Tag Archives: Paul Sadler

Precinct analysis: Congress, part 2

Posted on September 21, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions Appellate courts, Part 1 Appellate courts, Part 2 Judicial averages Other cities District Attorney County Attorney Sheriff Tax Assessor County Clerk HCDE Fort … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Amy Clark Meachum, Barack Obama, CD07, CD15, CD28, CD32, CD34, Christi Craddick, Chrysta Castaneda, Congress, Dale Henry, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Hillary Clinton, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, judicial races, Mitt Romney, MJ Hegar, Nathan Hecht, Paul Sadler, precinct analysis, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Senate, Supreme Court, Ted Cruz, Texas | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: The median districts

Posted on June 14, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, Chrysta Castaneda, Craig Eiland, Dale Henry, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Grady Yarbrough, HD102, HD105, HD107, HD108, HD112, HD113, HD114, HD134, HD138, HD23, HD31, HD54, HD66, HD92, HD97, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Mitt Romney, MJ Hegar, Paul Sadler, precinct analysis, Railroad Commission, redistricting, SD08, SD09, SD16, Senate, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: State Senate comparisons

Posted on March 29, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, demography, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Fort Bend County, Harris County, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Mitt Romney, MJ Hegar, Paul Sadler, precinct analysis, President, SD04, SD06, SD07, SD11, SD13, SD15, SD17, SD18, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: Comparing to 2012 and 2016

Posted on December 14, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts I had meant to get to this last week, but SeditionPalooza took up too much of my time, so here we are. The intent of this post is to compare vote … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, Christi Craddick, Chrysta Castaneda, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Eva Guzman, Harris County, HD126, HD127, HD128, HD129, HD130, HD131, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD137, HD138, HD139, HD140, HD141, HD142, HD143, HD144, HD145, HD146, HD147, HD148, HD149, HD150, Hillary Clinton, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Mitt Romney, MJ Hegar, Paul Sadler, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege, turnout, Wayne Christian | 4 Comments

How Ted Cruz barely hung on

Posted on November 11, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Let’s check some hot takes on what happened in the Senate race. All in all, Beto improved upon Democratic gains in Texas’ 10 most populous counties, long central to their hopes of turning the state purple. But what about the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Election 2012, Election 2018, Paul Sadler, precinct analysis, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout | 10 Comments

UT/TT poll: We need more context

Posted on October 24, 2017 by Charles Kuffner

Time for another UT/Texas Trib poll, in which the pollsters do a mighty fine job of failing to find anything interesting about their data. Donald Trump remains highly popular with Texas Republicans nearly a year after his election as the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2018, fundraising, Paul Sadler, polls, President, Rick Noriega, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout | Comments Off

O’Rourke sure sounds like a candidate for Senate

Posted on March 5, 2017 by Charles Kuffner

Sure feels like it’s a matter of when and not if Rep. Beto O’Rourke announces his candidacy for US Senate. U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke, D-El Paso, is sailing toward a 2018 Senate campaign — an uphill battle that would pit … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Barbara Radnofsky, Beto O'Rourke, Democratic primary, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2018, fundraising, Joaquin Castro, Paul Sadler, Rick Noriega, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: Brazoria County

Posted on December 28, 2016 by Charles Kuffner

I had some time to spare, so I spent it with the canvass reports from Brazoria County. You know, like you do. Here’s what I was able to learn. Trump Clinton R Avg D Avg Weber Cole ======================================================= Votes 36,572 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2016 | Tagged 14th Court of Appeals, Barack Obama, Brazoria County, CD14, CD22, Congress, Dennis Bonnen, Donald Trump, Doug Blatt, Ed Thompson, Election 2012, Election 2016, First Court of Appeals, Fort Bend County, Harris County, HD25, HD29, Hillary Clinton, John Floyd, judicial races, Mark Gibson, Mitt Romney, Nick Lampson, Paul Sadler, Pearland, Pete Olson, precinct analysis, President, Ron Paul, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege | 6 Comments

The UT/TT poll’s track record in past Democratic primaries

Posted on February 26, 2014 by Charles Kuffner

The one result in that UT/TT poll from Monday that has people freaking out is the one that shows nutball LaRouchie Kesha Rogers leading the Senate race with 35%, followed by David Alameel with 27%. I expressed my skepticism of … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2014 | Tagged Ag Commissioner, Barbara Radnofsky, Bill White, David Alameel, David Dewhurst, Debra Medina, Democratic primary, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Farouk Shami, Gene Kelly, Governor, Grady Yarbrough, Hank Gilbert, Kesha Rogers, Kinky Friedman, Linda Chavez-Thompson, Paul Sadler, polls, primaries, Rick Noriega, Rick Perry, Ronnie Earle, runoff, Sean Hubbard, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 2 Comments

Yet another wacky poll about Latino voting in Texas

Posted on August 6, 2013 by Charles Kuffner

Just when I thought I was out…they pull me back in. Sen. Ted Cruz lost the Hispanic vote in Texas by about 20 percentage points, but out-performed GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney, according to post-2012 election polling shared with the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged Barack Obama, Election 2012, Latino voting, Mitt Romney, Paul Sadler, polls, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 2 Comments

PAC Plus polls Latinos in Texas

Posted on May 21, 2013 by Charles Kuffner

BOR reported last week on a poll of Texas Latinos conducted by PAC Plus. They zeroed in on the questions that had to do with Latinos’ impressions of Republicans and Democrats. For the survey PAC+ interviewed 2,685 randomly selected registered … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged Barack Obama, Battleground Texas, Election 2012, Latino voting, Mitt Romney, PAC Plus, Paul Sadler, polls, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: A closer look at the Latino districts

Posted on December 5, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

Here’s a more in-depth look at the Latino districts in Harris County. I’m particularly interested in the question of how President Obama did in comparison to the other Dems on the ballot, since as we know he lagged behind them … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged Barack Obama, CD29, Congress, Election 2008, Election 2012, Gene Green, Harris County, HD140, HD143, HD144, HD145, HD148, Mario Gallegos, Mike Anderson, Paul Sadler, precinct analysis, Rick Noriega, Sam Houston, SD06, Senate, Texas, The Lege | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: City and county

Posted on November 19, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

If you know a little something about Excel (or in my case, OpenOffice Calc, which has the same basic functionality), it’s fairly straightforward to calculate the vote totals and percentages for various candidates in various county, state, or federal districts. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Barack Obama, Christi Craddick, Diane Trautman, Election 2008, Election 2012, Harris County, Houston, Mike Anderson, Mike Sullivan, Paul Sadler, precinct data, Vince Ryan | 3 Comments

Precinct analysis: Sadler v Noriega and Sadler v Obama

Posted on November 16, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

Day Two of precinct analysis, in which we take a look at the Senate results. As I did with the Presidential results, I’m going to compare the candidates from this year to the candidates from 2008. Dist Cruz Sadler Cornyn … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged Barack Obama, Election 2008, Election 2012, Harris County, John Cornyn, Latino voting, Mitt Romney, Paul Sadler, precinct analysis, President, Rick Noriega, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 1 Comment

Did Ted Cruz do better in Latino areas than other Republicans?

Posted on November 13, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

Lisa Falkenberg drops the following tidbit in her post-election column on why the GOP in general and in Texas needs to figure out how to appeal to Latino voters. In Texas, the best data so far show a 70-30 split … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged Barry Smitherman, Cameron County, El Paso, Election 2012, Hidalgo County, Latino voting, Maverick County, Paul Sadler, Railroad Commission, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, Webb County | 2 Comments

Obama leads in poll of Harris County

Posted on November 1, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

More polling goodness for you. The poll conducted for KHOU 11 News and KUHF Houston Public Radio indicates Obama leads Romney in Harris County, but not by much. That gives some indication how election night might go for politicians running … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Barack Obama, Bob Stein, bond referendum, District Attorney, Election 2008, Election 2012, Harris County, HCC, HISD, Houston, Lloyd Oliver, Louis Guthrie, Metro, Mike Anderson, Mitt Romney, Paul Sadler, polls, President, Senate, Ted Cruz | 2 Comments

Endorsement watch: The scoreboard for Sadler

Posted on October 29, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

More endorsements for Paul Sadler from the past week. Here’s the El Paso Times: We need a U.S. senator who will work on border issues with our members of Congress in Dists. 16 and 23. We are endorsing Democrats Beto … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged Election 2012, endorsements, Paul Sadler, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 2 Comments

Endorsement watch: Three out of four ain’t bad

Posted on October 23, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

The Star-Telegram becomes the third of the four major papers to endorse Paul Sadler for Senate. Sadler can be aggressive, even abrasive, as he demonstrated in an early-October debate with Cruz. But Sadler has specific, practical notions about improving how … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged Election 2012, endorsements, Paul Sadler, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 2 Comments

All the interviews for 2012

Posted on October 22, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

As we begin early voting for the November election, here are all the interviews I conducted for candidates who are on the ballot as well as for the referenda. These include interviews that were done for the primary as well … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Alan Rosen, Alma Allen, Ann Harris Bennett, Ann Johnson, Annise Parker, Borris Miles, Brad Neal, Candace Duval, CD02, CD07, CD10, CD14, CD20, CD21, CD23, CD27, CD29, CD33, CD36, Christof Spieler, Cody Pogue, Congress, Constable, Craig Eiland, Diane Trautman, Election 2012, Erica Lee, Garnet Coleman, Gene Green, Gene Wu, Gilbert Garcia, Harris County, Harris County Attorney, Harris County Sheriff, Harris County Tax Assessor, HCC, HCDE, HD127, HD131, HD134, HD137, HD144, HD146, HD147, HD150, HD21, HD26, HISD, Houston, interviews, James Cargas, Jim Dougherty, Joaquin Castro, John Courage, Marc Veasey, Mary Ann Perez, Max Martin, Metro, Nick Lampson, Paul Sadler, Pete Gallego, Richard Schechter, Rose Meza Harrison, SBOE, SD10, SD25, Senate, Steve Radack, Tawana Cadien, Terry Grier, Texas, The Lege, Traci Jensen, Vince Ryan, vy nguyen, Wendy Davis | Comments Off

Endorsement watch: DMN for Sadler

Posted on October 20, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

It’s a strange endorsement, at least from my perspective, but it’ll do. Texans face a decision in this election that has come before them only twice over the last four decades: How to fill a Senate seat that has carried … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged Election 2012, endorsements, Kay Bailey Hutchison, Paul Sadler, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 2 Comments

Endorsement watch: E-N for Sadler, Parent PAC for Ann Johnson

Posted on October 14, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

Having made a good choice for the State Senate, the Express News follows it up with a good choice for US Senate. Former state Rep. Paul Sadler is unequivocally the right choice on the Nov. 6 ballot to represent Texas … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged Ann Johnson, budget, Election 2012, HD134, Paul Sadler, schools, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, Texas Parent PAC, The Lege | 4 Comments

YouGov: Romney 52, Obama 41

Posted on September 24, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

Another new poll of Texas, from YouGov: Republican Presidential hopeful Mitt Romney holds a solid, eleven-point lead over Democratic President Barack Obama in Texas, 52% Romney to 41% Obama, in a poll of 1,254 registered voters statewide, conducted by YouGov. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged Barack Obama, Election 2012, Mitt Romney, Paul Sadler, polls, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 1 Comment

If you knew Paul Sadler

Posted on September 20, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

If you knew Paul Sadler, you’d probably think he was an experienced, well-qualified candidate for the US Senate. And you’d be right. Unfortunately, not enough people know Paul Sadler well enough to know this. In 2002, state Rep. Paul Sadler … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged Election 2012, fundraiser, Paul Sadler, polls, redistricting, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege | 4 Comments

New pollster says Romney leads 55-40 in Texas

Posted on September 13, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

It would figure that the day after I complain about a lack of polling data in Texas we get a fresh poll result for the state. Thanks to a lopsided lead among white voters, Romney is leading President Barack Obama … Continue reading →

Posted in The making of the President | Tagged Barack Obama, Diana Maldonado, Election 2008, Election 2012, HD136, John McCain, Matt Stillwell, Mitt Romney, Paul Sadler, polls, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege | 7 Comments

Waiting for an investment

Posted on September 6, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

Some day, the national Democratic Party will make an investment in Texas rather than just use us as a glorified ATM. Just don’t ask me when that day will be. Texans have become accustomed to occupying the nosebleed seats at … Continue reading →

Posted in Show Business for Ugly People | Tagged Bill White, DNC, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, fundraising, Harris County, Jim Sharp, Mary Kay Green, Paul Sadler, Senate, Texas, The Lege | Comments Off

Sadler’s challenge

Posted on September 5, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

Democratic Senate hopeful Paul Sadler is a strong candidate with limited resources. Where have I heard that before? In Victoria on a recent Saturday afternoon, the candidate for the U.S. Senate had the crowd on its feet, the shouts and … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged Barack Obama, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, fundraiser, George Bush, John Kerry, John McCain, Paul Sadler, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 2 Comments

Fall interview season begins tomorrow

Posted on August 19, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

I know that we just finished the primary runoffs, but we’re also now more than halfway through August, so it’s time to start doing interviews with candidates for the fall. I’ll be up candid, I don’t know exactly how many … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Alan Rosen, Alma Allen, Borris Miles, CD07, CD10, CD14, CD20, CD23, CD27, CD33, Congress, Constable, Diane Trautman, Election 2012, Erica Lee, Garnet Coleman, Gene Wu, Harris County, Harris County Sheriff, HCDE, HD131, HD137, HD144, HD146, HD147, interviews, James Cargas, Joaquin Castro, Marc Veasey, Mary Ann Perez, Nick Lampson, Paul Sadler, Pete Gallego, Rose Meza Harrison, SBOE, SD10, Senate, Tawana Cadien, Texas, The Lege, Traci Jensen, Wendy Davis | Comments Off

Two suggestions for better elections

Posted on August 10, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

Ed Kilgore writes that Tennessee Democrats shot themselves in the foot with the winner of their low-information, low-profile Senate primary. [F]acing incumbent Sen. Bob Corker will be some obscure dude named Mark Clayton, who won a plurality of the vote … Continue reading →

Posted in Show Business for Ugly People | Tagged ballot order, Democratic primary, Election 2012, Paul Sadler, runoff, Senate, Tennessee, Texas | 3 Comments

Some coverage for Sadler

Posted on August 8, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

It’s a start. The Tea Party has toppled another mainstream Republican, this time in Texas. Lost in much of the coverage of the primary contest between Houston attorney Ted Cruz and Lieutenant Governor David Dewhurst was the November general election, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged Bill White, Election 2010, Election 2012, Kay Bailey Hutchison, Paul Sadler, Rick Perry, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | Comments Off

2012 Democratic primary runoffs

Posted on August 1, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

All state results here. Best news of the night was Paul Sadler‘s easy win. Can we please raise some money for this guy? Congressional results: James Cargas in CD07, Pete Gallego in CD23, Rose Meza Harrison in CD27, Marc Veasey … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged Alan Rosen, Annie's List, CD07, CD23, CD27, CD33, CD34, Ciro Rodriguez, Congress, Constable, Democratic primary, Domingo Garcia, Election 2012, endorsements, Erica Lee, Filemon Vela, Gene Wu, Harris County, HCDE, HD117, HD137, HD95, James Cargas, lawsuit, Marc Veasey, Nicole Collier, Paul Sadler, Pete Gallego, Philip Cortez, Rose Meza Harrison, runoff, Senate, Texas, The Lege, Zerick Guinn | 8 Comments

Election night returns

Posted on July 31, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

For your convenience: Statewide Democratic results Looks good for Paul Sadler. Going to be a long night in CDs 23 and 33. Statewide Republican results Ted Cruz has a modest early lead. Wackjob John Devine is leading Supreme Court Justice … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged Alan Rosen, CD23, CD33, CD36, Congress, Constable, Democratic primary, Donna Campbell, Election 2012, Erica Lee, Gene Wu, Harris County, HCDE, HD137, Jeff Wentworth, John Devine, Paul Sadler, Republican Party, runoff, SD25, Senate, Steve Stockman, Supreme Court, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

Runoff Day

Posted on July 31, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

At long last, the 2012 primary season is about to be over in Texas, other than perhaps the HCDE race. To say the least, it’s been a long, strange trip, one that I hope goes down in the books as … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged CD20, CD23, CD33, CD34, Congress, David Dewhurst, Democratic primary, Donna Campbell, early voting, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Filemon Vela, Gene Wu, Harris County, HD137, HD43, Jamaal Smith, Jeff Wentworth, JM Lozano, Joaquin Castro, Marc Veasey, Paul Sadler, Pete Gallego, Republican Party, runoff, SD25, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, Texas Parent PAC, The Lege, turnout | 2 Comments

Early runoff voting in perspective

Posted on July 27, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

Here are four numbers for your consideration: Year Total votes =================== 2006 13,726 2008 9,670 2010 15,225 2012 14,778 The first three numbers are the complete final turnout figures for the last three Democratic primary runoffs in Harris County. The … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged Democratic primary, early voting, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2012, Erica Lee, Harris County, HCDE, Paul Sadler, runoff, Senate, Texas, turnout | 2 Comments

Runoff turnout

Posted on July 24, 2012 by Charles Kuffner

Who knows what to expect? Texans are voting in July for the first time in decades, the result of a lengthy federal court battle over new political districts that delayed the primary from March 6 to May 29. The unusual … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged David Dewhurst, Democratic primary, early voting, Election 2012, endorsements, Grady Yarbrough, Harris County, Paul Sadler, runoff, Senate, TDP, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout | 1 Comment

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