Tag Archives: Lupe Valdez

Precinct analysis: How the 2022 Harris County State Rep candidates did versus the 2020 and 2018 results

Posted on November 28, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

I still don’t have a full canvass of Harris County, so I’m looking around to see what kind of analyses I can do in the meantime. For this post, I’m comparing how the candidates in the contested State Rep contests … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Alma Allen, Beto O'Rourke, Christina Morales, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Greg Abbott, Harris County, HD128, HD129, HD131, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD138, HD145, HD148, HD149, HD150, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Lupe Valdez, Mano DeAyala, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege | 1 Comment

On comparing counties from 2018 to 2022

Posted on November 19, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

I started with this. Voters in counties across Texas chose GOP leaders over Democrats at a higher rate than they did four years ago, a Dallas Morning News analysis shows. The findings, based on data as of noon on Wednesday, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Collin County, Dallas County, Dan Patrick, Denton County, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Governor, Greg Abbott, Ken Paxton, Lupe Valdez, precinct analysis, redistricting, Rockwall County, Tarrant County, Texas, The Lege, turnout | 1 Comment

Christopher Busby: The Case for Texas Democratic Optimism

Posted on November 17, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

(Note: The following is a guest post that was submitted to me. I occasionally solicit guest posts, and also occasionally accept them from people I trust.) The election came and went with a similar story. Texas Democrats just started to … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Election 2000, Election 2008, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, George Bush, Governor, Greg Abbott, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Lupe Valdez, President, Ted Cruz, Texas | 4 Comments

Some opening thoughts on the 2022 election

Posted on November 10, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Done in the traditional bullet-point style. There may or may not be a part 2 to this, depending on the usual factors. – Obviously the overall result was disappointing. It was harder to see a Beto victory this year from … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged absentee ballots, Alexandra Mealer, Beto O'Rourke, Bill White, Chris Bell, Commissioners Court, Election 2002, Election 2006, Election 2010, Election 2014, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Governor, Greg Abbott, Harris County, Harris County Judge, Jack Cagle, Joe Biden, Lesley Briones, Lina Hidalgo, Lupe Valdez, National Redistricting Action Fund, polls, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege, Tony Sanchez, turnout, Wendy Davis | 10 Comments

Marist: Abbott 49, Beto 45

Posted on October 13, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Another new pollster for this election. In the Texas governor’s race, Republican incumbent Governor Greg Abbott has a 4-point edge over Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke among registered voters statewide. However, Abbott’s advantage over O’Rourke doubles to 8 points among those … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Election 2018, Election 2022, Governor, Greg Abbott, Lupe Valdez, polls, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | Comments Off

Yeah, Greg Abbott has a ton of money

Posted on July 12, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

It’s the one thing he’s really good at. Gov. Greg Abbott is starting his 2022 reelection campaign with $55 million in the bank, a staggering figure even by the already high standards for which his fundraising is known. His campaign … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Allen West, Beto O'Rourke, Don Huffines, Election 2014, Election 2018, Election 2022, fundraising, Governor, Greg Abbott, Julian Castro, Lupe Valdez, primaries, Texas, Wendy Davis | 5 Comments

Yet another story about suburbs shifting away from Republicans

Posted on August 31, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Collect the whole set! Texas is currently experiencing two trends that are favorable to Democrats: increasing urbanization, and big demographic shifts. The Texas Tribune recently reported that Hispanics are expected to become the largest demographic group in the state by 2022, with … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, demography, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Greg Abbott, Hillary Clinton, Justin Nelson, Lupe Valdez, Mitt Romney, polls, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout, voter registration | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: 2018 Congress

Posted on March 20, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

The 2018 Congressional races were the most expensive, the most hotly and broadly contested, and by far the most attention-grabbing races in the non-Beto division. We hadn’t seen anything remotely like it since the 2004 DeLay re-redistricting year, but we … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD08, CD10, CD12, CD14, CD15, CD17, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD26, CD27, CD28, CD31, CD32, CD34, CD36, Colin Allred, Congress, Dayna Steele, DCCC, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, Joe Kopser, Justin Nelson, Kim Olson, Lizzie FLetcher, Lupe Valdez, Mike Collier, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, Roman McAllen, Texas, Will Hurd | 4 Comments

Precinct analysis: 2018 State Senate

Posted on March 18, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

The day I look forward to since November has finally arrived – all the data from the last election is now available on the Texas Legislative Council webpage. You know what that means: It’s statewide precinct analysis time! Let’s start … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Angela Paxton, Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Charles Schwertner, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Hillary Clinton, Joan Huffman, Justin Nelson, Lupe Valdez, Mark Phariss, Mike Collier, Pete Flores, precinct analysis, Roman McAllen, SD02, SD05, SD07, SD08, SD09, SD10, SD11, SD12, SD16, SD17, SD19, SD25, Senate, Texas, turnout | 3 Comments

Precinct analysis: Fort Bend

Posted on January 21, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Did you know that Fort Bend County went blue in 2018 as well? Of course you did. Let’s take a closer look at how that happened. Dist Cruz Beto Dikeman Cruz% Beto% Dike% ====================================================== HD26 32,451 33,532 406 48.88% 50.51% … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Attorney General, Beto O'Rourke, Brian Middleton, Commissioners Court, County Judge, District Attorney, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Fort Bend County, Governor, HD26, HD27, HD28, HD85, Hillary Clinton, Justin Nelson, Kim Olson, KP George, Lite Gov, Lupe Valdez, Mike Collier, precinct analysis, Senate, Texas, The Lege | Comments Off

Initial reactions: Statewide

Posted on November 8, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I’m going to do a few of these “Initial reaction” posts about Tuesday’s elections as I try to make sense of all that happened. Here we go. Let me start with a number. Two numbers, actually: 4,017,851 and 48.26%. The … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Ag Commissioner, Attorney General, Beto O'Rourke, Court of Criminal Appeals, Donald Trump, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, Hillary Clinton, Joi Chevalier, Justin Nelson, Kathy Cheng, Kim Olson, Land Commissioner, Lite Gov, Lupe Valdez, Maria Jackson, Miguel Suazo, Mike Collier, Railroad Commission, Ramona Franklin, RK Sandill, Roman McAllen, Senate, Steven Kirkland, Supreme Court, Texas, turnout | 8 Comments

Emerson College: Cruz 50, O’Rourke 47

Posted on November 2, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I’m just going to quit making predictions about when we’ve seen the last poll for this cycle. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz (R) holds a 3-point lead over his Senate challenger Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D) ahead of next week’s midterm elections, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, Lupe Valdez, polls, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | Comments Off

UT-Tyler: Cruz 47.0, O’Rourke 43.4

Posted on November 1, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Okay, fine, this is the final poll of the cycle. Republican U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz leads challenger U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke, D-El Paso, by 3.6 percentage points among likely voters in a new University of Texas at Tyler poll released … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, early voting, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, Lupe Valdez, polls, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 9 Comments

Quinnipiac: Cruz 51, O’Rourke 46

Posted on October 30, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

One last poll for the road. U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, leads El Paso Democrat Beto O’Rourke by 5 percentage points, according to a new poll from Quinnipiac University. The poll, released Monday with just a over a week left … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, early voting, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, Lupe Valdez, polls, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout | Comments Off

Omnibus polling update

Posted on October 27, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

One last Trib poll: Republican Ted Cruz leads Democrat Beto O’Rourke 51 percent to 45 percent in the Texas race for the U.S. Senate, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll. Libertarian Neal Dikeman was the choice of … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Attorney General, Beto O'Rourke, Dan Patrick, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, Justin Nelson, Ken Paxton, Lite Gov, Lupe Valdez, Mike Collier, polls, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout | 4 Comments

The Beto-Abbott voters

Posted on October 25, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I have three things to say about this. Barring divine intervention, Greg Abbott will handily beat Lupe Valdez — the only real question is by how much. The floor, if there is one, is Wendy Davis’ crushing loss to Greg … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Bill White, CD07, CD32, Congress, David Dewhurst, Donald Trump, Election 2010, Election 2016, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, Hillary Clinton, Lupe Valdez, polls, President, Rick Perry, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout | 5 Comments

What are your turnout scenarios?

Posted on October 18, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I keep thinking about this: County Clerk Stan Stanart predicts up to a million Harris County residents could be casting ballots in a string of hotly-contested races. As you’ve heard me say many times, the Democrats’ main issue in off … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Election 2010, Election 2014, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, Harris County, Lupe Valdez, polls, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout, voter registration | 3 Comments

The Dallas County House battleground

Posted on September 23, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Lot of seats in play here. [Julie] Johnson is among several Democratic candidates in Dallas hoping national and statewide talk of a blue wave will trickle down to several local state House races. A mix of Democratic enthusiasm this cycle, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, HD105, HD113, HD114, HD115, Hillary Clinton, John Turner, Jonathan Boos, Julie Johnson, Lisa Luby Ryan, Lupe Valdez, Matt Rinaldi, precinct analysis, Rhetta Andrews Bowers, Rodney Anderson, Terry Meza, Texas, The Lege, turnout | 3 Comments

Differing views of likely voters

Posted on September 20, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

First we had this. U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, leads his Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke by 9 percentage points among likely voters, according to a new poll from Quinnipiac University. Released Tuesday, the survey found Cruz with 54 percent support … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, Lupe Valdez, polls, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 5 Comments

Valdez and Abbott come to terms on September debate

Posted on August 30, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Good. Lupe Valdez, the Democratic candidate for governor, has agreed to debate the Republican incumbent, Greg Abbott, on Sept. 28 in Austin, ending weeks of uncertainty over whether the two would face off. Earlier this summer, Abbott announced his RSVP … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, candidate forum, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, Lupe Valdez, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | Comments Off

ECPS: Cruz 38, O’Rourke 37

Posted on August 28, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Closest result yet, but it comes with a couple of caveats. A new Emerson College e-Poll finds the US Senate race neck and neck with Senator Ted Cruz at 38% and US Rep Beto O’Rourke at 37%; 4% are voting … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, Lupe Valdez, poll, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 1 Comment

NBC News: Cruz 49, O’Rourke 45

Posted on August 24, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

It’s been three weeks since our last poll result. In a head-to-head match up, Cruz held a 4-point lead over O’Rourke. Forty-nine percent of respondents backed Cruz, compared to 45 percent who supported O’Rourke. Six percent of respondents remain undecided. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Bill White, Donald Trump, Election 2010, Election 2016, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, Hillary Clinton, Lupe Valdez, polls, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 10 Comments

The meta-campaign for Senate

Posted on August 12, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Let’s talk about what we talk about when we talk about the Senate campaign. It’s the most backhanded of compliments. U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke’s campaign for U.S. Senate has caught so much fire throughout the state that the new favorite … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Ag Commissioner, Attorney General, Beto O'Rourke, Brazoria County, CD07, CD21, CD23, CD31, CD32, Collin County, Congress, Dan Patrick, Denton County, Election 2018, Fort Bend County, Governor, Greg Abbott, Harris County, HD115, HD135, HD136, judicial races, Justin Nelson, Ken Paxton, Kim Olson, Lite Gov, Lupe Valdez, Mike Collier, Senate, Sid Miller, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege, Williamson County | 1 Comment

The range of Republican anxiety

Posted on August 10, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Some folks are a little scared about all this “blue wave” talk and poll numbers and what have you. As Ted Cruz took questions at a Republican women’s event [in Smithville] Saturday evening, Bastrop retiree Ronnie Ann Burt wanted to … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Election 2006, Election 2014, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, Lupe Valdez, polls, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout | 3 Comments

Lyceum: Cruz 41, O’Rourke 39

Posted on August 2, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Good result, though the others with it could be better. A new poll released Wednesday suggests that U.S. Sen Ted Cruz and U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke, D-El Paso, are in a dead heat. The poll from Texas Lyceum shows Cruz … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Attorney General, Beto O'Rourke, Dan Patrick, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, Justin Nelson, Ken Paxton, Lite Gov, Lupe Valdez, Mike Collier, polls, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, Wendy Davis | 3 Comments

Debating dates

Posted on July 20, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

We know what the best answer is. What the most likely answer is, I have no idea. The back-and-forth over when and where the two major candidates for Texas governor will debate continued Wednesday, with Democratic nominee Lupe Valdez announcing … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Andrew White, candidate forum, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, Lupe Valdez, Texas | 6 Comments

Two views of Democratic fundraising

Posted on July 19, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Positive: For the first time in a generation, there is a Democrat running for Congress in every single district in the state. Most of those candidates vying to unseat Republicans will likely lose. Many are running in districts where President … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Congress, Dan Patrick, Election 2014, Election 2018, fundraising, Governor, Greg Abbott, Lite Gov, Lupe Valdez, Mike Collier, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, Wendy Davis | 5 Comments

Debating debates

Posted on July 16, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

We have an agreement for a debate (mostly) between Greg Abbott and Lupe Valdez. Incumbent Republican Gov. Greg Abbott agreed Wednesday to participate in a televised statewide debate with Democratic challenger Lupe Valdez, the first in the general election runup. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, candidate forum, Election 2018, George P. Bush, Greg Abbott, Land Commissioner, Lupe Valdez, Miguel Suazo, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 1 Comment

Gravis: Cruz 51, O’Rourke 42

Posted on July 11, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Here’s a new poll of four statewide races in Texas, for which there may or may not be any news coverage. The executive summary: Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 602 likely voters across Texas. … Continue reading →

UT/Trib: Cruz 41, O’Rourke 36, part 2

Posted on June 27, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

We pick up where we left off. Republican Ted Cruz leads Democrat Beto O’Rourke 41 percent to 36 percent in the general election race for a Texas seat in the U.S. Senate, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Attorney General, Barbara Radnofsky, Beto O'Rourke, Bill White, Congress, Dan Patrick, David Alameel, David Dewhurst, Election 2010, Election 2014, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, John Cornyn, Justin Nelson, Ken Paxton, Leticia Van De Putte, Linda Chavez-Thompson, Lite Gov, Lupe Valdez, Mike Collier, polls, Rick Perry, Sam Houston, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege, turnout, Wendy Davis | 8 Comments

UT/Trib: Cruz 41, O’Rourke 36

Posted on June 26, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Well, what do you know? Republican Ted Cruz leads Democrat Beto O’Rourke 41 percent to 36 percent in the general election race for a Texas seat in the U.S. Senate, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll. Neal … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, Lupe Valdez, polls, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 5 Comments

Who’s willing to tell Trump he’s all wet?

Posted on June 9, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Not Greg Abbott or Dan Patrick. During a visit to Pinkerton’s Barbecue on Friday afternoon, gubernatorial candidate Lupe Valdez said Gov. Greg Abbott failed to forcefully refute the president, who said on Wednesday that some Texans “went out in their … Continue reading →

Posted in Hurricane Katrina | Tagged Dan Patrick, Donald Trump, Election 2018, flooding, Governor, Greg Abbott, Hurricane Harvey, Joe Straus, Lite Gov, Lupe Valdez, Mike Collier, Texas | 8 Comments

Quinnipiac: Cruz 50, O’Rourke 39

Posted on May 31, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Quinnipiac giveth, Quinnipiac taketh away. U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz has some breathing space from U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke, according to a new poll released by Quinnipiac University on Wednesday. In the banner statewide race in the state, the new survey … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, Lupe Valdez, polls, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 8 Comments

Lupe and Beto

Posted on May 26, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Beto O’Rourke has a year-old, well-funded campaign for US Senate. Lupe Valdez doesn’t have anything like those advantages in her campaign for Governor. Will her lower profile effort have a negative effect on his higher profile one? The race for … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Barbara Radnofsky, Beto O'Rourke, Chris Bell, David Alameel, Election 2002, Election 2006, Election 2014, Election 2018, Governor, Greg Abbott, Lupe Valdez, Michael Sorrell, Ron Kirk, Senate, Texas, Tony Sanchez, Wendy Davis | 11 Comments

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