Tag Archives: Election 2004

A brief history of May elections in Harris County

Posted on April 22, 2024 by Charles Kuffner

As previously noted, early voting begins today for the special HCAD and SD15 elections. I have said before that we are not used to voting in May in Harris County and that because of that and because of the annoyingly … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2024 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Bill White, constitutional amendments, Ed Gonzalez, Election 2004, Election 2007, Election 2009, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2017, Election 2018, Election 2024, Harris County, Harris County Appraisal District, HCAD, HD139, HISD, Houston, Houston City Council, Jarvis Johnson, Larry Green, Martha Castex-Tatum, Melissa Noriega, recapture, runoff, SD04, SD15, Shelley Sekula Gibbs, special election, Sylvester Turner, Texas, The Lege, turnout | 3 Comments

Final 2024 Primary Early Voting totals

Posted on March 3, 2024 by Charles Kuffner

Off we go to Primary Day. Year Mail Early Total ============================== 2012 7,735 30,142 37,877 2016 13,034 72,782 85,816 2020 22,785 116,748 139,533 2024 14,661 87,591 102,252 2012 17,734 60,347 78,081 2016 20,780 110,365 131,145 2020 22,801 82,108 104,909 2024 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2024 | Tagged absentee ballots, Democratic primary, early voting, Election 2002, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Harris County, primaries, Texas, turnout | 1 Comment

Any early thoughts about what primary turnout might look like?

Posted on February 20, 2024 by Charles Kuffner

Why yes I do, thanks for asking. The early indicators are that we are in for lower than usual turnout. With President Joe Biden facing only token opposition in the Democratic primary and Trump pulling away on the GOP side, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2024 | Tagged Democratic primary, Donald Trump, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Election 2024, Harris County, Joe Biden, President, primaries, Texas, turnout | 2 Comments

Time for another chat about voter registration and turnout

Posted on November 20, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

Let’s do it. Texas Democrats came away from Beto O’Rourke’s surprisingly narrow 2018 defeat to U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz with a simple plan: register to vote the millions of nonvoting Texans that demographics suggest lean Democrat and electoral victories will … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2024 | Tagged Battleground Texas, Beto O'Rourke, Election 2002, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Greg Abbott, Harris County, Swing Left 7, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout, voter registration | 6 Comments

How was there still an active lawsuit over the 2004 revenue cap referendum?

Posted on April 22, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

I am gobsmacked. The Texas Supreme Court on Friday struck down part of Houston’s revenue cap, creating the possibility that the city may have to comply with an even more stringent cap in the future. Elected officials in Houston long have blamed … Continue reading →

Posted in Legal matters | Tagged Annise Parker, Bill White, Bruce Hotze, budget, Election 2004, Houston, lawsuit, property taxes, revenue cap, Supreme Court, Sylvester Turner | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: Hidalgo versus Mealer

Posted on December 29, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

PREVIOUSLY Beto versus Abbott Beto versus the spread We’ve looked at the Governor’s race, in which Beto was the top Democratic performer. Now we’ll look at the next highest profile race, in which the result was a surprise to some … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Alexandra Mealer, Beto O'Rourke, Commissioners Court, Constable, Election 2004, Election 2012, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Election 2026, Governor, Harris County, Harris County Judge, judicial races, Justice of the Peace, Lina Hidalgo, precinct analysis, redistricting, Texas, write-in candidate | 6 Comments

State and county election result relationships: Tarrant County

Posted on December 12, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

In years past, Tarrant County was a pretty close bellwether for election results in the state of Texas. From 2004 through 2016, the closeness of their Presidential numbers with the statewide numbers was eerie. But since 2018 the talk has … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Election 2002, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Governor, Joe Biden, precinct analysis, President, Senate, Tarrant County, Texas, Wendy Davis | 2 Comments

Candidate who lost by 15 points files election contest

Posted on December 3, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Utterly ridiculous, and will hopefully be treated that way. A losing Republican candidate for the Texas House of Representatives is challenging his defeat and asking the Legislature to void the results of the election. Republican Mike May this week filed … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Christian Menefee, Dade Phelan, Dan Neil, Donna Howard, Election 2004, Election 2010, Election 2022, election contest, Election Day, Harris County, HD135, HD149, HD48, Hubert Vo, Jon Rosenthal, Mike May, Talmadge Heflin, Texas, The Lege | 1 Comment

State and county election result relationships, part 1: How Harris compares

Posted on October 18, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

I’ve been thinking a lot lately about the relationship between how statewide Democratic candidates do in Harris County versus how they do overall, and what that might tell us about the state of play in Harris County. Since I started … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Election 2002, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Governor, Harris County, polls, precinct analysis, President, Senate, Texas | 5 Comments

Filing update: More candidates than you can count

Posted on December 15, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

This headline and first paragraph are short by a couple of candidates. A dozen potential challengers to Harris County Judge Lina Hidalgo were among the scores who filed ahead of Monday’s deadline to run for county offices next year. […] … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Ahmad Hassan, Alexandra Mealer, Andrea Duhon, CD05, CD07, CD22, CD29, Commissioners Court, Congress, County Judge, Danielle Dick, Eddie Lucio, Election 1994, Election 1996, Election 2004, Election 2018, Election 2022, Eric Dick, Erica Davis, filing deadline, Fort Bend County, Georgia Provost, Georgina Perez, Grady Prestage, Harris County, Harris County Judge, Harris County Treasurer, HCDE, HD114, HD22, HD80, Jamie Jordan, Jefferson County, Joe Deshotel, John Bryant, John Turner, Jonathan Cocks, Joseph Trahan, Ken DeMerchant, Kevin Howard, KP George, Lina Hidalgo, Lizzie FLetcher, Maria Garcia, Martin Frost, Martina Dixon, Melissa Ortega, Pete Sessions, Randy Kubosh, redistricting, SBOE, SD08, SD27, Secretary of State, Senate, Sylvia Garcia, Tahir Javed, Texas, The Lege, Tracy King, Vidal Martinez | 1 Comment

Beto and South Texas

Posted on December 3, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Brace yourself for a lot of stories like this in the coming months. In the first days of his campaign for governor, Beto O’Rourke made a beeline to this southernmost corner of the state, saying it was no mistake he … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Bill Moody, Dori Garza, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Elizabeth Frizell, Governor, Greg Abbott, Hector Uribe, Hidalgo County, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, John Kerry, JR Molina, Latino voting, Leticia Van De Putte, Linda Yanez, Michele Petty, Senate, Steven Kirkland, Ted Cruz, Texas | 6 Comments

Betsy Price to run for Tarrant County Judge

Posted on June 13, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

I don’t usually pay much attention to county races outside the Houston area, but there are some points of interest to discuss about this. Outgoing Fort Worth Mayor Betsy Price is running for Tarrant County judge in 2022, attempting a … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Betsy Price, Collin County, County Judge, Denton County, Donald Trump, Election 2004, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Glen Whitley, Harris County, Joe Biden, judicial races, primaries, Senate, Tarrant County, Texas, Tim O'Hare, Zapata County | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: Fort Bend County, part 1

Posted on February 1, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions Appellate courts, Part 1 Appellate courts, Part 2 Judicial averages Other cities District Attorney County Attorney Sheriff Tax Assessor County Clerk HCDE I’ve … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged CD09, CD22, Chrysta Castaneda, Commissioners Court, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2004, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elizabeth Markowitz, Fort Bend County, Gary Gates, George Bush, Harris County, HD26, HD27, HD28, HD85, Jacey Jetton, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Ken DeMerchant, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Richard Morrison, Sarah DeMerchant, Senate, Sri Kulkarni, straight ticket voting, Texas, The Lege, Troy Nehls | Comments Off

More on the TDP 2020 audit

Posted on December 23, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I’m very much looking forward to seeing the final report, but I don’t have a clear idea of the objectives from this story. [Unsuccessful State House candidate Brandy Chambers’] election night confusion mirrors the second-guessing going on within the Texas … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Brandy Chambers, Chris Hollins, Donald Trump, Election 2004, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gilberto Hinojosa, Harris County, Jen Ramos, Joe Biden, Kendall Scudder, President, TDP, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: Appellate courts, part 1

Posted on December 22, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions My next two posts in this series will focus on the 1st and 14th Courts of Appeals. These courts are a little strange … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged 14th Court of Appeals, Amparo Guerra, Austin County, Brazoria County, Burleson County, Chambers County, Colorado County, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, First Court of Appeals, Fort Bend County, Galveston, Grimes County, Harris County, Jane Robinson, Jim Sharp, judicial races, precinct analysis, President, redistricting, Terry Adams, Texas, The Lege, Tracy Christopher, Trinity County, turnout, Veronica Rivas-Molloy, Walker County, Waller County, Washington County | 1 Comment

A closer look at county races, Part 2

Posted on November 17, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Part One is here. As before, this is about taking a closer look at the counties where Democrats made gains from 2016. Collin County: Our reach may have exceeded our grasp, but it’s important to note that progress was made. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Brazoria County, CD03, CD21, CD22, CD24, CD25, CD26, Collin County, Commissioners Court, Congress, Constable, Court of Criminal Appeals, Denton County, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Erin Zwiener, Hays County, HD106, HD33, HD45, HD63, HD64, HD65, HD66, HD67, HD70, HD89, judicial races, Justice of the Peace, President, Rebecca Bell-Metereau, SBOE, Sheriff, Supreme Court, Tax Assessor, Texas, The Lege | Comments Off

More early data from State Rep districts

Posted on November 11, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

From Derek Ryan on Twitter: . President Trump won House District 74, a Democrat-held district in West Texas along the border, with 53.1%. He also won House District 31, a Democrat-held district in South Texas with 56.2%. — Derek Ryan … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Abel Herrero, Cameron County, Donald Trump, Eddie Morales, Election 2004, Election 2020, Election 2022, George Bush, HD134, HD31, HD34, HD43, HD74, Hidalgo County, Joe Biden, Nueces County, precinct analysis, redistricting, Ryan Guillen, Sarah Davis, Texas, The Lege | 3 Comments

Initial thoughts about the election

Posted on November 5, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

And now for some reactions and analysis… – The polls were garbage. Oy vey. Not just here, though they were definitely off here, underestimating Trump and the Republicans after doing the same to Beto and the Dems in 2018. This … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Beto O'Rourke, CD02, Chrysta Castaneda, Commissioners Court, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Donald Trump, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, Grady Yarbrough, Greg Abbott, Harris County, HCDE, HD108, HD112, HD126, HD127, HD128, HD129, HD130, HD132, HD133, HD135, HD138, HD150, Jack Morman, Jane Bland, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, judicial races, Latino voting, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Senate, straight ticket voting, Supreme Court, Texas, The Lege, Tom Ramsey, turnout, voter registration, Wendy Davis | 8 Comments

Don’t expect any surprises in the judicial races

Posted on September 23, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

There’s a simple reason why the Democratic candidates and incumbents are expected to win all the judicial races in Harris County, as they did in 2016 and 2018. I’ll tell you why in a minute, but see if you can … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Hillary Clinton, judicial races, straight ticket voting, Texas, turnout, voter registration | 1 Comment

State appeals court rules (mostly) against Libertarians in filing fee lawsuit

Posted on September 11, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Here’s the story. It gets into the legal weeds, and I’m going to try my best to clear them out. A state appellate court this week upheld a 2019 law that extended a requirement that candidates pay a filing fee … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, Legal matters | Tagged 14th Court of Appeals, ballot application, Diane Trautman, Election 2004, Election 2020, filing fee, Green Party, Harris County, Harris County Clerk, lawsuit, Libertarian Party, Lina Hidalgo, Ralph Nader, Ruth Hughs, Secretary of State, The Lege | 8 Comments

As goes Tarrant, 2020 edition

Posted on August 23, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Hello, old friend. Shortly after Democrat Beto O’Rourke launched his campaign to unseat U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz in 2018, he made several visits to Tarrant County in North Texas to press the message that if he could flip this county, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Beverly Powell, CD06, CD24, Congress, demography, Donald Trump, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Joe Biden, Konni Burton, polls, President, redistricting, SD10, Senate, Tarrant County, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

The fifty percent challenge

Posted on July 5, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

An interesting point from Amy Walters. President Trump is at the most precarious political moment of his presidency. Or at least, the most precarious since the summer and fall of 2017 when, in the wake of Charlottesville, the failure to … Continue reading →

Posted in The making of the President | Tagged Donald Trump, Election 1992, Election 1996, Election 2000, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Green Party, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Libertarian Party, polls, President, Ralph Nader, Ross Perot, Texas, write-in candidate | 4 Comments

Look out! Here come the lady judges!

Posted on March 10, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Everybody scream! In Democratic judicial primaries last Tuesday, Dayna beat David, Jane trounced Jim, and Colleen got more support than John, David and Brennen combined. Is that all there was to it? Men have dominated Texas courts for decades. Now, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Bill McLeod, Darrell Jordan, Democratic primary, Election 2004, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Elizabeth Warren, Harris County, judicial races, Kyle Carter, Michael Gomez, Mike Engelhart, RK Sandill, Robert Johnson, Robert Schaffer, Texas, Texas Commission on Judicial Selection | 3 Comments

Five questions for the primary

Posted on February 18, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Five questions I thought of, anyway. With my own answers, some of which are admittedly on the weaselish side. Feel free to discuss/disagree/ask your own questions/etc. 1. What kind of turnout are we going to have? The short answer is … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Bernie Sanders, Congress, David Dewhurst, Democratic primary, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Harris County, Joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg, polls, President, primaries, Railroad Commission, Republican Party, runoff, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout | 15 Comments

City wins final judgment in revenue cap lawsuit

Posted on November 1, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Wow, is this ever a blast from the past. The city of Houston has prevailed in a lawsuit challenging the amount it can collect in property taxes, ending 14 years of litigation over a set of measures approved by voters … Continue reading →

Posted in Legal matters | Tagged Bill White, Election 2004, Houston, lawsuit, property taxes, revenue cap | Comments Off

The Harris County GOP thinks it can come back in 2020

Posted on September 10, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

They’re so adorable. Once a rock of Republican politics in Texas, Harris County has become nothing short of a nightmare for the GOP over the last four years as Hillary Clinton and Beto O’Rourke carried the county and Democrats dominated … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2002, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, George Bush, Harris County, HCDP, Hillary Clinton, John Kerry, judicial races, Paul Simpson, President, Republican Party, straight ticket voting, Texas, turnout | 6 Comments

Libertarians and Greens sue over the petition process for ballot access

Posted on July 14, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

We’ll see about this. Ahead of the 2020 election cycle, a group of Texans, along with a number of nonmajor political parties, have sued the secretary of state’s office, alleging that Texas election law discriminates against third-party and independent candidates … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, Legal matters | Tagged ballot access, Election 2004, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Governor, Green Party, lawsuit, Libertarian Party, Mark Miller, petitions, President, Ralph Nader, Texas, turnout | 3 Comments

How many contested judicial primaries should we expect?

Posted on June 30, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

We already know that we’re going to get primary challenges to at least one Democratic countywide officeholder, as County Attorney Vince Ryan has two challengers lining up against him, and DA Kim Ogg has at least one person who has … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Democratic primary, Election 2002, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2014, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, judicial races, primaries | 3 Comments

There sure was a lot of money spent on Congressional races in Texas

Posted on February 3, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

If we’re lucky, it will be the start of a trend. Never has Texas seen as much money spent on Congressional campaigns as it did in 2018. New campaign finance data shows that the state didn’t just beat its old … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Adrienne Bell, campaign finance reports, CD02, CD07, CD12, CD14, CD23, CD25, CD26, CD27, CD32, CD36, Colin Allred, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Dayna Steele, Election 2004, Election 2018, Election 2020, Eric Holguin, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, John Culberson, Julie Oliver, Kathaleen Wall, Linsey Fagan, Lizzie FLetcher, Pete Sessions, redistricting, Texas, Todd Litton, Tom DeLay, Vanessa Adia, Will Hurd | Comments Off

Trying again to primary Cuellar

Posted on January 14, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Good luck. It’s not going to be easy. A grass-roots Democratic group that helped power the upset victory of Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., has identified a Texas Democrat as its first target ahead of the 2020 congressional primaries — but … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Al Green, Beto O'Rourke, CD16, CD28, CD29, Chris Bell, Ciro Rodriguez, Congress, Craig Washington, Democratic primary, Election 1994, Election 1996, Election 2004, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gene Green, Greg Laughlin, Henry Cuellar, John Ratcliffe, Justice Democrats, Ralph Hall, Ron Paul, Sheila Jackson Lee, Silvestre Reyes, Texas | 1 Comment

On straight tickets and undervotes

Posted on November 25, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

As we know, straight ticket voting in Texas is now officially a thing of the past. It will not be an option in 2020, the next time there will be partisan elections. Thanks to the success of Democratic candidates in … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Election 2002, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, straight ticket voting, Texas, turnout | 3 Comments

Harris County 2018 voter registration numbers

Posted on September 9, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

From the inbox: Thank you Harris County Voter Registration Division and Harris County Volunteer Deputy Voter Registrars for your passion, dedication, and commitment in registering eligible voters! Current number registered: 2,291,037 Voters registered in 2017: 67,753 Voters registered in 2018: … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Ann Harris Bennett, Election 2002, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, Harris County Tax Assessor, Mike Sullivan, turnout, voter registration | 1 Comment

Stalking Sessions

Posted on August 4, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

It sure would be sweet to beat Pete. The man who engineered the 2010 Republican takeover of the House is racing to save himself in his own election this year — and he admits, in so many words, that President … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD32, Colin Allred, Congress, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2018, fundraising, Grier Raggio, Martin Frost, Pete Sessions, redistricting, Texas | Comments Off

Does primary turnout in a district predict the November result?

Posted on March 12, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Karl Rove would like you to think so. At the House level, Democrats hope to win three districts won by Hillary Clinton and now held by Republican incumbents, as well as some of the six seats opened up by GOP … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Congress, Dan Patrick, Democratic primary, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, primaries, Republican Party, Senate, Texas, The Lege, turnout | 4 Comments

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