Tag Archives: redistricting

Another look at how redistricting may go

Posted on February 27, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

RG Ratcliffe analyzes the geographic and political realities the Republicans face as they try to maximize their haul from the 2021 reapportionment. Rick Perry famously called West Texas—a sparse land with few trees or humans—the Big Empty. The 92,016 square … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged CD02, CD07, CD10, CD11, CD13, CD19, CD21, CD23, CD32, Census, Collin County, Congress, demography, Denton County, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Lloyd Potter, redistricting, Texas, Texas State Demographer, The Lege, Travis County | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: Fort Bend County, part 3

Posted on February 17, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions Appellate courts, Part 1 Appellate courts, Part 2 Judicial averages Other cities District Attorney County Attorney Sheriff Tax Assessor County Clerk HCDE Fort … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Bridgette Smith-Lawson, Carmen Turner, CD09, CD22, Commissioners Court, County Attorney, Election 2020, Election 2024, Eric Fagan, Fort Bend County, HD26, HD27, HD28, HD85, precinct analysis, redistricting, Sheriff, Tax Assessor, Texas, Vincent Morales | Comments Off

We’re not going to be able to have our primaries in March

Posted on February 14, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

That’s the obvious conclusion from this. Texas lawmakers will almost certainly be back for a rare special legislative session in the fall now that the U.S. Census Bureau has set a September deadline for releasing the 2020 census results. Facing … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022, National news, That's our Lege | Tagged Census, Congress, coronavirus, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2022, lawsuit, primaries, redistricting, Senate, special session, Texas, The Lege | 5 Comments

Republicans have their own Congressional targets for 2022

Posted on February 12, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

I have three things to say about this. Fresh off a 2020 election cycle in which they held the line against an ambitious Democratic campaign to capture U.S. House seats in Texas, national Republicans are signaling they’ll go on the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Beth van Duyne, CD07, CD15, CD24, CD28, CD32, CD34, Colin Allred, Congress, DCCC, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Filemon Vela, Henry Cuellar, Lizzie FLetcher, NRCC, redistricting, Texas, Vicente Gonzalez | 12 Comments

Appellate court redistricting

Posted on February 10, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

We’ll need to keep an eye on this. Justices on the state’s 14 intermediate appellate courts are talking—some are concerned—about a pair of bills filed in the Texas Legislature that propose redistricting the courts’ boundaries. House Bill 339 by Rep. … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged 14th Court of Appeals, Bonnie Sudderth, Election 2018, Election 2020, First Court of Appeals, Joan Huffman, Phil King, redistricting, Senate, Texans for Lawsuit Reform, Texas, Texas Office of Court Administration, The Lege, Third Court of Appeals | 6 Comments

Precinct analysis: Fort Bend County, part 1

Posted on February 1, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged CD09, CD22, Chrysta Castaneda, Commissioners Court, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2004, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elizabeth Markowitz, Fort Bend County, Gary Gates, George Bush, Harris County, HD26, HD27, HD28, HD85, Jacey Jetton, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Ken DeMerchant, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Richard Morrison, Sarah DeMerchant, Senate, Sri Kulkarni, straight ticket voting, Texas, The Lege, Troy Nehls | Comments Off

It’ll be awhile before redistricting happens

Posted on January 31, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

They’re waiting on Census data. The U.S. Census Bureau has again pushed back the release of the 2020 census results — a delay that will almost certainly force Texas lawmakers into legislative overtime this summer to redraw the state’s political … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022, National news, That's our Lege | Tagged Census, Congress, Dade Phelan, Election 2012, Election 2022, lawsuit, primaries, redistricting, Senate, special session, Texas, The Lege | 3 Comments

A few words from Rep. Filemon Vela

Posted on January 27, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Worth your consideration. U.S. Rep. Filemón Vela sees his new leadership role in the Democrats’ national campaign arm as being “the voice of caution, reason and taking the middle ground” as the party seeks to hold power through the 2022 … Continue reading →

Posted in Show Business for Ugly People | Tagged CD34, Congress, DNC, Donald Trump, Election 2020, Filemon Vela, Joe Biden, redistricting, Texas | Comments Off

Census apportionment shenanigans to be officially curtailed

Posted on January 21, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

As it should be. The Trump administration’s protracted efforts to keep some immigrants from being counted when congressional seats are divvied up after the 2020 census ended with the former president’s departure from the White House, but President Joe Biden’s … Continue reading →

Posted in National news, That's our Lege | Tagged Census, Congress, coronavirus, Donald Trump, Election 2020, Joan Huffman, Joe Biden, Legislative Redistricting Board, redistricting, Texas, Texas Civil Rights Project, The Lege | Comments Off

If we’re lucky, Congress will short circuit the Lege’s attempts to curtail voting

Posted on January 20, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

That would be nice. Elections have consequences. So does the Republican enabling of the worst, most corrupt chief executive in the nation’s history. Hence, the first piece of legislation to be introduced in the new Democratic Senate will be S. 1, The for the … Continue reading →

Posted in National news | Tagged absentee ballots, Congress, Joe Biden, redistricting, Senate, Texas, The Lege, voter registration, Voting Rights Act | 17 Comments

Precinct analysis: Presidential results by Congressional district

Posted on January 18, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

From Daily Kos Elections, the breakdown of how Presidential voting went in each of Texas’ 36 Congressional districts: Two districts did in fact flip on the presidential level: Trump lost the 24th District in the Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs while recapturing … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD15, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD28, CD31, CD32, CD34, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Filemon Vela, Henry Cuellar, Hillary Clinton, Jessica Cisneros, Joe Biden, Mitt Romney, precinct analysis, President, redistricting, Texas, Vicente Gonzalez | 3 Comments

Legislative diversity report 2021

Posted on January 17, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

It’s a tiny bit more diverse, but not by much. In a perennial takeaway of The Texas Tribune’s demographic analysis, the Texas Legislature remains mostly white and male. When the 2021 legislative session begins Tuesday, 3 of every 5 lawmakers … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged Ann Johnson, Art Fierro, diversity, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gina Calanni, Joe Pickett, Kirk Watson, Rebecca Bell-Metereau, redistricting, Sarah Eckhardt, SBOE, Senate, Texas, The Lege | 19 Comments

House adopts its rules

Posted on January 15, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Here you go. The Texas House unanimously adopted rules Thursday that will require members to wear masks in the chamber and during committee hearings and allow them to cast votes on legislation from outside the House floor. But the chamber … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged Briscoe Cain, Bryan Slaton, coronavirus, Election 2020, face masks, redistricting, Senate, Texas, The Lege, Todd Hunter | Comments Off

The Republican war against Harris County

Posted on January 9, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

To be fair, it’s not just Harris County that’s in the crosshairs, it’s the big urban counties, and cities in general. But it’s real and it’s dangerous and it’s anti-democratic. Republicans in the Texas Legislature are gearing up to bar … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged absentee ballots, Bexar County, Dallas County, Dennis Bonnen, Donald Trump, El Paso, Election 2020, Election 2022, Fort Bend County, Greg Abbott, Harris County, HCDE, Houston, Jared Patterson, judicial races, local control, Paul Bettencourt, redistricting, secession, Steve Toth, Texas, Travis County, Valoree Swanson | 7 Comments

Census Bureau will miss deadline that would allow for apportionment shenanigans

Posted on January 2, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Good. The Census Bureau will miss a year-end deadline for handing in numbers used for divvying up congressional seats, a delay that could undermine President Donald Trump’s efforts to exclude people in the country illegally from the count if the … Continue reading →

Posted in National news | Tagged Census, Commerce Department, coronavirus, Donald Trump, Election 2020, immigration, Joe Biden, lawsuit, redistricting, SCOTUS | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: The judicial averages

Posted on December 28, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions Appellate courts, Part 1 Appellate courts, Part 2 As you know, I use the average totals and percentages from local judicial races as … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, CD07, Commissioners Court, Constable, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Harris County, HD132, HD134, HD135, HD138, HD144, Jon Rosenthal, judicial races, Justice of the Peace, Kristen Hawkins, Lizzie FLetcher, Michael Gomez, precinct analysis, redistricting, Russ Ridgway, straight ticket voting, Ted Heap, Texas, turnout | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: Appellate courts, part 1

Posted on December 22, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions My next two posts in this series will focus on the 1st and 14th Courts of Appeals. These courts are a little strange … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged 14th Court of Appeals, Amparo Guerra, Austin County, Brazoria County, Burleson County, Chambers County, Colorado County, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, First Court of Appeals, Fort Bend County, Galveston, Grimes County, Harris County, Jane Robinson, Jim Sharp, judicial races, precinct analysis, President, redistricting, Terry Adams, Texas, The Lege, Tracy Christopher, Trinity County, turnout, Veronica Rivas-Molloy, Walker County, Waller County, Washington County | 1 Comment

SCOTUS mostly punts on Census apportionment shenanigans

Posted on December 22, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

They seem to be hoping that the problem will solve itself, while applying a partisan litmus test to when it is appropriate for them to step in. The Supreme Court dismissed a challenge to Donald Trump’s final sabotage of the … Continue reading →

Posted in Legal matters, National news | Tagged California, Census, Commerce Department, coronavirus, Donald Trump, Election 2020, immigration, Joe Biden, lawsuit, redistricting, SCOTUS, Texas | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: Other jurisdictions

Posted on December 21, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial You may be wondering “Hey, how come you haven’t reported on data from SBOE and State Senate districts?” Well, I’ll tell you, since the SBOE … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Audrey Young, Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Court of Criminal Appeals, Dan Patrick, David Romero, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Houston, Joe Biden, judicial races, Lawrence Allen, Michelle Palmer, Paul Bettencourt, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, SBOE, SD07, SD17, Senate, Supreme Court, Texas | 5 Comments

Precinct analysis: Commissioners Court and JP/Constable precincts

Posted on December 10, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts We now zoom in for a look at various county districts, which are also called “precincts”. I don’t know why we have County Commissioner precincts and JP/Constable precincts to go along with regular voting … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Beto O'Rourke, Chrysta Castaneda, Commissioners Court, Constable, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Israel Garcia, Jack Morman, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Justice of the Peace, Laryssa Korduba, Mark Alan Harrison, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Russ Ridgway, Senate, Ted Heap, Texas, Tom Ramsey | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: State Rep districts

Posted on December 9, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts We move now to State Rep districts, which is my usual currency since they provide complete coverage of the county with no partial pieces. You can also get a much more nuanced view of how things have … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Chrysta Castaneda, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, HD126, HD127, HD128, HD129, HD130, HD131, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD137, HD138, HD139, HD140, HD141, HD142, HD143, HD144, HD145, HD146, HD147, HD148, HD149, HD150, Hubert Vo, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Mary Ann Perez, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Sarah Davis, Senate, Texas, The Lege | 3 Comments

Precinct analysis: Congressional districts

Posted on December 8, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction All right, let’s get this party started. In the past I’ve generally done the top races by themselves, but any race involving Trump provides challenges, because his level of support just varies in comparison to other Republicans depending on … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged CD02, CD07, CD08, CD09, CD10, CD18, CD22, CD29, CD36, Chrysta Castaneda, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Lizzie FLetcher, Mike McCaul, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Senate, Sheila Jackson Lee, Sima Ladjevardian, Sylvia Garcia, Texas, Wendell Champion, Wesley Hunt | 5 Comments

2020 precinct analysis: Introduction and overview

Posted on December 7, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

So I finally got a full canvass of the 2020 election in a nice and convenient spreadsheet form. I spent a fair amount of the Thanksgiving week doing what I usually do with it, to generate totals for all of … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2019 | Tagged Commissioners Court, Congress, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Harris County, judicial races, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, SBOE, Senate, Supreme Court, Texas, The Lege | 8 Comments

Will we get redistricting hearings?

Posted on December 7, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Please? Voting groups in Texas want lawmakers to open up the state’s redistricting process to the public before they redraw political boundaries next year. Public hearings are aimed at giving communities input in the process. But since the pandemic, those … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged coronavirus, League of Women Voters, redistricting, Senate, Texas, The Lege, Voting Rights Act | 1 Comment

More 2022 speculation

Posted on December 4, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

From Campos: I was watching “What’s Your Point” yesterday and the 2022 election was brought up. Rice University political scientist Mark Jones said Harris County Judge Lina Hidalgo would face an opponent in the Democratic Primary. My friend Bill King … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Annise Parker, Bill King, Commissioners Court, Democratic primary, Ed Emmett, Election 2018, Election 2022, Harris County, Lina Hidalgo, redistricting, Texas | 2 Comments

So now we start to prep for redistricting

Posted on November 29, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

It’s gonna make for a long session, or more likely sessions. Wielding the map-drawing power will not be entirely painless for Republicans, who have seen their grip on dozens of state and federal districts erode since the last round of … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged Congress, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, filing deadline, HD102, HD105, HD107, HD108, HD112, HD113, HD114, HD115, HD121, HD126, HD132, HD134, HD135, HD136, HD138, HD26, HD43, HD45, HD47, HD54, HD65, HD67, HD92, HD93, HD94, HD96, HD97, HF64, lawsuit, Legislative Redistricting Board, primaries, redistricting, SBOE, Senate, special session, Texas, The Lege, Voting Rights Act | 5 Comments

We might get better Census apportionment data

Posted on November 24, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Some good news. The Census Bureau has identified issues in the data from the 2020 decennial census that will take an additional 20 days or so for it to fix, and thus delay the release of survey’s apportionment data until … Continue reading →

Posted in National news | Tagged Census, Commerce Department, coronavirus, Donald Trump, Election 2020, immigration, Joe Biden, lawsuit, redistricting, SCOTUS | 1 Comment

More early data from State Rep districts

Posted on November 11, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

From Derek Ryan on Twitter: . President Trump won House District 74, a Democrat-held district in West Texas along the border, with 53.1%. He also won House District 31, a Democrat-held district in South Texas with 56.2%. — Derek Ryan … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Abel Herrero, Cameron County, Donald Trump, Eddie Morales, Election 2004, Election 2020, Election 2022, George Bush, HD134, HD31, HD34, HD43, HD74, Hidalgo County, Joe Biden, Nueces County, precinct analysis, redistricting, Ryan Guillen, Sarah Davis, Texas, The Lege | 3 Comments

Looking ahead to 2022

Posted on November 10, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Continuing with the brain dumps, which are my post-election tradition. This is a collection of thoughts about the next big election, in 2022. As I said earlier, I take no position on the question of what effect the disparity in … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, Election 2022 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Cecile Richards, Congress, Democratic primary, Donald Trump, Election 2020, Election 2022, Governor, Harris County, Harris County Judge, Joe Biden, judicial races, Julian Castro, Lina Hidalgo, Lite Gov, marijuana, Medicaid, Mitch McConnell, President, primaries, redistricting, Texas, The Lege, turnout, voter registration | 6 Comments

It’s a range, not a number

Posted on November 9, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I don’t have full canvass data yet, but as I have said, I have Presidential data courtesy of Greg Wythe. Here are a couple of districts of interest: Dist Biden Trump Biden% Trump% ========================================= CD02 170,707 178,840 48.1% 50.0% CD07 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD18, Commissioners Court, Congress, Constable, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD138, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Justice of the Peace, precinct analysis, President, redistricting, SBOE, Senate, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

A comparison to 2012

Posted on November 8, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

A lot of the takes on this election – and I’m guilty of this, too – involve comparisons to 2016 and 2018. That’s fair – those are the most recent elections, the only other elections that involve Trump, the patterns … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Fort Bend County, Harris County, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Mitt Romney, President, redistricting, SBOE, Senate, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

Tarrant County has gone (tentatively) blue

Posted on November 6, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

At the Presidential level, with votes still being counted. Though President Donald Trump has been declared the winner in Texas, former Vice President Joe Biden has taken the lead with the latest results in Tarrant County. Biden had a 427 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged absentee ballots, Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Joe Biden, President, provisional ballots, redistricting, Sheriff, Tarrant County, Texas, The Lege, turnout | 1 Comment

Initial thoughts about the election

Posted on November 5, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

And now for some reactions and analysis… – The polls were garbage. Oy vey. Not just here, though they were definitely off here, underestimating Trump and the Republicans after doing the same to Beto and the Dems in 2018. This … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Beto O'Rourke, CD02, Chrysta Castaneda, Commissioners Court, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Donald Trump, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, Grady Yarbrough, Greg Abbott, Harris County, HCDE, HD108, HD112, HD126, HD127, HD128, HD129, HD130, HD132, HD133, HD135, HD138, HD150, Jack Morman, Jane Bland, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, judicial races, Latino voting, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Senate, straight ticket voting, Supreme Court, Texas, The Lege, Tom Ramsey, turnout, voter registration, Wendy Davis | 8 Comments

Omnibus Election Day post

Posted on November 4, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I was up really late last night, and there’s still a lot of votes to be counted. The SOS website was mostly trash, but a lot of county election sites took their sweet, sweet time even reporting any Election Day … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Angie Chen Button, Ann Johnson, Brandy Chambers, CD23, Commissioners Court, Congress, Constable, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Eric Fagan, Fort Bend County, Gina Calanni, Gina Ortiz Jones, Harris County, HCDE, HD108, HD112, HD132, HD134, HD135, HD138, Israel Garcia, Joanna Cattanach, Jon Rosenthal, judicial races, Justice of the Peace, Latino voting, Michael Moore, Mike Schofield, Morgan Meyer, Pete Flores, polls, President, Rebecca Bell-Metereau, redistricting, Roland Gutierrez, Russ Ridgway, Sarah Davis, SBOE, SD19, Senate, Sheriff, straight ticket voting, Ted Heap, Texas, The Lege, Tom Ramsey, Tony Gonzales, turnout | 16 Comments

Tag Archives: redistricting

Calendar

Categories

Archives

My linkage

Polling Texas 2020

Polling Texas 2018

Polling Texas 2016

Polling Texas 2014

Polling Texas 2012

Recent Posts

Recent Comments

Tags

Blogroll

Utilities