Tag Archives: MJ Hegar

UH-Hobby Center polls Harris County

Posted on October 19, 2024 by Charles Kuffner

Pretty good. Could be better, but more or less in line with 2020 and current expectations. With the start of early voting just days away, a new poll shows Harris County Democrats leading their Republican opponents in countywide races. In … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2024 | Tagged Annette Ramirez, Bexar County, Christian Menefee, Colin Allred, Dan Simons, District Attorney, Donald Trump, Ed Gonzalez, Election 2020, Election 2024, Harris County, Harris County Attorney, Harris County Flood Control District, Harris County Sheriff, Harris County Tax Assessor, Jacqueline Lucci Smith, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Kamala Harris, Mike Knox, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Sean Teare, Senate, Steve Radack, Ted Cruz, Texas | Comments Off

A curious thing about the polls of Texas

Posted on September 22, 2024 by Charles Kuffner

You’ve probably seen this headline by now. For the first time in their hotly contested campaign, a poll shows U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, trailing challenger U.S. Rep. Colin Allred. The Morning Consult poll, conducted between Sept. 9 and 18, places … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2024, The making of the President | Tagged Colin Allred, Donald Trump, Election 2020, Election 2024, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Kamala Harris, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 2 Comments

More Senate 2024 talk

Posted on March 23, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

Make of this what you will. Texas Democratic voters will head to the polls in less than a year to decide which candidate they’d like to see challenge Sen. Ted Cruz in his reelection bid, but at the moment the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2024 | Tagged Colin Allred, Democratic primary, Election 2024, Joaquin Castro, John Love, Julian Castro, MJ Hegar, Senate, Sylvester Turner, Ted Cruz, Texas, Wendy Davis | 2 Comments

What will it take to keep those ten appellate court benches we won in 2018?

Posted on February 21, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

As you may recall, Democrats won a ton of Appellate Court races in 2018. Ten of them, in fact, five each on the First and Fourteenth Courts of Appeals, the first such victories since winning a lone bench in 2008. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2024 | Tagged 14th Court of Appeals, Austin County, Beto O'Rourke, Brazoria County, Chambers County, Colorado County, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, First Court of Appeals, Fort Bend County, Galveston, Grimes County, Harris County, Joe Biden, judicial races, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, straight ticket voting, Texas, turnout, Waller County, Washington County | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: How the 2022 Harris County State Rep candidates did versus the 2020 and 2018 results

Posted on November 28, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

I still don’t have a full canvass of Harris County, so I’m looking around to see what kind of analyses I can do in the meantime. For this post, I’m comparing how the candidates in the contested State Rep contests … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Alma Allen, Beto O'Rourke, Christina Morales, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Greg Abbott, Harris County, HD128, HD129, HD131, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD138, HD145, HD148, HD149, HD150, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Lupe Valdez, Mano DeAyala, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: Congress, part 2

Posted on September 21, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions Appellate courts, Part 1 Appellate courts, Part 2 Judicial averages Other cities District Attorney County Attorney Sheriff Tax Assessor County Clerk HCDE Fort … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Amy Clark Meachum, Barack Obama, CD07, CD15, CD28, CD32, CD34, Christi Craddick, Chrysta Castaneda, Congress, Dale Henry, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Hillary Clinton, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, judicial races, Mitt Romney, MJ Hegar, Nathan Hecht, Paul Sadler, precinct analysis, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Senate, Supreme Court, Ted Cruz, Texas | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: Congress, part 1

Posted on September 14, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD15, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD28, CD31, CD32, CD34, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, judicial races, Mitt Romney, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, redistricting, Senate, Texas | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: The median districts

Posted on June 14, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, Chrysta Castaneda, Craig Eiland, Dale Henry, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Grady Yarbrough, HD102, HD105, HD107, HD108, HD112, HD113, HD114, HD134, HD138, HD23, HD31, HD54, HD66, HD92, HD97, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Mitt Romney, MJ Hegar, Paul Sadler, precinct analysis, Railroad Commission, redistricting, SD08, SD09, SD16, Senate, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: State House districts 2020, part 2

Posted on June 7, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Chrysta Castaneda, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, HD102, HD105, HD106, HD107, HD108, HD112, HD113, HD114, HD115, HD117, HD118, HD122, HD126, HD129, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD136, HD138, HD14, HD144, HD150, HD26, HD28, HD29, HD31, HD32, HD34, HD35, HD38, HD41, HD45, HD47, HD52, HD54, HD64, HD65, HD66, HD67, HD70, HD74, HD80, HD84, HD85, HD89, HD92, HD93, HD94, HD96, HD97, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Senate, Texas, The Lege | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: State Senate comparisons

Posted on March 29, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, demography, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Fort Bend County, Harris County, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Mitt Romney, MJ Hegar, Paul Sadler, precinct analysis, President, SD04, SD06, SD07, SD11, SD13, SD15, SD17, SD18, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout | 1 Comment

January 2021 campaign finance reports: Congress

Posted on March 11, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Should have done this a long time ago, just to close the books on the 2020 election cycle, but for a variety of reasons I didn’t. With the forthcoming special election in CD06, I now have a reason to care … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrienne Bell, campaign finance reports, Candace Valenzuela, Carol Ianuzzi, CD01, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD08, CD10, CD14, CD17, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD26, CD31, CD32, Colin Allred, Congress, DCCC, Donna Imam, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Elizabeth Hernandez, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, Hank Gilbert, Julie Oliver, Lizzie FLetcher, Lulu Seikaly, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, redistricting, Rick Kennedy, Senate, Sima Ladjevardian, Sri Kulkarni, Stephen Daniel, Ted Cruz, Texas, Wendy Davis | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: Fort Bend County, part 1

Posted on February 1, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged CD09, CD22, Chrysta Castaneda, Commissioners Court, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2004, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elizabeth Markowitz, Fort Bend County, Gary Gates, George Bush, Harris County, HD26, HD27, HD28, HD85, Jacey Jetton, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Ken DeMerchant, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Richard Morrison, Sarah DeMerchant, Senate, Sri Kulkarni, straight ticket voting, Texas, The Lege, Troy Nehls | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: Comparing to 2012 and 2016

Posted on December 14, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts I had meant to get to this last week, but SeditionPalooza took up too much of my time, so here we are. The intent of this post is to compare vote … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, Christi Craddick, Chrysta Castaneda, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Eva Guzman, Harris County, HD126, HD127, HD128, HD129, HD130, HD131, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD137, HD138, HD139, HD140, HD141, HD142, HD143, HD144, HD145, HD146, HD147, HD148, HD149, HD150, Hillary Clinton, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Mitt Romney, MJ Hegar, Paul Sadler, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege, turnout, Wayne Christian | 4 Comments

Precinct analysis: Commissioners Court and JP/Constable precincts

Posted on December 10, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts We now zoom in for a look at various county districts, which are also called “precincts”. I don’t know why we have County Commissioner precincts and JP/Constable precincts to go along with regular voting … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Beto O'Rourke, Chrysta Castaneda, Commissioners Court, Constable, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Israel Garcia, Jack Morman, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Justice of the Peace, Laryssa Korduba, Mark Alan Harrison, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Russ Ridgway, Senate, Ted Heap, Texas, Tom Ramsey | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: State Rep districts

Posted on December 9, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts We move now to State Rep districts, which is my usual currency since they provide complete coverage of the county with no partial pieces. You can also get a much more nuanced view of how things have … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Chrysta Castaneda, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, HD126, HD127, HD128, HD129, HD130, HD131, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD137, HD138, HD139, HD140, HD141, HD142, HD143, HD144, HD145, HD146, HD147, HD148, HD149, HD150, Hubert Vo, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Mary Ann Perez, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Sarah Davis, Senate, Texas, The Lege | 3 Comments

Precinct analysis: Congressional districts

Posted on December 8, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction All right, let’s get this party started. In the past I’ve generally done the top races by themselves, but any race involving Trump provides challenges, because his level of support just varies in comparison to other Republicans depending on … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged CD02, CD07, CD08, CD09, CD10, CD18, CD22, CD29, CD36, Chrysta Castaneda, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Lizzie FLetcher, Mike McCaul, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Senate, Sheila Jackson Lee, Sima Ladjevardian, Sylvia Garcia, Texas, Wendell Champion, Wesley Hunt | 5 Comments

A closer look at county races, Part 1

Posted on November 16, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

In this series of entries, I’m going to take a trip through the local election results pages on some counties of interest, to get a closer look at how they went this year and how that compares to 2016. We … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Bexar County, Carlos Uresti, CD31, Commissioners Court, Constable, Court of Criminal Appeals, Donald Trump, Donna Imam, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Eric Fagan, Falls County, Fort Bend County, Harris County, HD117, HD118, HD136, HD52, HD85, Hillary Clinton, James Talarico, Jennifer Cantu, Joe Biden, Joe Lopez, John Bucy, John Carter, John Cornyn, judicial races, Justice of the Peace, Larry Gonzales, Leo Pacheco, Mike Clark, Mike Gleason, MJ Hegar, Pete Flores, Phil Stephenson, Phillip Cortez, President, Railroad Commission, Rebecca Bell-Metereau, Richard Morrison, Robert Chody, Roland Gutierrez, SBOE, SD19, Senate, Sheriff, Supreme Court, Tarrant County, Texas, The Lege, Tomas Uresti, Tony Dale, Williamson County | 3 Comments

Initial thoughts about the election

Posted on November 5, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

And now for some reactions and analysis… – The polls were garbage. Oy vey. Not just here, though they were definitely off here, underestimating Trump and the Republicans after doing the same to Beto and the Dems in 2018. This … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Beto O'Rourke, CD02, Chrysta Castaneda, Commissioners Court, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Donald Trump, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, Grady Yarbrough, Greg Abbott, Harris County, HCDE, HD108, HD112, HD126, HD127, HD128, HD129, HD130, HD132, HD133, HD135, HD138, HD150, Jack Morman, Jane Bland, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, judicial races, Latino voting, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Senate, straight ticket voting, Supreme Court, Texas, The Lege, Tom Ramsey, turnout, voter registration, Wendy Davis | 8 Comments

A focus on the SCOTX races

Posted on November 3, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

With so much litigation over a variety of voting issues, the Supreme Court of Texas is in the news a lot these days. Will that mean more attention being paid to the four races for SCOTX positions? The sleepy contests … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Amy Clark Meachum, Beto O'Rourke, Brett Busby, Court of Criminal Appeals, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gisela Triana, Jane Bland, Jeff Boyd, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, judicial races, Kathy Cheng, MJ Hegar, Nathan Hecht, polls, Staci Williams, straight ticket voting, Supreme Court, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout | 2 Comments

Today is Election Day

Posted on November 3, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

It almost feels unreal, doesn’t it? Like some people have been saying while on line at voting locations, we’ve been waiting four whole years for this. Now it’s here, Texas is considered a swing state, the Lege is in play, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Chris Hollins, Congress, early voting, Election 2020, Harris County, Harris County Clerk, Joe Biden, MJ Hegar, President, Senate, Texas, The Lege, turnout, voting centers | 2 Comments

Univision: Trump 49, Biden 46

Posted on October 30, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Always time for one more poll, apparently. The race for the White House in Texas is so close in the Nov 3 presidential election that it’s beginning to look uncharacteristically like a swing state, according to a new Univision News … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Arizona, Donald Trump, Election 2020, Florida, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Latino voting, MJ Hegar, Pennsylvania, polls, President, Senate, Texas | 3 Comments

DFP: Biden 49, Trump 48

Posted on October 29, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Once again, from Twitter: . Biden leads 54 to 45 among those that have already voted. For more information on early vote statistics (and for live results on election night) visit https://2020.dataforprogress.org. — Data For Progress (@DataProgress) 10:50 AM – … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Donald Trump, early voting, Election 2020, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Senate, Texas | 2 Comments

More investment from Bloomberg

Posted on October 29, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Once again, better late than never. Billionaire Michael Bloomberg is funding a last-minute ad blitz on behalf of Joe Biden in Texas and Ohio, providing a boost to the former vice president as polls and a flutter of late campaign … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged advertising, attack ads, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg, MJ Hegar, Ohio, polls, President, Senate, Texas, turnout | Comments Off

NYT/Siena: Trump 47, Biden 43

Posted on October 28, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Possibly the last poll of interest for the cycle. President Trump maintains a narrow lead in Texas, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll on Monday, as he faces a rebellion in the state’s once overwhelmingly Republican suburbs but … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Donald Trump, Election 2020, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Latino voting, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Senate, Texas, turnout | 3 Comments

UH-Hobby: Trump 50, Biden 45

Posted on October 27, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Here’s a poll result that stands in contrast to the others we have seen lately. President Donald Trump is leading Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden by more than five points among likely voters in Texas, according to a poll released … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Amy Clark Meachum, Bert Richardson, Chrysta Castaneda, Court of Criminal Appeals, Donald Trump, early voting, Election 2020, Elizabeth Frizell, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, Nathan Hecht, polls, President, Railroad Commission, Senate, Supreme Court, Texas, turnout, UH | 29 Comments

UT-Tyler/DMN: Biden 48, Trump 45

Posted on October 26, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

The late run of good polls in Texas for Joe Biden continues. Former Vice President Joe Biden has regained a narrow lead over President Donald Trump in Texas, after wooing more independents and Hispanics, according to a poll released Sunday … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged coronavirus, Donald Trump, Election 2020, Greg Abbott, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Senate, Texas | 6 Comments

Morning Consult: Biden 48, Trump 47

Posted on October 23, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

The overview is here and there are some words that I’ll include shortly, but for the headline we’ll need this picture: I know it says “Tied” despite the “Biden 48, Trump 47” listing. My guess is that the exact numbers … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged advertising, Donald Trump, Election 2020, fundraising, Future Forward, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Senate, Texas | 2 Comments

Quinnipiac: Biden 47, Trump 47

Posted on October 22, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Very interesting. In the home stretch of the 2020 presidential election campaign, former Vice President Joe Biden is in a tied race with President Donald Trump in the reliably red state of Texas, and he holds a single digit lead … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged absentee ballots, Donald Trump, early voting, Election 2020, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Latino voting, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Senate, Texas, turnout | 3 Comments

DFP: Biden 47, Trump 46

Posted on October 21, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

From Twitter: . Police cars revolving lightNew Poll – TX Police cars revolving light Biden 47 – Trump 46 Cornyn 44 – Hegar 41 https://filesforprogress.org/memos/2020-senate-project/week-5/toplines/tx.pdf — Data For Progress (@DataProgress) 8:21 PM – 18 October 2020 What’s interesting about this … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged CD22, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2020, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Senate, Sri Kulkarni, Texas, Troy Nehls | 6 Comments

“I opposed him in private before completely supporting him in public”

Posted on October 20, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Man, this guy is a weasel. And honestly, that’s insulting to weasels. U.S. Sen. John Cornyn acknowledged Friday that at times he has disagreed with President Trump on issues such as budget deficits and debt, tariffs and trade agreements and … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Donald Trump, Election 2020, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, President, Senate, Texas | 27 Comments

October 2020 campaign finance reports: Congress

Posted on October 19, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

This is it, the last quarterly finance report roundup for the cycle. It’s been quite the time, hasn’t it? Let’s do this and see where we are as voting continues. The January 2019 roundup is here, which closed out the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrienne Bell, campaign finance reports, Candace Valenzuela, Carol Ianuzzi, CD01, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD08, CD10, CD14, CD17, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD26, CD31, CD32, Colin Allred, Congress, DCCC, Donna Imam, Election 2012, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Elizabeth Hernandez, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, Hank Gilbert, Julie Oliver, Lizzie FLetcher, Lulu Seikaly, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, redistricting, Rick Kennedy, Senate, Sima Ladjevardian, Sri Kulkarni, Stephen Daniel, Ted Cruz, Texas, Wendy Davis | Comments Off

PPP: Cornyn 49, Hegar 46

Posted on October 19, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Of interest. Last week PPP took a look at the Presidential race in Texas, and this week we checked in on the Senate race. MJ Hegar trails John Cornyn just 49-46, making up for the Republican lean of the state … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2020, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Senate, Texas | 1 Comment

Endorsement watch: For MJ

Posted on October 10, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

The Chron changes its course in the US Senate race. For 18 years, John Cornyn has represented Texas in the U.S. Senate with dignity, decorum and a legislative work ethic that has made him one of the more productive, and … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Donald Trump, endorsements, Gina Calanni, HD132, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, Senate, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

There’s so much more money in Texas races

Posted on October 8, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Item one: It’s the question that many, many people have raised — often as a joke — for years. But the combination of changing demographics, chaos among the state Republican ranks, and the ongoing struggles of President Donald Trump’s campaign … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged advertising, Ann Johnson, Associated Republicans of Texas, Celia Israel, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2020, fundraising, HD126, HD134, HD135, HDCC, Joe Biden, Jon Rosenthal, Justin Ray, Lincoln Project, MJ Hegar, Natali Hurtado, President, Sam Harless, Sarah Davis, Senate, TDP, Texans for Lawsuit Reform, Texas, The Lege | Comments Off

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