Tag Archives: Election 2016

That’s a lot of mail ballots

Posted on June 9, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

The new County Clerk isn’t messing around. Harris County this week sent mail ballot applications for the July primary runoff to every voter 65 and older, interim County Clerk Christopher Hollins announced. The move comes as Harris County is preparing … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Chris Hollins, Commissioners Court, coronavirus, Diane Trautman, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Harris County Clerk, Paul Bettencourt, primaries, runoff, Texas, turnout | 4 Comments

PPP: Trump 48, Biden 48

Posted on June 6, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

You want polls, we got polls. In a Texas survey done for the Texas Democratic Party, we found Joe Biden and Donald Trump tied in the state at 48. Only 46% of voters approve of the job Trump is doing … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2020, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, polls, President, Texas | 3 Comments

Runoff reminder: Statewide

Posted on June 3, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

As I said in the interview posts for SD14, I’m going to revisit the runoff races of interest ahead of early voting. It’s been awhile since we’ve really paid attention to a lot of these folks, what limited news there … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Chrysta Castaneda, Democratic primary, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, endorsements, fundraising, Joe Biden, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Railroad Commission, Robert Alonzo, Royce West, runoff, Ryan Sitton, Senate, Texas | 1 Comment

More people are requesting mail ballots

Posted on May 30, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

It’s a trickle and not a flood so far, but I suspect that will change as we get closer to Novemner. The legal status of mail-in voting for virus-related reasons has gone back and forth — earlier this month, one … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Bexar County, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, lawsuit, primaries, runoff, Texas, turnout, voter registration | Comments Off

Democracy Toolbox (PPP): Biden 47, Trump 46

Posted on April 30, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

From the inbox: A new Texas poll shows former Vice President Joe Biden up by one percentage point over President Donald Trump and also provides insights into Texans’ concerns about voting during the COVID-19 outbreak. The poll was commissioned by … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged absentee ballots, coronavirus, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2020, Greg Abbott, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, polls, President, Texas | 19 Comments

UT/Trib: Trump 49, Biden 44

Posted on April 26, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Our first post-primary poll. Donald Trump would beat Joe Biden by five points in Texas if the presidential race were held now, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll. In a Trump-Biden contest, Democratic and Republican voters overwhelmingly … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Congress, Democratic primary, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Governor, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, polls, President, Senate, Texas, The Lege, Wendy Davis | 17 Comments

Does getting to 40% make you likely to win the runoff?

Posted on March 15, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I was talking with some fellow political nerds last week, and one of the topics was the forthcoming runoffs. As is usually the case, this year we have some runoffs between candidates who finished fairly close together in round one, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Akilah Bacy, Al Edwards, Alexandra Smoots-Hogan, Anna Eastman, Borris Miles, Candace Valenzuela, CD03, CD10, CD13, CD15, CD17, CD23, CD24, CD27, CD31, CD32, CD34, Cheryl Elliott Thornton, Congress, David Jaramillo, Democratic primary, Eddie Lucio, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gabby Garcia, Governor, Greg Sagan, Gus Trujillo, Harold Dutton, HD105, HD109, HD119, HD133, HD137, HD138, HD142, HD146, HD148, HD27, HD37, HD42, HD45, HD47, HD64, HD76, HD95, Helen Delgadillo, Jenifer Pool, Jennifer Ramos, Jerry Davis, judicial races, Kim Olson, Kimberly McLeod, Lite Gov, Liz Campos, Lulu Seikaly, Michelle Palmer, Mike Siegel, Penny Shaw, Pritash Gandhi, Railroad Commission, Rick Kennedy, Roland Gutierrez, Sara Stapleton-Barrera, SBOE, SD17, SD19, SD27, Sean McCaffity, Senate, Texas, The Lege, Xochil Peña Rodriguez | 1 Comment

Let’s talk turnout

Posted on March 11, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Just a few random bits and pieces about turnout from the primaries. On the one hand, I think it’s great that Dems got the turnout that we did, in Harris County and around the state. On the other hand, I … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Amy Klobuchar, Bernie Sanders, Bexar County, Brazoria County, Collin County, Dallas County, Democratic primary, Denton County, early voting, El Paso, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elizabeth Warren, Fort Bend County, Harris County, Hidalgo County, Joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg, Montgomery County, Pete Buttigieg, President, primaries, Tarrant County, Texas, Travis County, turnout, Williamson County | Comments Off

Trautman apologizes for the long lines

Posted on March 7, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

A very good start. Harris County Clerk Diane Trautman is taking “full responsibility” for the long lines and wait times that bogged down election night voting and forced some voters to wait more than six hours to cast their ballots. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Democratic primary, Diane Trautman, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Harris County Clerk, Texas, turnout | 6 Comments

Primary early voting: Comparing 2020 to 2016

Posted on March 2, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

The Chron looks into the early voting numbers around the state. Experts cautioned that early voting data should be taken with a grain of salt — for one because the subset of people who vote early aren’t necessarily representative of … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Bell County, Bexar County, Brazoria County, Brazos County, Collin County, Comal County, Dallas County, Democratic primary, Denton County, early voting, El Paso, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Fort Bend County, Galveston, Guadalupe County, Harris County, Hays County, Hidalgo County, Lubbock, McLennan County, Montgomery County, Nueces County, primaries, Tarrant County, Texas, Travis County, turnout, Williamson County | 1 Comment

Final 2020 primary early voting report: “Healthy but not historic”

Posted on March 1, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Sounds about right. Democratic primary voters surged to the polls in Harris County on Friday, surpassing turnout from 2016 but falling well short of their record-setting performance in 2008. Republican primary voters, meanwhile, turned out in larger-than-expected numbers thanks to … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Democratic primary, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, primaries, Texas, turnout | 2 Comments

2020 Primary Early Voting, Day Ten: Come hell or high water

Posted on February 28, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Yesterday was quite the day, wasn’t it? People did still vote, which is nice. Here’s the Day Ten report for 2020, and here are the totals from 2012, 2016, and 2018. The totals after Day Ten: Year Mail Early Total … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Democratic primary, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Houston, primaries, Texas, turnout | 1 Comment

2020 Primary Early Voting, Day Nine

Posted on February 27, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Getting close to the finish line here. Two more days of early voting to go. Here’s the Day Nine report for 2020, and here are the totals from 2012, 2016, and 2018. The totals after Day Four: Year Mail Early … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Democratic primary, early voting, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, primaries, Texas, turnout | Comments Off

What is “safe”?

Posted on February 26, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Saw this on Twitter, and it got me thinking: For those upset about critique of establishment politics: There are D reps in SAFE blue seats who side w/ the NRA, are anti-LGBT+, and yet are protected because they advance the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD28, Congress, Democratic primary, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Henry Cuellar, Hillary Clinton, Jessica Cisneros, Kirk Watson, precinct analysis, President, SD14, Senate, Texas | 2 Comments

2020 Primary Early Voting, Day Eight: It starts to turn upward

Posted on February 26, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Here’s the Day Eight report for 2020, and here are the totals from 2012, 2016, and 2018. The totals after Day Four: Year Mail Early Total ============================== 2012 5,695 16,671 22,366 2016 10,970 34,419 45,389 2018 12,914 36,185 49,099 2020 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Democratic primary, early voting, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, primaries, Texas, turnout | 4 Comments

Who will carry the flag in CD31?

Posted on February 25, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

This primary interests me mostly to see if we can get a truly viable challenger in this district or not. No one person has emerged yet, that’s for sure. Democrats who want to be Republican U.S. Rep. John Carter’s challenger … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged CD31, Christine Eady Mann, Congress, Dan Jangigian, Democratic primary, Donna Imam, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Eric Hanke, fundraising, John Carter, MJ Hegar, Tammy Young, Texas, Williamson County | Comments Off

2020 Primary Early Voting, Day Seven

Posted on February 25, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

And we’re back at it. Here’s the Day Seven report for 2020, and here are the totals from 2012, 2016, and 2018. The totals after Day Four: Year Mail Early Total ============================== 2012 5,609 14,063 19,672 2016 10,180 28,367 38,547 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Democratic primary, early voting, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, primaries, Texas, turnout | Comments Off

2020 Primary Early Voting, Day Six: On to Week Two

Posted on February 24, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

We’re back from the weekend, where the only votes tallied are in-person. We have five more days of early voting to go. Here’s the Day Six report for 2020, and here are the totals from 2012, 2016, and 2018. The … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Democratic primary, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, primaries, Texas, turnout | 2 Comments

Trib overview of the CD10 primary

Posted on February 23, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I have three things to say about this. When Mike Siegel made a long-shot bid to unseat U.S. Rep. Michael McCaul, R-Austin, two years ago, few were watching — until he surprised political observers and came within 5 points of … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged CD10, Congress, DCCC, Democratic primary, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, Harris County, Lloyd Doggett, Mike McCaul, Mike Siegel, Pritash Gandhi, redistricting, Shannon Hutcheson, Texas, Travis County | 2 Comments

2020 Primary Early Voting, Day Four: First Friday

Posted on February 22, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

We are at the end of the first business week, shortened by the holiday on Monday. It’s been a brisk week, especially compared to other years, but there should be a lot more to come. Here’s the Day Four report … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Democratic primary, early voting, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, primaries, Texas, turnout | Comments Off

Chron overview of Tax Assessor race

Posted on February 21, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I wasn’t expecting an interesting race here, at least not going into the filing season, but we have one. Harris County Tax Assessor-Collector Ann Harris Bennett is familiar with elections, appearing on the ballot five times in the last six … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Ann Harris Bennett, Democratic primary, Election 2016, Election 2020, Harris County, Harris County Tax Assessor, Jolanda Jones, Mike Sullivan, Secretary of State, voter registration | 4 Comments

2020 Primary Early Voting, Day Three: Midweek meandering

Posted on February 21, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I don’t have any clever openings today, so once again let’s just jump right in. Here’s the Day Three report for 2020, and here are the totals from 2012, 2016, and 2018. The totals after Day Three: Year Mail Early … Continue reading →

2020 Primary Early Voting, Day Two: In for the long haul

Posted on February 20, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Let’s jump right in. Here’s the Day Two report for 2020, and here are the totals from 2012, 2016, and 2018. As of Day One from those years : Year Mail Early Total ============================== 2012 5,100 3,035 8,135 2016 7,191 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Democratic primary, early voting, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, primaries | Comments Off

2020 Primary Early Voting, Day One: Off to a quick start

Posted on February 19, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

And we’re off. On an overcast and drizzly day in much of Texas, early voting for the 2020 primary elections in some of the state’s most populous counties was up over turnout four years ago, despite warnings by political watchers … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Democratic primary, early voting, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, primaries, Texas, turnout | 4 Comments

Five questions for the primary

Posted on February 18, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Five questions I thought of, anyway. With my own answers, some of which are admittedly on the weaselish side. Feel free to discuss/disagree/ask your own questions/etc. 1. What kind of turnout are we going to have? The short answer is … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Bernie Sanders, Congress, David Dewhurst, Democratic primary, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Harris County, Joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg, polls, President, primaries, Railroad Commission, Republican Party, runoff, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout | 15 Comments

2020 Primary Early Voting begins today

Posted on February 18, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

We don’t have a long primary season in Texas – the filing deadline was barely two months ago, though to be sure some candidates have been running for much longer than that – and the first part of it is … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Brazoria County, Democratic primary, Diane Trautman, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Fort Bend County, Galveston, Harris County, Harris County Clerk, Korean American Voters League, Montgomery County, primaries, Stan Stanart, Texas, turnout, Waller County | 1 Comment

What is happening in the CD22 primary?

Posted on February 14, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Holy smokes. A state district judge on Wednesday barred Democratic congressional candidate Nyanza Moore from making domestic violence allegations against opponent Derrick Reed after the former Pearland councilman sued her for defamation. Brazoria County Judge Patrick Sebesta issued a temporary … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, Legal matters | Tagged CD22, Congress, Democratic primary, Derrick Reed, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Facebook, lawsuit, Nyanza Moore, Texas | 4 Comments

A look at the other SBOE races of interest

Posted on February 9, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

There are three races in the State Board of Education that Democrats have a shot to flip based on recent election results. We are pretty familiar with SBOE6, so let’s take a look at districts 5 and 10. The Statesman … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barbara Cargill, Democratic primary, Donna Bahorich, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Inga Cotton, Ken Mercer, Lani Popp, Lawrence Allen, Leticia Bresnahan, Marsha Burnett-Webster, primaries, Rebecca Bell-Metereau, redistricting, Robert Morrow, Ruben Cortez, SBOE, Stephen Wyman, straight ticket voting, Texas, Tom Maynard | 2 Comments

Chron overview of HD134

Posted on January 28, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Is this the year Sarah Davis loses? That’s the question. The March primaries are weeks away, but the first question at a recent forum for the three Democrats running to unseat state Rep. Sarah Davis centered on November: “How do … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Ann Johnson, CD17, Chet Edwards, Christi Craddick, Democratic primary, Ed Emmett, Election 2010, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Ellen Cohen, Glenn Hegar, Greg Abbott, HD134, Joi Chevalier, Lanny Bose, Lina Hidalgo, precinct analysis, Roman McAllen, Ruby Powers, Sarah Davis, Texas, The Lege | 3 Comments

Looking ahead in CD07

Posted on January 24, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

This story is primarily about the Republican primary in CD07. I don’t care about that race or those candidates, but there’s some good stuff at the end that I wanted to comment on. Since she’s taken office, some Houston Republicans … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD07, CD10, CD22, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Hillary Clinton, Jason Westin, John Culberson, Lizzie FLetcher, Mitt Romney, President, redistricting, Texas | 7 Comments

Speaking of voter registration

Posted on January 23, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

The Chron notes the latest milestone. For the first time in history, Texas has topped 16 million registered voters and is adding voters faster than its population grows heading into the 2020 presidential election. With the voter registration deadline for … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Battleground Texas, demography, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, electronic signatures, Fair Fight, Harris County, Jolt Initiative, Texas, turnout, voter registration | 1 Comment

After-deadline filing review: Fort Bend County

Posted on January 11, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Fort Bend County had a big Democratic breakthrough in 2018 (though the gains weren’t fully realized, as some Republican incumbents were not challenged), but you could have seen it coming in 2016, when Hillary Clinton carried the county by almost … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Albert Tibbs, Andy Meyers, Bridgette Smith-Lawson, Carmen Turner, CD22, Commissioners Court, Congress, County Attorney, David Hunter, Democratic primary, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Eric Fagan, filing deadline, Fort Bend County, Geneane Hughes, HCC, Holland Jones, Hope Martin, Jennifer Cantu, Jesse Torres, Ken DeMerchant, KP George, Lynette Reddix, Neeta Sane, Patsy Schultz, Republican Party, Richard Morrison, Roy Cordes, Sheriff, Sonia Rash, Steve Rogers, Tax Assessor, Texas, Trever Nehls, Troy Nehls, Vincent Morales | Comments Off

A view of Texas and polling

Posted on January 5, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

The premise of this is sound, but don’t read too much into it. In Texas, the nation’s biggest, most important red state, Trump’s disapproval rating has consistently lagged behind many of the 30 states he carried in 2016. This potentially … Continue reading →

Posted in The making of the President | Tagged Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2020, polls, President, Texas | Comments Off

Julian Castro ends his Presidential bid

Posted on January 3, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Sorry to see him go. Julián Castro has ended his campaign for the Democratic nomination for president, capping a nearly yearlong bid during which he distinguished himself as a progressive crusader but never found the polling or fundraising support to … Continue reading →

Posted in The making of the President | Tagged Democratic primary, Election 2016, Election 2020, Election 2022, Governor, Julian Castro, President, Texas, Vice President | 1 Comment

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