thousand humans plus some actual camels. Unsurprisingly, it has critics, and equally unsurprisingly, the church doesn’t care.
  • This piece in the Deseret News about Botham Jean’s brother and his forgiveness of Amber Guyger, the police officer who killed Jean here in Dallas in 2018, really touched me. I’ve read a number of pieces about how the death of Botham Jean shattered his family and every one of them has made my heart hurt. What a tragedy.
  • Here’s a piece about five women pitmasters in the Fort Worth area, including one at Texas Monthly’s top BBQ place in the state, Goldee’s. Yum.
  • Mark Lamster, the DMN’s architecture critic, gave out his architecture awards for the year, including awards for works at the Nasher Sculpture Center, St. Sarkis Armenian Orthodox Church in Carrolton, and a not-so-good award for the closure of the The Rice Design Alliance.
  • I haven’t seen the “Concerned Parent in North Texas” social media account but after reading this interview with the dad that runs it, I need to check it out.
  • There is a new gelato laboratory in Fair Park and I’m sad it’s closed to the public. I’m going to have to check out its successes at local gelateria Botolino Gelato Artigianale.
  • Here are some historic photos of Fort Worth’s Stock Show All-Western parade dating back to the 1930s.
  • Last, but not least, enjoy some north Texas museum news: the DMA is having ‘Free First Sundays’, including free entry to its expensive ticketed travelling exhibits, every first Sunday of the month through the end of 2026; a new James Turrell skyspace is complete in Fort Worth, though it’s not open to the public yet; and the Kimbell has a major new acquisition in the form of a one-legged Olmec statue.
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A crime threefer

Houston on pace to post 20% decline in homicides in 2023

Houston’s homicide rate is down 20% compared to the year before, outpacing a historic decline in killings nationwide.

The city logged 339 homicides thorough Dec. 18, down from 425 over the same period in 2022, according to Houston police.

That drop is steeper than the 9.4% decline noted nationwide through the first half of 2023, which would be the largest decrease in around 50 years, according to the Council on Criminal Justice.

Researchers behind the study highlighted a range of reasons for the decline, saying the nation is coming off a large spike in homicides in 2020, and credited police policy changes and new crime-fighting initiatives.

Ernesto Lopez, a research specialist with the council, cautioned that it will be some time before those in law enforcement can draw firm conclusions based on the data. And we are still settling back into normal after the pandemic and the police killing of George Floyd in Minneapolis upended law enforcement in many big cities across the country,

“When you have multiple events occurring at the same time, it makes it difficult to measure the influence of specific factors,” he said. “But once things return to normal, you can see the trends.”

City leaders in Houston, including Mayor Sylvester Turner and Police Chief Troy Finner, have touted increased homicide clearance rates and additional funding as contributing to the decline in homicides in 2023.

Lopez said the fact that many cities across the country are experiencing a decline in homicide suggests larger factors may be at play.

Lopez said a host of political, criminal and cultural factors muddy the numbers. For instance, the nationwide spike in homicides actually predates the pandemic and Floyd’s death.

“The first two months of 2020, homicides were up about 25% already,” he said.

Other crime is down as well. It may be awhile before we have a clear idea of what was going on in terms of causality. Obviously, the pandemic was a huge part of it, but there were more things happening as well. We’re still arguing about the causes of the crime increases from the 60s into the 90s and the subsequent long and steep drop in crime that followed, so expect this to be contentiously debated more or less forever. And hold that thought about data for a minute.

Chief Troy Finner wants all Houstonians to install security cameras or license plate readers

Facing a stagnating police force, Houston Police Chief Troy Finner is asking everyone in the city, both business owners and individual residents, to install security cameras and license plate readers in a bid to tamp down on crime.

The initiative, dubbed Project Safe View, has not yet received any city funding to help purchase cameras, Finner said. But he said the measure, if widely adopted, would help detectives with their investigations and serve as a possible deterrent to would-be criminals.

“If criminals knew, coming into this city, that on every block was some type of camera or license plate reader, that might help deter crime,” he said.

Some local groups, such as the Houston Association of Realtors, have praised the initiative, arguing it can only help safeguard Houstonians. But an expert who has closely studied the use of cameras and law enforcement says research shows more cameras might help the department’s clearance rates. But cameras’ use as a deterrent to crime is far less clear.

“They can be good for investigations, but not for deterring crime in the first place,” said Penny Geyer, a doctoral lecturer at the John Jay College of Criminal Justice in New York.

Some research has shown temporary declines in crime in the immediate aftermath of a camera’s installation, Geyer said. But any improvements are short-lived.

I mean, there are lots of reasons why one might be hesitant about installing a doorbell camera or other Internet-connected surveillance system in their homes, regardless of the potential value they may have in crimefighting. The debate about the value of security cameras and other forms of security technology is as longstanding and unresolved as the debate over why crime rates do what they do. I do believe they are an asset in solving crimes that have already happened. Discouraging them from happening in the first place, color me skeptical.

Houston’s crime stats show a safer city. Is that the whole story? (Editorial)

An FBI report that gathers figures from police departments across the nation shows a 1.7 percent drop in violent crime from 2021 to 2022, but a national survey released this month by the U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics shows that the share of people who said they were victims of a violent crime jumped from 16.4 in 2021 to 23.5 per 1,000 persons in 2022. This kind of gap isn’t unusual but the two reports have rarely disagreed so much.

Here at home, the most recent Houston Police Department statistics show that reported violent crime has dropped almost 10 percent from last year. There’s no local survey asking people if they were victims to give us an idea of unreported violent crime but people polled before the recent mayoral election identified crime as the top issue.

This discrepancy defies easy explanation. Murder rates are considered accurate because few homicides go unreported, but other categories are murkier.

Experts believe the inconsistent data could be a result of fewer residents reporting crimes when they happen. There are several possible explanations for that hesitancy, from a basic lack of trust in law enforcement in some communities to remarkably low police response times, which have been exacerbated by an over-reliance on flawed technology such as ShotSpotter, an alert system that officers prioritize even though it rarely leads to arrests.

Whatever the reason, lacking data has far-reaching consequences. Houston ought to help lead the way nationally on improving the rate at which people report crimes. If HPD statistics don’t give the full picture on which neighborhoods have crime problems, the department won’t know where best to deploy resources.

Even when victims report crimes, the Houston region has a problem making sure officers can access the data. While Whitmire has said he wants to hire and recruit hundreds more police officers, he also acknowledges that the city’s dozens of law enforcement agencies — there are more than 60 departments in Harris County, according to a Kinder Institute study — should be able to better serve residents simply by breaking out of their respective silos and talking to each other. Integrating databases surely would be a massive technical and political headache, but one well worth the effort.

Obviously having better data would help. That we are finally doing some studies on gun violence should also help. Making sure we understand that data and properly deploy resources in response to it, that will really help. As for the gap between people’s perceptions of crime and the reality of how much crime there is, this is another evergreen matter. Has there ever been a time when people thought the crime rate was lower and that their neighborhoods were safer than what the data said? I grew up during a time when crime was measurably worse than it is now – hell, I came to Houston at a time when we had twice as many murders in a year as we’ll have this year, with far fewer people in the city – and I’m here to tell you the answer to that is almost certainly “never”. Maybe one other possible way to address that problem is in how crime is reported and often sensationalized in the media. Which, to be fair, is just giving the people what they want – I can’t imagine ever talking someone out of their belief that crime is rampant and they’ll probably be murdered any time now. I still support there being better data available, just in case.

Two more points. One, the issue of different law enforcement agencies not working together as well as they could, this too is a long-standing matter. It was a plank in Annise Parker’s Mayoral campaign in 2009. I’m sure we’ve tried to make some progress since then, but I have no idea how much has been made. I’m not even sure we have defined metrics for that, which makes any kind of measurement that much more difficult. It seems to me this is the sort of thing that could be addressed by the Legislature, if they weren’t busy telling police departments to take on tasks for which they weren’t trained and aren’t funded. And two, perhaps one additional reason why fewer people may be reporting crimes is the belief that the crimes they report aren’t going to get solved anyway. If we want to get into the “better data leads to better outcomes” business, let’s start with more transparency on HPD’s solve rates, so we can be clearer about where to focus our efforts.

Posted in Crime and Punishment | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | 11 Comments

Ampelognathus coheni

Of all of the potentially attainable achievements I could imagine for my life, finding a new dinosaur fossil seems like the coolest.

A new dog-sized dinosaur species has been discovered after a small fossil of a jawbone was found outside of Dallas.

Murray Cohen, a volunteer with the Perot Museum of Nature and Science found the 2-inch fossil within a rock formation near Lake Grapevine in 2020. He initially thought it was a small crocodile jaw, until Ron Tykoski, vice president at Perot, took a closer look under a microscope with fine pins and needles.

“Partway through the process, suddenly my head is going, ‘This doesn’t look like a crocodile. What’s wrong with this thing?’” Tykoski said. “I go, ‘let me check the front of the jaw’ and suddenly this anatomical feature, an articulation point, appeared; and that was an immediate light-bulb moment: This is not a crocodile, this is a dinosaur.”

Tykoski said no living animal today has that particular jaw feature. In fact, only similar small plant-eating dinosaurs had the feature.

The next three years were spent investigating and researching to disprove it wasn’t another already discovered dinosaur. Finally, reviewers reaffirmed their discovery and recently published it in the Journal of Vertebrate Paleontology. The new species has been named Ampelognathus coheni, which roughly translates to “Cohen’s Grapevine jaw,” after the volunteer and city where it was found.

The small dinosaur would have been about 6 feet long with a long tail and neck. It would have weighed around 20 to 60 pounds. Tykoski said the head of this species probably could be held in a human hand because of how small it was. Some 96 million years ago, it would have been splashing around in what was the shoreline, a lot like the Gulf Coast today.

It’s not just discovering the new species of dinosaur, it’s having it named for you. No one’s going to have a story to top that. The Fort Worth Report and Texas Monthly have more.

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Texas blog roundup for the week of December 25

The Texas Progressive Alliance hears sleigh bells ring-a-ling and jing-ting-ting-a-ling as it brings you this week’s roundup.

Continue reading

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Precinct analysis: City Props A and B

PREVIOUSLY:

Mayor’s race
Controller’s race
Harris Health bond referendum
At Large #1
At Large #2
At Large #3
At Large #4
At Large #5

Finishing up with the two citywide ballot propositions. The first one, Prop A, established that three City Council members could put an item on Council’s agenda, without needing it to be put there by the Mayor. It received 83% of the vote in November. As we have previously discussed, blowout election results usually come with boring precinct results:


Dist      For  Against
======================
A      16,187    3,442
B      13,691    3,266
C      36,448    6,492
D      19,158    3,898
E      24,298    5,173
F       8,080    1,629
G      28,677    5,550
H      15,426    3,342
I      12,854    2,876
J       6,678    1,335
K      15,947    3,151
		
Dist      For  Against
======================
A      82.46%   17.54%
B      80.74%   19.26%
C      84.88%   15.12%
D      83.09%   16.91%
E      82.45%   17.55%
F      83.22%   16.78%
G      83.78%   16.22%
H      82.19%   17.81%
I      81.72%   18.28%
J      83.34%   16.66%
K      83.50%   16.50%

Move along, nothing to see here. Prop B, the Fair For Houston measure that required the city to negotiate a proportionate voting structure for the Houston-Galveston Area Council, also won easily but in slightly less blowout-ish fashion, taking 65% of the vote. Here’s how that went down:


Dist      For  Against
======================
A      11,067    7,282
B      11,747    4,229
C      27,509   12,794
D      15,676    6,137
E      14,900   12,596
F       6,174    2,951
G      17,344   14,434
H      12,647    5,068
I      10,638    4,215
J       5,104    2,466
K      12,415    5,588
		
Dist      For  Against
======================
A      60.31%   39.69%
B      73.53%   26.47%
C      68.26%   31.74%
D      71.87%   28.13%
E      54.19%   45.81%
F      67.66%   32.34%
G      54.58%   45.42%
H      71.39%   28.61%
I      71.62%   28.38%
J      67.42%   32.58%
K      68.96%   31.04%

No surprise to me that the Republican districts were the low scorers. I presume Ed Emmett’s op-ed carried some weight. Not enough to tip the scales in any district, but it was at least competitive in E and G.

And that’s it for November. I will bring you the runoff results in the coming days. Hope as always that you found this useful. On to the primaries from here.

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RIP, hyperloops

It was fun while it lasted.

Hyperloop One, the futuristic transportation startup that promised to whisk us through nearly airless tubes at airline speeds, is shutting down, according to Bloomberg.

The company is selling off its assets, closing down its offices, and laying off employees. It will formally close at the end of the year, at which point all of its intellectual property will shift to its majority stakeholder, major Dubai port operator DP World. Whoever buys the test track in the Nevada desert will have one hell of a Slip ‘N Slide if they want it.

Since its founding in 2014, the company raised around $450 million in venture capital funds and other investments. While there is still a small smattering of startups trying to build hyperloops, the demise of one of the biggest hyperloop companies signals the end of the dream that originated with Elon Musk’s so-called “alpha paper” in 2013.

Musk theorized that aerodynamic aluminum capsules filled with passengers or cargo could be propelled through a nearly airless tube at speeds of up to 760mph. These tubes, either raised on pylons or sunk beneath the earth, could be built either within or between cities. He called it a “fifth mode of transportation” and argued it could help change the way we live, work, trade, and travel.

The most eye-catching scenario he proposed was a trip from Los Angeles to San Francisco in only 30 minutes. The idea captured the imaginations of engineers and investors across the world.

[…]

The company made several important strides, including building a test track in Nevada to test out the safety and feasibility of the technology. In 2020, it conducted its first — and only — test with human passengers. The pod only reached a top speed of 100mph, far short of the original promise of seven times that amount.

Critics said that while the hyperloop may be technically feasible, it still only amounts to vaporware. It’s been called a “utopian vision” that would be financially impossible to achieve. It’s one of those technologies that is also “just around the corner,” according to its boosters — despite outwardly appearing to still be years away from completion. In 2017, Virgin Hyperloop’s top executives told The Verge they expect to see “working hyperloops around the world… by 2020.” That deadline was later pushed to 2021.

During the pandemic, nearly all of the top executives and founders left Hyperloop One, which also shed the Virgin from its name after the company decided to eschew passenger trips in favor of cargo.

In between then and now millions of dollars were raised, various corporate acquisitions and mergers occurred, that extremely underwhelming test was performed, and now this. E*** M*** has pivoted to underground tunnels for cars that seem only slightly less fantastical, not to mention much less appealing given who’s involved. I’m kind of sorry to see this idea bite the dust because as weird as it was it was also cool. Maybe the next big weird idea will work out. TechCrunch has more.

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A brief update on the Democratic Senate primary

Just a couple of thoughts.

Not Ted Cruz

If money is any indication, the crowded contest to challenge U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz next year is Democrat Colin Allred’s to lose.

The congressman from Dallas has set campaign fundraising records and outpaced his closest primary competitor by roughly $10 million. Allred has ignored the seven other Democrats in the race and focused squarely on Cruz, pitching himself to voters as a pragmatic and bipartisan alternative who proved he can beat an incumbent Republican when he flipped the congressional seat he holds in 2018.

“We’ve generated support around the country because folks realize I’m battle-tested, I know how to win in tough races — but I also know how to bring people together,” Allred said.

But state Sen. Roland Gutierrez, a San Antonio Democrat seen as Allred’s closest rival, has been turning up the heat on the former professional football player he calls too moderate and too hesitant to throw political punches.

Gutierrez, who represents Uvalde and has focused his campaign on curbing gun violence after the mass shooting at Robb Elementary School, has staked out a series of positions to Allred’s left. He is calling for “Medicare for All” while slamming Allred for supporting border barriers and refusing to back calls for a cease-fire in Israel’s war with Hamas.

“The other candidate, he’s so afraid to talk about these things because he thinks he’s going to back himself out of his moderate world,” Gutierrez said. “We’re not in those times anymore. I know he loves to talk about bipartisanship, but that’s not what this is about anymore. Our world and our country and our state are on fire.”

It’s an effort to generate some competition in a race that so far has attracted little attention from Texas voters — even as national Democrats have made clear they plan to pour significant resources into the state to unseat Cruz, whom they view as one of the very few potentially vulnerable Senate Republicans on the ballot next year. Cruz fended off Beto O’Rourke in 2018 by just 2.6 percentage points.

Political scientists say a more competitive primary could give Texas Democrats a much-needed boost heading into a difficult general election match after years of disappointing results in statewide races.

“There are very interesting X factors in Gutierrez’s candidacy that potentially make this a lot more interesting race than it’s been so far, but that also suggest it could get more interesting once people start paying attention,” said James Henson, director of the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas at Austin.

“Gutierrez’s strategy in particular is to set himself up as the more progressive, combative candidate, versus a more complacent, process-oriented alternative — a safe alternative,” he noted.

In no particular order:

– I really would have liked to hear more about that “national Democrats have made clear they plan to pour significant resources into the state to unseat Cruz” bit. There are a lot of potential ancillary benefits to putting campaign cash into Texas – like, say, maybe winning a couple of Supreme Court seats. I’d like to know what might be in store, as this sort of thing can often mean a lot less than it sounds.

– This is a two-person race. I have no idea what Carl Sherman thinks he’s doing. Mark Gonzalez would be an interesting candidate given more time and money, but I don’t think he’ll have enough of either to make an impression. It will either be Sen. Gutierrez and Rep. Allred in a runoff, or Rep. Allred will win outright; the former is much more likely.

– Rep. Allred has a huge lead with money, and it sounds like he’ll have plenty more if he prevails in the primary. I’d suggest he budget at least two million of the cash he has now to introduce himself, carpet-bomb Cruz, and get people fired up.

– Sen. Gutierrez has been great on Uvalde and putting Republicans in an uncomfortable spot in relation to that, though nearly all of it has been well below the radar. Best he can do is keep that up and aim for earned media.

– I’m not ready to have Discourse about primary turnout and What It All Means. I will point to the turnout from 2018 as often as I need to in order to remind people that there’s no real connection between March turnout and November turnout. And yes, it will be capital-D Discourse.

– The year 2018 will be invoked a lot, partly because it was the last time Ted Cruz was on the general election ballot, partly because of how close Beto came to beating him, and partly because we love a parallel for as long as it is a parallel. 2018 was obviously a good year for Dems, who were super fired up about Trump. The dynamic is very different this year, in no small part because Trump is on the ballot (unless the Colorado way spreads) and not as an incumbent. I’d like to think this race starts out as something like “Ted Cruz up by three”, but it’s unwise to make such an assumption on so little data. Every election is unique. We don’t know in which way this one will be just yet.

– Did I mention that 2018 primary turnout was weak? And that Beto didn’t really take off until after the primary? I have now.

I think that’s it. I’m already looking forward to the January finance reports.

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Realignment roundup

You can officially put a bow on the PAC 12.

Oregon State and Washington State have come to an agreement in principle with the 10 departing Pac-12 universities that will end ongoing litigation related to control of the conference, the 12 universities announced Thursday.

The agreement comes in the wake of the Washington state Supreme Court’s decision last week not to review a lower court’s decision that granted control of the Pac-12 board of directors to OSU and WSU.

As part of the agreement, the 10 departing schools will forfeit an undisclosed portion of revenue distributions over the rest of the 2023-24 school year and have provided “specific guarantees against potential future liabilities.”

“In September, as the two remaining members of the Pac-12 Conference, Oregon State University and Washington State University were forced to act swiftly to protect the future viability of the Pac-12. Thanks to the determination and strength of Beaver Nation and Cougar Nation and the excellence of our student-athletes, coaches and staff, we are now closer to achieving our goal,” OSU president Jayathi Murthy and WSU president Kirk Schultz said in a joint statement. “Today’s news marks a huge victory for our universities and a significant step toward stabilizing the Pac-12 Conference and preserving its 108-year legacy.”

The Pac-12 will retain all its assets and future revenues, the presidents added.

This development allows all involved parties to move forward and, for OSU and WSU in particular, a better sense of what their financial picture will look like as they begin the process to rebuild the Pac-12.

In another statement, the departing schools said they’ll work out the final details in the coming days.

“For now, we are grateful to resolve this dispute and look forward to competing against each other over the next several months in the Pac-12,” their statement said.

Earlier this month, OSU and WSU announced it had come to a scheduling agreement with the Mountain West Conference to play six MWC opponents in football during the 2024 season. They are also close to finalizing an affiliate agreement with the West Coast Conference to host most of its other sports, most notably men’s and women’s basketball. It’s possible the agreement with the WCC could be announced as early as this week, sources told ESPN.

Neither of those arrangements are expected to last beyond two seasons, while the OSU and WSU keep the Pac-12 afloat.

See here and here for some background. I daresay the money was a bigger deal for OSU and WSU than it was for the departing schools.

As that story notes, OSU and WSU have a new temporary home, for some of their sports.

The latest bend to conference realignment has popped in the Pacific Northwest. Oregon State and Washington State will join the West Coast Conference as affiliate members and play league games — with the exception of football and baseball — against WCC schools for the 2024-25 and 2025-26 seasons.

The WCC’s presidents and athletic directors voted and unanimously approved the measure Thursday morning, a source said, and the conference officially announced the addition of Oregon State and Washington State on Friday.

For men’s and women’s basketball, this means the nine-school WCC will enlarge to 11 teams for the next two seasons — increasing the conference’s appeal and scheduling power in the process.

“The WCC has a great history of national success, and we look forward to continued excellence with the addition of Oregon State and Washington State as affiliate members of the Conference,” WCC commissioner Stu Jackson said in a statement. “These are two prestigious institutions with a robust athletics profile that each embody the intrinsic values of the WCC. The Conference and its member institutions provide valuable opportunities in recruiting, scheduling, broadcast exposure and an exceptional student-athlete experience. OSU’s and WSU’s institutional support and passionate fan bases will only enhance this experience across the Conference.”

In football, Oregon State and Washington State already have a separate agreement in place for 2024 with the Mountain West. (The WCC does not sponsor football.) Other sports that will play other the WCC tent for the next two years include softball, volleyball, cross country, golf, soccer and tennis.

Industry speculation over the past two months centered around the idea that OSU and WSU would follow football’s lead and eventually link with the Mountain West in all sports. But logistical and ongoing legal concerns have combined to make a move in basketball and non-revenue sports difficult at this time, sources said.

In becoming WCC members from July 1, 2024 through June 30, 2026, Oregon State and Wazzu will compete for regular-season and postseason WCC titles. That means they’re eligible for automatic-qualifier status for NCAA championship events, most notably basketball’s NCAA Tournament.

[…]

What happens with OSU and WSU beyond the spring of 2026 is foggy. Sources told CBS Sports the Mountain West would have interest in a long-term partnership with the two as full members once everything legal and financial is sorted out in the months/years to come with the fallout of the Pac-12. As it stands in football for 2024, the schools won’t be eligible for the Mountain West championship game. Unlike basketball and other sports, they will essentially compete as independents in the new 12-team College Football Playoff and — same as Notre Dame — cannot qualify for a first-round bye by being ranked in the top four.

In baseball, Oregon State is a strong enough program that it intends to play as an independent in the near-term, sources said, with Washington State doing the same.

Kind of a fascinating situation, and it’s probably wise for the two schools to keep some options open. Who even knows what the landscape might look like in two years? As far as baseball goes, they have other options.

Adding Oregon State and Washington State would probably make the WCC into a three-bid league. But the strongest mid-major conference in the area, or at least the most storied, is the Big West. That’s the home of Fullerton, Long Beach State, UC-Santa Barbara, and UC-Irvine. My original proposal back in August was for Oregon State and Wazzu to join with these Big West powers to form a sort of independent baseball-only super-conference. Keeping the WCC plan on the back burner leaves that option on the table; if such a baseball-only conference were to take shape, that could serve as a blueprint for schools that are more successful in baseball than football.

That’s about to be very relevant in the ACC. Since the last round of realignment chatter, Florida State’s football team went undefeated, but lost its starting quarterback to injury. The College Football Playoff selection committee then elevated Texas and Alabama, both one-loss conference champions, to the playoff ahead of FSU. The reason being that while the Seminoles might have accomplished more by going undefeated, Texas and Alabama are better teams.

People in Tallahassee are pissed. And they have a point; is the ACC really a power conference if the undefeated champion can be passed over for a playoff spot in favor of teams that took losses? And if not, why should Florida State — a program with resources, history, and ambition to match anyone in college football — stick around?

The technical reason: The ACC owns FSU’s media rights until 2036. The Florida State board of trustees is now contemplating avenues for getting out of that agreement. There’s no precedent for a legal challenge to a grant of rights, but there is also no contract so ironclad that a sufficiently angry group of southern college football boosters can’t find a way to void it. It’s in the Constitution.

If FSU does manage to escape, that’d be the beginning of the end of the ACC as a football conference. Clemson’s recent run of dominance notwithstanding, FSU is the motivating ACC football power. If the Seminoles leave, Clemson could tag along. Even if that doesn’t happen, we’re seeing the first signs of cracking in the rock that William C. Swinney has built his program on. What is an ACC without FSU or a dominant Clemson?

Not much, in football terms, just a venue for future state legislators to go 8-4 and get stomped by SEC opposition in the Gator Bowl. In baseball, Clemson and FSU are huge programs, but they don’t prop the conference up. Virginia, North Carolina, Wake Forest, Miami, Louisville, and NC State are all huge programs in their own right, and they’d make up one of the best leagues in college baseball on their own. Plus Stanford, which just went to the College World Series, is in the conference now too.

Whatever legal pretext Florida State finds to try to force its way out of the ACC, the league isn’t going to dissolve overnight. That gives the other ACC schools time to find a solution, whether that’s to stay the course or get more creative. More than that, Oregon State is now a test case for what happens to a major college baseball program when its conference up and vanishes. If the Pac-12 orphans do manage to pioneer a baseball-only power conference, ACC baseball could use that as a blueprint. The remaining teams could lose Florida State and barely even notice — at least on the baseball field.

As author Michael Baumann has pointed out before, realignment is an entirely football-driven process. This has not only been bad for some major basketball programs, at least in terms of scheduling and travel and the loss of traditional rivals, it’s also been bad for women’s sports and baseball and other “non-revenue” programs. One possible direction that some schools could choose to take for the sake of their powerhouse baseball teams is having them in separate conferences, ones that cater to that sport and its programs, than the football teams. With every new machination, that seems less and less farfetched.

And since we mentioned FSU and the ACC.

The Florida State board of trustees voted unanimously Friday to sue the ACC to challenge the legality of the league’s grant of rights and its $130 million withdrawal fee, a necessary first step to plot the school’s future and potential exit from the conference.

The 38-page lawsuit, filed in Leon County Circuit Court in Tallahassee, Florida, seeks a declaratory judgment against the ACC to void the grant of rights and withdrawal fee as “unreasonable restraints of trade in the state of Florida and not enforceable in their entirety against Florida State.”

The university alleges “chronic fiduciary mismanagement and bad faith” in the way the ACC has handled its multimedia rights agreements and undermined its members’ revenue opportunities. Florida State is also accusing the ACC of breach of contract and failure to perform.

“I believe this board has been left no choice but to challenge the legitimacy of the ACC grant of rights and its severe withdrawal penalties,” board chair Peter Collins said. “None of us like being in this position. However, I believe that we have exhausted all possible remedies within the conference and we must do what we believe is best for Florida State not only in the short term but in the long term.”

Florida State is now in unprecedented territory. No school has ever challenged a grant of rights in court.

ACC officials have previously used the word “ironclad” to describe the document, and that has been the operating assumption from leagues across the country — believing the language in the document is so rigid it would prevent schools from leaving. But because no school has ever challenged the document in court, nobody actually knows whether it is, indeed, as ironclad as described.

Who knows what will happen there. I’m sure that the president and athletic director at Stanford and Cal are all thinking “Jesus Christ, not this shit again” right about now. Keep your seat belts fastened, the ride will continue to be wild.

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Say goodbye to 2023, Mel Torme

As I mentioned yesterday, we do have some traditions at this here weblog, and the Mel Torme Christmas story is one of them. 2023 was a year, that’s for sure, and 2024, well, we’d probably do best to keep our expectations in check. But we can, and still should have, hope. Merry Christmas and/or Happy Monday to you all. I’ll have primary interviews and judicial Q&As before you know it. Until then, be safe and be well.

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Weekend link dump for December 24

Here comes Santa Claus, here comes Santa Claus

“Even at this early stage, it’s a safe bet that Tesla’s design choices for the Cybertruck will not reduce American crash deaths, and they may increase them. And if the vehicle does prove to be as deadly as some fear, it will take time—years, likely—before federal officials can intervene to protect everyone who is not inside one.”

They’re not so good off road, either.

“On Dec. 18, 2013, KrebsOnSecurity broke the news that U.S. retail giant Target was battling a wide-ranging computer intrusion that compromised more than 40 million customer payment cards over the previous month. The malware used in the Target breach included the text string “Rescator,” which also was the handle chosen by the cybercriminal who was selling all of the cards stolen from Target customers. Ten years later, KrebsOnSecurity has uncovered new clues about the real-life identity of Rescator.”

“Sarah McBride is putting together the pieces of a successful congressional campaign: She’s leading across several polls, has the backing of key advocacy groups and members of her state’s political establishment, and just announced robust fundraising numbers. All that could add up to a win in the race for Delaware’s at-large House seat — making her the first ever transgender member of Congress.” (Note: Callie Butcher, running in the Dem primary for CD32, would also be able to make that claim if she wins.)

“I don’t mean to be over pollyannaish. It is precisely the nature of authoritarians to degrade elections into sham processes or simply ignore the results of elections they lose. Donald Trump tried to do this in 2021 and failed and Bolsonaro’s supporters did so as well after his defeat. But this doesn’t change the fact that we now appear to be living in what will likely be an extended period in which national elections pit a civic democratic party against a right-wing populist authoritarian one.”

“The Republican leading the probe of Hunter Biden has his own shell company and complicated friends”.

“In summary: All the evidence I’m aware of suggests that ignorance and distortion are no worse today than they’ve ever been. Social media just makes our ignorance a little more obvious.”

The tech that died in 2023.

Homicide: Life On The Streets may finally be available to stream soon.

“Catholic Priests Can Now Bless Same-Sex Couples, as Long as They Don’t Look Like Marriages”.

“I have absolutely zero data to prove this, but I suspect that one of the reasons that more people are more lonely these days is that women are doing less than they used to to create belonging. It’s a similar dynamic to why marriage and childbirth are in decline. Fewer women are getting married and having babies because they are tired of doing everything and putting up with male shenanigans (again, not any of yours. You are all perfect gentlemen and I know that because you read my blog). And men are doing less and less well, making them less and less marriageable. It’s a vicious cycle on both fronts, in which women capitalize on more opportunity and do less unpaid work, men don’t make up the gap, women don’t have to put up with male failure, and men get more sad and angry and less desirable.”

Die Hard’s existence, is, not to put too fine a point on it, a gift. Which is why, if any other reason were needed, Die Hard is a Christmas movie after all.”

“Tesla has dropped Disney+ from its cars because E*** M*** is mad that Bob Iger listened to him.”

“But in truth, Giuliani was never quite the hero he was made out to be. The true tragedy of his career is that the mainstream media, eager to have a socially moderate Republican to lionize, consistently whitewashed his record for decades, both before 9/11 and after.”

“Those of you who don’t have personal life experience within the white evangelical subculture might think that the phrase “Holy Sexuality” is a little bit cringe-y, but let me assure you that for those who have lived within this subculture, that’s not the case. It’s incredibly cringe-y. Everything about this is viscerally uncomfortable, inappropriate, unreliable, and squirmy. There’s a Peter-Graves-in-Airplane! and youth-minister vibe to the whole concept”.

You do you, David Lynch.

Finally, Tuberville’s tantrum comes to an end.

“On the merits, as I said, I’m equivocal, leaning toward skeptical. But I cannot get past the fact that the plain language of the [14th] amendment seems to speak directly to Donald Trump’s actions and say he is disqualified from serving as President. That isn’t the final word on it. There are real questions about its applicability that I noted above. But this isn’t some wild constructive theory, a technicality, a platinum coin version of constitutional jurisprudence. At a minimum it’s a hurdle you earn when you try to overthrow the government. He did that. We watched it happen.”

“Warner Bros. Discovery CEO David Zaslav met with Paramount Global CEO Bob Bakish on Tuesday in New York City to discuss a possible merger“. Imagine how many more shows David Zaslav could cancel and remove from the airwaves if this deal goes through.

“We’ve seen again and again that when entertainment companies consolidate, it’s us — the people just trying to have a good time — who suffer. A hundred years ago, most of the biggest studios making films also owned the theaters screening those films. That meant some towns just wouldn’t get the biggest movies because the theater was owned by a rival studio. It meant that independently produced content was virtually non-existent. The list of people dictating what everyone watched was limited to a handful of (primarily male) producers and studio execs like Irving Thalberg, Jack Warner, and Louis B. Mayer. That led to a real homogeneity of content.”

RIP, Ryan Minor, former Baltimore Orioles infielder who replaced Cal Ripken in the lineup to end his consecutive games streak.

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Christmas Eve video break: It’s the time of the season

Time once again for a revered tradition around here, the best reading of “A Visit From Saint Nicholas”:

As noted before, I’ve been posting this for over a decade, I watch it every year, and it remains one of my favorite things. Happy Christmas Eve to all who celebrate. The Sunday link dump will be along a little later, as usual.

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What would it take to prove the existence of Bigfoot?

Texas Monthly’s Lauren Larson visits the annual Texas Bigfoot Conference and asks the important question.

Steve Austin knows the truth

[Michael Mayes, a schoolteacher and author of Valley of the Apes: The Search for Sasquatch in Area X] introduces a question that has preoccupied investigators for decades but has become more complicated in recent years: What will it take for people to believe Bigfoot exists? Mayes believes a specimen must be collected—the world will have to see a Bigfoot, a “holotype,” to accept that they exist—but he has changed his mind about who should do the collecting. He used to think, and even hope, that it might be him, but now he feels that “citizen scientists” such as himself should focus on gathering photographic evidence and leave the job of bagging Bigfoot to experts with institutional affiliations. If just anyone hauled in a Bigfoot carcass, he says, the blowback from animal rights groups and beyond would be ruinous.

The next speaker, Daryl Colyer, focuses his entire presentation on the question: Should we kill Bigfoot? Colyer had asked an AI chatbot about the implications of collecting a Bigfoot holotype. AI warned against it: the public outcry if Bigfoot were to be killed, the service replied to Colyer, would be swift and extreme—particularly if the species does bear a resemblance to humans, as many investigators believe. Social media would compound the rage, Colyer explains, and the person who felled the first Bigfoot would be ruined. (I think of Walter Palmer, who in slaying Cecil the lion in 2015 became the most hated dentist in America, which is saying something.) What if, Colyer asks, Bigfoot were declared endangered and retroactive laws against hunting were applied? And what if the holotype turned out to be the last of its species? Colyer, like Mayes, believes that someone will have to kill a Bigfoot, but it won’t be him, either.

[…]

A dead holotype has not always been necessary to prove the existence of a species. The next speaker, primatologist and star of the Travel Channel show Expedition Bigfoot Mireya Mayor, has experience discovering new species: she was part of an expedition that found three new species of mouse lemur. (Prior to pivoting to primatology and television, Mayor was a Miami Dolphins cheerleader, and her presentation is flawless, each moment well choreographed to corresponding high-budget video footage and photography from her travels.) Mayor proposes that the mouse lemur could be an example of how photos, coupled with samples of DNA and other material, can suffice. She does note that some mouse lemurs are now in captivity—a feat slightly more difficult with Bigfoot, who many believe is extremely large and, if the rock throws are any indication, can be violent when feeling fussy.

I’ve blogged about Bigfoot a few times, because it’s my blog and the subject amuses me. Looking back on the archives, I like using Bigfoot as an analogy for voter fraud, in that they’re both pretty hard to actually find out in the real world. My answer to this question, which I’ve indicated in some of those posts, is that some combination of DNA, bones, or other fossil evidence like with dinosaurs and other extinct animals, would suffice if there were enough of it and it were compelling.

The problem with that is obvious as well. The Bigfoot community is full of fraud and grifters, and that tends to cast a lot of doubt on those who have more sincere motives. It’s going to take a lot just to overcome the natural skepticism that comes with the “fool me once shame on you, fool me a thousand times shame on me” essence of it all. The much bigger problem is that there’s tons of evidence against the existence of Bigfoot, which raises the bar for how compelling any new evidence would be that much higher. I mean, when we speak of “Bigfoot”, we’re not talking just one creature but an entire population of them, in numbers sustainable enough to perpetuate themselves and avoid extinction. Given their size and their need for food and shelter and living space, how is it remotely possible that no one has ever found a legitimate Bigfoot carcass, let alone had a real encounter with one?

Anyway. The story is a fun read, and it discussed things like where Bigfoot stands now in a world with real discussions of UFOs, and how AI might affect the landscape. Check it out. Oh, and if you want a thrilling book that explores the, um, downside of Bigfoot, go read Max Brooks’ Devolution. He’s the same guy who wrote World War Z, so that should give you some idea of what you’re in for.

Posted in Skepticism, The great state of Texas | Tagged , , , | 5 Comments

Christmas trees and climate change

Sorry to be a grinch.

Gary Chastagner, a Washington State University professor called “Dr. Christmas Tree” (Courtesy: AP Photo/Jason Redmond)

Christmas tree breeder Jim Rockis knows what it looks like when one dies long before it can reach a buyer.

Rockis farms trees in West Virginia and Pennsylvania, where he and other producers often grow their iconic evergreens outside their preferred habitat higher in the mountains. But that can mean planting in soil that’s warmer and wetter — places where a nasty fungal disease called Phytophthora root rot can take hold, sucking moisture away from saplings and causing needles to crisp to burnt orange.

“After a while, it just gets to the core of it,” Rockis said. “They just wither away.”

Christmas tree growers and breeders have long prepared for a future of hotter weather that will change soil conditions, too. People buying trees may not have noticed a difference in availability this year and may not even in the next couple; the average Christmas tree takes eight to 10 years to reach marketable size.

But that means the trees being grown right now are the beloved holiday traditions of tomorrow for millions of families.

“You’ve got to start thinking about how you are going to adapt to this,” Rockis said.

That’s why researchers like Gary Chastagner, a Washington State University professor called “Dr. Christmas Tree” for his decades of work on firs and other festive species, have been working with breeders like Rockis to see if species from other parts of the world — for instance, Turkish fir — are better adapted to conditions being wrought by climate change.

In the past two years, surprisingly high numbers of evergreens died of fungal disease outbreaks in Washington and Oregon. Chastagner has been concerned that changing soil temperature and moisture “may change the frequency at which we would see some Phytophthora that are more adapted to warmer soil conditions.” Some may attack trees even more aggressively, he added.

Chastagner and his team are doing more sampling work to understand the causes of these outbreaks and whether they represent a pattern that could extend into the future.

But some scientists say there isn’t enough research on warming soil temperatures that could affect Christmas trees and many other crops, especially trees.

Go read the rest. Not very jolly, I’m afraid, but this is where we are.

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Someday the 2022 election will end

Today is not that day. Tomorrow doesn’t look so good either.

It’s an Election Day mishap that will sound familiar to Harris County residents. Voters in Pennsylvania’s Luzerne County temporarily were unable to cast ballots in the 2022 midterm election when they experienced a ballot paper shortage at over a dozen of the county’s 143 polling locations.

After election officials were accused of intentionally plotting the shortage, Luzerne County’s district attorney opened an investigation and concluded in a public report released six months ago that the problem was a result of high staff turnover and inexperienced supervisors, not criminal misconduct.

In Harris County, in contrast, over a year after state Republicans called for an investigation into similar circumstances, the Texas Rangers have yet to release any findings, leaving some in the state’s most populous county with lingering doubts about the integrity of their electoral system.

Around 20 out of 782 Harris County polling locations ran out of ballot paper on Election Day in November 2022 — some for just 15 minutes, others for up to three hours.

A week after the election, Gov. Greg Abbott asked the Secretary of State, the Attorney General’s Office and the Texas Rangers to investigate.

“The allegations of election improprieties in our state’s largest county may result from anything ranging from malfeasance to blatant criminal conduct. Voters in Harris County deserve to know what happened,” Abbott said in a statement at the time.

Harris County District Attorney Kim Ogg sent a letter the same day to Texas Department of Public Safety Director Steven McCraw asking for the Texas Rangers’ assistance in investigating alleged irregularities in the election.

[…]

A spokesperson with Ogg’s office referred questions about the investigation to the law enforcement agency conducting the investigation.

In response to multiple queries about the Rangers’ November 2022 election investigation, a spokesperson with the Texas Department of Public Safety, which includes the Texas Rangers, did not provide any additional details.

[…]

While the Secretary of State audit and the court rulings shed light on what occurred during the election, questions about criminal intent would only be answered by the Rangers investigation.

“There’s every reason to believe the state is stalling on this because they have no evidence to produce,” said Jeremi Suri, a professor of public affairs and history at the University of Texas at Austin.”

The decision to keep the investigation open could also be a strategic one, Suri added.

“What this does by not concluding an investigation that should easily have been concluded by now,” Suri said, “it opens the door for continued fear mongering, conspiracy theories, lies and false rumors.”

I was going to write a long discourse about this, but honestly I can’t sum it up any better than Professor Suri did. The only other thing I will add is that maybe the Texas Rangers just aren’t all that good at their job. You can draw your own conclusions.

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Fifth Circuit slaps down “bad faith” obscenity prosecution

This is fascinating.

An appeals court on Monday blocked a Texas district attorney from pursuing child pornography charges against Netflix for showing the French film “Cuties.”

In a 3-0 ruling, the 5th Circuit Court of Appeals upheld a lower court injunction that put the prosecution on an indefinite hold.

Netflix released the film in September 2020, sparking immediate controversy over its depiction of a teen dance troupe. Lucas Babin, the elected D.A. in Tyler County, Texas, indicted the streamer for “promotion of lewd visual material depicting a child.”

The film does not contain any sex scenes. The underage actors are shown doing provocative dance steps while clothed, and there is also a brief glimpse of an adult woman’s bare breast.

The streamer took the case to federal court, arguing that Babin was pursuing the case in bad faith and had no hope of obtaining a conviction. In November 2022, a federal judge granted Netflix’s request for an injunction, saying he was “unconvinced that ‘Cuties’ contains child pornography.”

Babin appealed to the 5th Circuit, which upheld the injunction on Monday.

“Netflix has shown at this stage that it has been subjected to a bad-faith prosecution, an injury we have already deemed ‘irreparable,’” wrote Judge Don R. Willett. “The balance of equities also favors Netflix. It has an obvious interest in the continued exercise of its First Amendment rights, and the State has no legitimate interest in a bad-faith prosecution.”

Babin’s office and Netflix did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

Babin dropped the initial “lewd material” charge in February 2022, nearly a year and a half after the grand jury indictment.

Netflix had filed a habeas corpus petition challenging the charge, after a ruling in a separate case found the Texas statute violated the First Amendment. Babin then brought four new indictments accusing Netflix of distributing child pornography — a more serious allegation.

The company’s only option in state court would have been to defend itself at trial. So instead, the streamer sought a federal injunction.

Babin was represented by the Texas attorney general’s office in the appeal. The office argued that Babin was exercising appropriate prosecutorial discretion in filing the charges, and that the federal injunction was an improper intrusion on state sovereignty.

I was aware of the movie when it came out and the uproar over it, which mostly centered on some ill-advised marketing materials that were quickly pulled. I also remember that there was a criminal case against Netflix being pursued by the Smith County DA. That was all back in 2020 and I had long since forgotten about it. When I came across a headline about this the other day, I did a little Google news searching to learn more about what had happened since then. Texas Lawyer provided the goods.

Two weeks after the film’s debut on Netflix, DA Lucas Babin became the first, and to date, only prosecutor in the United States to criminally charge Netflix for the film.

In October 2022, counsel for Netflix met with Babin and his first assistant to discuss what “specifically prompted the indictment,” adding if it was the exposed breast scene, Netflix could share proof the actress was over 18 at the time of filming.

Babin declined to see the offered proof, emphasizing the “gravamen” of the indictment was the “suggestive way” the younger girls danced, the opinion states.

The Fifth Circuit took note of the fact that Babin then took the unusual step of allowing the case to languish for 400 days.

Nothing happened with the case in [Smith] County until after Netflix brought to the DA’s attention a new decision from the First District Court of Appeals, Ex parte Lowry (2021), which ruled the criminal statute Babin used was facially unconstitutional, and urged Babin to drop the charge.

Babin refused, and only then did Netflix file a pretrial writ of habeas corpus, arguing the indictment should be dismissed. After months of back and forth communications, Babin agreed to a hearing in March 2022.

Netflix argues, however, that Babin used the delay to empanel a second grand jury and seek four new indictments under a more severe criminal statute.

As occurred in the first grand jury, Babin restricted the grand jury’s view of the film to “only those scenes and stills that he had personally curated and stripped of their proper context,” Willett noted.

“Babin, for his part, denies that he ever had such a ‘plan’ or that he even has the power to ‘convene’ a grand jury,” Willett wrote.

Two days before the habeas corpus hearing, Babin informed Netflix he was dropping the original charge and the hearing was no longer necessary, but he added that separate indictments were pending.

[…]

The federal district court issued a detailed, 24-page order finding that Babin had acted in bad faith and that Younger v. Harris (1971)—a precedent case ruling federal courts cannot intervene in ongoing state criminal prosecutions—therefore did not apply.

Babin appealed to the Fifth Circuit.

Netflix alleged Babin acted in bad faith because he retaliated by seeking four new indictments only because Netflix filed a pretrial writ of habeas corpus motion, and because he had no hope of obtaining a valid conviction under the applied statutes of the Texas Penal Code.

The Fifth Circuit found compelling the timing of Babin’s actions. The case sat idle for over a year, and only after the Netflix petition was there “a burst of prosecutorial alacrity.”

“The inflection point—Netflix’s assertion of its First Amendment rights—is difficult to overlook,” Willett wrote.

Willett then noted that Babin claimed the First District’s Lowry opinion had no influence on his decision to drop the indictment, yet admits he was faced with a “constitutional flaw.”

In addition, Babin’s use of multiple indictments on more severe charges is a “hallmark of bad faith under Younger,” Willett said, “a practice we have called ‘upping the ante.’”

Willett cited numerous times how Babin did not show the two grand juries the entire 96-minute film but rather cherry picked parts he considered most compelling.

Many of Babin’s counterarguments relied on his prosecutorial discretion, an argument that courts generally will react to with deference. Such appeals did not help Babin in this case, Willett said.

Willett then cited what the court considered the most compelling evidence of bad faith, the “Jane Doe indictment,” a reference to the adult actress whose breast was exposed.

“Babin expressed no interest in seeing proof that the actress was of age,” Willett wrote. “Nevertheless, Babin sought and obtained an indictment against Netflix for the Jane Doe scene more than 400 days later. … Whatever precipitated the Jane Doe indictment, Babin does not attempt to defend that indictment on the merits—presumably because, as far as we can tell, there are none.”

Ouch. The opinion is here if you want to read it and you have PACER access. The Fifth Circuit remains an irredeemable trash fire, but it’s good to know that even it has its limits. The Wrap has more.

Posted in Legal matters | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments

Crypto ATM data breach

I have three things to say about this.

People who used Coin Cloud cryptocurrency ATMs — a brand that was installed in some H-E-B stores beginning in 2021 — may have had their personal information compromised by hackers.

The San Antonio grocer said the machines in its stores weren’t involved in the breach, which a cybersecurity collective called “vx-underground” says netted hackers the personal data of 300,000 customers across the U.S. and Brazil, according to a report in TechCrunch. Additionally, they got 70,000 pictures of customers taken on cameras in the ATMs.

Crypto ATMS are kiosks where people insert cash to buy various types of the unregulated digital currency such as Bitcoin and others. Kiosk operators charge users varying interest rates, sometimes up to 26%, for the service.

Coin Cloud maintained thousands of such machines until it filed for bankruptcy in February. Another operator, Genesis Coin, acquired 5,700 of Coin Cloud’s ATMs but that company was subsequently sold.

The Coin Cloud machines that were installed in H-E-B stores are now owned and operated by Margo Network, the companies said.

[…]

Bitcoin ATM is the current owner of the Coin Cloud assets, according to TechCrunch. Andrew Barnard, Bitcoin ATM’s CEO, described the breach “a mystery,” and told the outlet that the firm began an investigation, but so far hasn’t determined when it happened or who was responsible.

“The data breach happened a while ago as Coin Cloud has been hacked multiple times in the past when they were still an operating company,” Barnard said in an e-mail to TechCrunch. “I believe that data is just now being ransomed.”

1. Gotta say, if I had used one of those machines, that last bit would not be very reassuring to me. Maybe bring in some cybersecurity experts to help out here? Just a thought.

2. On that note, in case it’s not clear from the story, the breach is not related to the ATMs themselves but to the back end, where the customer data is kept. My guess is it wasn’t all that well secured to begin with, and the multiple changes in corporate ownership hasn’t helped.

3. Seriously, what is the use case for these things? Who needs to buy or trade cryptocurrency while at the grocery store? I remain utterly baffled by this.

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Gillespie County to hand count primary ballots

Some lessons need to be learned the hard way.

When Gillespie County Republicans conduct their primary in March, they will count votes in an ill-advised way: by hand, using scores of volunteers, without any machines.

Even if they can pull off their expensive, labor-intensive plan, they risk being sued by losing candidates or reprimanded by the state. And they may run up a huge bill of unnecessary costs.

“Hand-counting is a recipe for disaster,” said Bob Stein, a political science professor at Rice University and election administration expert. He and most other experts agree on this, and studies back them up: The method is time-consuming, costly, less accurate, and less secure than using machines to tally votes.

The factors that led Gillespie Republicans to this plan are not unique to this rural county of nearly 30,000 people, west of Austin in Texas’ Hill Country. This summer, leaders of the GOP in counties as large as Dallas and as small as Uvalde in South Texas seriously considered hand-counting ballots for their primary elections, according to public records and interviews with election officials.

The phenomenon has been a shock to Stein, who said the effort could undermine confidence in the outcome of the election.

“It will not be reliable nor valid. It’ll cost an enormous amount of money and everyone, every candidate, will be challenging the count,” he said.

Party leadership in larger counties have, so far, resisted a full hand count. In Dallas County, leadership determined it would be impossible with present resources. In Travis County, the local GOP decided on a significantly watered-down hand-counting plan, focusing on a small percentage of primary ballots cast.

Gillespie County Republicans, though, must now recruit and train 100 additional election workers to do the election day tasks that normally fall to county election workers.

Then there’s the enormous job of manually tallying the votes in the roughly dozens of races on the more than 3,000 ballots expected to be cast in the primary, racing against the clock to finish before the state’s 24-hour deadline for reporting results.

But party official David Treibs, a precinct chair who’s been leading the hand-count planning, doesn’t think it will be much of a hassle.

“It’s not anything that’s really complicated. If you go ‘1, 2, 3, 4, 5′ then you can do it,” Treibs, who has no experience hand-counting ballots, told Votebeat. “So it’s not like calculus, you know? If you have a good attention span, then I think most people can do it.”

Ben Adida, executive director for VotingWorks, a nonprofit voting system vendor, which helped the state of Georgia perform a hand-counted audit of the state’s 2020 presidential results, agreed that hand-counting was nothing like calculus. But, he said, it was also nothing like counting to five.

“Imagine being asked to count the number of sheets in a large ream of paper, the kind you get from Staples,” he said. Mistakes aren’t allowed, nor are programs like Excel. Plus, “You have to do it 80 times, because there are 40 contests with 2 candidates each.”

Adida said he understands why hand-counting sounds easy, but once you’ve done it, you quickly realize it’s a daunting process with dozens of steps.

Citing his opposition to hand-counting ballots, Gillespie County GOP Chair Mo Saiidi resigned in September. Days after his departure, the remaining members of county Republican leadership finalized their decision to move forward.

“I could not in good conscience continue presiding over an election using a method that I did not feel was the right process to go through,” Saiidi said. “And I felt it was flawed. I felt it was not well thought out. I didn’t think it was the right thing for the community.”

This story refers to Votebeat’s previous reporting on electoral dysfunction in Gillespie County, and you should read those as well along with the rest of this one. One thing this story makes clear is that any county party that attempts this extreme foolishness, which will take longer to do and cost more money and require more resources, will not get any kind of slack from the Secretary of State:

Following the various emails and calls with questions the secretary of state’s office received about hand counting, it warned officials that it may not have enough money to reimburse every county party that chooses to hand-count, due to the high costs.

The state currently has about $22 million allocated to reimburse political parties and counties for their primary and runoff election expenses. About $5 million of that comes from candidate filing fees.

At an Austin gathering of more than 500 local party chairs in September, Christina Adkins, the state’s elections division director, warned the costs might quickly spiral out of control.

“It is entirely possible that your costs may exceed our ability to pay for the primary election,” she said, standing behind a podium inside a large hotel ballroom. For over an hour, Adkins went through slide after slide of a presentation detailing rules, procedures, and logistical requirements of a hand count. “If everybody in the state goes to hand-counting, we may not have the funds to pay for everything.”

That caused discomfort and surprise in the room. It also left many of the attendees with more questions. “What if we underestimate the number of people we have to hand-count and we don’t make the 24-hour deadline?” one person asked, referencing the length of time under law each county has to return results.

A Dallas-area activist expressed concern over possible costs. “We need to know how much money you’re going to authorize because the number we have right now is high,” she told Adkins.

Adkins directed every party chair in the room considering a hand count to take a look at how much a previous similar election cost them and to consider the fact that additional workers, additional hours, and additional supplies would be required.

She also did not waver on one point: No county will get a pass on following the law because of the logistical difficulties of hand-counting.

“The law spells out exactly how a hand count has to occur. I cannot give you a dispensation. That’s the word that keeps coming up: ‘Well, can you give us a dispensation to do this a different way?’” Adkins said to the crowd in September. “I cannot. You have to follow state law.”

Hand count and find out. I cannot wait to hear about county parties basically bankrupting themselves this way. Sure, there will be plenty of people out there with more money than brains or sense willing to bail them out. It’s still going to be a problem.

One more point to note is that this story suggests there would be “more than 3,000 ballots expected to be cast in the primary” in Gillespie. I think that’s an underestimate, as there were nearly 6,000 ballots cast in the 2020 GOP primary there. A quick look at the SOS filings page suggests there will be at least ten or eleven contested races: President, Senate, Railroad Commissioner, four of the six statewide benches, County Attorney, Sheriff, Tax Assessor, and for some voters a County Commissioner. Imagine how much fun it will be if one or more of those results are disputed, especially if that happens after the state deadline for reporting the results in the first place. This is me rubbing my hands in anticipation. You do you, Gillespie County.

(So, um, when will the state intervene in Gillespie County to ensure the integrity of their election results? Asking for a friend.)

Posted in Election 2024 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Seattle Children’s Hospital sues Texas Attorney General over trans patient records

I have three things to say about this.

A crook any way you look

Seattle Children’s Hospital has sued the Texas Office of the Attorney General to block the release of patient information after the agency sent the Washington-based health care system an investigative subpoena demanding any patient records of Texas residents who have received transition-related care.

The hospital system filed a petition in the Travis County District Court on Dec. 7, requesting the court dismiss a subpoena from the attorney general’s office, or alternatively issue an extension of and modification to the list of requested documents.

The attorney general’s civil investigative demand came more than two months after a new Texas law went into effect that bans the use of puberty blockers and hormone therapy for transgender youth. Suspecting that Seattle Children’s was providing youth in Texas with puberty blockers or hormone therapy, the attorney general’s office sent the hospital system a subpoena on Nov. 17, demanding the responsive documents by Dec. 7.

The AG’s office stated in court filings that it was investigating the hospital for potentially violating the Texas Deceptive Trade Practices Act.

A sworn affidavit from a hospital administrator included in the lawsuit stated that no clinical staff for Seattle Children’s provide gender-affirming care in Texas, or do so remotely from outside of the state.

The discovery tool issued by Attorney General Ken Paxton is the latest effort by his office to scrutinize the lives of transgender Texans and their families. Over the last several years, Republicans in Texas have sought to restrict transgender youth from accessing transition-related care, playing on sports teams that align with their gender and using certain public restrooms. Doctors and advocates argue gender-affirming care is lifesaving for transgender youth who face higher rates of suicide attempts and mental health problems than their cisgender peers.

It’s not clear how many other hospital systems across the country, if any, received similar subpoenas from Paxton’s office. The Attorney General’s Office did not respond to questions about the subpoena and lawsuit.

Seattle Children’s Hospital argued that producing the information would violate federal and state health care privacy laws. The hospital’s lawsuit also pointed to Washington’s new “Shield Law” passed earlier this year, which prevents entities based in the northwest state from complying “with a subpoena, warrant, court order, or other civil or criminal legal process for records … related to protected health care services that are lawful in the state of Washington.”

It is legal to prescribe gender-affirming care, including puberty blockers, hormone therapy and transition-related surgery — which are rarely performed on minors — in Washington.

Additionally, the hospital argued that the Texas attorney general’s office does not have jurisdiction over the Washington-based hospital system, where the email and health record systems both reside.

“Furthermore, the Demands are an unconstitutional attempt to investigate and chill potential travel by Texas residents to obtain healthcare in another state,” the petition stated.

1. This is another reason why I could not be a lawyer. I would not be able to respond to that subpoena without telling Paxton to go fuck himself. I understand judges frown on that sort of thing.

2. They’re chasing and harassing trans kids now, they’ll be doing the same with women who leave the state to get abortions next. The ultimate goal is a complete national ban. The next time Republicans have a national trifecta, they’ll go for it. We have a lot of work to do.

3. I really need to learn some deep breathing techniques so I don’t blow out my blood pressure when I read stories like this.

I will of course keep an eye on this. KXAN has more.

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Get ready for a shorter summer

Your HISD student will be back in school before you know it.

Houston ISD is poised to begin the upcoming school year more than two weeks earlier than usual after the Board of Managers voted last week to make HISD a District of Innovation, exempting it from several state laws including those around school start dates.

Superintendent Mike Miles wrote last week in a message to HISD families that the district would seek to start the 2024-2025 school year between Aug. 7 and Aug. 14, both of which fall on Wednesdays. If students were to start school on a Monday, that would make the first day of school Aug. 12, over two weeks earlier than this year’s start date of Aug. 28.

Teachers, who usually return to school two weeks before their students, would likely report to work at the end of July.

“This is an important step in our overall effort to ensure every student has a high-quality education and graduates prepared for the modern workplace and world,” Miles said of the board’s vote to adopt District of Innovation status. “Research indicates that students benefit from more time in school.”

The district plans to present its proposed academic calendar for the upcoming school year at the Board of Managers’ monthly meeting in February, spokesman Joseph Sam said. Beginning next year, HISD plans to have students receive at least 180 days of classroom instruction, compared to the district’s previous standard of 172 days.

See here for the background. There are plenty of reasons to be concerned about HISD, and reasons to worry about the District of Innovation designation, but this is not one of them. I say that as an HISD parent whose high school daughter is absolutely going to complain about her shorter vacation. Just going by the “first day of school” pictures I see posted on Facebook every August, HISD has definitely been an outlier in its start date. This is another one of those things that I hope will help, but at least with this one it’s easy enough to see the connection.

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